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The Kissinger Story – OpEd

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I am writing this (may God forgive me) on Yom Kippur.

Exactly 43 years ago, at this exact moment, the sirens sounded.

We were sitting in the living room, looking out on one of Tel Aviv’s main streets. The city was completely silent. No cars. No traffic of any kind. A few children were riding about on their bicycles, which is allowed on Yom Kippur, Judaism’s holiest day. Just like now.

Rachel, my wife, I, and our guest, Professor Hans Kreitler, were in deep conversation. The professor, a renowned psychologist, was living nearby, so he could come on foot.

And then the silence was pierced by a siren. For a moment we thought that it was a mistake, but then it was joined by another and another. We went to the window and saw a commotion. The street, that had been totally empty a few minutes before, began to fill up with vehicles, military and civilian.

And then the radio, which had been silent for Yom Kippur, came on. War had broken out.

A few days ago I was asked if I was prepared to talk on TV about the role of Henry Kissinger in this war. I agreed, but at the last moment the program was canceled, because the station had to devote the time to showing Jews asking God for forgiveness at the Western Wall (alias the Wailing Wall). In these Netanyahu times, God, of course, comes first.

So, instead of talking on TV, I shall write down my thoughts on the subject here.

Henry Kissinger has always intrigued me. Once my friend Yael, the daughter of Moshe Dayan, took me – in the great man’s absence, of course, since he was my enemy – to his large collection of unread books and asked me to choose a book as a present. I chose a book of Kissinger’s, and was much impressed by it.

Like Shimon Peres and I, Kissinger was born in 1923. He was a few months older than the other two of us. His family left Nazi Germany five years later than I and went to the US, via England. We both had to start working very early, but he went on with his studies and became a professor, while poor me never finished elementary school.

I was impressed by the wisdom of his books. He approached history without sentiment and dwelled especially on the Congress of Vienna, after Napoleon’s downfall, in which a group of wise statesmen laid the groundwork for a stable, absolutist Europe. Kissinger stressed the importance of their decision to invite the representative of vanquished France (Talleyrand). They realized that France must be part of the new system. To ensure peace, they believed, no one should be left out of the new system.

Unfortunately, Kissinger in power disregarded this wisdom of Kissinger the Professor. He left the Palestinians out.

***

The subject I was to speak about on TV was a question that has intrigued and troubled Israeli historians since that fateful Yom Kippur: Did Kissinger know about the impending Egyptian-Syrian attack? Did he deliberately abstain from warning Israel, because of his own nefarious designs?

After the war, Israel was rent asunder by one question: why had our government, led by Prime Minister Golda Meir and Defense Minister Moshe Dayan, disregarded all the signs of the coming attack? Why had they not called up the army reserves in time? Why had they not sent the tanks to our strongholds along the Suez Canal?

When the Egyptians attacked, the line was thinly held by second-class troops. Most soldiers were sent home for the high religious holiday. The line was easily overrun.

Israeli intelligence knew of course of the massive movement of Egyptian units towards the canal. They disregarded it as an empty maneuver to frighten Israel.

To understand this, one has to remember that after the incredible victory of the Israeli army only six years earlier, when it smashed all the neighboring armies in six days, our army had abysmal contempt for the Egyptian armed forces. The idea that they could dare to carry out such a momentous operation seemed ridiculous.

Add to this the general contempt for Anwar al-Sadat, the man who had inherited power from the legendary Gamal Abd-al-Nasser a few years earlier. Among the group of “Free Officers” who, led by Nasser, had carried out the bloodless 1952 revolution in Egypt, Sadat was considered the least intelligent, and therefore appointed by consent as Nasser’s deputy.

In Egypt, a country of innumerable jokes, there was joke about that, too. Sadat had a conspicuous brown spot on his forehead. According to the joke, whenever a subject came up in a Free Officers’ Council meeting, and everyone expressed his view, Sadat would stand up last and start to speak. Nasser would put his finger on his forehead, press it gently and say: “Sit down, Anwar, sit down.”

In the course of the six years between the wars, Sadat several times conveyed to Golda that he was ready for peace negotiations, based on Israel’s withdrawal from the occupied Sinai Peninsula. Golda contemptuously refused. (In fact, Nasser himself had decided on such a move just before he died. I played a small role in conveying this information to our government.)

Back to 1973: almost at the last moment Israel was warned by a well-placed spy, no less than Nasser’s son-in-law. The message gave the exact date of the impending attack, but the wrong hour: instead of noon, it predicted the early evening. A difference of several fateful hours. In Israel it was later debated whether the man was a double agent and had give the false hour on purpose. It was too late to ask him – he had died in mysterious circumstances.

When Golda informed Kissinger about the impending Egyptian move, he warned her not to carry out a preemptive strike, which would put Israel in the wrong. Golda, trusting Kissinger, obeyed, contrary to the views of the Israel Chief of Staff, David Elazar, nicknamed Dado.

Kissinger also delayed informing his own boss, President Nixon, by two hours.

***

So what was Kissinger’s game?

For him, the main American aim was to drive the Soviets out of the Arab world, leaving the US as the sole power in the region.

In his world of “realpolitik”, this was the only objective that mattered. Everybody else, including us poor Israelis, were just pawns on the giant chessboard.

A major but controlled war was for him the practical way to make everybody in the region dependent on the US.

When the Egyptian and Syrian attacks initially succeeded, Israel was in panic. Dayan, who in this crisis showed himself to be the nincompoop he really was, bewailed the “destruction of the Third Temple” (adding our state to the two Jewish temples of antiquity which were destroyed by the Assyrians and the Romans respectively.) The army command, under Dado, kept its cool and planned its counter-moves with admirable precision.

But munitions were running out quickly and Golda turned in despair to Kissinger. He set in motion an “air bridge” of supplies, giving Israel just enough to defend itself. Not more.

The Soviet Union was helpless to interfere. Kissinger was king of the situation.

***

With remarkable resilience (and the weapons delivered by Kissinger) the Israeli army turned the tables, pushing the Syrians back well beyond their starting point and nearing Damascus. On the Southern front, Israeli units crossed the Suez Canal and could have started an offensive towards Cairo.

It was a rather confused picture: an Egyptian army was still east of the Canal, practically encircled but still able to defend itself, while the Israeli army was behind its back, west of the canal, also in a dangerous position, liable to be cut off from its homeland. Altogether, a classic “fight with reversed fronts”.

If the war had run its course, the Israeli army would have reached the gates of Damascus and Cairo, and the Egyptian and Syrian armies would have begged for a cease-fire on Israeli terms.

That’s where Kissinger came in.

The Israeli advance was stopped on Kissinger’s orders 101 km from Cairo. There a tent was set up and permanent cease-fire negotiations started.

Egypt was represented by a senior officer, Abd-al-Rani Gamassi, who soon captured the sympathy of the Israeli journalists. The Israeli representative was Aharon Yariv, former chief of army intelligence, a member of the government and a general of the reserves.

Yariv was soon recalled to his seat in the cabinet. He was replaced by a very popular regular army general, Israel Tal, nicknamed Talik, who happened to be a friend of mine.

Talik was devoted to peace, and I often urged him to leave the army and become the leader of the Israeli peace camp. He refused, because his overriding passion was to create the Merkava, an original Israeli tank that would give its crew maximum security.

Immediately after the fighting I met Talik regularly for lunch in a well-known restaurant. Passersby may have wondered about these two – the famous tank general and the journalist universally hated by the entire establishment – conversing together.

Talik told me – in confidence, of course – about what had happened: one day Gamassy had taken him aside and told him that he had received new instructions – instead of talking about a cease-fire, he could negotiate an Israel-Egyptian peace.

Immensely excited, Talik flew to Tel-Aviv and disclosed the news to Golda Meir. But Golda was cool. She told Talik to abstain from any talk about peace. When she saw his utter consternation, she explained that she had promised Kissinger that any talks about peace must be held under American auspices.

And so it happened: a cease-fire agreement was signed and a peace conference was called in Geneva, officially under joint US and Soviet auspices.

I went to Geneva to see what would happen. Kissinger was there to dictate terms, but Andrei Gromyko, his Soviet counterpart, was a tough customer. After a few speeches, the conference adjourned without results. (For me it was an important event, because there I met a British journalist, Edward Mortimer, who arranged for me to meet the PLO representative in London, Said Hamami. Thus the first Israeli-PLO meeting came about. But that is another story.)

The Yom Kippur war cost many thousands of lives, Israeli, Egyptian and Syrian. Kissinger achieved his goal. The Soviets lost the Arab world to the United States.

Until Vladimir Putin came along.


The Despotism Of The Pound – OpEd

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While British Prime Minister, Theresa May, keeps insisting that Brexit pathway will be a smooth, relatively painless process filled without dramatic compromise to lifestyle and outlook, the traders, stockbrokers and wolves of the City have gone about their own business. They, the suggestion goes, knew better, whereas the idiotic Brexiteer ventured to the ballot in total ignorance.

Central to the post-Brexit dark is discussion about the British pound, which has been accorded magical powers to reward, anoint or strip. Reading its fortunes is tantamount to consulting a wizened oracle, though the results are sometimes puzzling.

The last few days have seen the currency take a bruising, a spectacle not reflected in the bullish performance of the FTSE 100. While the pound fell below $1.23 against the US dollar, the stock exchange closed near an all-time high, hitting an intra-day record of 7,129.83.

The rush for the tea leaf readers, insensible or otherwise, was on, and Michael Saunders of the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee suggested that the giddy decline would continue. “Given the scale and persistence of the UK’s current account deficit, I would not be surprised if sterling falls further, but I am fairly agnostic as to whether further depreciation is likely.” As expected, a not particularly useful assessment, hugging escapist agnosticism.

The pound has been hitting a few snags in the hype, and purchasing power matters to such to such publications as The Economist, which has asserted that Brexit threatens that “gold mine” of “government bonds, London property, and sterling itself.” Good old Mr Foreigner tends to be keen in owning such assets, a feature that drives up the price of sterling. This, it asserts, usually results in the “Dutch disease” whereby exports become more expensive, impeding the competitiveness of local industries.

Brexit, claims the publication, removes that disease while undermining the gold mine, or oil deposits, if you wish to push the analogy. “Brexit is a little like Saudi Arabia swearing off the oil business, declaring it would rather work for an honest living even if that makes its people poorer.” This might well be deemed “noble,” but reflected a distinct lack of imagination or awareness on the part of the voter, falling for a misguided policy “so that they could work harder for what they get” (The Economist, Oct 11).

One of the central features that the debate pivots on is re-orientating the focus away from the zealous provision of financial services, Britain’s long trumpeted strong suit, with a focus on manufactured goods and tourism.

This, suggests Greg Ip of the Wall Street Journal (Oct 7), may well lead to a useful study in “deglobalization,” with the raising of fences, and the refocusing on the internal dynamics of the country. Such is the consequence of reasserting some crude variant of sovereignty, however much it is disliked by the rampant free market vigilantes. “In the end Britons may be a bit poorer than if they’d stayed, but more self-reliant and more in control of their own borders.”

The economic gatekeepers like Saunders, who had a stint as a Citigroup economist before entering the Bank of England establishment, saw promise in a lower pound precisely because it would ease the burden for exporters. Never mind what those items might be. “If you didn’t have a drop in the pound, the effect may be a particularly weaker export performance and the drop in the pound will probably offset that.”

Some of the economic preachers have become little Pollyannas. The IMF’s former deputy-director for Europe, Ashoka Mody, was beaming with enthusiasm for the UK “rebalancing,” claiming it to be “a stunning achievement that a once-in-a-fifty-year event should have gone so smoothly.”2

The former Governor of the Bank of England, Lord King, sees a post-Brexit environment in terms of a wonderland of prospects, again ones which feature the exploits of a lower pound economy suitably placed to wage economic assault. Hadn’t Britain been attempting to have lower house prices, a lower exchange rate accompanied by higher interest rates for some time?

Naturally, many of these assumptions (the “may” brigade is the only one in full employment in Britain these days) is based on the UK getting bullish in its supply of products, a point that gets increasingly complicated in the event of being prized out of chains in the European Union. Those priding British sovereignty have simply assumed that Britons will be cleverer and more resilient in that regard. They will find magical markets unhindered by the sluggishness of the Euro zone.3

Again, the battle between market place, with the mammon of prosperity paraded before Britain, and the virtues of reforming a system that is not only creaking but in some cases collapsing, continues to play out. Central to that battle remain the fortunes, if one can call them that, of British sterling.

Cindy Sheehan: US Bringing World To Brink Of Nuclear War – OpEd

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What’s happening in Syria has been going on for over five years and it’s not a civil war.

U.S. imperialism has been exporting disaster around the world for over a century now, but not since the “Cuban” missile crisis in 1962, has the U.S. put the world on the brink of such a disaster as we are witnessing today.

The conflict began as a U.S.-funded effort to depose President Bashar Assad and install a puppet government in Damascus friendly to U.S. interests. I am sure there are some legitimate forces in Syria who oppose the government of Assad, but the U.S. does not care about democracy—afterall Assad was elected by his people.

Also in Syria, approximately one dozen militias are not only trying to overthrow the Assad government but they are also fighting amongst themselves . The ranking Democrat on the U.S. Congressional House Intelligence Committee, uber-Zionist Adam Schiff of California, said of the phenomena of CIA-funded militias fighting in places like Aleppo, “It’s part of the three-dimensional chess game.” This chess game, played by empires for millennia, profit the wealthy and as always, the people pay the heavy price.

Today we learned that China is contemplating joining Russia and Syria in their alliance to protect the sovereignty of Syria and for stabilization in the Middle East.

The U.S. has long invaded and provoked weaker countries like Afghanistan and Iraq which have little hope of retaliating but nonetheless use what resources they have to fight off U.S. imperialism. However, provoking Russia in places like Syria and Ukraine seems to be the height of arrogance and stupidity on the part of the U.S.

For many years, Russian President Vladimir Putin has been the rational actor in this insane U.S. provocation, but Russia is getting ready to fight back—reportedly holding civil defense drills, warning Russians abroad, and even testing nuclear missiles.

Some of us see no hope for the mis-leaders here in the U.S. to provide some sanity in its foreign policy. In the last U.S. presidential debate between Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump, the war criminal Clinton reaffirmed her hardcore stance to go to war with Russia, through Syria, if necessary. Clinton also declared her support for a “no fly zone” over Syria, which the chair of the U.S. Joint Chiefs of Staff Joseph Dunford said would require 70,000 U.S. troops to maintain and would definitely mean war with Russia.

Even though Russia has been invited into Syria by the government—as rational people who are filled with apprehension over the reality of this danger—we should be calling on all world leaders to pause in their rush to war.

But the only thing that can really stop imperialist carnage is an international working-class force, refusing to be used as cannon-fodder for capitalism, and instead fighting for socialism.

Our very survival as a species depends on international solidarity.

The Crazy Levels Of False Equivalency Clinton Opponents Will Go To – OpEd

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By Mitchell Blatt*

Clinton is just as much a liar and unfit to be president as Donald Trump. At least that’s what many conservative critics of Clinton are saying.

It’s a bunch of false equivalency.

Take James O’Keefe, a conservative activist who secretly records videos (that he often edits out of context). He claims to have recorded a video of a low level Florida Democratic field worker (or, in O’Keefe’s words, a “Clinton staffer”) speculating on how he could get away with committing sexual assault.

“I think the bar of acceptable conduct in this campaign is pretty low. To be fired I would have to grab Emma’s ass twice and she would have to complain about it, I would have to sexually harass someone,” the field worker, Wylie Mao, said, according to Politico’s summary of O’Keefe’s video.

O’Keefe issued a statement making his motive for the video clear: “Let’s get this straight. Trump’s ‘grab them by the’ [self-censored pause] generated wall-to-wall TV coverage and generated the narrative that this is his true character and how he acts with women. Therefore, because of the precedent set by the mainstream media, I expect wall-to-wall-coverage of this Hillary staffer bragging about the ease that you can commit sexual harassment inside Hillary’s campaign and not get fired.”

Seriously, how stupid do they think we are?

Does O’Keefe really think that a Field Organizer for the Florida Democratic Party, who has worker for them for 3 whole months (according to his LinkedIn page) (allegedly) making inappropriate comments about sexual assault = the Republican nominee for president bragging about sexual assault?

Ignore for a moment the fact that Mao’s comments weren’t as bad as Trump’s (he didn’t say that he committed sexual assault, as Trump did say). Who the hell is Wylie Mao? Does O’Keefe have any videos of Hillary Clinton bragging about having committed sexual assault? (and there are many accusers saying Trump did in fact engage in the behaviors he talked about engaging in)

It’s the same thing Donald Trump does. Trump says Hillary “started the birther movement” then talks about Clinton aide Sidney Blumenthal allegedly having strategized about birtherism. He tries to deflect the allegations of sexual assault against him by talking about Bill Clinton having had affairs and been accused of rape.

If the standard for equivalency now is aides (and far flung party field workers with no connection to the candidate), then what do Trump apologists have to say about Al Baldasaro, a veterans advisor for Trump, who argued multiple times for Clinton to be executed for “treason”? (Trump never apologized for it, and Baldasaro still lists himself as Trump’s 2016 Veteran CoChair on his Twitter page. Trump has indeed said that “Second Amendment people” might be able to block Clinton from nominating a Supreme Court justice and called at the last debate for Clinton to be imprisoned.)

There are some other false equivalencies that are often repeated by Trump defenders and Clinton critics: But liberals called for Bush to be imprisoned!!!

One of the defenses conservatives bring up for the fact that Trump said at the last debate that Clinton would “be in jail” under a Trump administration is that some radical liberals wanted Bush, Cheney and other officials to be charged for war crimes because of their involvement in the Iraq War, the Abu Ghraib prison abuse scandal, or Guantanamo Bay and enhanced interrogation/torture. In fact none of them were ever charged, and candidate Obama never called for Bush to be charged, and President Obama just months after taking office shielded CIA interrogators from charges.

So in summary: Trump promises to have his opponent charged with a crime for some behavior that his supporters seem to think is a crime but that was already investigated by the FBI (and maybe even appears to promise an outcome). Obama didn’t have his opponent, nor any of the previous officials, investigated or charged with crimes, and he even made sure that lower level officers of government who may have committed crimes weren’t investigated.

So Obama ≠ Trump.

Also: a Democratic senator out of 100 rhetorically comparing Bush to Nazis or fascists ≠ Trump, a candidate for president, promising to have his opponents charged with crimes.

(Presidents are more powerful than senators, in case you don’t get it.)

But Clinton is a liar!

Clinton is a politician, and she’s not quite as talented at it as Barack Obama, Bill Clinton, and Ronald Reagan. So of course she’s a liar, like all politicians are liars. She may even be worse than the average politician.

But let’s see if she has lied anywhere near as egregiously as Trump does in almost everyone of his speeches:
“The unemployment rate is probably 20 percent, but I will tell you, you have some great economists that will tell you it’s a 30, 32. And the highest I’ve heard so far is 42 percent.” – Trump

Actual unemployment rate: 4.9%

Trump: 45% of African-American youth live in poverty.
Actual amount: 33%

Trump: “I opposed the Iraq War.”
Actual Trump statements in 2002: “Yeah, I guess so [on supporting the Iraq War]. I wish the first time was done correctly.” (President George H.W. Bush decided against pushing on towards Baghdad and overthrowing Saddam Hussein in the first Gulf War, for reasons that are obvious now.)

Finally, just for kicks:
Trump at second debate: “No one respects women more than me.”

INTERVIEWER: Do you treat women with respect?
TRUMP: I can’t say that either.

Trump on women: “You have to treat em like shit.”
(And any of a hundreds upon hundreds of other comments he has made on the record.)

Read my article at The Federalist on 10 more things Trump said and then lied about having said.

You get the point: There’s a whole host of issues that Trump’s defenders are drawing up false equivalences on. Another: Trump has spent charitable donations to his tax-free foundation on personal items like a Tim Tebow helmet and personal legal bills. Clinton’s foundation hasn’t been reported of doing so.

It becomes laughable. Those who insist everything is the same are really straining their credibility, and this is the reason why conservatives complaints about “bias” and such are treated as unserious in some corners.

About the author:
*Mitchell Blatt moved to China in 2012, and since then he has traveled and written about politics and culture throughout Asia. A writer and journalist, based in China, he is the lead author of Panda Guides Hong Kong guidebook and a contributor to outlets including The Federalist, China.org.cn, The Daily Caller, and Vagabond Journey. Fluent in Chinese, he has lived and traveled in Asia for three years, blogging about his travels at ChinaTravelWriter.com. You can follow him on Twitter at @MitchBlatt.

Lies, Evasions And Folly: Welcome To Montenegro’s Elections – OpEd

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By Sanja Rasovic*

Montenegrins want change at this weekend’s parliamentary elections, but the elite that has ruled for nearly three decades has tried to manipulate the political process to ensure it remains in power.

On Sunday, an election battle will be waged in Montenegro over the fate of the longest-serving regime in Europe.

The country has been dominated by the regime of one party and indeed by one man for 27 years, but many believe that this system, which exchanged its ‘communist overcoat’ for a ‘democratic veil’, combines the worst of both.

Though free and fair polls are a constitutional obligation, all of the elections held to date in Montenegro have been marked by countless violations.

In exchange for votes, state resources have been abused, personal IDs bought, utility bills written off, a blind eye turned to illegal land development, prisoners paroled, welfare distributed, and more.

The local and international public has also been introduced to the concept of ’one employee, four votes’ (the parties in power offering the jobs to the potential voters expecting a support from their families) . Although some low-ranking executors of this system have ended up in court, those who ordered this abuse have remained untouchable.

NGOs have filed over 1,500 charges in the last two months concerning disrespect for the legal requirement for public bodies to be transparent in their use of funds. Civil society has assessed that the National Election Committee is neither independent nor professional.

The economic environment in which citizens vote has nothing in common with the pre-election promises being issued.

The state is almost without an economy, having sold off all its property to its businessmen under the neo-liberal economic concept. Many companies are bankrupt, and tens of thousands of workers have lost their jobs.

The state has borrowed more than three annual budgets in only ten years, and domestic and foreign ’investors’ have been paid half a billion euros in guarantees. Half the country’s employees work for the state administration, while more than 40,000 people are unemployed.

Some European media have described Montenegro as a ‘mafia country’. The network that was used during the 1990s, while Montenegro was under sanctions, for tobacco and oil smuggling, has turned towards a more profitable business – narcotics.

Even the former president of parliament, Ranko Krivokapic, who was a ruling coalition partner for 18 years, has spoken about the ties between the ruling Democratic Party of Socialists and organised crime.

The country does not even interfere in conflicts between drug clans that put people in danger. Indeed, the word ‘safety’ has found an entirely new meaning in Montenegro, when you find out from the media that a prisoner in the country’s best-guarded jail, Spuz, was murdered in September during his daily walk by a sniper shooting from the other side of the prison wall.

Although the police apparatus appears powerless, the reality is different when it comes to demonstrations of power over the people. In October 2015, the police used tear gas and truncheons to brutally break up a protest by almost 20,000 people who were expressing dissatisfaction with the situation in the country. Some people were subjected to torture.

Under domestic and international pressure, the country’s leading man, Milo Djukanovic, in April opened the door of his government to opposition representatives in order to demonstrate its democratic capabilities, with the aim of instilling confidence that there will be fair and free elections.

Part of the opposition, for the first time, became involved in government, in ministries, in public enterprises and institutions, in an attempt to control what has been going on.

The opposition took this cheap bait, hoping that Prime Minister Djukanovic was cutting off the branch on which he was sitting. But it realised too late that the centre of power was not in the ministries and bureaucratic apparatus that were given to it.

For a short time, opposition representatives managed sporadically to highlight the excessive spending of state funds and few incidents of misuse of official positions.
The opposition minister did not sign the electoral roll, as required by law, as he believed it was full of irregularities, and the government was forced to appoint someone else to sign it.

However, the election commission has changed the place at which a quarters of the voters in Montenegro will cast their ballots, raising fears that they might not be able to find out where they are registered to vote, and it has also been reported that there are about 40,000 citizens who are on the electoral roll but do not have the right to vote.

Yet even the chief of police, a body controlled by the opposition minister, openly sided with the ruling party on this issue.

And the opposition? The part of the opposition that joined the government has been lulled into comfort by high salaries and benefits, travel costs and allowances, without undertaking a shred of responsibility. It only showed the public the vain face of a loser who has been losing for decades.

The only steps it took were in merciless pursuit of parliamentary seats, not election victory. Talk of a united opposition echoes around the public arena as the only way to change the government, but the finale of the election campaign has foretold that moves in that direction appear to be impossible.

The ruling elite accuses the strongest opposition group, the Democratic Front, of being funded from foreign sources, by the Russian rouble. It is obvious that its money comes from somewhere, but even at the height of the election campaign, these potential violations of the law are irrelevant to both the public and the civil sector.

Society has remained silent to this and accepted the legal violations as compensation for the advantage which the ruling team drains from state resources and criminal sources. However, the inflow of foreign capital has served its purpose and made the opposition’s marketing more creative and better than its rivals’ for the first time.

Politicians in Montenegro have increasingly become aware of the importance of social networks, so they have worked on their web campaigns. It is unknown how much this has cost.

More than a million euros has been spent on media campaigns, according to the latest estimates, or half the annual budget of, for example, the Ministry of Health.

The media scene is polarised. The publicly-owned media, both national and local, in conjunction with private TV channel PinkM and the tabloid Informer, have taken the lead in terms of unprofessionalism, bias and lack of scruples in attacking political opponents, reinforcing the idea that criticism of the ruling elite is actually an attack on the country itself.

These are the first elections in the history of Montenegrin parliamentary democracy in which 17 candidate lists of coalitions and parties and 34 parties are competing. Still, this does not mean that voters are being offered any new ideas and solutions.

Some will not make it past the threshold needed to get into parliament. Others, like the ethnic minority parties, will have representatives in parliament, due to the lower requirements set for minorities. The current government is counting on their support because it has been making deals with minority representatives for a long time

Up to now, these deals have given the government the guarantee of support from six out of a total of 81 MPs in parliament. If this situation repeats itself, the Democratic Party of Socialists needs just 35 more MPs to rule for the next four years – which equates to the support of less than 40 per cent of voters.

As a back-up option, Djukanovic may try to cut other deals with MPs from the opposition parties. It would not be the first time.

George Orwell once said that “all issues are political issues, and politics itself is a mass of lies, evasions, folly, hatred, and schizophrenia”. How the citizens of Montenegro find their way through this “mass”, if at all, we will find out on Sunday.

*The author is a coordinator at the Montenegrin watchdog Civic Alliance.

The opinions expressed in the comments section are those of the authors only and do not necessarily reflect the views of BIRN.

Spotted Possible Formation Site Of Icy Giant Planet

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A number of extrasolar planets have been found in the past two decades and now researchers agree that planets can have a wide variety of characteristics. However, it is still unclear how this diversity emerges. Especially, there is still debate about how the icy giant planets, such as Uranus and Neptune, form.

To take a close look at the planet formation site, a research team led by Takashi Tsukagoshi at Ibaraki University, Japan, observed the young star TW Hydrae. This star, estimated to be 10 million years old, is one of the closest young stars to the Earth. Thanks to the proximity and the fact that its axis of rotation points roughly in the Earth’s direction, giving us a face-on-view of the developing planetary system, TW Hydrae is one of the most favorable targets for investigating planet formation.

Past observations have shown that TW Hydrae is surrounded by a disk made of tiny dust particles. This disk is the site of planet formation. Recent ALMA observations revealed multiple gaps in the disk [1]. Some theoretical studies suggest that the gaps are evidence of planet formation.

The team observed the disk around TW Hydrae with ALMA in two radio frequencies. Since the ratio of the radio intensities in different frequencies depends on the size of the dust grains, researchers can estimate the size of dust grains. The ratio indicates that smaller, micrometer-sized, dust particles dominate and larger dust particles are absent in the most prominent gap with a radius of 22 astronomical units [2].

Why are smaller dust particles selectively located in the gap in the disk? Theoretical studies have predicted that a gap in the disk is created by a massive planet, and that gravitational interaction and friction between gas and dust particles push the larger dust out from the gap, while the smaller particles remain in the gap. The current observation results match these theoretical predictions.

Researchers calculated the mass of the unseen planet based on the width and depth of the 22 au gap and found that the planet is probably a little more massive than the Neptune. “Combined with the orbit size and the brightness of TW Hydrae, the planet would be an icy giant planet like Neptune,” said Tsukagoshi.

Following this result, the team is planning further observations to better understand planet formation. One of their plans is to observe the polarization of the radio waves. Recent theoretical studies have shown that the size of dust grains can be estimated more precisely with polarization observations. The other plan is to measure the amount of gas in the disk. Since gas is the major component of the disk, the researchers hope to attain a better estimation of the mass of the forming planet.

Notes:
[1] See the press release “Planet Formation in Earth-like Orbit around a Young Star” issued on March 31, 2016 for more details. Astronomers observed radio waves from TW Hydrae in only one frequency in the previous observations and could not estimate the size of the dust particles.

[2] One astronomical unit corresponds to the distance between the Sun and the Earth, 150 million kilometers.

Robert Reich: Hillary Clinton, Paul Ryan And The Crisis Of American Capitalism – OpEd

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Hillary Clinton won’t be the only winner when Donald Trump and his fellow haters are defeated on Election Day (as looks increasingly likely). Another will be Paul Ryan, who will rule the Republican roost.

Democrats may take back the Senate but they won’t take back the House. Gerrymandering has given House Republicans an impregnable fortress of safe seats.

This means that in order for President Hillary Clinton to get anything done, she’ll have to make deals with Speaker Paul Ryan.

While the Clinton-Ryan years won’t be marked by the same kind of petulant gridlock we’ve witnessed over the last eight, the ascendance of Ryan and Clinton will mark a win for big business and Wall Street over the strongest anti-establishment surge America has witnessed since Great Depression.

Clinton might be able to summon Ryan’s support on a “Buffet rule” for the highest-income taxpayers – an effective minimum tax of 30 percent on top incomes. She might also be able to wangle some additional spending on infrastructure and paid family leave.

But the price Ryan can be expected to exact will be lower corporate tax rates, along with a tax amnesty on corporate profits repatriated to the United States. And to offset the added spending and tax cuts, Ryan will probably want Clinton to trim Social Security (perhaps reviving the terrible idea of a “chained” CPI for determining cost of living increases), and slow the growth of Medicare.

None of this will do much to remedy the central economic challenge of our era – reversing the declining incomes and wealth of most Americans.

Although incomes rose in 2015, the typical household is still worse off today than it was in 2000, adjusted for inflation. The assets of the typical family today are worth 14 percent less than the assets of the typical family in 1984. And the typical job is less secure than at any time since the Great Depression.

These trends are not sustainable – neither economically nor politically. They generated the fury that’s undergirded Trump’s ugly campaign, and fueled the anger that propelled Bernie Sanders’s insurgency.

They’ve fed a growing sense that the political-economic system is rigged in favor of those at the top.

And it is. Big money has corrupted our democracy, resulting in laws and rules that systematically favor big corporations, Wall Street, and the very rich over everyone else.

Consider, for example, the growing market power of leading pharmaceutical companies, private health insurers, the biggest Wall Street banks, giant cable providers, four major airlines, and five largest high-tech companies. And the decreasing market power of unions.

The resulting imbalance is transferring money out of the pockets of average Americans directly into the pockets of major shareholders and top executives.

A similar upward distribution is occurring through bankruptcy laws that allow giant corporations and billionaires to avoid paying what they owe, yet don’t allow average people overburdened with mortgage or student debt to renegotiate those obligations.

Mandatory arbitration clauses in contracts with giant corporations are forcing people to give up rights under a wide variety of consumer and employment laws. Meanwhile, workers classified as “independent contractors” are losing whatever rights they once had under the nation’s labor laws.

In all these respects, the American political economy has become radically imbalanced.

The reforms Hillary Clinton and Paul Ryan are likely to agree to are miniscule compared with the scale of this imbalance.

Hopefully, the leaders of big business and Wall Street – the true winners of the 2016 election – will realize that although they avoided Trump’s authoritarian populism and Sanders’s “political revolution” this time around, they won’t for much longer.

The forces that gave rise to both will grow unless our political economy is rebalanced to work for everyone and not just for those at the top.

There is precedent. In the first decades of the twentieth century, enlightened business leaders joined with progressive reformers to rebalance American capitalism – thereby rescuing it from the savage inequalities and corruption of the Gilded Age.

If they understand what happened in the 2016 election, enlightened business leaders will do so once again.

Breakthrough Paves Way For Climate-Tolerant Wine Grape Varieties

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A new sequencing technology, combined with a new computer algorithm that can yield detailed information about complex genomes of various organisms, has been used to produce a high-quality draft genome sequence of cabernet sauvignon, the world’s most popular red wine grape variety, reports a UC Davis genomics expert.

Success of the new genome assembly, which allows researchers to assemble large segments of an organism’s DNA, also was demonstrated on the common research plant Arabidopsis thaliana and the coral mushroom (Clavicorona pyxidata). The findings will be reported Oct. 17 in the journal Nature Methods.

The three-pronged, proof-of-concept study used an open-source genome assembly process called FALCON-unzip, developed by Pacific Biosciences of Menlo Park, California. The study was led by Chen-Shan Chin, the firm’s leading bioinformatician. Lead researcher on the cabernet sauvignon sequencing effort was Dario Cantu, a plant geneticist specializing in plant and microbial genomics in the UC Davis Department of Viticulture and Enology.

“For grapevine genomics, this new technology solves a problem that has limited the development of genomic resources for wine grape varieties,” Cantu said. “It’s like finally being able to uncork a wine bottle that we have wanted to drink for a long time.

“The new process provides rapid access to genetic information that cabernet sauvignon has inherited from both its parents, enabling us to identify genetic markers to use in breeding new vines with improved traits,” he said.

The first genome sequence for the common grapevine, Vitis vinifera, was completed in 2007. Because it was based on a grapevine variety that was generated to simplify the genome assembly procedure, rather than a cultivated variety, that sequence lacks many of the genomic details that economically important wine grape varieties possess, Cantu said.

He noted that the new sequencing technology will enable his research group to conduct comparative studies between cabernet sauvignon and other historically and economically important wine grape varieties.

“This will help us understand what makes cabernet sauvignon cabernet sauvignon,” he said.

Outmaneuvering climate change

“The new genomic information that will be generated with this new genomics approach will accelerate the development of new disease-resistant wine grape varieties that produce high-quality, flavorful grapes and are better suited to environmental changes,” Cantu said.

Warmer temperatures attributed to climate change are already being recorded in many prime grape-growing regions of the world. And in California, where the value of grape crops varies widely and is heavily influenced by local climate, it is especially important that new varieties be able thrive despite warming temperatures.

“In a worsening climate, drought and heat stress will be particularly relevant for high-quality viticultural areas such as Napa and Sonoma,” Cantu said.

Shedding light on a viticultural mystery

The new sequencing effort may also answer some of the questions that have surrounded the ancestry of cabernet sauvignon for centuries, Cantu said.

“Having access to this genomic information is historically fascinating,” Cantu said, noting that the cabernet sauvignon grape variety is thought to date no later than the 17th century. He noted that in 1997 UC Davis plant geneticist Carole Meredith used DNA fingerprinting techniques to identify cabernet franc and sauvignon blanc as the two varieties that had crossed to produce cabernet sauvignon.

“Today, you can find cabernet sauvignon growing on every continent except Antarctica,” Cantu said. “And because grape vines have been propagated by plant cuttings rather than grown from seed, all of the cabernet sauvignon vines are genetically identical, with the exception of some spontaneous, clonal mutations.”

“Using this new genome sequencing process, we can now develop the genetic markers necessary to combine important traits into new varieties,” Cantu said. “It’s been 400 years since that was last done for cabernet sauvignon; we can do better than that.”


Ralph Nader: Ken Bossong, ‘Favorite Sun’– OpEd

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If Mother Sun were to select a favorite son on Planet Earth, Ken Bossong would be high on the list. Operating for over forty years on a tiny budget from a tiny office in Takoma Park, Maryland, the unsung solar energy advocate has been a one-man informing and organizing machine.

He founded the Sun Day campaign in 1992, in his words, “to aggressively promote sustainable energy technologies as cost-effective alternatives to nuclear power and fossil fuels.”

With renewables like solar and wind energy becoming the fastest growing sources of new energy in many areas of the world, Bossong is now seeing his long and often frustrating battles against the traditional corporate skeptics increasingly vindicated. The doubters, often fueled by vested interests in oil, gas, coal and atomic power, called solar unreliable, too diffuse, said that energy from solar couldn’t be stored and that it was too expensive to produce.

I recall in the seventies nuclear engineers at the Hanford Reservation in Washington state derisively that solar power just “sophisticated plumbing”–unworthy of the attention of skilled technical talent.

Notwithstanding their rhetorical dismissals, the fossil fuel and nuke companies saw solar as bad for more parochial reasons. Solar could put them out of business or at least cut into their sales. Solar could be produced in a decentralized manner that would disrupt monopolies; solar was a suitable vehicle for small business and homeowners to garner control away from the centralized power of the Big Energy Giants. Solar also has the advantage of being safer, more abundant everywhere, and environmentally benign.

The visual contrast could not be clearer. On the one hand there are the oil spills and air pollution, the pipeline problems of natural gas with its deadly methane and greenhouse gas releases, the vast destruction of coal—strip mines and subsidence, blown away mountains, dirty air, and millions of coal worker casualties from lung disease and coal mine collapses over the past 130 years. On the other hand, solar panels, solar thermal, solar photovoltaics and wind power draw a stark contrast. If wind power locations cause some controversies, they pale in comparison with the unsafe, uneconomic, uninsurable, unevacuable, stalled nuclear technology that now has to rely on a 100% government taxpayer guarantee for any expansion.

Steadfast and serious, Ken Bossong calmly steeps himself in the startling statistics put out by the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) and the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA), which are showing that “nuclear power is rapidly losing the race with renewable energy sources.”

Consider three data sets from six months in 2016 by these two agencies. In energy production, “renewable resources (i.e. biofuels, biomass, geothermal, hydropower, solar and wind) accounted for 5.242 quadrillion Btus (quads) of domestic energy production. By comparison, nuclear power provided 4.188 quads. That is, renewables outpace nuclear by more than 25%.”

In total, available installed generating capacity in the U.S., from the combination of utility-scale renewables, has grown to 215.82 gigawatts or 18.39% of total generating capacity while nuclear power’s installed capacity is only 107.06 gigawatts or 9.12% of the total.

“However,” reports Bossong, “actual electrical generation by nuclear plants for the first seven months of 2016 is 19.9% of total generation.” This has been steady for many years and is “still higher than that provided by renewable sources which contributed 15.8% (a figure which does not include electricity produced by distributed renewables such as rooftop solar).”

These figures are rarely reported in the mainstream media. Instead the newspapers and radio/television companies are taking millions of dollars in advertisements from the Nuclear Energy Institute—a lobbying arm of the atomic power industry—declaring that the safe, clean power of the atom is the wave of the future. There is no mention of ageing plants, earthquake risks, the recent shutdown of several nukes, nor the cessation of new construction due to extreme costs. The latest disaster at Fukushima in Japan dissolved the nuke industry’s mantra that risks of meltdowns are “vanishingly small.”

The political power of the fossil fuel and nuclear lobbies is much greater than the renewables. Over the decades they have forged tight relationships with federal and state lawmakers and executive agencies. Many of their officials are well placed in government positions. And fossil fuel fat cats like the Koch brothers are busy pumping money into election campaigns.

Yet, look around you. Installers are placing solar panels on homes and other buildings all over the country. Wind turbines are being erected on hillsides everywhere. Geothermal energy’s nascent promises are finally coming to fruition. Major companies like Google are moving toward renewables and are even investing in their generation.

A long distance runner, Ken Bossong, continues to press his Sun Day campaign. Sign up for Sun Day campaign alerts by sending an email to: sun-day-campaign@hotmail.com. Twitter: follow @SunDayCampaign. Ken Bossong is another example of one person making a serious difference.

Francis, Benedict Praise Bartholomew I As ‘Brother In Faith’

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By Hannah Brockhaus

In their forewords to a new book about the head of the Eastern Orthodox Church Patriarch Bartholomew I, Pope Francis and retired Pope Benedict XVI praised the faith and goodness of the ecumenical patriarch.

“Today, we brothers in the faith and hope that does not disappoint, we are deeply united in the desire that Christians of the East and the West can feel part of the one and only Church,” Pope Francis wrote.

The forewords were contributions to the book Bartholomew, Apostle and Visionary by John Chryssavgis, written in honor of the 25th anniversary of the patriarch’s election as head of the Eastern Orthodox Church. It was released Oct. 11.

In the messages, Pope Francis and Benedict both reflected on their meetings with Patriarch Bartholomew and on the things which unite them.

“My first meeting with my beloved brother Bartholomew took place the same day in which I started my papal ministry, when he honored me with his presence in Rome,” Pope Francis recalled.

Patriarch Bartholomew’s presence at the inaugural Mass of Pope Francis on March 19, 2013 was the first time that an ecumenical patriarch had attended the inauguration of a pope since the schism between the Eastern Orthodox and Catholics in 1054.

“I felt I was meeting a man walking in the faith,” Francis continued, “who in his person and in his manner expresses deep human and spiritual experience of the Orthodox tradition. On that occasion we hugged with sincere affection and mutual understanding.”

Pope Francis and Patriarch Bartholomew have met together frequently since Pope Francis’ election, including during the Pope’s visit to a refugee camp on the Greek island of Lesbos April 16. They have also met in Jerusalem, Rome and Constantinople.

These meetings “not only strengthened our spiritual affinity, but above all deepened our shared understanding of the common pastoral responsibility we have in this moment in history, before the urgent challenges that Christians and the entire human family must face today,” Francis said.

The Pope highlighted the “shared commitment” between the two leaders, exemplified in the two joint statements they signed in Jerusalem and Phanar to build a world “more just and more respectful of dignity and fundamental freedoms, the most important of which is the freedom of religion.”

Benedict XVI, who first met Bartholomew in 2002, while still Cardinal Ratzinger, said he also was immediately moved by the personal warmth and openness of the patriarch.

“It did not take a great effort to draw close to one another. His interior openness and his inspired simplicity suffered a welcoming intimacy.”

The meeting took place on a train to Assisi for the international prayer meeting with Pope John Paul II. “For me,” Benedict wrote, “this meeting – along the way – it’s more of an accidental expression of the state of faith.”

Pope Francis also compared unity between the Eastern and Western Churches as a gradual journey.

“The Church of Rome and the Church of Constantinople are joined by a deep and ancient bond that not even centuries of silence and misunderstanding have been able to break,” he said.

They now have “the sacred task to walk back along the path that led to the separation of our churches, healing sources of our mutual estrangement, and to proceed towards the restoration of full communion in faith and love, conscious of our legitimate differences.”

Francis praised the patriarch’s commitment to increasing awareness regarding the “protection of creation,” saying that they were “fundamentally united” in this commitment.

“I found a deep spiritual sensitivity in Patriarch Bartholomew for the painful condition of humanity today, so deeply wounded by unspeakable violence, injustice and discrimination.”

Patriarch Bartholomew has also praised Pope Francis on several occasions, notably for his humility, his care for the environment, and his concern for the plight of Christians in the Middle East.

“This is precisely why the path toward unity is more urgent than ever for those who invoke the name of the great Peacemaker,” Patriarch Bartholomew said Nov. 30, 2014, and prayed that restoration of full communion between the Catholic and Orthodox churches “will not be prolonged.”

He urged greater collaboration, saying that “we no longer have the luxury of isolated action” due to the current persecution of Christians, who are targeted regardless of which church they belong to.

The two leaders “are both greatly troubled by the grave sin against God, which seems to grow by the day, which is the globalization of indifference before the disfigurement of the image of God in man,” Francis said.

“It is our belief that we are called to work for the construction of a new civilization of love and solidarity.”

“We are both aware that the voices of our brothers and sisters, now at the point of extreme anguish, force us to move more quickly on the path of reconciliation and communion between Catholics and Orthodox, so that they can credibly proclaim the Gospel of peace that comes from Christ.”

Mastermind Behind Myanmar Attacks Was ‘Taliban Trained’

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The Myanmar government said Friday that an extremist Islamic terrorist organization whose leader was trained by the Taliban in Pakistan carried out violent weekend attacks on three border guard posts near the border of Bangladesh in restive Rakhine state’s Maungdaw and Rathedaung townships.

More than 40 border guards, attackers, and soldiers have died since the initial raids on the border posts on Sunday, and hundreds of residents have fled to neighboring townships such as Buthidaung to escape subsequent clashes between security forces and armed men.

Army soldiers and border police have conducted security sweeps of villages in Maungdaw, searching the homes of Rohingya Muslims for the attackers and stolen weapons.

Interrogations of two attackers who were caught and another two who were handed over to Myanmar security forces by Bangladesh have revealed that the attacks were carried out by Aqa Mul Mujahidin, an Islamic organization active in Maungdaw, a statement issued by President Htin Kyaw’s office said.

“According to the findings of the interrogations, the attacks in Maungdaw were intended to promote extremist violent ideology among the majority Muslim population in the area,” the statement said. “Using Maungdaw as a foothold, this was an attempt to take over the areas of Maungdaw and [nearby] Buthidaung [township].”

The organization’s leader Havistoohar is a “religious and social extremist’ believed to be about 45 years old from Kyaukpyinseik village in Maungdaw, who previously participated in a six-month Taliban training course in Pakistan, it said.

He pretended to be a refugee and frequently went to a village near Teknef in Bangladesh, where he received funding from organizations and extremist individuals in the Middle East, it said.

“The funding was not provided by particular organizations, but was provided secretly through contacts between individuals,” the statement said.

Havistoohar worked with a Pakistani named Kalis who had also participated in terrorist training at a camp in Pakistan. About five month ago, he had arranged for Kalis to go to Maungdaw to conduct armed training classes for local extremist youth whom Havistoohar had mobilized, the statement said.

Linked to the RSO

Aqa Mul Mujahidin has links to the Rohingya Solidarity Organization (RSO), a small militant group active in the 1980s and the 1990s until the Myanmar government launched a counteroffensive to expel its insurgents from the border area with Bangladesh. The group was believed to be defunct.

“They secretly ran weapons training and self-defense training in remote locations in the hills and forests, as well as in the compound of Abdul Rahman in the Middle Nga Ku Ra village, and in the forest near Kyauk Pyin Seik village,” the statement said. “Following this, plans were drawn up to carry out violent attacks.”

Havistoohar planned for about 400 attackers to simultaneously attack six border guard posts and local police offices, it said.

Meanwhile, Myanmar’s top leaders held a special meeting on Friday in the capital Naypyidaw to discuss the backgrounds of the terrorists, current actions of security forces in the area, and procedures for dealing with the culprits.

President Htin Kyaw, State Counselor Aung San Suu Kyi, military commander-in-chief Senior General Min Aung Hlaing, deputy commander-in-chief Vice Senior General Soe Win, Minister for Home Affairs Lt. Gen. Kyaw Swe, Minister of Defense Lt. Gen. Sein Win, and Minister for Office of the State Counsellor Kyaw Tint Swe also discussed armed conflicts in other areas of the country and management procedures to enhance the capacity and abilities of the Myanmar police force.

Government ministers, representatives of political parties, and officials from nongovernmental organizations also met on Friday in Rakhine’s capital Sittwe to discuss the Maungdaw attacks.

Reported by Min Thein Aung for RFA’s Myanmar Service. Translated by Khet Mar. Written in English by Roseanne Gerin.

Saudi Arabia Tightens Noose On Cybercrime

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By Rashid Hassan

Saudi Arabia is making concerted efforts to tighten the noose on cybercrime with work on novel solutions pertaining to information security.

The Kingdom will host the Global Internet Forum and Exhibition early next year, with the main objective of highlighting the government’s efforts in combating cybercrime, ensuring cybersecurity and facilitating e-governance and its mechanisms concerning Vision 2030.

The forum will be held in mid-March in Jeddah with the participation of experts, authorities and companies specialized in the field of Internet and communications from across the world, said Khalid Naqro, supervisor of the exhibition.

The Cabinet meeting here on Monday approved a number of procedural arrangements relating to security and safety projects, including provisions that government agencies have to verify, when implementing their projects, their compliance with regulations and instructions on security and safety.

The Cabinet was briefed on the Kingdom’s participation in the second committee of the 71st session of the UN General Assembly, during its discussion on “Exploitation of Science and Technology for Development,” and the Kingdom’s confirmation that it will continue its march in the ongoing support for the implementation of the results of the world summit on the information society.

This emanates from its belief in the significant importance of the outputs of the summit and its contribution to achieving the goals of sustainable development.

Moreover, the Cabinet expressed condemnation on all acts of terror, confirming the Kingdom’s rejection of terrorism in all its forms and manifestations.

Earlier, commenting on the Global Internet Forum on Combating Cybercrime, Nagro said the forum, accompanied by an exhibition, aims to empower people from Arab states, including the Kingdom, to present their innovations and allow participants to build strong relations to enhance the Arabic content on the Internet, and to overcome information security challenges in order to move forward toward a knowledge-based economy, as envisioned under Vision 2030.

Letter From Gülen Whistleblower – OpEd

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As part of our investigation into the activities taking place at Fethullah Gülen’s numerous U.S. charter schools, we have come into contact with dozens of whistleblowers willing to come forward and share the facts of their experiences. This one that we have received in the past few days from New York makes for astonishing, shocking reading of the alternate reality that exists at these schools. His/her name has been removed to protect their identity from reprisal.

The message follows:

Well, I will start with this…I am an American-certified teacher in NY who was employed at a Turkish run charter school in XXXXXXXX, NY for X years. The claims of Amsterdam are without a doubt true. Over half of our staff were Turkish men and women with no teaching certification, administrative degrees, or counseling credentials. They all made more money than the American teachers. Within the X years I worked there, over 100 teachers had come and gone. If they were Turkish they were either promoted or moved to another school within the affiliation. If they were American, they were either fired for asking too many questions, or resigned to work in a “real school” to make the money they deserved. We worked in fear of losing our jobs every single year with no protection of a union. We worked on a one-year contract every year regardless of experience or loyalty. If anyone ever spoke up about discrepancies, they were written up promptly, and it was used against them as reason for removal.

I can personally verify that these schools are absolutely used to launder money to the Gulen movement. They target underprivileged, low-income neighborhoods, and exploit the situation. They brainwash parents into believing that they are “saving” their kids by keeping them safe and giving them a first-class education. That’s kind of hard to do when the students can’t even understand half of their teachers and are taking classes with non-qualified adults. The schools also claim to only choose students through a “lottery”, meanwhile making sure that any foreign student gets accepted right away. And if they and their parents don’t speak English, all the better. As long as they get the money for each student from the state. They glorify science competitions and taking trips abroad but only allow select students (mostly foreign) to attend these events. They bully teachers into taking trips to Turkey as well.

Any maintenance that is done to the old buildings that they “rent” never is done with permits or reputable contractors. The “rent” for the buildings is paid to their own Turkish foundations that buy the buildings, so in effect they are paying themselves.

These people rape our society, exploit our youth, steal money, buy politicians, and are seemingly untouchable because if there is ever anything that comes up about the individuals, the conglomerate just ships them home or transfers them to another part of the country to work in another charter school.

Something needs to be done because these people are criminals.

As I said, I was there for X years and couldn’t stand the injustices anymore so I did resign last year and got a new job at a normal public school.

Please get in touch with me if I can help you shed more light on the issue and I also can get my former colleagues to help as well.

(NAME REDACTED)

P.S. Almost half our staff was foreign and most of those were Turkish. I don’t possess hard evidence of donations to Gulen but that was definitely the belief of the American staff and definitely made sense why most of the Turkish teachers/administrators made way more money than American teachers, even though they didn’t have certifications. Also one of my colleagues took a picture in an “off-limits” room for American staff (basically a Muslim prayer room) of literature about Gulen. I was close with custodial staff over the years as well that verified shady construction projects with no permits or hiring of foreign based companies. Almost all of the technology/databases used in the school was also purchased from foreign-based interest companies.

Border Conflicts Among Central Asian States Intensify, Casting Doubt On Cooperation Against External Threats – OpEd

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Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan and Uzbekistan are all involved in festering border disputes with each other, conflicts that so far have been relatively minor in and of themselves, but that threaten to explode and to call into question their ability to cooperate not only generally but against threats from Afghanistan.

Their differences over where the borders should be and how disputes should be resolved thus represent a potentially serious threat to the security of the region and to that of the Russian Federation as well, Aleksandr Shustov, a specialist on the region, argues in today’s issue of “NG-DipKuriyer” (ng.ru/courier/2016-10-17/11_triangle.html).

The most significant border problems in the region, he writes, “are concentrated in the Kyrgyzstan-Uzbekistan-Tajikistan triangle,” the three countries who share the Fergana valley. The topography of that region, the ethnically intermixed nature of the population, and the lack of agreements on the border all make this a potential flashpoint.

The situation is made even worse, Shustov says, by the demographic explosion among the titular nationalities, their rural location, and “intensifying competition for land and water,” all factors that have led the three governments both to dig in their heels and to test the resolve of others by the use of border guards to advance their claims.
At present, there are disputed segments on the borders among all three of these countries. The most problematic border is the one between Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan. The two sides have agreed on the delimitation of only 530 of the 978 kilometers of its length. And 76 percent of the 1378 kilometer-long border between Uzbekistan and Kyrgyzstan has been agreed to.

Shustov points out that “the delimitation of the Tajik-Uzbek border to a significant degree has been completed: Only 105 kilometers of their 1332 kilometer-long border remain in dispute. But there have been no talks about the borders since 2009, and relations between Tashkent and Dushanbe have deteriorated.

There is also the related problems of ethnic enclaves left over from Soviet times. In the Fergana valley, there are eight such enclaves. The majority (four Uzbek and two Tajik) are located in Kyrgyzstan. “The largest Tajik enclave – Vorukh – is part of Tajiksitan’s Sogdian oblast.

“The largest Uzbek enclaves in Kyrgyzstan are Shakhimardan and Sokh, the latter of which with an area of 352 square kilometers and a population of 60,000 is “one of the largest in the world.” Complicating the situation is that 99 percent of the residents of the Uzbek enclave are ethnic Tajiks, Shustov points out. There is also a small (four square kilometers) Kyrgyz enclave in Uzbekistan, whose residents are almost exclusively Kyrgyz by ethnicity.

The countries in the region have formal agreements not to use force along the border, but in fact they have and such use of forces has produced casualties. The Kyrgyz-Tajik border has seen so much many cases of the use of force, Shustov says, that it resembles a local combat zone in many places.

Such disputes affect the ability of these countries to cooperate on other matters and even to deal with the common threat emanating from Afghanistan. They also affect Russia which has very different defense relationships with the three. Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan, for example, are members of the Organization of the Collective Security Treaty while Uzbekistan is not.

But Uzbekistan has a cooperation treaty with Russia dating from 2005, although the change of government in Tashkent may lead some to call that into question. Some in Moscow fear that a major conflict on these borders could spark a massive refugee flow into Russia and even exacerbate ethnic tensions there.

Consequently, Shustov says, what may seem to be some minor clashes have the potential to grow rapidly and thus merit close attention.

Syria: A Conflict Of Egos – OpEd

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The United States has the power to decree the death of nations, wrote Stephen Kinzer in the Boston Globe.

Kinzer’s article was entitled: “The media are misleading the public on Syria.” In his piece, the scholar at a Brown University Institute contested that his country’s media misinformation on Syria is leading to the kind of ignorance, which is enabling the American government to pursue any policy, however imprudent, in the war-torn Arab country. The US government can “decree the death of nations” with “popular support because many Americans — and many journalists — are content with the official story,” he wrote.

Kinzer, in principle makes a strong point. His article, however, was particularly popular among those who see the Syrian government entirely innocent of any culpability in the ongoing war, and that Iran and Russia are at no fault whatsoever; better yet, their intervention in Syria is entirely morally-guided and altruistic. That said, Kinzer’s assertion regarding the US government’s dangerous meddling in Syria’s affairs, renewed Cold War with Russia and ill-defined military mission in that country, is all true.

Neither is the US, nor its allies, following rules of war nor adhering to a particularly noble set of principles aimed at ending that most devastating war, which has killed well over 300,000 people, rendered millions displaced and destroyed the country’s wealth and infrastructure. So what is the truth on Syria?

The only truth that all parties seem to agree upon is that hundreds of thousands are dead and Syria is shattered. But, of course, each points to the other side for culpability of the ongoing genocide. An oddly refreshing, although disturbing “truth” was articulated by Alon Ben-David in the Israeli Jerusalem Post last year.

The title of his article speaks volumes: “ May it never end: The uncomfortable truth about the war in Syria.”

“If Israel’s interest in the war in Syria can be summarized in brief, it would be: That it should never end,” Ben-David wrote.

“No one will say this publicly, but the continuation of the fighting in Syria, as long as there is a recognized authority in Damascus, allows Israel to stay out of the swamp and distance itself from the swarms of mosquitoes that are buzzing in it.” Of course, Israel never truly “stayed out of the swamp,” but that is for a separate discussion. Aside from the egotistical, unsympathetic language, Israel’s “truth,” according to the writer, is predicated on two premises: The need for an official authority in Damascus, and that the war must continue, at least, until the fire burns the whole country down, which is, in fact, the case.

Russia’s supporters, of course, refuse to accept the fact that Moscow is also fighting a turf war and that it is entirely fair to question the legality of Russia’s actions in the context of US-Russian regional and global rivalry while, at the same time, attempting to underscore Moscow’s own self-seeking motives.

Not least, since the invasion of Iraq in 2003, the US has not only scarred, but truly devastated the Middle East — killing, wounding and displacing millions — and has no intention of preserving Syria’s territorial integrity or the human rights of its people. The only country in the region that Washington is truly and fully committed to in terms of security is Israel, which has recently received a generous aid package of $38 billion. Keeping in mind Ben-David’s reasoning, it is no surprise that the US is in no rush to end the war in Syria, if not intentionally prolong it. The American “truth” on Syria is largely centered around demonizing Russia — never about saving lives, nor even — at least not yet — about regime change.

For the US, the war is largely pertinent to American regional interests. So, when Secretary of State John Kerry called recently for a war crime investigation into Russian bombings in Syria, we can be certain that he was not sincere, and his impassioned appeal was tailored to win only political capital.

Despite massive platforms for propaganda, there are still many good journalists who recognize that, no matter what one’s personal opinion is, facts must be checked and that honest reporting and analysis should not be part of the burgeoning propaganda war. Yes, these journalists exist, but they fight against many odds. It is rather sad that years after the war in Syria ends, and the last of the mass graves is dug and covered, many unpleasant truths will be revealed. But would it matter, then?

Only recently, we discovered that the Pentagon had spent over $500 million in manufacturing propaganda war videos on Iraq. The money was largely spent on developing fake Al-Qaeda videos. Unsurprisingly, much of the US media either did not report on the news, or quickly glossed over it, as if the most revealing piece of information of the US invasion of Iraq — which destabilized the Middle East until today — is the least relevant.

The truth on Syria is that, regardless of how the war ends, Syria has been destroyed and its future is bloody and bleak; and that, regardless of the “winners” of the conflict, the Syrian people have already lost.


The Brexit Madness – OpEd

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By Linda S. Heard*

Strange how Britain’s Prime Minister Theresa May voted for Britain to remain in the EU yet has morphed into one of Brexit’s most determined advocates refusing to contemplate a second referendum because the people have spoken, she says.

Even stranger is the revelation that the UK’s eccentric Foreign Secretary Boris Johnson wrote a column in support of staying-in just days before he joined the Leavers, which was never published. He no doubt flip-flopped with an eye on Number Ten; she may have been a closet Brexiteer all along.

Whatever their motivations, together with former Prime Minister David Cameron — who only called a referendum to garner support within his party for his reelection never imagining Britons would vote out — they have damaged their country’s economic health in the short term and perhaps for the foreseeable future.

I have quite a few British friends who aren’t as gung-ho about bidding the European Union (EU) adieu as they once were, primarily because they are feeling the pinch where it hurts — in their pockets. I know many more who voted against and they are hopping mad.

Sterling has lost 18 percent against the dollar and is close to par with the euro even before Article 50 has been triggered, which May says will occur before the end of March. Supermarket prices are rising with shoppers expected to pay 10 percent more for food items. The price of cars is being hiked and petrol is set to rise as much as 5p a liter.

“They never explained the consequences” is the usual bleat of the regretful crowd. Well, actually “they” — the Bank of England, the International Monetary Fund, the World Bank, economists, the CEOs of international corporations — certainly did, but were accused of being deceitful, establishment scaremongers.

Others, who naively thought EU member states would be accommodating, are also having second thoughts. They are not about to make life easy for Britain so as to deter other countries from holding referenda of their own.
From their perspective London can’t have the cake and eat it too; in other words if the government wants preferential terms for access to the single market it will have to accept the free movement of people. But it can’t without enraging the xenophobes within the pro-Brexit camp.

What’s happening now is just the tip of the iceberg. What depths the pound will plunge once Article 50 is invoked cannot be known. There will be major job losses; some experts estimate as many as 75,000 in London alone if a favorable trade deal cannot be secured. The capital’s status as Europe’s financial center is at stake. International banks, major corporations and some airlines are planning to move operations to European capitals.

The other day, I spoke to a British friend, a civil engineer who was a very enthusiastic outer because he was sick of hearing supermarket staff speaking Polish. I asked him whether he would vote the same way if another referendum were held. “That’s hypothetical. I can’t answer that,” was his answer. “In any case, we will survive. We always have. I believe in Great Britain. We got through two wars. We may be poorer but we will be fine.”

His optimism is commendable but with the Scottish government readying another independence referendum following “a three-month listening period” to gauge the temperature of voters, Great Britain will probably be downsized physically as well as economically.

According to the Financial Times, the UK will be liable to pay 20 billion euros just to divorce in terms of “unpaid bills and liabilities” including its share of pensions. Moreover, adviser to the British government Raoul Ruparel estimates that a withdrawal from the customs union would see Britain worse off by 25 billion pounds annually. There’s the argument that the UK would be free to sign trade agreements with the rest of the world; maybe so, but they don’t happen in five minutes. They usually take several years to fine tune.

From my perspective, this entire exercise is madness. If there are advantages I don’t see them. But there is a slight glimmer of hope. The Prime Minister’s authority to proceed with Brexit without an act of Parliament is being challenged in the High Court on the basis that the referendum was just an advisory that is not legally binding. Judges have a heavy weight on their shoulders. Unlike the self-serving politicians, may they bear it with the seriousness it deserves.

*Linda S. Heard is an award-winning British political columnist.

US House Prices Cool Off After Dizzy Ten Year Ride – Analysis

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By Nikhila Natarajan

We’ve seen this movie before.

Next time you crane your neck up as you emerge from the subterranean train tunnels at Grand Central Station into the neon lights of New York City, you just might be looking up at a vacant apartment.

Nearly 5,300 apartments in Manhattan are listed for resale end of September 2016. Buyers are playing a waiting game, sellers want to cash out.

Year on year apartment sales in Manhattan are down 20 percent for September.

This trend is not limited to New York City, though.

A three bedroom single family home in Springfield, New Jersey is up for sale at $700,000 and lying vacant for five months; a three bed, three bath plus basement townhome in a Columbia MD cul de sac in one of America’s best school districts was advertised for $450,000 and sold for $400,000 this summer.

Since the Great Recession officially hit in 2008, house ownership in America has fallen from sixty nine percent to sixty three percent according to latest data.

Although that is still more than six in ten people on average who own a home, it’s being portrayed as a shame by politicians on the right — Trump and his minions.

House ownership is an idea that gets Americans dreamy eyed — a national love affair that runs deep.

Exactly ten years after the first cracks appeared in what would become the great crash of 2008, prices are cooling off in America’s housing markets that were red hot for five years on the trot.

The five-year surge in real estate demand across the West is starting to take its toll in some areas as buyers become more reluctant to purchase a home that would eat up a large chunk of their monthly earnings. With job growth still robust, house hunters are pushing outward from city centres to get more for their money.

Rents are falling too. Just as Uber is making people put off the car-buy decision, lower rents and higher supply of apartments are making more people wait out the home buying decision. But there are exceptions, especially on America’s west coast. Millennials are drawn to cities such as Seattle and San Francisco because of job opportunities and high pay and where limited rental supply is driving up costs.

Potential buyers are getting put off by sticker shock of unrealistic down payments.

In this election year, the closest either Clinton or Trump came to discussing the risk of another collapse is jabs during the debate. Clinton accused Trump of playing a falling market, arguing that he “rooted for the housing collapse.” Trump said, “it’s called business,” and then the talk moved on to Miss Universe, grope tapes and all that had to do with the two candidates and little to do with the 324 million people who will vote or buy houses.

Cheap debt and the decades old packaging of home ownership as a wealth accumulation tool (never mind the debt) in American culture mean that housing crises are a routine blot in America’s economy.

On the face of it, America’s housing market has been taped up, but scholars say the same risks that sparked the giant crash remain.

America’s banks have cleaned up their act, their core capital is now at $1.2 trillion, which does not include funky market instruments but just solid equity. Market intelligence has it that the share of households with mortgage debts greater than the value of their property has dropped.

But the way America does home loan business has not changed. In other countries, banks lend money to home buyers and deal with them bilaterally. In America, every home loan is bundled into a bond, guaranteed by the government and sold to buyers worldwide.

The mechanics are far more complicated, but it’s not far off the mark to say that a New Yorker’s thirty year mortgage may well be a bond held by a Chinese investor living on the other side of the planet.

At least $7 trillion of America’s housing market — the world’s largest asset class — is held exactly like this in the hands of investors worldwide.

On the regulatory side, while banks has tightened processes, the fizz is slowly going out for home sellers. After years of nonstop price spiral, buyers are getting price fatigue.

In the past five years, home values have soared seventy one percent in Denver, sixty six percent in San Francisco and fifty four percent in Austin, Zillow data show. Nationwide, the gain was twenty two percent.

Western cities — especially San Francisco, San Diego, Los Angeles and others like Austin, Texas — which led America out of the Great Recession with a job boom mainly in technology are showing signs of cool off.

The same study says buying a roughly 700 square-foot apartment is out of reach for most ‘highly skilled’ people earning an ‘average’ annual income.

Surplus high end units in ritzy neighbourhoods and slower growth in high income jobs mean that home prices that are at the tippy top like they were in 2006 than they’ve ever been may get no takers for months — pushing prices down.

Almost 200,000 units have come into the rental market in America in the past twelve months and 2016 will set records for construction figures or break them.

Lenders are getting more selective about the projects they fund.

In a line, if you’re putting money into a house in America, bargain hard and rent while you wait it out. In both cases, you’ll be better off than you’ve been in the last five years.

Prices may fall back to earth.

   Latest home sales statistics [Census Bureau data]
  August 2016 new home sales fell 7.6 percent from July to 609,000 units.
  New home sales fell in the Northeast, Midwest and South, but increased in the West.
  The median seasonally adjusted price of new homes sold in August was $285,600, the lowest since September 2014.

Assimilation And The Health Of Immigrants: US Evidence – Analysis

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Upward social mobility is widely sought but often elusive in highly mobile societies like the US. While previous work has focused on intergenerational transmission of income levels and social prosperity among natives and immigrants, this column studies the intergenerational transmission of health. There is substantial persistence in health status for both natives and immigrants. However, as immigrant families remain in the US for more generations, their children’s health tends to resemble more the health of native children and less the health of their mothers.

By Mevlude Akbulut-Yuksel and Adriana Kugler*

The possibility of upward social mobility is one of the core ideas behind the ‘American dream’. However, even in a society that is considered highly mobile like the US, it is well established that socioeconomic status is largely determined by parental income and education. Recent work by Chetty et al. (2014) has found that in spite of improvements in social welfare and efforts to curb discrimination, only 8% of children born into families in the bottom 20th percentile of the income distribution during the 1980s succeeded in reaching the top 20th percentile for their age today. Moreover, research accumulated over decades in developed and developing countries shows that a substantial part of income and education is passed on from parents to children, generating significant persistence in socioeconomic status (Black and Devereux 2011, Solon 1992, Zimmerman 1992).

Previous work on intergenerational transmission of socioeconomic outcomes has so far focused almost exclusively on income and investments in education and cognitive skills. Just as important is the intergenerational mobility in non-cognitive attributes, including individual’s physical and mental health, as these are also likely to provide important insights in understanding high persistence in economic status.

Moreover, it is well documented that recent immigrants in a number of host countries around the world – including the US, Canada and Australia – have better health outcomes than their native counterparts with the same socioeconomic characteristics. This phenomenon is known in the US as the ‘Hispanic paradox’ and more generally as the ‘immigrant epidemiological paradox’ (Baker et al. 2015, Antecol and Bedard 2006). Thus, it is of interest to examine whether the persistence of health outcomes changes as immigrants remain in their receiving country for more generations.

Intergenerational mobility of health among natives and immigrants

Using data from the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth (NLSY), we provide new evidence on intergenerational transmission of health status for natives and immigrants and for different immigrant generations in the US (Akbulut-Yuksel and Kugler 2016). More specifically, we examine the extent of intergenerational transmission in a broad set of health outcomes including weight, height, body mass index (BMI), occurrence of asthma and depression. We address two questions about the intergenerational transmission of health status. First, we examine the extent of the intergenerational transmission of health for natives and immigrants and ask whether these intergenerational correlations differ between natives and immigrants. Second, we investigate whether those who have been in the US for various generations have lower intergenerational persistence in health outcomes compared to more recent immigrants. Related to this point, we ask whether immigrants resemble natives more in terms of health outcomes as they stay in the US for more generations.

To answer these questions, we use a nationally representative dataset, the NLSY, which follows mothers from 1979 through to 2004 and their children who are older than 15 from 1994 through to 2004. The fact that the NLSY follows mothers and children through time enables us to link mothers’ and children’s health outcomes and demographic characteristics, and observe both generations at the same stage of their lives, which is essential for the purpose of our paper.

Figure 1 presents the intergenerational persistence coefficients for the anthropometric measures. We find that 50% of the mother’s weight is transmitted to native children and 70% to immigrant children. Figure 1 further shows that native children attain 40% of their height from their mothers, whereas the corresponding association for children of immigrants is 47%. When we combine weight and height, we find that children of native mothers attain 45% of their mothers’ BMI, while children of immigrant mothers inherit 58% of their mothers’ BMI. Thus, comparing the persistence coefficient between natives and immigrants indicates that the persistence in BMI is significantly greater for immigrants.

Figure 1. Intergenerational persistence in anthropometric measureskuglerfig1_0

Our estimates of intergenerational health persistence are comparable to recent education persistence estimates found by Hertz et al. (2007). Given the well-established causal link between health and labour market success, our findings highlight the importance of parental health capital in transmitting health endowments to their children as well as in understanding the strong persistence in socioeconomic status across generations in the US.

Figure 2 also shows the intergenerational transmission of asthma and depression across generations for natives and immigrants, respectively. We find that the association between mother’s incidence of asthma and a child’s incidence of asthma is approximately 17% for native children and 22% for immigrant children, although these persistence coefficients are not significantly different from each other. By contrast, Figure 2 shows that depression is less pronounced for immigrants. If a native mother reported being depressed in 1992, her children are also on average 8% likely to feel depressed in 2004 compared to children of non-depressed mothers, suggesting intergenerational transmission of mental health across generations. By contrast, there is no evidence of any intergenerational transmission of depression among immigrants.

Figure 2. Intergenerational persistence in asthma and depression statuskuglerfig2_0

Health persistence over various immigrant generations

We are also interested in whether children are affected more by other environmental factors and less by their mothers’ health as they remain in the US for more generations. Indeed, Figure 3 shows that the longer immigrants remain in the US, the smaller the persistence coefficient in health status is and the less their health status is determined by their mothers’. In particular, we find less persistence in weight and BMI for the third-generation immigrant children than for second and first generation immigrant children. In fact, we find that third-generation immigrant children show a tendency to resemble native children more. The tendency towards higher weight and BMI are, however, not necessarily positive since these make immigrant children more likely to be overweight. This is consistent with earlier work that indicates that acculturation and the transition of immigrants towards less healthy diets may impair the health advantages of early immigrants pointed out above (Jasso et al. 2004).

Figure 3. Intergenerational persistence in health outcomes across immigrant generationskuglerfig3

Conclusions

We find evidence that there is substantial persistence in health status for both natives and immigrants. Between 50% and 70% of children’s BMI is inherited from their mother, but immigrant children’s weight and BMI tends to resemble that of their mothers more than native children’s weight and BMI do. By contrast depression is more persistent for native than immigrant children.

Importantly, we find that as immigrants remain in the US for more generations their children’s health tends to resemble their mothers’ health less and less and to instead resemble native children’s health. Unfortunately, since recent immigrant arrivals tend to have healthier habits, this means that as immigrants assimilate they tend to look less healthy as well.

*About the authors:
Mevlude Akbulut-Yuksel
, Associate Professor, Department of Economics, Dalhousie University

Adriana Kugler, Professor, McCourt School of Public Policy, Georgetown University

References:
Akbulut-Yuksel, M, and A Kugler (2016), “Intergenerational Persistence of Health: Do Immigrants Get Healthier as They Remain in the U.S. for More Generations?”, Economics and Human Biology.

Antecol, H, and K Bedard (2006), “Unhealthy Assimilation: Why do Immigrants Converge to American Health Status Levels?” Demography, 43 (2), 337-360.

Baker, E, M Rendall, and M Weden (2015), “Epidemiological Paradox or Immigrant Vulnerability? Obesity among Young Children of Immigrants.” Demography, 52 (4), 1295-1320.

Behrman, J, M Rosenzweig, and P Taubman (1994), “Endowments and the Allocation of Schooling in the Family and in the Marriage Market: The Twins Experiment”, Journal of Political Economy, 6 (102), 1131-74.

Black, S, P Devereux, and K G Salvanes (2007), “From the Cradle to the Labor Market? The Effect of Birth Weight on Adult Outcomes”, Quarterly Journal of Economics, 122 (1), 409-439.

Borjas, G J (1992), “Ethnic Capital and Intergenerational Mobility”, Quarterly Journal of Economics, 107 (1), 123-150.

Chetty, R, N Hendren, P Kline, and E Saez (2014), “Where is the land of Opportunity? The Geography of Intergenerational Mobility in the United States”, Quarterly Journal of Economics, 129 (4), 1553-1623.

Hertz, T, T Jayasundera, P Piraino, S Selcuk, N Smith, and A Verashchagina (2007), “The Inheritance of Educational Inequality: International Comparisons and Fifty-year Trends”, The B E Journal of Economic Analysis and Policy, 7 (2), 1935-1682.

Jasso, G, D Massey, M Rosenzweig, and J Smith (2004), “Immigrant Health, Selectivity and Acculturation,” in N B Anderson, R A Bulatao, and B Cohen (eds.), Critical Perspectives on Racial and Ethnic Differences in Health in Late Life, Washington, DC: National Academy Press, 227-266.

Solon, G R (1992), “Intergenerational Income Mobility in the United States”, American Economic Review, 82 (3), 393-408.

Zimmerman, D J (1992), “Regression toward Mediocrity in Economic Stature”, American Economic Review, 82 (3), 409-429.

Albania PM Edi Rama Accused Of ‘Interfering’ With Kosovo

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By Fatjona Mejdini and Dia Morina

After Kosovo became the main topic of a recent debate between Albania’s Prime Minister Edi Rama and Serbian Prime Minister Aleksandar Vucic, the general public, diplomats and analysts in both Kosovo and Albania have started a heated debate over the role that Tirana should play in the Belgrade-Pristina dialogue and in Kosovo’s affairs.

Naim Ramizi, 34, a former student of Kosovo Foreign Minister Enver Hoxhaj in the faculty of Philosophy in Pristina, told BIRN that “no other state, neither the US nor the EU, has right to speak before Albania for Kosovo.”

“We know that the last war that brought freedom to Kosovo had its roots in Albania,” he said.

“We have to appreciate the great work that the Albanian Foreign Ministry has done for the recognition of Kosovo and also for representing us with dignity in international forums where it [Kosovo] has no right to participate … Telling Albania not to speak about Kosovo, is the same as telling a mother not to take care of her child,” he added.

Fitore Hoxha, 27, an architect in Pristina, told BIRN that the tensions between two countries started at the time when Kosovo created its own football team.

“The tension created [between Kosovo and Albania] is unreasonable. In the diplomatic context, Albania does not need Kosovo, but we do have a need for Albania’s help,” she said.

On the other hand, Ilir Bulku, a businessman in Tirana, told BIRN that Rama’s comments in Belgrade on Kosovo’s economic issues were overblown.

“Rama has to understand that Kosovo is another state and cannot interfere in their economic problems with another state [Serbia]. Imagine if [Kosovo PM] Isa Mustafa did the same – how would we feel?” he wondered.

During the debate on October 13 at the Belgrade Security Forum, Rama reiterated his belief that Serbia needs to recognise Kosovo as an independent state, which he said would open to door for closer collaboration in the region.

In his speech at the forum, Rama added remarks on the economic disputes between Kosovo and Serbia, especially over the disputed Trepca mining complex in northern Kosovo, which Serbia lays claim to.

“Trepca is a mine in Kosovo’s territory, so what you are going to do, transport it to Belgrade?” he asked. “In Kosovo, they have to understand that Trepca is in Kosovo’s territory and that it belong to Kosovars, Albanian and Serb,” Rama said.

He also criticised arrests of Kosovo Albanians who entered Serbia, presumably referring to the recent arrest in Serbia of the Kosovo Police director in Mitrovica, Nehat Thaci, although without naming him.

While some in Kosovo questioned Rama’s right and competence to discuss Kosovo so freely with his Serbian counterpart, a statement by Kosovo Foreign Minister Enver Hoxhaj fuelled the debate even further.

On October 14, speaking to TVArt, an Albanian-language television station in Macedonia, the minister said Albania should not interfere with the Kosovo-Serbia normalization process.

“In the normalization of this relationship, only Kosovo is a political player and I believe that Albania is politically clear about this and will be more so in future,” he said.

“Kosovo is an independent state and Albania is not a global actor as the US and EU are, while the latter two have instruments that can impact [on the dialogue],” Hoxhaj continued.

While some analysts in Kosovo and Albania accused Rama of exceeding his right to speak out on behalf Kosovo, and even of being paternalistic, the Albanian ambassador of Kosovo, Qemal Minxhozi, suggested that this was unfair.

In an interview for a newspaper in Kosovo, published on October 17, Minxhozi advised Albanians on both sides of the border not to let an non-existing issue get out of hand.

“Prime Minister Rama did not speak in the name of Kosovo but in the interest of Kosovo,” he said.

“Kosovo has its own institutions and is an independent democratic state like Albania. But this does not mean that Rama cannot speak for the interests of Kosovo, of Albania, and of all the region,” Minxhozi said.

Mero Baze, director of TemA website, told BIRN that Albanian Prime Ministers feel they have a right to speak out on issues that concern all Albanians in the region.

“The preamble to the Albanian constitution emphasises the country’s role in the prosperity of the entire nation, so Rama has a right to care about issues that concern Albanians in Kosovo too,” he said.

Baze said the debate on Rama’s alleged interference in Kosovo was artificial and was being whipped up for political gain.

“The debate is being pushed by Rama’s political opponents in Tirana, fueled by the fear of politicians in Kosovo that Rama is stealing their role in the relationships with Serbia,” he said.

The Right To Arms And American Philosophy Of Freedom – Analyss

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By Nelson Lund, Ph.D.*

The right to keep and bear arms is a vital element of the liberal order that our Founders handed down to us. They understood that those who hold political power will almost always strive to reduce the freedom of those they rule and that many of the ruled will always be tempted to trade their liberty for empty promises of security. The causes of these political phenomena are sown in the nature of man.

The U.S. Constitution, including the Second Amendment, is a device designed to frustrate the domineering tendencies of the politically ambitious. The Second Amendment also plays an important role in fostering the kind of civic virtue that resists the cowardly urge to trade liberty for an illusion of safety. Armed citizens take responsibility for their own security, thereby exhibiting and cultivating the self-reliance and vigorous spirit that are ultimately indispensable for genuine self-government.

While much has changed since the 18th century, for better and for worse, human nature has not changed. The fundamental principles of our regime and the understanding of human nature on which those principles are based can still be grasped today. Once grasped, they can be defended. Such a defense, however, demands an appreciation of the right to arms that goes beyond the legalistic and narrowly political considerations that drive contemporary gun-control debates.

Regrettably, too many American opinion leaders, forgetting or rejecting the reasons that justify this right, have been extremely uncomfortable with the Second Amendment. The progressive left, for example, has largely been united in promoting restrictions on civilian access to firearms. Lawyers as well, who Tocqueville famously thought could serve America as a kind of democratic aristocracy,[1] have largely been hostile to gun rights. Until 2008, federal judges—our most elite corps of attorneys—had never once sustained a Second Amendment challenge to a government regulation; state courts, for their part, had generally upheld gun regulations under legal tests that practically gave legislatures a blank check;[2] and the organized bar has lobbied for decades in favor of more restrictive controls on firearms.[3]

Conservative intellectuals have offered little resistance to conventional elite opinion. Two prominent and able pundits, for example, have attacked the Constitution itself. Appalled by what he calls toleration of the carnage resulting from the uncontrolled private ownership of guns, George Will wants to see the “embarrassing” Second Amendment repealed:

The Bill of Rights should be modified only with extreme reluctance, but America has an extreme crisis of gunfire…. Gun control advocates who want to square their policy preferences with the Constitution should squarely face the need to deconstitutionalize the subject by repealing the embarrassing amendment.[4]

Similarly, Charles Krauthammer laments that “[u]nless you are prepared to confiscate all existing firearms, disarm the citizenry and repeal the Second Amendment, it’s almost impossible to craft a law that will be effective.”[5] Which is exactly what he thinks should be done: “Ultimately, a civilized society must disarm its citizenry if it is to have a modicum of domestic tranquility of the kind enjoyed in sister democracies like Canada and Britain.”[6] For that reason, he supports ineffective gun regulations because they will “desensitize the public to the regulation of weapons in preparation for their ultimate confiscation.”[7]

The Second Amendment will not be repealed through a constitutional amendment any time soon. Most of the credit for preserving the liberty to keep and bear arms belongs to the obstinate resistance of ordinary people who have remained defiantly stubborn in the face of elites—progressive and conservative alike—who fear and distrust an armed citizenry. The National Rifle Association is probably the largest genuinely grassroots organization in the nation, and its members vote their beliefs.

Despite persistent elite enthusiasm for disarmament schemes, both the law and public policy have moved in the opposite direction during recent decades. Two developments stand out.

  • In the 1980s, a tiny group of lawyers began to publish scholarly analyses debunking the dismissive interpretation of the Second Amendment that dominated courts in the 20th century. Notably, almost none of this pioneering scholarship was carried out by professional academics in the law schools.[8]
  • In 1987, Florida became the first jurisdiction with large urban population centers to enact a statute permitting almost all law-abiding adults to obtain a concealed-carry license. Notwithstanding near-hysterical prophecies from many police chiefs and other putative experts, violent crime went down instead of up, and license holders almost never misused their weapons.[9] Florida’s successful experiment soon spread to other states, and social scientists have yet to find evidence of adverse effects on public safety.[10] It is now harder than it once was to stampede legislatures into enacting feel-good gun-control measures that do nothing to reduce crime.

Progressive elites have not surrendered in the face of observable facts and reasoned analysis, as we can see from their reflexive demands for new gun regulations in response to almost every well-publicized shooting. Although the right to arms has not been under much political pressure recently, that could change, especially as an increasingly white-collar population loses touch with our cultural traditions of hunting and self-reliance. The vagaries of partisan elections could also restore the Democratic Party to the dominance it once enjoyed, and gun control is an important agenda item for the leadership of that party.

With or without such political shifts, the legal landscape could change dramatically and perhaps very quickly. Two recent U.S. Supreme Court decisions (discussed below) are at best a small step toward a jurisprudence that could durably protect the right to arms against hostile political spasms. Progress toward a settled body of case law protecting this constitutional right could easily be arrested and quite possibly reversed with just one new appointment to the Court.

Many Americans, and not just those on the left, misunderstand the liberal principles on which the right to keep and bear arms rests. As we have seen, even well-educated political conservatives can vigorously deny the value of the Second Amendment, and the silence of many other conservative intellectuals suggests a widespread ignorance about its continuing importance. Merely acknowledging that this right is part of America’s tradition will not keep the tradition alive. Scholarship proving that a robust right to arms is enshrined in the original meaning of the Constitution will not stop the courts from interpreting the Second Amendment into oblivion. Showing that restricting the rights of law-abiding citizens has yet to contribute to public safety will not prevent politicians from claiming that new and even more restrictive laws are all we need.

People who do not understand why they should defend the right to arms are not likely to be its most effective defenders. For too long, conservative intellectuals have given insufficient attention to a principled defense of this right. Alexis de Tocqueville, a favorite among conservative thinkers, warned against democracy’s drift toward new and softer forms of despotism. The left wants us to believe that resistance is futile, and conservatives need to overcome the effete sensibility that abhors “America’s frontier infatuation with guns.”[11] The Founders of our republic did not think an armed citizenry was the product of a childish infatuation or a response to life on the frontier, and the philosophers who guided them can help us to see why the right to arms continues to deserve its place in our fundamental law.

The Right to Arms in the Constitution

In order to understand the meaning and value of the right to keep and bear arms, it is neither necessary nor sufficient to address the wide range of legal questions raised by the text of the Second Amendment. Nonetheless, it is important to have a basic understanding of its history and the current state of the law.

The fundamental importance of the right to arms was not an American discovery. Like our own charter of individual liberties, the English Bill of Rights protected the right to keep and bear arms.[12] William Blackstone (1723–1780), the leading authority on English law for Americans of the Founding generation, called it one of the indispensable auxiliary rights “which serve principally as barriers to protect and maintain inviolate the three great and primary rights, of personal security, personal liberty, and private property.”[13] This right, he said, is rooted in “the natural right of resistance and self-preservation, when the sanctions of society and laws are found insufficient to restrain the violence of oppression.”[14] Blackstone made no distinction between the violence of oppression that results from government’s failure to control common criminals and the oppression that government itself may undertake.

The Constitution proposed by the Philadelphia Convention contained no express protection of the right to arms or of many other fundamental rights. The new government was to be one of limited and enumerated powers, and most of the Framers thought there was no need to expressly protect rights that the federal government would not be empowered to infringe.

With respect to arms, however, there was a special problem. The federal government was given almost plenary authority to create a standing army (consisting of full-time paid troops) and to regulate and commandeer the state-based militias (which comprised most able-bodied men). Anti-Federalists strongly objected to this massive transfer of power from the state governments, which threatened to deprive the people of their principal defense against federal usurpation. Federalists responded that fears of federal oppression were overblown, in part because the American people were already armed and would be almost impossible to subdue through military force.[15]

Implicit in the debate between Federalists and Anti-Federalists were two shared assumptions: All agreed that the proposed Constitution would give the new federal government almost total legal authority over the army and militia, and nobody argued that the federal government should have any authority to disarm the citizenry. Federalists and Anti-Federalists disagreed only about whether the existing armed populace could adequately deter federal oppression.

The Second Amendment conceded nothing to the Anti-Federalist desire to sharply curtail the military power of the federal government, which would have required substantial changes in the original Constitution. Instead, it merely aimed to prevent the new government from disarming American citizens through its power to regulate the militia. Congress might have done so, for example, by ordering that all weapons be stored in federal armories until they were issued for use in performing military or militia duties.[16]

Unlike many people in our time, the Founding generation would not have been puzzled by the text of the Second Amendment. It protects a “right of the people”: i.e., a right of the individuals who are the people.[17] It was not meant to protect a right of state governments to control their militias; that right had already been relinquished to the federal government. A “well regulated Militia” is, among other things, one that is not inappropriately regulated. A federal regulation disarming American citizens would have been considered every bit as inappropriate as one abridging the freedom of speech or prohibiting the free exercise of religion. The Second Amendment forbids the inappropriate regulation of weapons, just as the First Amendment forbids inappropriate restrictions on speech and religion.

In the decades after our Founding, the Supreme Court of the United States held that the Bill of Rights constrains only the federal government, not the states,[18] and Congress refrained from enacting laws that might have violated the Second Amendment. State governments did adopt some regulations, which met with mixed responses from state courts applying their state constitutions.[19]

During Reconstruction, Congress focused its attention on one particularly obnoxious practice: the attempted disarmament of freedmen in states that had belonged to the Confederacy. After the passage of several federal statutes aimed at addressing this and other forms of racial discrimination, the nation adopted the Fourteenth Amendment. One of its clauses provides: “No State shall make or enforce any law which shall abridge the privileges or immunities of citizens of the United States.” There is considerable historical evidence, though it is not absolutely conclusive, that the Privileges or Immunities Clause was meant to protect the individual liberties in the Bill of Rights from infringements by state and local governments. The Supreme Court, however, rejected this interpretation in an early case.[20]

During the 20th century, both state and federal governments became more aggressive in their regulation of weapons, just as they did in regulating many other areas of life. Congress, for example, enacted a series of statutes imposing onerous taxes, regulations, and supply restrictions on certain disfavored weapons, including short-barreled shotguns, ordinary rifles with a harmless “military” appearance, and large-capacity magazines. Congress also imposed lifetime firearms disabilities on felons (including people convicted of nonviolent crimes like tax evasion and insider trading) and created nominally gun-free zones around schools and on large parcels of federally controlled property, including the national parks. States and localities went farther. Some, for example, imposed complete bans on the possession of handguns, and many made it virtually impossible for law-abiding citizens to carry a gun for self-protection.

During this period, the federal courts rejected every Second Amendment challenge brought before them. State laws remained immune under the Supreme Court’s interpretation of the Constitution, notwithstanding the fact that most other provisions of the Bill of Rights were applied to the states under the Fourteenth Amendment’s Due Process Clause.[21] State courts, for their part, were generally very reluctant to invalidate weapons regulations under their state constitutions.[22]

In 2008, the Supreme Court changed direction in District of Columbia v. Heller,[23] which invalidated a federal law that forbade nearly all civilians to possess a handgun in the nation’s capital.[24] A 5–4 majority ruled that the language and history of the Second Amendment shows that it protects a private right of individuals to have arms for their own defense, not a right of the states to maintain a militia.[25]

Two years later, in McDonald v. City of Chicago,[26] the Court struck down a similar handgun ban at the state level, again by a 5–4 vote. Four justices relied on judicial precedents under the Fourteenth Amendment’s Due Process Clause, while Justice Clarence Thomas rejected those precedents in favor of reliance on the Privileges or Immunities Clause. All five members of the majority concluded that the Fourteenth Amendment protects the same individual right that is protected from federal infringement by the Second Amendment.[27]

These decisions are significant but very narrow, for the Court technically ruled only that government may not ban the possession of handguns by civilians in their homes. Heller also proposed a nonexclusive list of “presumptively lawful” regulations, including bans on the possession of firearms by felons and the mentally ill, bans on carrying firearms in “sensitive places” such as schools and government buildings, laws restricting the commercial sale of arms, bans on the concealed carry of firearms, and bans on weapons “not typically possessed by law-abiding citizens for lawful purposes.”[28] Many issues remain open, including questions about the right to bear arms for self-protection outside one’s home, where the vast majority of violent crimes occur.

The 5–4 decisions in Heller and McDonald could prove to be little more than abortive attempts to begin developing a robust Second Amendment jurisprudence. The Supreme Court has disinterred the Second Amendment, but it has yet to give it meaningful life.

Philosophic Basis of the Right to Keep and Bear Arms

The Second Amendment was not just a sop to Anti-Federalists who worried about an excessively powerful federal military establishment. Nor is it a dangerous residuum from a bygone era in which successful armed resistance to an oppressive government was a living memory. Today, as in the time of Blackstone and our Founding generation, it is an indispensable aid to securing the fundamental rights of personal security, personal liberty, and private property. If we relinquish it, we will take a significant step away from the Founding principles of our nation. When we permit the courts to erode it, we take a significant step away from genuine self-government. When conservative intellectuals disparage it, they facilitate the left’s crusade against republican virtue and limited government.

A closer look at the principles summarized in the Declaration of Independence will help to clarify the philosophic basis of both our right to keep and bear arms and our corresponding duty to defend it:

We hold these Truths to be self-evident, that all Men are created equal, that they are endowed by their Creator with certain unalienable Rights, that among these are Life, Liberty, and the Pursuit of Happiness.—That to secure these Rights, Governments are instituted among Men, deriving their just Powers from the Consent of the Governed,—That whenever any Form of Government becomes destructive of these Ends, it is the Right of the People to alter or abolish it, and to institute new Government, laying its Foundation on such Principles, and organizing its Powers in such Form, as to them shall seem most likely to effect their Safety and Happiness.[29]

The founding principle of liberal political theory is the unalienable right to life—or, more precisely, the right of self-preservation. It is derived directly from nature and universally acknowledged even by those who contend that political duties arise solely from convention or agreement. In order to understand the logic that leads to the conclusions set forth in the Declaration, it is helpful to begin with Thomas Hobbes (1588–1679), who articulated the primacy of this right with unsurpassed audacity:

The Right of Nature, which Writers commonly call Jus Naturale, is the Liberty each man hath, to use his own power, as he will himselfe, for the preservation of his own Nature; that is to say, of his own Life; and consequently, of doing any thing, which in his own Judgement, and Reason, hee shall conceive to be the aptest means thereunto.[30]

This singular natural right implies for Hobbes a license in the state of nature to do anything whatever that might contribute to one’s own preservation:

For every man is desirous of what is good for him, and shuns what is evil, but chiefly the chiefest of natural evils, which is death; and this he doth by a certain impulsion of nature, no less than that whereby a stone moves downward. It is therefore neither absurd nor reprehensible, neither against the dictates of true reason, for a man to use all his endeavours to preserve and defend his body and the members thereof from death and sorrows. But that which is not contrary to right reason, that all men account to be done justly, and with right. Neither by the word right is anything else signified, than that liberty which every man hath to make use of his natural faculties according to right reason. Therefore the first foundation of natural right is this, that every man as much as in him lies endeavour to protect his life and members.[31]

In a world of scarce resources, where everyone has the same natural right arising from the same natural aversion to death and sorrows, Hobbes saw a smoldering war of all against all as the necessary consequence. Reason therefore dictates to everyone an agreement to erect an absolute sovereign (consisting of one or more individuals) whose own interest will be to maintain peace. Except for the right to resist an imminent threat to one’s life,[32] natural liberty must be completely relinquished in exchange for the protection offered by the peace that the sovereign enforces. Any sovereign who prevents a lapse into the state of nature is preferable to such anarchy. It follows, accordingly, that rational self-interested obedience is owed to one’s sovereign, however that ruler came to power and however arbitrarily he or they may rule.

In some important ways, this Hobbesian view of politics and government has been revived by the modern progressive left. Although progressives do not advocate the abolition of periodic elections or all of the constitutional formalities that protect individual rights, they do promote a never-ending expansion of government control of the lives of the citizenry, including disarmament as a tool for keeping the peace.[33] Notwithstanding a gauzy solicitude for certain fashionable “lifestyle freedoms” and for certain favored minority groups, the left ultimately refuses to recognize any principled limits on government power. When progressives get control of the levers of power—whether through the presidency, the legislature, or the courts—they consistently display their contempt for limits on government’s power to coerce adherence to whatever the left’s agenda of the moment may be. The war on the right to keep and bear arms is only one example of a despotic spirit that has countless other manifestations.

John Locke (1632–1704), who is the true father of our Declaration of Independence, rejected the Leviathan state. He accepted Hobbes’s essential claim that the preeminent human desire to avoid death and sorrows drives us to leave the state of nature by agreeing to the institution of political rule. At the same time, however, he identified a crucial error in the logic of Hobbes’s argument. Because Hobbes plausibly thought that self-interest would prompt the sovereign to promote peaceable relations among its subjects, he concluded that it is always safer to trust the sovereign with absolute power than to risk a descent into anarchy or civil war. Locke acknowledged that sovereigns would endeavor to prevent their subjects from killing one another, as farmers do with their livestock, but he rejected the conclusion drawn by Hobbes and other defenders of absolute sovereignty:

They are ready to tell you that it deserves death only to ask after safety. Betwixt subject and subject, they will grant, there must be measures, laws, and judges, for their mutual peace and security; but as for the ruler, he ought to be absolute and is above all such circumstances; because he has more power to do hurt and wrong, it is right when he does it. To ask how you may be guarded from harm or injury on that side where the strongest hand is to do it, is presently the voice of faction and rebellion, as if when men, quitting the state of nature, entered into society, they agreed that all of them but one should be under the restraint of laws, but that he should still retain all the liberty of the state of nature, increased with power and made licentious by impunity. This is to think that men are so foolish that they take care to avoid what mischiefs may be done them by polecats or foxes, but are content, nay, think it safety, to be devoured by lions.[34]

Locke lays the theoretical basis for rejecting Hobbes’s political conclusions by denying that the exercise of self-interested reason necessarily leads to a war of all against all. On the contrary, he maintains, reason dictates natural laws that include a duty to refrain from harming others in their life, health, liberty, or possessions.[35] This duty, in turn, implies a right in everyone to enforce the natural law by punishing those who offend against it.[36]

This is not merely an abstract feature of Locke’s political argument. Adam Smith (1723–1790), who rejected Locke’s social contract theory,[37] derived the same claim about natural right and natural duty from his analysis of human psychology:

Among equals each individual is naturally, and antecedent to the institution of civil government, regarded as having a right both to defend himself against injuries, and to exact a certain degree of punishment for those which have been done to him. Every generous spectator not only approves of his conduct when he does this, but enters so far into his sentiments as often to be willing to assist him. When one man attacks, or robs, or attempts to murder another, all the neighbors take the alarm, and think that they do right when they run, either to revenge the person who has been injured, or to defend him who is in danger of being so.[38]

This fundamental agreement between Locke and Smith illustrates why it is a specific understanding of natural right and natural duty, not social contract theories like those in Hobbes and Locke, that provides the central and all too easily forgotten foundation of political liberalism. This understanding of correlative rights and duties is implicitly echoed in the structure of the Second Amendment, which is the constitutional provision that most directly reflects the most fundamental element of our liberal political order.

The key disagreement between Smith, Locke, and the American Founders on one hand and Hobbes and the modern progressive left on the other lies in their views about the alienability of the right to enforce the most fundamental natural duties. In supporting what the Declaration of Independence calls the “unalienable” rights to life, liberty, and the pursuit of happiness, Locke reasoned that:

He, that, in the state of nature, would take away the freedom that belongs to anyone in that state must necessarily be supposed to have a design to take away everything else, that freedom being the foundation of all the rest; as he that, in a state of society, would take away the freedom belonging to those of that society or commonwealth must be supposed to design to take away from them everything else, and so be looked on as in a state of war….

Thus a thief, whom I cannot harm but by appeal to the [civil] law for having stolen all that I am worth, I may kill when he sets on me to rob me but of my horse or coat; because the law, which was made for my preservation, where it cannot interpose to secure my life from present force, which, if lost, is capable of no reparation, permits me my own defense and the right of war, a liberty to kill the aggressor, because the aggressor allows not time to appeal to our common judge, nor the decision of the law, for remedy in a case where the mischief may be irreparable.[39]

For Locke, the same reasoning that establishes the right to kill a robber establishes the right to overthrow a predatory ruler. Prudence should no doubt regulate the exercise of both rights, as the Declaration of Independence acknowledges with respect to revolution,[40] but they have exactly the same source. This is the point that Blackstone made when he traced the right to arms to “the natural right of resistance and self-preservation, when the sanctions of society and laws are found insufficient to restrain the violence of oppression.”[41] In Locke, as in Blackstone, the violence of oppression may come either from the government or from criminals whom the government fails to deter. The same fundamental right of self-preservation authorizes the use of lethal force against both.

Consistently with Locke and Blackstone, the Second Amendment links the right of self-defense against criminals with the right of self-defense against the threat of tyranny. The “right of the people to keep and bear Arms” is one that can be exercised by an individual to protect his own life and liberty or collectively to resist the imposition of despotism. In an echo of Locke’s insistence that there are natural duties along with natural rights, the Second Amendment also refers to the well-regulated militia as an institution necessary to the security of a free state.[42] Unlike the armies of the time, which were made up of paid volunteers, the militia tradition entailed a legal duty of able-bodied men to undergo unpaid militia training and to fight when called upon to do so.

The American militia fell into desuetude at an early date, largely because of a recognition that effective military readiness requires full-time attention to the arts of war.[43] Today, moreover, state-based militia organizations would be much less capable of providing a credible counterweight to federal military power than they were in the 18th century.

Nevertheless, the spirit that underlay traditional militia institutions, which imposed a duty of armed defense in behalf of one’s community, has not been completely effaced from our law. A federal statute, for example, continues to include almost all able-bodied men from 17 to 45 years of age in the militia.[44] As recently as World War II, members of this “unorganized militia” brought their own weapons when called for home defense in the aftermath of Pearl Harbor.[45] Similarly, modern conscription laws continue to reflect the assumption that those who are capable of fighting in defense of our society have a duty to do so.

For several decades, we have relied entirely on volunteers to meet the nation’s military needs, and our professional forces have proved to be more effective than the conscripts who served in Vietnam. Something may have been lost from the social fabric when military service became an option rather than a duty, but the unnecessary use of conscription is hard to square with liberal principles or with our traditions, as Tocqueville recognized.[46] Unless there are momentous and unforeseeable changes in our society, America neither will nor should attempt to restore the 18th century institution of the organized militia or the peacetime service obligations imposed during the Cold War.

Steps could be taken, however, to reinvigorate the militia spirit by encouraging every citizen to become at least minimally proficient in the use of small arms, perhaps as a condition of receiving a high school diploma.[47] The purpose of doing so would not be to prepare everyone for military service, but to foster the sense of self-reliance and personal efficacy that genuinely free citizens require. Such training might also have significant practical benefits, especially in our new age of terrorism. The desirability of imposing such a requirement may be open to debate as a policy matter, but it would be very much in the spirit of our nation’s founding principles.

The Founders on Self-Defense

The Founding period saw almost no discussion of what we call gun control today. Before the Revolutionary War, the most prominent controversy arose from efforts to disarm the citizens of Boston during the run-up to Lexington and Concord. This was obviously not crime control in the usual sense, but an effort at political pacification in response to a political conflict. Even during this tumultuous period, however, we can see evidence of the principles governing ordinary civil life. One vivid example occurred after the so-called Boston Massacre in 1770.

When an agitated crowd of colonists assaulted a group of British soldiers with death threats, hand-thrown missiles, clubs, and a sword, the soldiers fired their weapons, killing four and wounding six. At the soldiers’ trial for unlawful homicide, the only issue was whether the citizens or the soldiers were the aggressors.

One of the prosecutors emphasized that Bostonians had every right to arm themselves with lethal weapons as a defense against soldiers who had a record of abusive treatment. As counsel for the defendants, John Adams emphasized the soldiers’ own right of self-defense, “the primary Canon of the Law of Nature,” but he also acknowledged that the colonists had the right to arm themselves. Significantly, the court’s charge to the jury pointed out a duty that would also have justified citizens in arming themselves that night: “It is the duty of all persons (except women, decrepit persons, and infants under fifteen) to aid and assist the peace officers to suppress riots & c. when called upon to do it. They may take with them such weapons as are necessary to enable them effectually to do it.”[48]

This duty was not a mere abstraction. American colonies had laws requiring citizens to possess firearms and to carry them in certain circumstances.[49] Restrictions on the right to arms during the Founding period were limited to a few laws directed against distrusted political minorities like blacks, Indians, and British loyalists, and an occasional safety regulation dealing with such matters as the storage of gunpowder and the discharge of firearms in crowded places.[50]

Throughout this period, restrictions on guns were understood as a tool of political control. Hence the great debates about federal versus state authority over the militia, the dangers of standing armies, and the usefulness of private arms in deterring tyranny. The depth of thinking about this issue was reflected in some ways that may seem surprising today.

In 1790, for example, the Washington Administration sent Congress a proposal for regulating the militia that made participation mandatory and provided for the government to arm everyone who was enrolled. The bill went nowhere. Instead, the House took up a different bill that required each male citizen to arm himself and participate in the militia. During the debate, an amendment was offered that would have required the federal government to provide arms to those who could not afford to buy their own. The amendment was defeated. One Congressman was “against giving the general government a power of disarming part of the militia, by ordering the arms and accoutrements by them lent, to be returned.”[51] Another interpreted the Constitution to forbid the United States to furnish arms, “which would be improper, as they would then have the power of disarming the militia.”[52]

In the course of the debate, Roger Sherman of Connecticut—a signer of the Declaration of Independence and delegate to the Federal Convention of 1787—drew the same tight link between individual and collective self-defense that Locke had emphasized:

[Sherman] conceived it to be the privilege of every citizen, and one of his most essential rights, to bear arms, and to resist every attack upon his liberty or property, by whomsoever made. The particular states, like private citizens, have a right to be armed, and to defend, by force of arms, their rights, when invaded.[53]

Even when this connection was not expressly articulated, Founding-era discussions consistently rooted the right to collective self-defense against political oppression in the more fundamental right of individual self-defense. Debates over the organization of armies and the militia treated the underlying right of individuals to possess arms as an unquestioned truth. Statesmen might reasonably have different views about whether it was more practical to require militiamen to arm themselves or to have the government provide them with weapons, but no one would have proposed giving any government a monopoly on the control of firearms.

The paucity of gun-control regulations during this period is one reflection of the utterly noncontroversial nature of the individual right to keep and bear arms, but it is not the only one. Nine early state constitutions, for example, expressly protected the right of citizens to bear arms in defense of both themselves and the state.[54] Justice James Wilson interpreted Pennsylvania’s constitutional guarantee of the right to bear arms as a recognition of “the great natural law of self preservation,” which affirmatively enjoins homicide when necessary in defense of one’s person or house.[55] Similarly, James Monroe included the right to keep and bear arms in a list of “human rights” that he wished to see protected in the federal Constitution.[56]

The examples could be multiplied, but perhaps the most telling evidence is this: There is no record from the Founding era of anyone’s denying that the Second Amendment protected an individual right or claiming that Second Amendment rights belonged only to state governments or their militia organizations. Political debates about the best way to organize and distribute military power while preserving political liberty took place against a background assumption that the individual right to self-defense was simply unquestionable. The individual’s right to have arms for this purpose was accordingly also unquestioned. When the Supreme Court finally acknowledged that the inherent right of self-defense is central to the Second Amendment,[57] it was merely confirming what every American once understood. Millions still do, even if it is lost on a lot of intellectuals today.

Gun Control and Political Psychology

Modern proponents of civilian disarmament never tire of reminding us that society has changed since the 18th century. One significant development has been the creation of professional police forces. Unlike the professional military that has replaced the traditional militia, however, these bureaucratic organizations have proved unable to secure public safety. Nor should we wish for the kind of ubiquitous and intrusive police presence that could effectively eliminate violent crime. Relying on a professional military for national defense is both prudent and consistent with liberal principles, but complete reliance on the police for crime control is neither.

Although gun control was not employed to fight crime during our early history, the Founders were well aware of its use elsewhere. In Great Britain, for example, disarmament of commoners had frequently been justified as a means of enforcing the game laws, which served to protect wealthy aristocrats who enjoyed sport hunting from poachers who were trying to feed their families. Americans rejected such policies, and Blackstone himself had noted that “prevention of popular insurrections and resistance to the government, by disarming the bulk of the people…is a reason oftener meant than avowed.”[58] Then, as now, people with political power were prone to worry more about serving the selfish interests of the rulers than about protecting the people from oppression. If disarmament laws left the bulk of the people unable to resist oppression by the criminals in their midst, and indeed by the government itself, the rich and powerful had nothing to lose and something to gain.

Americans did not agree that government exists primarily to protect the wealthy and the well-born from their social inferiors. They also understood why disarmament laws make no sense at all as a tool for controlling violent crime. The classic statement came from Cesare Beccaria (1738–1794), an Italian political philosopher who had a significant influence on the American Founders:

False is the idea of utility that sacrifices a thousand real advantages for one imaginary or trifling inconvenience; that would take fire from men because it burns, and water because one may drown in it; that has no remedy for evils, except destruction. The laws that forbid the carrying of arms are laws of such a nature. They disarm those only who are neither inclined nor determined to commit crimes. Can it be supposed that those who have the courage to violate the most sacred laws of humanity, the most important of the code, will respect the less important and arbitrary ones, which can be violated with ease and impunity, and which, if strictly obeyed, would put an end to personal liberty—so dear to men, so dear to the enlightened legislator—and subject innocent persons to all the vexations that the guilty alone ought to suffer? Such laws make things worse for the assaulted and better for the assailants; they serve rather to encourage than to prevent homicides, for an unarmed man may be attacked with greater confidence than an armed man.[59]

The most reliable social science available today is consistent with the straightforward wisdom offered by Beccaria more than two centuries ago. The literature is large, and controversial with respect to some of the details, but the most important conclusions cannot be seriously disputed: Nearly all murders are committed by men with a history of violent criminal behavior. Convicted felons are legally prohibited from possessing firearms, but criminals ignore this and other gun regulations, just as they ignore the laws against robbery, rape, and murder. In recent decades, the number of legally owned guns has increased substantially, and the number of civilians authorized to carry weapons in public has skyrocketed, while the rate of violent crime has gone down very dramatically. Jurisdictions with the most draconian gun controls often have the highest crime rates; and attempts to restrict the use of guns, or particular disfavored guns, by the general population have never been shown to reduce violent crime.[60]

Nonetheless, we see persistent efforts to compromise liberal principles and endanger the lives of law-abiding citizens by restricting their access to an essential means of self-defense. The principal roots of these efforts deserve to be called what they are: cowardice and authoritarianism.

The authoritarian impulse is most conspicuous among elite proponents of gun control.

The vast majority of these people are quite well insulated from the threat of criminal violence. They reside in low-crime neighborhoods and work in well-protected office buildings. They live, work, and vacation with peaceable individuals who are very much like themselves. At the pinnacle of the ruling class, proponents of gun control like Barack Obama, George W. Bush, and Bill and Hillary Clinton have squads of heavily armed bodyguards who will protect them for the rest of their lives.[61] And most people in the upper middle class can safely advocate the disarmament of their less fortunate fellow citizens without fear that such regulations will have any significant effect on themselves.

When gun-control advocates do think they may encounter threats to their own safety, their behavior often does not match their political rhetoric. Former Chief Justice Warren Burger, for example, who had been known to answer a knock at his door by appearing with a gun in his hand, also said, “If I were writing the Bill of Rights now there wouldn’t be any such thing as the Second Amendment.”[62] Senator Edward M. Kennedy, for decades a leading supporter of severe restrictions on the private possession of firearms, inadvertently revealed his own reliance on guns when his private bodyguard was charged with carrying illegal weapons in the Capitol.[63]

In 1994, Congress enacted a statute, supported by many politically appointed police chiefs, that banned the sale of certain so-called assault weapons. Although the advertised rationale was that these arms do not have legitimate civilian purposes, the law created an exception for retired police officers, who could hardly have any more need for such weapons than other law-abiding citizens.[64]

It is typical rather than exceptional for those who exert political power, whether by holding office themselves or by influencing those who do, to design laws that will not have much adverse impact on themselves and to get exceptions for themselves if the laws do begin to pinch. Countless examples can be found in areas as diverse as campaign finance regulation, health care, and environmental regulation. As a group, lawyers may be the worst offenders because they often stand to profit from the laws they promote: Some get paid to administer the regulations, others get paid to help their clients cope with regulatory burdens, and some take turns doing both. When it comes to gun control, however, it is hard to see much personal benefit for our elites beyond the sheer joy of exercising the will to power over people they regard as intellectually and morally backward.

As a crime-control measure, restricting access to weapons by law-abiding citizens is a proven failure. To his credit, the conservative Charles Krauthammer candidly declares that he wants to impose useless regulations that will desensitize the public in order to prepare the way for total confiscation. Many other gun-control advocates are simply more politic (or duplicitous). Once they achieve their real goal, we will see a lot more of what existing regulations have already accomplished: The most vulnerable people—especially women, minorities, and elderly people who live in low-rent locales—will increasingly be at the mercy of predatory men who either will have illegal weapons or will not need to use guns against their physically weaker victims. There will also be a demand for ever bigger and more intrusive police bureaucracies. Many elite proponents of gun control probably do not much care about the first effect, safe as they are and will be in their cocoons of privilege. Bigger bureaucracies, for their part, are always the default solution for those who expect to control them.

Like some on the left, Krauthammer no doubt believes that total disarmament will make us all safer. On what evidence could he believe this? Rather than explain how criminals will be disarmed, he points to Canada and Great Britain as models.[65] Neither nation, however, is the gun-free paradigm of domestic tranquility that he imagines.

Our neighbor to the north, for example, has one of the highest rates of gun ownership in the world.[66] Great Britain has indeed attempted to disarm the civilian population, but she has not succeeded. After handgun confiscation was instituted in 1997, handgun crime increased by almost 40 percent in the following two years and had doubled by 2009, thanks to suppliers in the international black market.[67] In this supposedly tranquil society, moreover, crimes that armed victims might prevent occur at very high rates. Assault rates are more than double the U.S. rates in England and Wales and about six times higher in Scotland. Robbery rates are higher in England and Wales than in the United States, and burglaries of occupied dwellings are much more common.[68]

Canada and Great Britain do have lower rates of homicide than the United States, but this is because of cultural and demographic factors, not gun laws. As the late James Q. Wilson pointed out, “the rate at which Americans kill each other without using guns by relying instead on fists, knives, and blows to the head is three times higher than the non-gun homicide rate in England.”[69] Krauthammer has nothing to say about countries like Switzerland and Iceland, very peaceful nations with large civilian arsenals.[70] Nor does he mention our southern neighbor, Mexico, which has extremely repressive gun-control laws along with a murder rate approximately three to four times higher than that of the United States.[71]

If the regulatory elite’s authoritarian agenda promises more of what has already proved to be a failure, the moral effects on the general population are likely to be even worse. Much of the propaganda against guns is calculated to foster cowardice, passivity, and irresponsible reliance on the government. This is the effect that should most worry Americans who are committed to our nation’s founding principles. A few examples may help to illustrate the point.

Many police chiefs have been warning people for years that firearms are useless for self-defense because criminals will take them away and turn the guns on the victims. They never produce evidence to support this theory, and they obviously disregard it themselves: They carry guns on and off duty and lobby for the right to do so after they have retired. Nor can one imagine they would actually try to grab a gun that someone was pointing at them. The police know very well that this sort of thing almost never happens outside of the movies.[72] In the real world, robbery victims are less likely to be injured if they defend themselves with a gun than if they passively comply with the robber’s demand.[73]

One can easily imagine why law enforcement bureaucrats would want to discourage crime victims from displaying courage and self-reliance. It is harder to see why the victims of crime should allow themselves to be tricked into mistaking cowardice for prudence.

Even U.S. military leaders have succumbed to the kind of magical thinking that afflicts so many supporters of gun control. Major Nidal Hasan was able to shoot dozens of servicemembers at Fort Hood in Texas because the Army had helpfully provided him with a “gun free zone.” Rather than treat the incident as vivid confirmation of Beccaria’s irrefutable analysis, the Department of Defense called it an “isolated and tragic case” and classified the massacre as a case of “workplace violence.”[74]

Six years later, Muhammad Youssef Abdulazeez opened fire at two “gun free” military recruiting stations in Chattanooga, Tennessee, killing four Marines and one sailor and wounding several other people.[75] The Marine Corps ruled out arming its recruiters on the bizarre rationale that their job primarily involves interactions with the public.[76]

These incidents, like almost all civilian massacres, took place in designated “gun free zones.”[77] Last year, a similar incident occurred in San Bernadino, California, in one of those government buildings that the Supreme Court has called “sensitive places” where the Second Amendment is presumptively inapplicable.[78] Syed Rizwan Farook and Tashfeen Malik killed 14 people and seriously injured 22. The police arrived within four minutes, but by that time, it was over. President Obama had a ready response, calling once again for “common sense” gun safety laws.[79] Similarly, The New York Times published a front-page editorial—the first in almost a century—with a familiar refrain: “Are these atrocities truly beyond the power of government and its politicians to stop? That tragically has been the case as political leaders offer little more than platitudes after each shootout, while the nation is left to numbly anticipate the next killing spree.”[80]

It is true that many politicians have nothing to offer but platitudes, but The Times called for “firm action” without explaining exactly what that firm action would be. This is worse than trite because the usual gun-control nostrums would not have prevented this shooting. If editorial writers in Manhattan are left numb by such incidents, that is preferable to the numbness that will spread throughout the nation if the government succeeds in desensitizing the population in preparation for total civilian disarmament.[81]

The time is gone when Americans universally supported gun rights, but the American spirit of independence has not disappeared. The servicemembers who fought back at Fort Hood and the Chattanooga recruiting station exhibited that spirit. Many millions of Americans “cling to their guns,” as President Obama disdainfully remarked,[82] and frequently use those guns to defend their lives and the lives of others. Armed citizens have stopped countless crimes, and mass murderers exhibit a pronounced preference for operating in “gun free zones.”[83] The invisible deterrent effect of armed citizens cannot be measured directly, but it undoubtedly exists.[84]

Whatever the exact magnitude of this crime prevention effect may be, law-abiding citizens who arm themselves are exhibiting the moral temper appropriate to a free people. They do not regard their lives and safety as a gift from the government. Nor do they think they should wait for the government to come along and save them when their lives or the lives of other innocent people are threatened. When that spirit is finally squashed, bureaucratic government will continue to expand, violent crime will continue to plague our most vulnerable citizens, and genuine self-government—both personal and political—will become ever more illusory.

Conclusion

No observer of American life is more respected by conservative intellectuals than Alexis de Tocqueville. Describing the new form of oppression that he saw emerging in democratic societies, Tocqueville imagined a future power, “immense and tutelary,” presiding over a mass of self-absorbed individuals:

[This power] is absolute, detailed, regular, far-seeing, and mild. It would resemble paternal power if, like that power, it had for its object preparing men for manhood; but it only seeks, on the contrary, to keep them fixed irrevocably in childhood; it likes citizens to enjoy themselves, provided that they think only of enjoying themselves. It willingly works for their happiness; but it wants to be the unique agent and sole arbiter of that happiness; it provides for their security, foresees and provides for their needs, facilitates their pleasures, conducts their principal affairs, directs their industry, regulates their estates, divides their inheritances; can it not take away from them entirely the trouble of thinking and the pain of living?[85]

A thousand illustrations of Tocqueville’s prescience can be found in the agenda of the progressive left. Conservative intellectuals complain constantly and rightly about the erosion of individual liberty by bureaucratic government, about the enervating effects of the nanny state, and about the suffocating atmosphere of euphemisms and repressed resentment imposed by the political correctness police. But few of these pundits raise their voices against infringements of the right of self-defense, which is the core principle on which our liberal republic was founded. Some even actively urge the government to regulate that right into irrelevance by depriving us of the tools needed for its exercise.

Whatever else has contributed to the decay of America’s republican spirit, forgetfulness or ignorance about the philosophy underlying our free institutions are among the least excusable failings that public intellectuals can display. Our most fundamental liberty now depends too much on lawyers and judges construing legal texts and on associations like the NRA, which many conservatives regard as just another special-interest lobby that sometimes serves as a convenient political ally.

Conservatives should pay more attention to the views of John Locke, William Blackstone, and every one of our Founding fathers. Their philosophy was not infected by some silly romanticism about guns or an outmoded frontier mentality. It was based on the reality of human nature and on reason.

About the author:
*Nelson Lund, JD, PhD,
is University Professor at George Mason University’s Antonin Scalia Law School

Source:
This article was published by The Heritage Foundation

Notes:
[1] Alexis de Tocqueville, Democracy in America, trans. Harvey C. Mansfield and Delba Winthrop (Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 2000), vol. 1, pt. 2, chap. 8, pp. 251–258.

[2] See Adam Winkler, “Scrutinizing the Second Amendment,” Michigan Law Review, Vol. 105, No. 4 (February 2007), pp. 683–733.

[3] See American Bar Association, Standing Committee on Gun Violence, American Bar Association, “Policy,” www.americanbar.org/groups/committees/gun_violence/policy.html (accessed September 14, 2016).

[4] George F. Will, “How Embarrassing: The Constitution Protects the Guns that Kill,” Baltimore Sun, March 21, 1991, http://articles.baltimoresun.com/1991-03-21/news/1991080067_1_militia-gun-ownership-gun-control (accessed September 19, 2016).

[5] Charles Krauthammer, “The Roots of Mass Murder,” The Washington Post, December 20, 2012, https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/charles-krauthammer-the-roots-of-mass-murder/2012/12/20/e4d99594-4ae3-11e2-b709-667035ff9029_story.html?utm_term=.71acc47e7eb1 (accessed September 19, 2016).

[6] Charles Krauthammer, “Disarm the Citizenry. But Not Yet,” The Washington Post, April 5, 1996, https://www.washingtonpost.com/archive/opinions/1996/04/05/disarm-the-citizenry-but-not-yet/8efbb5da-fd5e-48c9-8a83-0fb41c728338/?utm_term=.11166a82e007 (accessed September 19, 2016).

[7] Ibid.

[8] See Nelson Lund, “Outsider Voices on Guns and the Constitution,” review of Stephen P. Halbrook, Freedmen, the Fourteenth Amendment, and the Right to Bear Arms, 1866–1876 (Westport, CT: Praeger Publishers, 1998), Constitutional Commentary, Vol. 17, Issue 3 (Winter 2000), pp. 701–720.

[9] In Florida, the revocation rate for firearms violations over nearly three decades has been 0.0003 percent. Even the police have higher rates of firearms violations (and higher overall crime rates) than permit holders have. See Crime Prevention Research Center, “Concealed Carry Revocation Rates by Age,” August 4, 2014, p. 4, http://crimeresearch.org/wp-content/uploads/2014/08/Concealed-Carry-Revocation-rates-by-age.pdf (accessed September 14, 2016).

[10] See, for example, John R. Lott, Jr., More Guns, Less Crime: Understanding Crime and Gun Control Laws, 3rd ed. (Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 2010).

[11] Krauthammer, “Disarm the Citizenry. But Not Yet.”

[12] Bill of Rights, 1 Wm. & M., 2d Sess., c. 2, December 16, 1689, in University of Chicago and Liberty Fund, The Founders’ Constitution, Bill of Rights, Document 1, http://press-pubs.uchicago.edu/founders/documents/bill_of_rightss1.html (accessed September 19, 2016). Like other provisions in the English Bill of Rights, the right-to-arms provision constrained only the executive, not the legislature, but the right it protected was one belonging to individuals.

[13] William Blackstone, Commentaries on the Laws of England, 1765, bk. 1, p. *136.

[14] Ibid., p. *139.

[15] See, for example, James Madison, Federalist No. 46, January 29, 1788, in University of Chicago and Liberty Fund, The Founders’ Constitution, Article 1, Section 8, Clause 12, Document 25.

[16] See Nelson Lund, “Promise and Perils in the Nascent Jurisprudence of the Second Amendment,” Georgetown Journal of Law & Public Policy (forthcoming 2016), http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2675323 (accessed September 15, 2016).

[17] This is the same term used in the First and Fourth Amendments to identify rights of individuals.

[18] Barron v. Baltimore, 32 U.S. 243 (1833). The states were therefore left free to regulate weapons, speech, religion, and countless other matters as they saw fit.

[19] For a discussion of the principal cases, see Nelson Lund, “The Second Amendment, Heller, and Originalist Jurisprudence,” UCLA Law Review, Vol. 56, No. 5 (June 2009), pp. 1359–1362.

[20] United States v. Cruikshank, 92 U.S. 542 (1876).

[21] This clause provides that no state shall “deprive any person of life, liberty, or property without due process of law.” For a brief review of the Supreme Court doctrine that has been used to apply Bill of Rights provisions to the states, see Nelson Lund and John O. McGinnis, “Lawrence v. Texas and Judicial Hubris,” Michigan Law Review, Vol. 102, No. 7 (June 2004), pp. 1557–1573.

[22] For a review of the case law, see Winkler, “Scrutinizing the Second Amendment.”

[23] 554 U.S. 570 (2008).

[24] The only significant precedent before this time was United States v. Miller, 307 U.S. 174 (1939). The Court’s short and ambiguous opinion declined to hold that short-barreled shotguns are protected by the Second Amendment.

[25] The dissenters disagreed. They concluded that the Second Amendment protects only “the right of the people of each of the several States to maintain a well-regulated militia.” They also argued that even if the Second Amendment were mistakenly interpreted to protect an individual right to have arms for self-defense, it should at the very least allow the government to ban handguns in high-crime urban areas.

[26] 561 U.S. 742 (2010).

[27] The four dissenters maintained that the Court should not apply the Second Amendment to the states. For an analysis of their arguments, see Nelson Lund, “Two Faces of Judicial Restraint (Or Are There More?) in McDonald v. City of Chicago,” Florida Law Review, Vol. 63, No. 3 (May 2011), pp. 514–532.

[28] District of Columbia v. Heller, 554 U.S. at 625–627 and note 26. For a detailed discussion of the Court’s opinion, see Lund, “The Second Amendment, Heller, and Originalist Jurisprudence,” pp. 1359–1362.

[29] In the nature of things, first principles cannot be demonstrated. The signers of the Declaration accordingly “hold”—i.e., opine or assert—that these four propositions are both true and self-evident. They were well aware that all four had been challenged by serious philosophers, but they also knew that these principles were broadly accepted in America.

[30] Thomas Hobbes, Leviathan (Clarendon: Oxford University Press, 1909), chap. 14, ¶ 1.

[31] Thomas Hobbes, De Cive, in Man and Citizen, ed. Bernard Gert, (Hackett Publishing, 1972), bk.1, ¶ 7. Emphasis in original.

[32] “A covenant not to defend myself from force by force is always voyd.” Hobbes, Leviathan (Oxford University Press, 1909), chap. 14, ¶ 30.

[33] The fourth self-evident truth listed in the Declaration of Independence implies that the American people have the right to follow the advice of Krauthammer, Will, and others by repealing the Second Amendment and disarming the citizenry. Legally, of course, this right is beyond question. That does not mean, however, that doing so would be any more consistent with the spirit of the Declaration than instituting a Hobbesian despotic sovereign would be. The signers of the Declaration expressly stated that revolution is not merely a right, but a duty in the face of “a Design to reduce [a people] under absolute Despotism.” Repeal of the Second Amendment would by itself fall short of justifying revolution, but it would sacrifice a fundamental freedom in a vain effort to effect the safety and happiness of the populace. Those who profess allegiance to the principles of the Declaration have a duty to oppose such an error. That duty applies equally to a formal constitutional amendment and to an insidious gutting of the right to arms by legislatures and courts.

[34] John Locke, Two Treatises on Government, “Second Treatise of Government,” ed. Peter Laslett (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1988), ch. 4 ¶ 93.

[35] Ibid., chap. 2, ¶ 6.

[36] Ibid., ¶ 8.

[37] Adam Smith, The Glasgow Edition of the Works and Correspondence of Adam Smith, Volume 5: Lectures on Jurisprudence, ed. Ronald L. Meek, David Daiches Raphael, and Peter Stein (Cambridge, UK: Oxford University Press, 1978), pp. 402–404.

[38] Adam Smith, The Theory of Moral Sentiments, ed., D.D. Raphael and A.L. Macfie (Indianapolis: Liberty Fund, 1982), pp. 123–124.

[39] Locke, “Second Treatise of Government,” chap. 3 ¶¶ 18-19.

[40] “Prudence, indeed, will dictate that Governments long established should not be changed for light or transient Causes.”

[41] Blackstone, Commentaries, bk. 1, p. *139.

[42] Use of the word “necessary” in the Second Amendment does not imply that a well-regulated militia is absolutely indispensable any more than such an implication can be found in the Necessary and Proper Clause, art. I, ¶ 8, cl. 18. For a classic analysis of the Article I provision, see Chief Justice Marshall’s opinion in McCulloch v. Maryland, 17 U.S. 316, 413–415 (1819).

[43] Those responsible for conducting our Revolutionary War were well aware that this was already true at the time, which is why the Constitutional Convention was unwilling to hobble the new federal government with a prohibition on standing armies. For further detail, see Nelson Lund, “The Past and Future of the Individual’s Right to Arms,” Georgia Law Review, Vol. 31, No. 1 (Fall 1996), pp. 1–76, esp. pp. 30–34. Today’s National Guard is an integrated component of the federal armed forces, not a militia of the kind favored by the founding generation.

[44] 10 U.S.C. § 311.

[45] See Don B. Kates, Jr., “Handgun Prohibition and the Original Meaning of the Second Amendment,” Michigan Law Review, Vol. 82, Issue 2 (November 1983), pp. 204–273, esp. p. 272, note 284.

[46] See, for example, Tocqueville, Democracy in America, vol. 1, pt. 2, chap. 6, p. 214; vol. 1, pt. 2, chap. 8; vol. 2, pt. 3, chap. 23, p. 623.

[47] I am grateful to Stephen G. Gilles for helping me to conceptualize this suggestion.

[48] Stephen P. Halbrook, The Founders’ Second Amendment: Origins of the Right to Bear Arms (Chicago: Ivan R. Dee, 2008), p. 25.

[49] See, for example, Kates, “Handgun Prohibition and the Original Meaning of the Second Amendment,” p. 272, note 284.

[50] See, for example, District of Columbia v. Heller, 554 U.S. at 631–634; Adam Winkler, Gun Fight: The Battle over the Right to Bear Arms in America (New York: W. W. Norton, 2011), pp. 115–116.

[51] Halbrook, The Founders’ Second Amendment, pp. 302–303.

[52] Ibid., p. 303.

[53] Quoted in ibid., p. 305. Emphasis added.

[54] Vermont (1777) (“the people have a right to bear arms for the defence of themselves and the State….”); Pennsylvania (1790) (“The right of the citizens to bear arms in defence of themselves and the State shall not be questioned.”); Kentucky (1799) (“the rights of the citizens to bear arms in defence of themselves and the State shall not be questioned.”); Ohio (1802) (“the people have a right to bear arms for the defence of themselves and the State….”); Indiana (1816) (“the people have a right to bear arms for the defence of themselves, and the State….”); Mississippi (1817) (“Every citizen has a right to bear arms in defence of himself and of the State.”); Connecticut (1818) (“Every citizen has a right to bear arms in defense of himself and the state.”); Alabama (1819) (“every citizen has a right to bear arms in defense of himself and the state.”); Missouri (1820) (“[the people’s] right to bear arms in defence of themselves and of the State cannot be questioned.”).

[55] James Wilson, Lectures on Law, pt. 3, chap. 4, in Collected Works of James Wilson, Vol. 2, ed. Mark David Hall and Kermit L. Hall (Indianapolis: Liberty Fund, 2007), p. 1142.

[56] Kates, “Handgun Prohibition and the Original Meaning of the Second Amendment,” p. 226, note 91.

[57] District of Columbia v. Heller, 554 U.S. at 628.

[58] Blackstone, Commentaries, bk. 2, p. *412.

[59] Cesare Beccaria, On Crimes and Punishments, trans. Henry Paolucci (Indianapolis: Bobbs-Merrill, 1963). On Beccaria’s influence in America, see John D. Bessler, The Birth of American Law: An Italian Philosopher and the American Revolution (Durham, NC: Carolina Academic Press, 2014).

[60] For reviews of the literature, see, for example, Lott, More Guns, Less Crime; Don B. Kates and Carlisle Moody, “Heller, McDonald, and Murder: Testing the More Guns = More Murder Thesis,” Fordham Urban Law Journal, Vol. 39, Issue 5 (2012), pp. 1421–1447; James B. Jacobs, Can Gun Control Work? (New York: Oxford University Press, 2002); Gary Kleck, Point Blank: Guns and Violence in America (New York: Aldine de Gruyter, 1991); John R. Lott, Jr., The War on Guns (New York: Regnery, 2016).

[61] In 1994, President Clinton promoted a new statute that banned the sale of certain so-called assault weapons. When the law expired 10 years later, several studies, including one commissioned by the Bush Justice Department, found that the law had had no discernable effect on crime rates. President Bush nonetheless advocated its renewal. Congress declined the invitation, but both Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton have urged that the ban be reinstated. See Pub. L. 103-322, 103rd Cong., September 13, 1994, Title XI, Subtitle A, http://library.clerk.house.gov/reference-files/PPL_%20103_322_ViolentCrime_1994.pdf (accessed September 19, 2016); Eric Lichtblau, “Irking N.R.A., Bush Supports the Ban on Assault Weapons,” The New York Times, May 8, 2003, http://www.nytimes.com/2003/05/08/us/irking-nra-bush-supports-the-ban-on-assault-weapons.html?pagewanted=all (accessed September 19, 2016); Katie Pavlich, “White House: Reinstating ‘Assault’ Weapons Ban to Prevent Terrorism Is Common Sense,” Townhall, December 8, 2015, http://townhall.com/tipsheet/katiepavlich/2015/12/08/white-house-suggests-1990s-assault-weapon-ban-be-reinstated-n2091021 (accessed September 19, 2016); Kelly Riddell, “Hillary Clinton Proposes Assault Rifle Ban, Limits on High-Capacity Magazines,” The Washington Times, December 15, 2015, http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/‌2015/dec/15/hillary-clinton-proposes-assault-rifle-ban-limits-/ (accessed September 19, 2016).

[62] MacNeil/Lehrer NewsHour, December 16, 1991, LEXIS, Nexis Library, Arcnws File; “Guns and the Law,” Phoenix Gazette, February 22, 1990, p. A10.

[63] United Press International, “Kennedy Bodyguard Arrested for Possessing Machine Guns,” Orlando Sentinel, January 15, 1986, http://articles.orlandosentinel.com/1986-01-15/news/0190180113_1_submachine-guns-bodyguard-uzi (accessed September 19, 2016); Elsa Walsh, “Bodyguard’s Gun Charges to Stand,” The Washington Post, October 16, 1987, p. C2, https://www.highbeam.com/doc/1P2-1348981.html (accessed September 19, 2016).

[64] 18 U.S.C. 922(v)(4)(C). The advertised rationale was a canard: The banned rifles were defined by certain cosmetic features, and a great many functionally indistinguishable civilian rifles were unaffected by the ban.

[65] See Krauthammer, “The Roots of Mass Murder.”

[66] David B. Kopel, The Samurai, the Mountie, and the Cowboy: Should America Adopt the Gun Controls of Other Democracies? (Amherst, NY: Prometheus Books, 1992), p. 136.

[67] Joyce Lee Malcolm, “The Soft-on-Crime Roots of British Disorder,” The Wall Street Journal, August 16, 2011, http://www.wsj.com/articles/SB10001424053111903918104576502613435380574 (accessed September 19, 2016).

[68] David B. Kopel, “The Costs and Consequences of Gun Control,” Cato Institute Policy Analysis No. 784, December 1, 2015, p. 15 (citing statistics from the United Nations Office of Drugs and Crime), http://www.cato.org/publications/policy-analysis/costs-consequences-gun-control (accessed September 19, 2016).

[69] James Q. Wilson, “Criminal Justice,” in Understanding America: The Anatomy of an Exceptional Nation, ed. Peter H. Schuck and James Q. Wilson (New York: Public Affairs, 2009), p. 479. Emphasis in original. For additional detail on gun control in Canada and Great Britain, see Joyce Lee Malcolm, Guns and Violence: The English Experience (Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press, 2002); Kopel, The Samurai, the Mountie, and the Cowboy, chaps. 3–4.

[70] See Philip Alpers and Marcus Wilson “Iceland—Gun Facts, Figures and the Law,” University of Sydney, Sydney School of Public Health, GunPolicy.org, August 29, 2016, http://www.gunpolicy.org/firearms/region/iceland (accessed September 19, 2016); United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime, Global Study on Homicide 2011: Trends, Contexts, Data, http://www.unodc.org/documents/data-and-analysis/statistics/Homicide/Globa_study_on_homicide_2011_web.pdf (accessed September 19, 2016); Kopel, The Samurai, the Mountie, and the Cowboy, chap. 8.

[71] See David B. Kopel, “Mexico’s Gun-Control Laws: A Model for the United States?” Texas Review of Law & Politics, Vol. 18, No. 1 (2013), pp. 27–95; NationMaster, “Crime > Violent Crime > Murder Rate per Million People: Countries Compared,” http://www.nationmaster.com/country-info/stats/Crime/Violent-crime/Murder-rate-per-million-people (accessed September 19, 2016); United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime, Global Study on Homicide 2011.

[72] See Kleck, Point Blank, p. 122.

[73] Ibid., p. 124.

[74] NBC News, “Military Calls Fort Hood Shooting ‘Isolated’ Case,” November 5, 2009, http://www.nbcnews.com/id/33691553/ns/us_news-military/#.VoQpcFLeI8I (accessed September 19, 2016); Allen G. Breed and Ramit Plushnick-Masti, “Terror or Workplace Violence? Hasan Trial Raises Sensitive Issue,” Arizona Daily Star, August 11, 2013, http://tucson.com/news/national/terror-act-or-workplace-violence-hasan-trial-raises-sensitive-issue/article_be513c51-a35d-5b4f-b3a0-13654f019ea6.html (accessed September 19, 2016). The Army’s Chief of Staff helpfully opined that one thing worse than the massacre would be “if our diversity becomes a casualty.” Tabassum Zakaria, “General Casey: Diversity Shouldn’t Be Casualty of Fort Hood,” Reuters, November 8, 2009, http://blogs.reuters.com/talesfromthetrail/2009/11/08/general-casey-diversity-shouldnt-be-‌casualty-of-fort-hood/ (accessed September 19, 2016). The conduct of the unarmed men who lost their lives trying to stop the rampage stood in sharp contrast to the political correctness and moral cowardice of their leaders.

[75] In this case, two of the servicemembers apparently were armed, in violation of regulations, and they provided cover for a number of people who managed to escape. Some of those who got away did not just hide in safety, choosing instead to clear a nearby park filled with children. David Larter, “Sources: Navy Officer, Marine Fought to Take Out Chattanooga Gunman,” Navy Times, July 21, 2015, http://www.navytimes.com/story/military/2015/07/21/sources-navy-officer-marine-shot-chattanooga-gunman/30426817/ (accessed September 19, 2016); Richard Fausset, Richard Pérez-Peña, and Matt Apuzzo, “Slain Troops in Chattanooga Saved Lives Before Giving Their Own,” The New York Times, July 22, 2015, http://www.nytimes.com/2015/07/23/us/chattanooga-tennessee-shooting-investigation-mohammod-abdulazeez.html (accessed September 19, 2016); Gina Harkins, “Chattanooga Shooting Investigation: Marine Shielded His Daughter from Terrorist’s Rampage,” Marine Corps Times, September 25, 2015, https://www.marinecorpstimes.com/story/military/2015/09/25/chattanooga-shooting-investigation-marine-recruiter-shielded-daughter-from-muhammad-youssef-abdulazeez-rampage/72586592/ (accessed September 19, 2016).

[76] One ray of hope, apart from the bravery exhibited by the enlisted servicemen, came when several state governors, in a faint but valuable reminder of the Founding generation’s attachment to their state-based militias, immediately authorized National Guard recruiters to be armed. Reuters, “Three U.S. States Move to Arm National Guard Offices,” July 18, 2015, http://news.yahoo.com/florida-national-guard-centers-moved-armories-safety-194352870.html (accessed September 19, 2016); Elisha Fieldstadt, “Governors Authorize National Guard to Be Armed After Chattanooga Attack,” NBC News, July 19, 2015, http://www.nbcnews.com/storyline/chattanooga-shooting/governors-order-national-guardsmen-be-armed-after-chattenooga-attack-n394476 (accessed September 19, 2016).

[77] See, for example, Crime Prevention Research Center, “The Myths About Mass Public Shootings: Analysis,” October 9, 2014, http://crimeresearch.org/wp-content/uploads/2014/10/CPRC-Mass-Shooting-Analysis-Bloomberg2.pdf (accessed September 19, 2016).

[78] District of Columbia v. Heller, 554 U.S. at 626.

[79] Byron Tau, “In Grim Ritual, Barack Obama Again Calls for Stricter Gun Control After Mass Shooting,” The Wall Street Journal, December 2, 2015, http://blogs.wsj.com/washwire/2015/12/02/in-grim-ritual-barack-obama-again-calls-for-stricter-gun-control-after-mass-shooting/ (accessed September 19, 2016).

[80] Editorial, “The Horror in San Bernadino,” The New York Times, December 2, 2015, http://www.‌nytimes.com/2015/12/03/opinion/the-horror-in-san-bernardino.html (accessed September 19, 2016).

[81] See Krauthammer, “The Roots of Mass Murder.” After this essay was written, Omar Mateen killed 49 people and wounded even more in another “gun free” zone in Orlando, Florida. Somewhat surprisingly, the initial political debate focused primarily on measures aimed at keeping guns out of the hands of terrorists like Mateen rather than on banning the particular weapons he used. At the time of this writing (June 2016), it is not clear whether sensible measures designed to stop terrorists without violating the rights of law-abiding citizens will attract a political consensus.

[82] Ed Pilkington, “Obama Angers Midwest Voters with Guns and Religion Remark,” The Guardian, April 14, 2008, http://www.theguardian.com/world/2008/apr/14/barackobama.uselections2008 (accessed September 19, 2016). Approximately 40 percent of American households have guns. See, for example, L. Hepburn, M. Miller, D. Azrael, and D. Hemenway, “The US Gun Stock: Results from the 2004 National Firearms Survey,” Injury Prevention, Vol. 13, Issue 1 (February 2007), pp. 15–19, http://injuryprevention.bmj.com/content/13/1/15.full.pdf+html (accessed September 19, 2016); Pew Research Center, “Section 3: Gun Ownership Trends and Demographics,” in “Perspectives of Gun Owners, Non-Owners: Why Own a Gun? Protection Is Now Top Reason,” March 12, 2013, pp. 14–17, www.peo‌ple-press.org/2013/03/12/section-3-gun-ownership-trends-and-demographics/#profile-guns (accessed September 19, 2016).

[83] For data involving mass murders, see, for example, Lott, The War on Guns, pp. 5–7, 122–127; Kopel, “The Costs and Consequences of Gun Control,” p. 18.

[84] The largest and most sophisticated econometric study of concealed-carry laws concluded that liberalizing these regulations produced lower rates of violent crime. See Lott, More Guns, Less Crime. Lott’s findings about the magnitude of the effect have been challenged by other researchers, but none of his critics has shown that liberalization has caused higher crime rates. Apart from the general deterrence effect that Lott tried to measure, there is no doubt that armed citizens frequently use their guns for self-defense, usually without firing them. Even this, however, is notoriously difficult to measure. Estimates by reputable scholars range from 80,000 to 2.5 million defensive uses per year. See Michael R. Rand, Guns and Crime: Handgun Victimization, Firearm Self-Defense, and Firearm Theft 1–2 (1994); Gary Kleck and Marc Gertz, “Armed Resistance to Crime: The Prevalence and Nature of Self-Defense with a Gun,” Journal of Criminal Law & Criminology, Vol. 86, Issue 1 (Fall 1995), pp. 150–187, esp. p. 184, Table 2, “Prevalence and Incidence of Civilian Defensive Gun Use, U.S., 1988–1993.”

[85] Tocqueville, Democracy in America, vol. 2, pt. 4, chap. 6, p. 663. I have slightly altered the translation.

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