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Under The Spell Of Right And Wrong

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Today, radical right-wing parties like the Dutch Party for Freedom (PVV) are full partners in debates in the political arena. In the 1980s and 1990s, it was a different story, according to Jan de Vetten. He studied the antithesis towards the Centre Party and the Centre Democrats.

In Kedichem in March 1986, members of the Centre Party (CP) and the Centre Democrats (CD) meet in a hotel to discuss cooperation. Outside, anti-fascist demonstraters go on the attack. Windows are smashed and smoke bombs are lobbed into the room. Fire breaks out. Most CP and CD members just manage to escape the flames, but the future wife of CD leader Hans Janmaat falls against a broken window. One of her legs has to be amputated.

Successors to Nazis

This act is typical of the violence with which the CP and CD were treated, according to Jan de Vetten.

“Not just anti-fascists, but also other societal organizations, the media and the police dealt incredibly harshly with these political parties. Many Dutch people regarded them as the successors to nazism and fascism,” Jan de Vetten said.

‘Evil’ parties

After years of research – including in Janmaat’s personal archives – De Vetten concludes that the Netherlands in the 1980s and 1990s was obsessed with a struggle against the ‘evil’ CP and CD. He concludes that because of this climate these parties were treated completely differently from other political parties.

“Janmaat’s parties were not regarded as political opponents but as direct enemies. You don’t talk to such parties, you fight them.”

Cordon sanitaire

The CP and the CD were excluded from the political arena. The other political parties refused to enter into debate with them or to work together with them, and so they put up a cordon sanitaire around them.

In his 13 years as a member of parliament Janmaat was not interrupted even once during the General Political Debate after Prince’s Day, one of the most important debates in the political year. And in the early days of his career, it was not uncommon for the Lower House to empty when he was speaking.

Ideological basis

Societal organisations also did their utmost to combat the extreme right-wing parties.

The Anne Frank Foundation, for example, distributed many publications and press releases about the CP and Janmaat, as well as organizing legal cases and demonstrations.

According to De Vetten, “The Foundation tried to bring an ideological element to the fight against the CP and the CD, and ultimately to influence public opinion.”

>h2>Pim Fortuyn

According to De Vetten, the opposition to the CP and the CD was not an exceptional occurrence in the Netherlands.

Earlier, the National Socialist Movement (NSB) and the Dutch Communist Party (CPN) met with similar strong opposition. It was only after Pim Fortuyn came on the scene that it became possible to express criticism of such issues as immigration and integration. This had to do with the shock caused by the attacks in New York in 2001.

De Vetten said, “Today it’s possible to have normal contacts with a radical right-wing party like the Party for Freedom (PVV), and to engage in debate with them. That’s a sign that the party is now regarded as a legitimate political opponent, and not as an evil enemy.”

Jan de Vetten’s PhD research will be published in book form. ‘In de ban van goed en fout’ is the first work to describe – based on archive research and interviews – the fight against the CP and the CD, and the reaction of the two parties. Why was there such strong opposition? Was the anthesis between these parties and the rest of society mainly on the grounds of moral issues? Was the Netherlands, in short, obsessed with ‘good’ and ‘evil’?


Super-Kamiokande Detector Awaits Neutrinos From A Supernova

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Only three or four supernovas happen in our galaxy every century. These are super-energetic events that release neutrinos at the speed of light. At the Super-Kamiokande detector in Japan, a new computer system has been installed in order to monitor in real time and inform the scientific community of the arrival of these mysterious particles, which can offer crucial information on the collapse of stars and the formation of black holes.

A kilometre underground, in the depths of a Japanese mine, scientists have built a tank of ultra-pure water inside a gigantic cylinder full of photomultiplier tubes. This is the Super-Kamiokande experiment, one of the major objectives of which is the detection of neutrinos -particles with near-zero mass- that come from nearby supernovas.

The problem is that these stellar explosions occur very infrequently: only three or four each century in our galaxy. For this reason, the members of the international Super-Kamiokande scientific collaboration want to be prepared for one of these rare phenomena and have built a ‘monitor’ that is constantly on the lookout for a nearby supernova. The details are published in the journal ‘Astroparticle Physics’.

“It is a computer system that analyses the events recorded in the depths of the observatory in real time and, if it detects abnormally large flows of neutrinos, it quickly alerts the physicists watching from the control room,” Luis Labarga, a physicist at the Autonomous University of Madrid (Spain) and a member of the collaboration, explained to SINC.

Thanks to this neutrino monitor, experts can assess the significance of the signal within minutes and see whether it is actually from a nearby supernova, basically inside the Milky Way. If it is, they can issue an early warning to all the interested research centres around the world, which they provide with information and the celestial coordinates of the source of neutrinos. They can then point all of their optical observation instruments towards it, since the electromagnetic signal arrives with a delay.

“Supernova explosions are one of the most energetic phenomena in the universe and most of this energy is released in the form of neutrinos,” said Labarga. “This is why detecting and analysing neutrinos emitted in these cases, other than those from the Sun or other sources, is very important for understanding the mechanisms in the formation of neutron stars -a type of stellar remnant- and black holes”.

“Furthermore,” he added “during supernova explosions an enormous number of neutrinos is generated in an extremely small space of time -a few seconds- and this why we need to be ready. This allows us to research the fundamental properties of these fascinating particles, such as their interactions, their hierarchy and the absolute value of their mass, their half-life, and surely other properties that we still cannot even imagine”.

Labarga said that the Super-Kamiokande is permanently ready to detect neutrinos, except for essential calibration or repair intervals. Any day could take us by surprise.

Hungarian PM Orban Hails Trump Victory

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Viktor Orban, Hungary’s maverick PM, says Donald Trump’s US election victory marks an end of a two-decade period of “liberal non-democracy” in the West.

“This is the second day of a historic event, in which Western civilization appears to successfully break free from the confines of an ideology,” Orban told a conference organized by the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development.

“We are living in the days where what we call liberal non-democracy – in which we lived for the past 20 years – ends, and we can return to real democracy,” said Orban, without explicitly referring to Trump’s election win.

Orban, a billionaire investor turned politician, is not unlike Trump. He is conservative, often criticized for choosing pragmatic solutions over those based on values, and skeptical over globalization and the dangers it poses to his home country.

He was the first European politician to express a preference for the Republican nominee in the American election over Democrat Hillary Clinton. In July he called Clinton’s foreign policy plans “deadly” for Hungary, while Trump’s skepticism over immigration was “vital” for Budapest. In his Thursday speech, Orban dismissed fears that Trump’s surprise victory would be disastrous for the West.

“We can call problems by their name and find solutions not derived from an ideology but based on pragmatic, creative thinking rooted in common sense,” Orban said.

“We are two days after the big bang and still alive,” he said. “What a wonderful world. This also shows that democracy is creative and innovative.”

Orban added that Trump’s victory represented a change in global popular thinking just like the unexpected “leave” vote during the Brexit referendum in the UK did.

“Brexit is not a tragedy, even remotely,” Orban said. “It is not a defeat, but an attempt by a great nation to make itself successful in other ways than what everyone else had considered the path to success.”

Earlier Orban called Trump’s victory “great news” in a Facebook post.

The Hungarian PM is a vocal critic of some EU policies, most noticeably its open doors policy to asylum seekers and the plan to resettle them across union members. He ordered the erection of a barbed wire fence along Hungary’s southern borders to stop the inflow of refugees through the Balkans.

He also called for the restoration of the EU’s ties with Russia, calling Brussels’ anti-Russian sanctions hurtful for Europe and pointless in terms of pressuring Moscow.

Qatar Calls Into Question Its Sincerity In Pushing World Cup-Driven Reform – Analysis

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For much of the last six years since winning the hosting rights of the 2022 World Cup, Qatar appeared to be taking a slow and torturous path towards some degree of reform. Yet, in an increasingly conservative world in which human rights are put on the backburner, fears among rights and trade union activists that lofty Qatari promises of labour reform and some degree of greater liberalism may not be much more than just lofty undertakings appear to be gaining steam.

To be sure, the controversial awarding of the hosting rights has contributed to more open discussion in Qatar of hitherto taboo subjects including the rights of workers who constitute the vast majority of the population of the tiny, energy-rich Gulf state; the definition of Qatari identity; what rights, if any, non-Qataris should have in obtaining Qatari citizenship; and the rights and social position of women and gays.

A 28-year old Qatari, in the latest pushing of the envelope that brings into the open issues that in the past were kept private because of Qataris’ sense of privacy and family honour, earlier this month decried in an article in Doha News that government policy denies young men and women the right to marry the person of their choice.

Writing under the pseudonym Yousef, the young Qatari described how he was forced to divorce his wife of East European origin after the government refused to sanction the marriage and give his spouse a residence permit because she was not a Muslim even though she had converted.

“Our marriage changed me. It took me outside my bubble, and made me question our culture’s values. I didn’t understand why, for example, we Qatari men are allowed to go to clubs where alcohol is served, but at the same time the committee was telling me that my wife’s culture and traditions did not fit ours. This was not making any sense to me,” Yousef wrote.

“I feel that the Qatari government is playing with people’s lives. It hurt to see my country talking about human rights on the global stage, but then denying citizens the right to marry whoever they choose. I want to know why my request was refused. Was it because my family isn’t important enough? Do we not know the right people? I know plenty of Qatari men married to foreign women who got their approval in less than a month, just because they know someone in the government. And why is it ok to marry a second wife or a third wife, but refuse a man permission to marry just one? he added.

Yousef ultimately came to the conclusion that “I will have to leave Qatar and live abroad if I want to get married to a foreigner. I hate that it has to be like that. I love my country. I don’t want to leave Qatar or leave my family, but what options do I have?”

Like the rights of migrant workers caught in a sponsorship system that puts them at the mercy of their employers, Yousef’s plight goes to the heart of Qatar’s most existential problem: the viability of a demography in which the citizenry accounts for a mere 12 percent of the population and fears that any change will endanger their grip on their society, culture and state.

Six years into the preparations for the 2022 World Cup, the belief among many activists as well as world soccer body FIFA officials that Qatar’s stark demographic reality was forcing it to move slowly on reforming, if not abolishing the sponsorship or kafala system is wearing thin.

To be sure, Qatar in the wake of the awarding of the World Cup and in contrast to other Gulf states initially cooperated with it critics who took it to task for the labour and living conditions of workers constructing World Cup-related infrastructure. The Qatari 2022 committee as well as a few other major Qatari organizations adopted standards and model contracts in cooperation with the likes of Amnesty International and Human Rights Watch.

New measures designed to streamline and curtail abuse of the sponsorship or kafala system are scheduled to come into law before the end of the year. The measures fall short however of granting workers’ basic rights.

Against the backdrop of a recent Amnesty report that counters assertions of the Qatari committee that it is applying the standards but cannot enforce them on non-World Cup contractors, FIFA is likely to take on more direct responsibility for the issue and come under greater pressure regarding the labour issue.

With a Dutch trade union taking FIFA to court in Switzerland on the issue of labour rights in the Gulf state, the soccer body has announced that starting with the Qatar World Cup it would scrap local organising committees for its flagship event.

The 52-page Amnesty report listed eight ways in which World Cup workers employed for the showcase Khalifa International Stadium were still being abused and exploited. It charged that despite efforts to the contrary workers still pay absorbent recruitment fees, live in appalling conditions, are lured to Qatar with false salary and job promises, do not get paid on time, cannot freely leave Qatar or change jobs, and are threatened by employers when they dare complain.

The Qatari 2022 Supreme Committee for Delivery & Legacy asserted in a statement that “challenges in worker conditions existing during early 2015” that had been identified by Amnesty had largely been addressed by June of this year. It said the problems involved four of some 40 companies involved in work on the Khalifa stadium and that three of those firms had been banned

“The tone of Amnesty International’s latest assertions paint a misleading picture and do nothing to contribute to our efforts. We have always maintained this World Cup will act as a catalyst for change — it will not be built on the back of exploited workers. We wholly reject any notion that Qatar is unfit to host the World Cup,” the statement said.

The Qatari committee, in a further indication that Qatar may be backtracking on promises, said that current restrictions on alcohol consumption would be upheld during the World Cup. Qatar had earlier said that venues for alcohol consumption would be expanded from hotel bars to specific locations around the country during the tournament.

Not that alcohol is the litmus test of a successful Qatari World. The tournament moreover may attract a different demography with far more fans from the Middle East, North Africa and the Muslim world who care less about alcohol than their Western counterparts.

Nonetheless, the backtracking on alcohol coupled with increasingly strained Qatari relations with human rights groups and trade unions, and the snail pace of labour reform casts a shadow on Qatari sincerity.

Qatar may well feel that the rise of populist leaders across the globe could reduce pressure on it to embark on real reform. That could be true. Yet, by the same token, populist leaders who ride a wave of nationalism may also have to also be seen to be standing up for the rights of their nationals working in foreign lands.

Tax Officials Weak Link In Modi Government – OpEd

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The demonetization of high value currency by the Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi has certainly rekindled hope among Indians that the Modi government could take earnest steps to root out corruption in India.

While the demonetization announcement has created some genuine temporary problems for the common man, particularly daily wage earners, street vendors etc., there is considerable understanding and appreciation among the cross section of Indians in the middle and lower income group about the strong measure initiated, that can go a long way in rooting out black money and curbing corruption in India.

People have responded positively by putting up with the discomforts, which reveals the concern of the common man in India about the widespread corruption and urgent need to put it down at any cost and their willingness to extend support to the anti corruption measures of Modi government.

What will be Mr. Modi’s next step?

Now, people wonder as to what will be the next step that Mr. Modi would initiate to carry on the fight against corruption. People recall that in 1978 there was demonetization by the then Morarji Desai government which caused some immediate sensation which was short lived and there was no visible change in the situation for the better. There is anxiety among people that the present exercise of Mr. Modi should not fall in the same pattern as it happened after the demonetization in 1978.

Modi government has initiated some meaningful steps to eliminate corruption and black money in India in the last 30 months, which include steps to open bank account to large section of poor people in the country, enlisting more than 90% of the people as Aadhaar card holders and linking Aadhaar card to various schemes as well as income tax department etc. to ensure transparency. But, such move has really not made any big dent in the extent of corruption in the country at various levels so far.

The problem for Mr. Modi in his fight against corruption is that considerable section of tax officials at various level serving in the government of India and state governments including income tax department, central excise, sales tax department are corrupt themselves.

In the past, several senior officials in these department have been caught red handed while indulging in corrupt activities and some of them have been punished and quite a number of them have escaped punishment by exploiting the loophole in the law. The question is how can Mr. Modi catch the tax evaders and put down corruption, when several of his tax officials themselves are corrupt.

While the demonetization move have caught the imagination of the people and people want Mr. Modi to initiate more anti corruption measures, Mr. Modi can take the anti corruption crusade to logical end only if he has strong force of tax officials who are committed to the cause of anti corruption and would be willing to put forth their honest efforts in discharging their responsibilities.

Obviously, Mr. Modi is aware of this disturbing scenario as he himself made the observation in his nation wide address on 8th November, stating “Which honest citizen would not be pained by reports of crores worth of currency notes stashed under the beds of government officers?”

Challenge ahead of Mr. Modi

It is not clear as to how Mr. Modi would weed out the corrupt and errant tax officials and restore the tax departments with the character that is required, to enable Modi government to carry on with the anti corruption measures. So far, there is no indication that any fear has been created in the officials who indulge in corruption.

It appears that the corruption system has become fool proof in the tax departments and lengthens over long chain from top to bottom. Breaking the chain in a big country like India where there is considerable collusion between corrupt politicians, business men and officials is no easy task.

While Mr. Modi has just demonetized the high value currency and created hopes among the people, the next step of cleansing the tax departments of corrupt officials, which is a precondition for his anti-corruption crusade to succeed, does not seem to be an easy task. There is the grim challenge facing Mr. Modi in the coming days.

Russia’s Friendship With China And Pakistan: “Old Friends Better Than Two New Friends”– OpEd

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India’s Prime Minister Narendra Modi during a press conference, after his meeting with Russian President Vladimir Putin at the India-Russia Summit on October 15, 2016, said that ‘old friends are better than new friends’.1 He indicated that Russia should focus on strengthening its time-tested, special and privileged relationship with India as a strategic partner, rather than fortifying Moscow’s relationship with China and Pakistan.

From India’s perspective, it can be interpreted that New Delhi’s growing relationship with the US cannot weaken the time-tested and special and privileged relationship with Russia. India still upholds its relationship with Russia and wants to enhance it further even if India’s ties with the US is growing.
India and Russia have not been happy lately with each other’s growing relationship with the US and Pakistan, respectively.

India and Russia understand the necessity of basing their relationships in contemporary times in the backdrop of the changing atmosphere of international relations. However, given their special, time-tested and privileged strategic partnership, a kind of expectation, on both sides, of not inching closer to their respective adversaries can be observed. Both countries are trying to enhance their relationship and iron out differences, such as in the defence and economic sectors, and also on the diplomatic field. On the diplomatic front, there has been some discomfort between India and Russia. India has shown its dissatisfaction to Russia regarding the latter’s growing friendship with Pakistan, including on the commencement of the Russia-Pakistan military exercise which took place in the last week of September. On the Russian side, India’s leaning towards the US has not gone down well with the Kremlin.

India and Russia is trying to strengthen their relationship based on the contemporary times. Putin, during the India-Russia Summit on October 15, had emphasised on Russia’s determination to back India’s fight against terror.2 The Kremlin also supported India’s surgical strikes on the terrorist camps in Pakistan-Occupied Kashmir.3

At the same time, Russia has also been strengthening its relationship with China and Pakistan. During the Cold War period, Russia shared belligerent relationship with both the countries. However, post-Soviet Union, Russia has shown interest in developing its relationship with both the countries to achieve its foreign policy objectives. Russia, since the late 1990s, has been focussing on developing its Eurasian identity. The development of the Eurasian identity was put forward by the former Foreign Minister Yevgeniy Primakov. In order to build this image, Russia needs to establish its footprint as much in Asia as in Europe, hence relationship with all countries in the continent is important for the objective.

With the collapse of the Soviet Union and a new leadership under Putin in 2000, Russia started to work on the Eurasian identity. The zeal towards developing this identity became strong with Russia’s growing feeling of being treated as an unequal partner by the West in the world order. Russia’s ambitions to resurrect as a superpower and an equally important player in the international community have led the country to adopt a multi-vector foreign policy which helps in fulfilling its ambitions. Hence, Russia’s focus on China and Pakistan is a part of that grand strategy.

In the ‘Concept of Foreign Policy of the Russian Federation 2000’, constructing relationship with China, along with India, featured as a focussed area for Russia. On Pakistan, the ‘2000 Foreign Policy Document’ mentioned the country as an important player for the stability of the Asia-Pacific region. Russia supported Lahore’s signing of the Comprehensive Nuclear Test Ban Treaty and its accession to the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons.4

Similarly, in the ‘2008 Concept of Foreign Policy of the Russian Federation’, under the tenureship of a former President Dmitry Medvedev, it is mentioned that Russia intended to ‘further’ develop its relationship with Pakistan. With China, it is mentioned in the document that developing friendly relations with China ‘forms an important track of Russia’s foreign policy in Asia’ and Russia would build up the Russian-Chinese strategic partnership in all fields on the basis of common fundamental approaches to key issues of world politics as a basic constituent of regional and global stability. Russia wanted to merge economic interaction with the high level of political relations in order to develop relations between Moscow and Beijing.5 In the ‘2013 Concept of Foreign Policy of the Russian Federation’, developing friendly relations with China is mentioned as a priority for Russia,6 although Pakistan is not mentioned.

In an article written by President Putin on 2012, titled “Russia and the Changing World”, he said that Russia understands the growing strength of China with the capability to project power in various regions. In the article, he stressed that Russia does not see China’s rise as a threat,7 but a challenge that carries huge potential for economic cooperation between the two countries including the latter’s presence in the economic development of Siberia and Far East. Russia’s closeness to China is also based on the common vision, shared by both about the emerging equitable world order.8 The bilateral relationship between Russia and China, especially after the Ukrainian crisis, has become strong. Within the multilateral forums, like SCO, BRICS, ASEAN, G-20, RIC, etc., they have engaged with each other in all the sectors –politically, economically and culturally.

Likewise, Russia and Pakistan have been building their relationships consistently. On May 1, 2016, the relationship marked the 68th anniversary between Russia and Pakistan. The relationship between the two countries intensified up pace after 9/11, especially after Pakistan joined international efforts in the war against terrorism.

Pakistan is strategically located with Punjab and Sindh provinces in its east, while Khyber Pakhtunkhwa forming the link to Afghanistan and Central Asia in the immediate west and PoK in the north towards China. Balochistan, on the other hand, is linked to Iran, Turkey, Arabian Peninsula and Western Asia.9 Russia feels that Pakistan’s geo-strategic location will help the country in reasserting its role in its immediate sphere of influence and beyond. President Putin has shown willingness to adapt Russia’s foreign policy to the new geo-political realities through its multi-vector approach in South Asia.

Russia’s interests in Pakistan are manifold. The strategies behind Russia’s strengthening its engagement with Pakistan can be drawn from Russia’s ambitions, so as to gain a foothold in South Asia; to get an uninterrupted access to the Indian Ocean through its relationship with India, the rim countries situated in the Indian Ocean and Pakistan; to strengthen its mark in Central Asia; to have access to the warm waters that Pakistan’s Gwadar Port10 can offer; and to make the US troops in Afghanistan directly dependent on Russia’s logistics,11 apart from Pakistan’s strategic location.

The sanctions imposed upon Russia by the West, for its role in the Ukrainian crisis since 2014, has helped Moscow to focus on its foreign policy objectives in Asia. With the opening up of the Northern Sea Route in the Arctic region and the coming up of the EAEU project and the INSTC, Russia will be needing the help of all the countries, including Pakistan for uninterrupted access to transit routes, including maritime, and security of Moscow’s economic and energy engagements in the Eurasian region. Kremlin sees Pakistan as a useful country in containing Islamic terrorists emanating from the region, which have an impact on Russia and its neighbourhood.

Russia is also trying to fortify its hold in the Indo-Pacific region through expanding and strengthening its defence market. Both China and Pakistan are lucrative markets, apart from other Asian countries, for Russia’s latest defence hardware. Apart from the economic opportunities, Pakistan’s withering relationship with the US is helping Russia to establish its presence in the region, along with the help of China, who shares Moscow’s view of containing the hegemonic presence of America in Asia.

In order to protect and fortify its presence in the Indo-Pacific region, linking up with the Arctic, and its ambition in the Eurasian region, Russia will try to balance between India, China and Pakistan.

Disclaimer: The Views of the Author is her personal and not of the Council.

*Dr. Indrani Talukdar, Research Fellow at the Indian Council of World Affairs, New Delhi.

National Interests, Terrorism And The Sino-Pakistani All Weather Friendship – OpEd

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India and China, the flag bearers of the Asian century in international relations share a complicated relationship. Beyond the thorny issue of the historical boundary dispute and the ever widening trade deficit, newer issues have cropped up recently. Terrorism, which is a significant challenge as a source of non traditional threat in international relations, has also dug its ugly way into Sino-Indian relations, with China blocking India’s moves at the United Nations to blacklist JEM leader Masood Azhar. While reasons for the move provided by the Chinese side are “technical issues”, the fact that the organisation in question operates from Pakistan- which is China’s all weather friend cannot be ignored.

China has had its own share of woes due to terrorism. In fact it has been argued that the controversial China-Pakistan Economic Corridor which runs through disputed territory is Beijing’s attempts to better secure its own territory from terrorism. Uyghur militant groups which Beijing seeks to clamp down on have sought refuge in the Pakistan- Afghanistan border areas, where they have established links with the Al Qaeda and Taliban in Afghanistan and Pakistan. The East Turkmenistan Islamic Movement (ETIM) is one such militant group which has repeatedly targeted and attacked Chinese interests in Pakistan. Therefore, to reduce the anti state sentiment and generate public resources for additional improvements in law and order, Chinese investments in Pakistan are meant to create jobs,. By tackling the threat of jihadi organisations in neighbouring Pakistan, China hopes to somehow secure its own territory better. Therefore, the “friendship” with Pakistan needs to be stronger than ever before, and a blocking of public maligning of the “friend” at the international level when China has the power to block any such move is but natural. The point to remember is that all of this is actually in China’s self interests. It needs Pakistan to secure its own territory, as a result of which it is willing to further alienate a country like India.

Amidst the politics behind such moves at the international level, what becomes pertinent is to understand China’s own stand on terrorism and how it has dealt with it. Between 2013 and 2014, Beijing, Kunming, Urumqi were the targets of major and extremely violent terrorist attacks. In less than eight months, 72 people died and 356 people were injured in different attacks using suicide car bombs, bladed weapons, and/or explosives. Additionally, Chinese officials have said in recent months that at least 300 ethnic Uyghurs have joined Islamic State in Iraq and Syria.

The main terrorism threats in China emanate from the Xinjiang Uyghur Autonomous Region in the northwest of the country. For roughly three decades, the region has been rocked by social unrest involving the indigenous populations — consisting mainly of Uyghurs and Han Chinese, the ethnic majority of the People’s Republic of China (PRC), but also of Tajiks, Kazakhs, Kyrgyz, Mongols, and Hui. Among the local groups opposing Beijing’s authority some more radical factions have surfaced.

Xinjiang today is one of the five minority autonomous regions of China, occupying a sixth of China’s landmass, bordering eight countries of Russia, Afghanistan, Pakistan, Mongolia, India, Kazakhstan, Kyrghizstan and Tajikistan and an arena for an ethno-national conflict of the Uyghurs who constitute 47 per cent of the Xinjiang population.

Xinjiang is a reflection of a complex minority issue for its links with the wider issues of Islamic identity in Central and West Asia. This Islamic factor plus ethnic consciousness have been fused together to produce an ethno-religious conflict in Xinjiang. This problem is further exacerbated in the post- 9/11 phase, where the war against international terrorism has impacted the region, and has effectively allowed the Chinese government to haze the difference between separatism and terrorism. Xinjiang represents a case of a match between an ethnic minority and majority Han Chinese nationalism- something that is perceived by Beijing as a distinctive security threat to the very basis of the Chinese state.

In 2014, the Heidelberg Institute for International Conflict Research labelled the situation in Xinjiang as “limited war”. Acts of social insurgency, state repression, and terrorism within the Xinjiang Uyghur Autonomous Region combine to form a complicated picture. The current terrorist threat seems to be caused by dispersed local unconnected groups rather than a single well-organized network with a clear chain of command. Yet the PRC government constantly blames the ETIM as being behind most terrorist attacks and insurgencies. This organisation, however, seems to have been replaced by the Turkestan Islamic Party, or partly absorbed into the Islamic Movement of Uzbekistan. The Turkestan Islamic Party claimed the attacks against buses in Shanghai and Kunming in 2008, as well as the Urumqi railway station attack in April 2014. The vast majority of the attacks, though, remain unclaimed by any organisation.

The geographical expansion of Chinese terrorism can also be seen beyond China’s borders and examples include in Central Asia and in the Hindu Kush region. Militant Uyghurs fought alongside the Taliban in Afghanistan and Pakistan against the Soviets in the 1980s and then against the international coalition (ISAF) in the early 2000s. However, more recently, in May 2014 the Islamic Movement of Uzbekistan advocated that all Taliban groups should target Chinese interests in the region, especially embassies, companies, and Chinese nationals. The separatists hide mainly in the troubled North Waziristan region, where they are treated by their Pakistani Taliban hosts as guests of honour, militant and Pakistani intelligence sources say.

According to Chinese officials, several Muslim militants returning from ISIS war zones were arrested in Xinjiang in March 2015. At the same time, the Xinjiang party chief officially stated that China had become an ISIS target after several appeals from ISIS leaders for Chinese Muslims to pledge allegiance to the organisation.

After the terrorist attacks in Beijing and Kunming, surveillance, alertness and troop deployments have increased both inside and outside of the province of Xinjiang. In May 2014, the Xinjiang Uyghur Autonomous Region party secretary Zhang Chunxian called for a “people’s war on terror” (反恐维稳的人民战争). Shortly after, Minister of Public Security Guo Shengkun announced a so-called “strike hard” campaign (严打) to crack down on “terrorist elements.” Xi Jinping declared that in order to stabilise Xinjiang, the state’s surveillance nets needed to “spread from the earth to the sky.”

Additionally, in its effort to combat separatist Uyghur groups, China is reportedly seeking to institute military bases in the part of Pakistan that borders the province of Xinjiang. China has pressed Islamabad to crack down on Pakistan-based Uighur terrorist groups. It was under pressure from Beijing that Pakistan banned the ETIM, the IMU and the Islamic Jihad Union (IJU); extradited ETIM leaders to China and carried out military operations to dismantle ETIM’s bases in Pakistan. In fact, the operation launched by Pakistan’s military in North Waziristan in June 2014 that reportedly focused on the ETIM and the IMU was at Beijing’s behest.

Therefore, it is clear that China on its own cannot handle the issue of terrorism. The region from where the threat for China emerges is bordering Pakistan, as a result of which Pakistan is the only “friend” that it needs to counter the ever challenging threat of terrorism, and not India. India does not have grounds ripe for hardening of terrorists which would target China, Pakistan does. Thus it makes perfect sense to deepen relationships with Pakistan, even if it would be at the cost of India. However, what needs to be kept in mind is that in an era of complex interdependence, wherein terrorism is spreading its tentacles far and wide, an approach such as the Chinese one will have limited results and will eventually be ineffective in the longer run.

*Dr. Sriparna Pathak is a Consultant in the Policy Planning and Research Division of the Ministry of External Affairs, New Delhi. The views expressed in this article are personal and do not reflect those of the Ministry or of the Government of India

Fire-Storm From The Boondocks: Approaching President Duterte’s Logomachia And Subaltern Realpolitik – Analysis

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“A howling wilderness” was what General Jacob Smith ordered his troops to make of Samar, Philippines. He was taking revenge for the ambush of fifty-four soldiers by Filipino revolutionaries in September 1901. After the invaders killed most of the island’s inhabitants, three bells from the Balangiga Church were looted as war trophies; two are still displayed at Warren Air Force Base, Cheyenne, Wyoming. Very few Americans know this. Nor would they have any clue about the 1913 massacre of thousands of Muslim women, men and children resisting General Pershing’s systematic destruction of their homes in Mindanao where President Rodrigo Duterte today resides.

Addressing this dire amnesia afflicting the public, both in the Philippines and abroad, newly-elected President Duterte began the task of evoking/invoking the accursed past. He assumed the role of oral tribune, with prophetic expletives. Like the Filipino guerillas of Generals Lukban and Malvar who retreated to the mountains (called “boondocks” by American pursuers from the Tagalog word “bundok,” mountain), Duterte seems to be coming down with the task of reclaiming the collective dignity of the heathens— eulogized by Rudyard Kipling, at the start of the war in February 1899, as “the white men’s burden.” The first U.S. civil governor William Howard Taft patronizingly adopted this burden of saving the Filipino “little brown brother” as a benighted colonial ward, not a citizen.

Mark Twain: “Thirty Thousand Killed a Million”

The Filipino-American War of 1899-1913 occupies only a paragraph, at most, in most US textbooks, a blip in the rise of the United States as an Asian Pacific Leviathan. Hobbes’ figure is more applicable to international rivalries than to predatory neoliberal capitalism today, or to the urban jungle of MetroManila. At least 1.4 million Filipinos (verified by historian Luzviminda Francisco) died as a result of the scorched-earth policy of President McKinley. His armed missionaries were notorious for Vietnam-style “hamletting.” They also practised the “water-cure,” also known as “water-boarding,” a form of torture now legitimized in a genocidal war of terror (Iraq, Afghanistan) that recalls the ruthless suppression of Native American tribes and dehumanization of African slaves in the westward march of the “civilizing Krag” to the Pacific, to the Chinese market. Today the struggle at Standing Rock and Black-Lives-Matter are timely reminders. Stuart Creighton Miller’s 1982 book, “Benevolent Assimilation,” together with asides by Gabriel Kolko and Howard Zinn, recounted the vicissitudes of that bloody passage through Philippine boondocks and countryside.

Not everyone acquiesced to Washington’s brutal annexation of the island-colony. Mark Twain exposed the hypocrisy of Washington’s “Benevolent Assimilation” with searing diatribes, as though inventing the “conscience” of his generation. William James, William Dean Howells, W.E.B. DuBois and other public intellectuals denounced what turned out to be the “first Vietnam” (Bernard Fall’s rubric).

It was a learning experience for the conquerors. In Policing America’s Empire, Alfred McCoy discovered that America’s “tutelage” of the Filipino elite (involving oligarchic politicians of the Commonwealth period up to Marcos and Aquino) functioned as a laboratory for crafting methods of surveillance, ideological manipulation, propaganda, and other modes of covert and overt pacification. Censorship, mass arrests of suspected dissidents, torture and assassination of “bandits” protesting landlord abuses and bureaucratic corruption in the first three decades of colonial rule led to large-scale killing of peasants and workers in numerous Colorum and Sakdalista uprisings.

Re-Visiting the Cold War/War of Terror

This pattern of racialized class oppression via electoral politics and discipiinary pedagogy culminated in the Cold War apparatus devised by CIA agent Edward Lansdale and the technocrats of Magsasay to suppress the Huk rebellion in the two decades after formal granting of independence in 1946. The machinery continued to operate in the savage extrajudicial killings during the Marcos dictatorship up to Corazon Aquino’s “total war” against nationalists, progressive priests and nuns, Igorots, Lumads—all touted by Washington/Pentagon as the price for enjoying democracy, free market, the right to gamble in the capitalist casino. This constitutes the rationale for U.S.-supported counterinsurgency schemes to shore up the decadent, if not moribund, status quo—a society plagued by profound and seemingly durable disparity of wealth and power—now impolitely challenged by Duterte.

Not a single mass-media article on Duterte’s intent to forge an independent foreign policy and solve corruption linked to narcopolitics, provides even an iota of historical background on the US record of colonial subjugation of Filipino bodies and souls. This is not strange, given the long history of Filipino “miseducation” documented by Renato Constantino. Perhaps the neglect if not dismissal of the Filipino collective experience is due to the indiscriminate celebration of America’s success in making the natives speak English, imitate the American Way of Life shown in Hollywood movies, and indulge in mimicked consumerism.

What is scandalous is the complicity of the U.S. intelligentsia (with few exceptions) in regurgitating the “civilizing effect” of colonial exploitation. Every time the Filipino essence is described as violent, foolish, shrewd or cunning, the evidence displays the actions of a landlord-politician, bureaucrat, savvy merchant, U.S.-educated professional, or rich entrepreneur. Unequal groups dissolve into these representative types: Quezon, Roxas, Magsaysay, Fidel Ramos, etc. What seems ironic if not parodic is that after a century of massive research and formulaic analysis of the colony’s underdevelopment, we arrive at Stanley Karnow’s verdict (amplified in In Our Image) that, really, the Filipinos and their character-syndromes are to blame for their poverty and backwardness, for not being smart beneficiaries of American “good works.” “F—ck you,” Duterte might uncouthly respond.

Hobbes or Che Guevarra?

An avalanche of media commentaries, disingenously purporting to be objective news reports, followed Duterte’s campaign to eradicate the endemic drug addiction rampant in the country. No need to cite statistics about the criminality of narcopolitics infecting the whole country, from poor slum-dweller to Senators and moguls; let’s get down to the basics. But the media, without any judicious assaying of hearsay, concluded that Duterte’s policy—his public pronouncement that bodies will float in Manila Bay, etc.—caused the killing of innocent civilians. His method of attack impressed the academics as Hobbesian, not Machiavellian. The journalistic imperative to sensationalize and distort by selective framing (following, of course, corporate norms and biases) governs the style and content of quotidian media operations.

Is Duterte guilty of the alleged EJK (extrajudicial killings)? No doubt, druglords and their police accomplices took advantage of the policy to silence their minions. This is the fabled “collateral damage” bewailed by the bishops and moralists. But Obama, UN and local pundits associated with the defeated parties seized on the cases of innocent victims (two or three are more than enough, demonstrated by the photo of a woman allegedly cradling the body of her husband, blown up in Time (October 10) and in The Atlantic, September issue, and social media) to teach Duterte a lesson on human rights, due process, and genteel diplomatic protocols. This irked the thin-skinned town mayor whose lack of etiquette, civility, and petty-bourgeois decorum became the target of unctuous sermons.

Stigma for All Seasons: “Anti-Americanism”

What finally gave the casuistic game away, in my view, is the piece in the November issue of The Atlantic by Jon Emont entitled “Duterte’s Anti-Americanism.” What does “anti-Americanism” mean—to be against McDonald burgers, Beyonce, I-phones, Saturday Night Live, Lady Gaga, Bloomingdale fashions, Wall Street, or Washington-Pentagon imperial browbeating of inferior nations/peoples-of-color? The article points to tell-tale symptoms: Duterte is suspending joint military exercises, separating from U.S. govt foreign policy by renewing friendly cooperation with China in the smoldering South China Sea, and”veering” toward Russia for economic ties—in short, promoting what will counter the debilitating, predatory U.S. legacy.

Above all, Duterte is guilty of diverging from public opinion, meaning the Filipino love for Americans. He rejects US “security guarantees,” ignores the $3 billion remittances of Filipinos (presumably, relatives of middle and upper classes), the $13 million given by the U.S. for relief of Yolanda typhoon victims in 2013. Three negative testimonies against Duterte’s “anti-American bluster” are used: 1) Asia Foundation official Steven Rood’s comment that since most Filipinos don’t care about foreign policy, “elites have considerable latitude,” that is, they can do whatever pleases them. 2) Richard Javad Heydarian, affiliated with De La Salle University, is quoted—this professor is now a celebrity of the anti-Duterte cult—that Duterte “can get away with it”; and, finally, Gen Fidel Ramos who contends that the military top brass “like US troops”—West-Point-trained Ramos has expanded on his tirade against Duterte with the usual cliches of unruly client-state leaders who turn against their masters, and seems ready to lead a farcical version of the 1968 People Power revolt, one of the symptoms of fierce internecine strife within the corrupt oligarchic bloc.

Like other anti-Duterte squibs, the article finally comes up with the psychological diagnosis of Duterte’s fixation on the case of the Davao 2002 bombing when a “supposed involvement of US officials” who spirited a CIA-affiliated American bomber confirmed the Davao mayor’s fondness for “stereotypes of superior meddling America.” The judgment seems anticllimatic. What calls attention will not be strange anymore: there is not a whisper of the tortuous history of US imperial exercise of power on the subalterns.

This polemic-cum-factoids culminates in a faux-folksy, rebarbative quip: “Washington can tolerate a thin-skinned ally who bites the hand that feeds him through crass invective.” The Washington Post (Nov 2) quickly intoned its approval by harping on Ramos’ defection as a sign of the local elite’s displeasure. With Washington halting the sale of rifles to the Philippine police because of Duterte’s human-rights abuses, the Post warns that $ 9 million military aid and $32 million funds for law-enforcement will be dropped by Congress if Duterte doesn’t stop his “anti-US rhetoric.” Trick or treat? Duterte should learn that actions have consequences, pontificated this sacred office of journalistic rectitude after the Halloween mayhem.

On this recycled issue of “anti-Americanism,” the best riposte is by Michael Parenti, from his incisive book Inventing Reality: “The media dismiss conflicts that arise between the United States and popular forces in other countries as manifestations of the latter’s “anti-Americanism”….When thousands marched in the Philippines against the abominated US-supported Marcos regime, the New York Times reported, “Anti-Marcos and anti-American slogans and banners were in abundance, with the most common being “Down with the US-Marcos Dictatorship!” A week later, the Times again described Filipino protests against US support of the Marcos dictatorship as “anti-Americanism.” The Atlantic, the New York Times,and the Washington Post share an ideological-political genealogy with the Cold War paranoia currentlygripping the U.S. ruling-class Establishment.

Predictably, the New York Times (Nov. 3 issue) confirmed the consensus that the US is not worried so much about the “authoritarian” or “murderous ways of imposing law and order” (Walden Bello’s labels; InterAksyon, Oct 29) as they are discombobulated by Duterte’s rapproachment with China. The calculus of U.S. regional hegemony was changed when Filipino fishermen returned to fish around the Scarborough Shoal. Duterte’s “bombastic one-man” show, his foul mouth, his “authoritarian” pragmatism, did not lead to total dependency on China nor diplomatic isolation. This pivot to China panicked Washington, belying the Time expert Carl Thayer who pontificated that Duterte “can’t really stand up to China unless the US is backing him” (Sept 15, 2016). A blowback occurred in the boondocks; the thin-skinned “Punisher” and scourge of druglords triggered a “howling wilderness” that exploded the century-long stranglehold of global finance capitalism on the islands. No need to waste time on more psychoanalysis of Duterte’s motivation.

What the next US president would surely do to restore its ascendancy in that region is undermine Duterte’s popular base, fund a strategy of destabilization via divide-and-rule (as in Chile, Yugoslavia, Ukraine), and incite its volatile pro-American constituency to beat pots and kettles in the streets of MetroManila.
This complex geopolitical situation entangling the United States and its former colony/neocolony, cries for deeper historical contextualization and empathy for the victims lacking in the Western media demonization of Duterte and his supporters, over 70% of a hundred million Filipinos in the Philippines and in the diaspora. For further elaboration, see my recent books US Imperialism and Revolution in the Philippines (Palgrave) and Between Empire and Insurgency (University of the Philippines Press).

*E. San Juan, Jr, an emeritus professor of Ethnic Studies and Comparative Literature, was a fellow of W.E.B. Du Bois Institute, Harvard University, Fulbright lecturer of American Studies at Leuven University, Belgium, is currently professorial lecturer, Polytechnic University of the Philippines, Manils.


Will Geopolitics ‘Trump’ The Modi-Abe Bilateral Agenda? – Analysis

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Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi is in Japan to seal a landmark nuclear energy pact and strengthen ties under the cloud of Trump’s “America First” campaign promise, which has raised concerns about a reduced US engagement with the region. It is also the time when China’s regional influence has received a boost post the South China Sea (SCS) arbitration ruling through recent visits by the leaders of Philippines and Malaysia who have sought closer relations with China. The question is will geopolitics imperatives ‘trump’ the India-Japan bilateral agenda?

The last two summits saw the two countries carrying forward their relations to new levels. Following their 2014 summit meeting, both Modi and Abe issued the Tokyo Declaration which termed the relationship as a “special strategic and global partnership” opening new vistas for cooperation. During the 2015 New Delhi summit the two leaders spelt out the India-Japan Vision 2025 that talked about an action oriented partnership. The current visit is expected to see about 12 pacts signed as the two countries broaden their engagement across a wide range of interests, including regional cooperation, maritime security, counter terrorism, nuclear disarmament, U.N. reforms, climate change and energy cooperation.

The nuclear energy pact which will allows Japan to supply nuclear reactors, fuel and technology to India, has been a subject of tight negotiations for over last six years. If signed it will be Japan’s first nuclear energy pact with a country which is not a signatory to the nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT). Another significant item on the agenda is a deal on the supply of amphibious rescue aircraft US-2 to the Indian navy, which would be one of Japan’s first sales of military equipment since Abe lifted a 50-year ban on arms exports. Also in sight is a deal for a second bullet train project. Japan is already a partner for India’s first line, the 980-billion-rupee ($15 billion) rail linking Mumbai and Ahmedabad. But geopolitical issues continue to bear on the visit.

On the eve of Modi’s departure to Tokyo, the Chinese state-controlled Global Times had warned that it would be “a serious mistake” by India to raises the South China Sea (SCS) issue in the India-Japan joint statement. Such a move is seen as retaliation against China’s repeated actions to block India’s bid to become a member of the Nuclear Suppliers Group (NSG). From the Chinese viewpoint, as a non-claimant to the SCS, India is not part of the ongoing disputes between China and other countries in the region and intervention on the issue will only create more “mistrust” between the two Himalayan neighbours. Japan on the other hand has its own geopolitical worries.

The change in the US presidency is not likely to effect a radical departure in the US Asia policy away from the four pillars of Obama’s rebalance to Asia; building alliances and partnerships, strengthening regional institutions, deepening economic engagement , and promoting democracy and human rights. Obama had defined the current dispute between Japan and China over the Senkaku islands as falling under the provisions of the US-Japan defensive alliance. This would mean that US would view any Chinese incursion in the Senkakus as an assault on the Japanese home islands. Trump could reverse this position as a part of his China policy, and not automatically respond in Japan’s favour if the country got into a spat with China over the disputed islands. As things stand today, no country is going to be as profoundly affected by the Trump presidency as Japan.

Trump has indicated through his ‘America first’ rhetoric to adopt a more transactional approach to existing alliances and partnerships, largely in terms of increased burden-sharing .In the case of Japan this would mean an end to the “free ride” and that it would be expected to do more for its defence and security. Though it may not lead to the end of US deployment in Japan and the country ‘going nuclear,’ as Trump had indicated, but will require Japan to balance its reliance on US military support by other alliances and partnerships including that with India.

The other player in the region, South Korea in the meanwhile has indicated that it is going ahead with the deployment on its soil of the US military’s Terminal High Altitude Area Defence (THAAD) anti-missile system, under the Trump administration. The THAAD is designed to counter North Korea’s missile threat. Washington and Seoul had agreed to deploy the THAAD system in South Korea to protect against North Korean threats despite China’s warnings to South Korea against its deployment. The South Korean decision to go ahead with the deployment against Chinese wishes comes amid apprehension over what shape Trump’s policy to deal with North Korea is likely to take. The South Korean decision is likely to prompt a more aggressive Chinese stance in East Asia.

Given China’s economic heft, particularly in Asia, any China-centric security understanding between India and Japan is bound to have trade and economic consequences for both India and Japan . China on the other hand is bound to play this factor to disincentive any regional move to undermine its dominance.

The next two days are likely to indicate how Modi and Abe prioritise and negotiate their security and geopolitical imperatives while charting a course towards a stronger economic and developmental cooperation within the India-Japan Vision 2025.

*Monish Gulati is Associate Director (Strategic Affairs) at Society for Policy Studies, New Delhi. Comments and suggestions on this article can be sent on: editor@spsindia.in

Ralph Nader: The Guardian Angel For America’s Motorists – OpEd

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America’s motorists are less safe today with the passing of their Guardian Angel—engineer/lawyer Clarence Ditlow, the Director of the Center for Auto Safety. The generating force behind the recalls of millions of defective motor vehicles, Mr. Ditlow pressured the federal auto safety agency and the auto companies with meticulous advocacy that was technically deep and morally powerful.

Calm, deliberate and a man of few words, this graduate of Lehigh, Georgetown Law and Harvard Law School bore down on wrongdoing, negligence and bureaucratic passivity with jack-hammer intensity year in and year out. While culpable auto executives were on the golf links, he was at his office on weekends assembling evidence about the causes of crashes and their human casualties, and preparing formal petitions and lawsuits demanding action.

I recruited this remarkable man about 45 years ago to work on auto safety. It took no more than fifteen minutes for me to invite him to work with us full-time. That’s the kind of first impression he made. He was serious, committed and answered every question with clarity and brevity. His ability to distill and convey information resulted in reporters regularly tapping him for television, radio, and newspaper interviews.

Over the years he was the “go-to” person for hundreds of reporters, columnists, editorial writers, researchers, and legislative staff. Patiently, he would walk them through the details of motor vehicle failures and engineering deficiencies, the derelictions of management and the inaction of government regulators not doing their job. He took his work beyond auto safety to include fuel efficiencies, emitted pollutants, and sloppy vehicle construction and design.

The son of a service manager in a Chevrolet dealership in Pennsylvania, this cheerful fighter for highway safety knew about inside relationships between dealers and their auto companies that cost the consumers so much.

Consider how he made concrete the ethics of prevention touted by the engineering and legal professions:

  1. Illustrative of many other previous major recalls, Mr. Ditlow’s Center was the primary force behind recent recalls of 7 million Toyotas for sudden acceleration, 2 million Jeeps for fuel tank fires, 11 million GM vehicles for defective ignition switches, and more than 60 million faulty Takata airbag inflators. (See http://www.autosafety.org/statement-of-the-center-for-auto-safety-on-the-death-of-executive-director-clarence-m-ditlow-iii/.)
  2. Ditlow launched in 2008 the Safe Climate Campaign to press for more fuel efficient, less-polluting vehicles.
  3. He and his Center staff were leaders in pressing for Congressional passage of the 1975 Magnuson-Moss Warranty Act, the fuel economy provisions of the Energy Policy and Conservation Act and the disclosure of hitherto secret automotive technical service bulletins sent to dealers by auto manufacturers alerting them to hazardous defects in their cars.

After the passage of each law, Mr. Ditlow watchdogged the implementation, or lack thereof. He even conducted seminars for lawyers to learn the intricacies of the Magnuson-Moss Warranty Act to help them represent motorists who have been ripped off by the automotive industry.

An educator at heart, Mr. Ditlow authored or co-authored numerous books, most notably The Lemon Book, as well as The Lemon Law Litigation Manual, Little Secrets of the Auto Industry and the Annual Automobile Design Liability Manual (published by Thomson Reuters).

The Lemon Book, which he co-authored with me, was a comprehensive guide for motorists to avoid, defend and deter bad practices in the automotive marketplace. It helped that Clarence Ditlow was the indefatigable promoter of enacting lemon laws in all 50 states which led to thousands of lawyers representing owners of lemon automobiles nationwide.

A little known side of this safety advocate was his view of the auto insurance industry’s responsibilities to engage in loss-prevention activities. Fewer crashes, fewer injuries, mean fewer claims on these companies. Years ago he persuaded some of them to work with his organization to advance safer road and highway engineering.

You could hardly have imagined a more perfect blend of knowledge, compassion, persistence, resilience, extraordinary strategic and communication abilities and factual diligence as was embodied in such an amiable man. He was a civic personality par excellence who never wavered in his many fights with wayward corporate adversaries.

Self-effacing and ethical, he did not ask anything for himself, receiving a very modest salary, living a simple and courageous life, as his wife, Marilyn Herman recounted in his final days.

Even those close to the auto industry had great respect for Clarence. Keith Crain, Editor-in-Chief of the renowned Automotive News told me today: “Clarence Ditlow should be remembered for saving thousands of lives. That was his most important contribution to society. He cannot be replaced.”

Hurricane Donald And The Storms Of Changing Climate – OpEd

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John Feffer argued on Wednesday that Demagogue Donald, whose very existence will lead me to pretend I’m not from the U.S. the next time I’m in Europe, is part of a wider trend that’s already hit Europe hard:

“The ugliness has been percolating in Europe for some time now. It wasn’t just Brexit, Britain’s unexpected rejection of the European Union. It was the election of militant populists throughout Eastern Europe — Viktor Orban in Hungary, Robert Fico in Slovakia, the party of Jaroslaw Kaczynski in Poland. It was the electoral surge of the National Front in France and the Alternative fur Deutschland in Germany. It was the backlash against immigrants, social welfare programs, and ‘lazy Mediterraneans’ — but also against bankers and Brussels bureaucrats.”

I think the trend is even wider and deeper if the trend we’re talking about is that of making everything worse, of increasing inequality, of increasing militarism, of destroying the environment, of pushing profit over people. If that’s the trend, the bankers are its vanguard, not its victims, and it has saturated the international establishment almost as thoroughly as it has the rightwing sectarians.

But the trend Feffer seems to have in mind is one of nationalism or ethnic identity or racism in opposition to global humanitarianism. Feffer’s new dystopian novel, Splinterlands, tells a future of shattered nations and international institutions, replaced with ever smaller and more disastrous warring city states. It’s a vision that should disturb us deeply, a vision of what this world could actually become if it gains nothing in wisdom, miraculously survives its nuclear weapons, and plows right ahead into climate chaos and total capitalist consumption.

Feffer’s utopia seems to be a globe unified in peace. But his dystopia is not unlike that of an author like Ian Morris whose utopia is a globe unified by imperial war. The great threat on the horizon for both is balkanization or splintering. Feffer sees this brought on by bigotry, militarism, and environmental destruction. Morris sees the threat as, basically, un-Americanism. But where does barbaric tribalism stop and the promotion of more direct local democracy begin? Is bigger always better and smaller always worse?

Feffer may not think so, because, in fact, a small utopia hidden in one corner of a sinking Titanicof an earth shows up in Splinterlands — something of a Luddite communal organic farm of a sort that essentially exists right now, a creation that cannot save us all or even itself unless expanded to a radically larger scale or duplicated innumerable times. The trick, then, may be to duplicate sustainable and just local living within a global system of nonviolent dispute resolution, cooperation, and fairness.

Feffer says he thought a Trump figure wouldn’t arrive for four more years — though it’s interesting that a big role in his fictionalized future dismantling of the world is played by a hurricane named Donald. My question is whether Trump’s disastrous arrival might not in some ways be put to good use toward human survival. I’m thinking of a particular good use to which Hillary Clinton’s disastrous arrival would not have leant itself. That is to say, can we not now appeal to other nations to recognize that the presence of U.S. military troops on their soil represents their subservience to the odious Donald Trump, a figure hardly to be imagined as the mythical Barack Obama, man of peace?

Can we encourage nonviolent resistance to U.S. militarism without encouraging a dive into a dystopian Splinterlands? Can the world refuse to participate in U.S. wars and U.S. weapons dealing while increasing its participation in cooperative non-military endeavors with the United States and the globe? Can U.S.-led war making, and the war making of other nations, come to be understood as the enemy of good globalism, not as the embodiment of UN humanitarian intervention in the affairs of those deemed less developed?

The alternative to the world figuring out how to resist U.S. wars would seem to be the people of the United States shutting down its war machine from within, without the assistance of the other 96%. But how does that seem to be working out?

Economic Benefits Of Trump Victory Likely To Be Smaller-Than-Expected For Russia, Say Analysts

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By Leman Zeynalova

The benefits of Donald Trump’s victory in the US presidential election for Russia are likely to be smaller than expected, according to the analysts of the UK Capital Economics consulting company.

“Trump’s victory in the US presidential election has raised hopes in some quarters that economic sanctions on Russia will be lifted. As things stand, this is far from certain,” said the analysis obtained by Trend.

The analysts believe that even if sanctions were removed, the benefits for Russia’s economy and its financial markets would probably be smaller than most seem to think.

Moreover, according to Capital Economics, it’s not clear whether Trump would be as willing to lift sanctions as some suggest.

“He may be unlikely to act unilaterally on this issue. Just as importantly, Trump’s policy goals are centered on domestic issues,” said the analysis.

The main economic benefit would come from improving external financing conditions, permitting Russian firms to roll over external debts more easily, according to Capital Economics.

“That would allow for higher investment and stronger GDP growth,” the analysts said.

The US held presidential election November 8. Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump won the election.

South Africa And Botswana Review Progress Of Bilateral Relations

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South Africa and Botswana have reaffirmed their commitment to deepening existing strategic cooperation and prioritising economic diversification and manufacturing in order to grow economies and create jobs.

South Africa’s President Jacob Zuma and his Botswana counterpart, Seretse Khama Ian Khama met on Friday, in Pretoria, for the third session of the Botswana-South Africa Bi-National Commission (BNC).

They noted with satisfaction, ongoing progress in many areas of cooperation, including agriculture, defence and security, education, energy, environment, health, home affairs, justice, labour, minerals, science and technology, trade and industry, sports, transport and water.

Speaking at the opening of the session, President Zuma said because of geographical proximity, historical and cultural ties, cooperation between the two countries spans across a broad spectrum of areas.

“Growing our economic ties and investments is fundamental for both our countries, as these will help to eradicate poverty, unemployment and underdevelopment,” said President Zuma.

Drought, water shortages

With the Southern African Development Community (SADC) region experiencing drought and water shortages – President Zuma said the region needs to explore the possibility of hosting a special summit to discuss the drought and solutions thereof.

The drought has significantly reduced crop production throughout Southern Africa which has a far-reaching impact on food security and food prices.

“It is therefore vital that we fast track our work on the Lesotho Highlands Water Transfer Project in an effort to address the water shortage crisis.”

Regional Indicative Strategic Development Plan

The region also needs to work diligently on the implementation of the SADC Industrialisation Strategy and Regional Indicative Strategic Development Plan to create regional value chains and manufacturing capacities.

The Revised Regional Indicative Strategic Development Plan (RISDP 2015-2020) acts as a guide to the implementation of SADC programmes in the next five years and will focus on four priority areas, namely, industrial development and market integration; infrastructure in support of regional integration, peace and security cooperation, and special programmes of a regional dimension.

“Key in this regard is a need to identify and prioritise projects that will have a regional and cross border dimension.”

50th Independence anniversary

President Zuma went on to congratulate the Batswana nation on their 50th Independence anniversary.

“We are all impressed with your country’s achievements. Your country has recorded remarkable achievements since independence, becoming a model of democracy, stability and rule of law.

“Significantly, successive governments in Botswana have been able to manage the profits of their natural resources to the betterment and development of the country. This is something that many in the continent may consider emulating.”

SA, Botswana share a special bond

President Ian Khama for his part said South Africa and other friends in the region contributed in some way or another to the development in Botswana.

“As we move forward – close collaboration with our partners like South Africa will be fundamental in order for us to reach our targets as outlined in our national plan, the Vision 2036.”

South Africa and Botswana share a special bond of friendship by virtue of the geography, history and cultural ties.

“We are here to foster even closer cooperation between the governments and the people Botswana and South Africa. “

The BNC, he added, offers both countries an opportunity to review the state of bilateral relations as well as progress made in deepening collaboration.

“This important platform also enables us to exchange views on bilateral, regional and international issues which have a bearing on the development and prosperity of our respective countries.

“This meeting is also a platform for us to devise the common challenges that confront us as neighbours whose economies are interdependent. This will also enable us to consolidate political and socioeconomic gains that we have achieved thus far. “

A total of 36 agreements and Memoranda of Understanding have been signed between the two countries. As such the Heads of State emphasised on the need to fully implement all the decisions.

Regional front

On the regional front – they reaffirmed commitment to working together in pursuit of sustainable peace and stability in the region. They further expressed concern of the continuing peace and security challenges in the continent particularly the emergence of extremism and terrorism and called for a coordinated and collaborative continental efforts to deal with them.

South Africa remains one of the major trading partners of Botswana. In 2015, South Africa’s total bilateral trade with Botswana stood at R 57.97 billion.

There is a large presence of South African companies in Botswana, which are involved in various sectors such as housing, food and beverages, construction, retail, hotels and leisure, banking and medical services – which contribute to the growth and development of both the economies.

How Donald Trumped Hillary – Analysis

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By Ashok Sajjanhar*

On the morning (IST) of 9 November, a veritable earthquake of high intensity on the political Richter scale jolted the world. Within a few hours, the huge edifice so painstakingly constructed by the media over the last more than a year giving a decisive edge to Hillary Rodham Clinton in the long-drawn bruising battle for the Presidency of the United States, arguably the most powerful job in the world, came crumbling down.

Although it was being routinely mentioned by all analysts and commentators that the election was too close to call and that it was a neck-to-neck battle between the two contenders, it had been taken for granted by the world, as also by a significant section of the vocal US electorate, that Hillary Clinton would win convincingly at the hustings. The only factor unknown was the margin by which she would romp home.

The confidence of pollsters misled Hillary’s supporters to consider her win as a foregone conclusion. This made the voting result even more shocking and stunning.

It is not the first time that poll predictions and projections have gone astray. Not long ago, the Brexit projections met the same fate. Several months ago in July 2016 when Donald Trump was declared the official nominee at the Republican National Convention, I had termed it as the Brexit moment of the USA. The wide discrepancy and divergence in nearly all poll forecasts in the Presidential election has seriously dented and diminished the credibility of mainstream media. It will take it a long time to recover from this blow.

Several questions emerge. How did Trump manage to do it? Was it only limited to his appeal and outreach or did his opponent’s perceived inadequacies and character traits also contribute to her defeat? Is Hillary’s defeat also a reflection on Barack Obama’s tenure of eight years? Some commentators in India have sought to speak about Trump’s victory in the same breath as Prime Minister Modi’s triumph in 2014. Are the two comparable in any way? Let me try to briefly respond to these and some other related questions.

A whole host of reasons can be attributed to Trump’s decisive win. On the top must feature the fact that Trump was able to sense and capture the anger, disaffection and frustration of the ordinary white male, less educated, unemployed or underemployed blue collar worker in the rust belt. This segment has seen its living standards fall, factories close down, healthcare costs rise, infrastructure deteriorate, continuing economic decline and urban decay, growing disparity between rich and poor etc. This large segment of the population had witnessed role of minorities and immigrants grow to their disadvantage and at their expense. This group was deeply resentful of policies pursued by Washington in Middle East and Syria as it felt that USA should not be involved in actions far away from its territory which were sapping its economic and human strength. Trump was able to appeal to this large aggrieved, distressed and exploited swathe of people and directed their wrath at the Washington establishment of which Hillary Clinton has been an integral part and significant player in her capacity as first lady, senator and Secretary of State for the last several decades. Hillary’s election would mean four more years of the same policies that had been pursued over the last eight years. On the contrary Trump has been a businessman all his life. He knows how to deal with foreign countries and companies, create wealth as well as jobs and employment. The left-leaning liberal media was not able to sense this angst and despair as it was living in a self created bubble in which its own thoughts and voices were reverberating and getting reinforced after being reflected by those who mirrored and shared the same opinions and views.

In addition to the deteriorating economy, immigration became a big issue both because illegal migrants were seen to be taking away jobs of Americans and also because of the radical Islamist terror that they were fomenting. Several recent terror attacks in San Bernardino, California; Orlando; Chattanooga, Tennessee and others had brought home to the people the lurking dangers of terrorism. It is in this context that the rhetoric of constructing a wall on the border with Mexico and making it pay for it, as well as temporarily banning the entry of Muslims and “suspending immigration from regions linked with terrorism until a proven vetting method is in place” found resonance amongst the people. This bombastic rhetoric which initially surfaced after the Bernardino killings in Dec, 2015 was progressively watered down to the above proposition in June, 2016.

Trump was able to provide a grand “vision” and hope of better days to the people. His slogan of “Making America Great Again” struck a chord with ordinary Americans and gave them a reason to look forward to better days in future. On the contrary, the lack lustre and dull campaigning style of Hillary failed to establish a rapport with the common people or provide them with any optimism for the future.

Trump was seen as a person who spoke from the heart and who was able to put his finger on the pulse of the people. Hillary was on the other hand seen to be a long serving member of the establishment who was always politically correct in her pronouncements. Common people wanted to hear and relate to someone who spoke their language, was candid, forthright, honest and said what they were thinking and feeling. This Hillary was unable to achieve.

It would however be wrong to say that it was a Trump victory outright. He was assisted in this heavily by the deep distrust and disaffection bordering on revulsion that Hillary Clinton aroused in a large number of common citizens. Starting from her use of a personal server for her emails thereby jeopardising security of the nation to receiving large funds for the Clinton Foundation from Saudi Arabia and other Gulf countries, people looked upon her as being dishonest and unscrupulous. She was not able to energise and enthuse even her core constituencies like the women voters by projecting her candidature as the historic opportunity to shatter the glass ceiling by becoming the first woman President of the country. Many supporters of Bernie Sanders and those who had voted for Obama voted for Trump and not for her.

The election result cannot be seen as a reflection on the popularity of President Obama or a referendum on his Presidency. He had taken over an economy in early 2009 which was deep in throes of recession. Today the economy is cruising along at a healthy pace of 2.9%. Obama’s popularity ratings are also poised at a healthy, robust level of around 53% which is the highest any US President has enjoyed at this stage in his career. Obama has also had many significant achievements on the foreign policy front like Agreements with Iran and Cuba, disengagement and recall of most US forces from Afghanistan and much stronger and vibrant ties with India. Hillary’s defeat is in spite of Obama’s impressive performance and record and not because of it. Both he and his wife Michelle campaigned relentlessly and aggressively for her but the sense of “fatigue”, “anti-incumbency” and the deep yearning for “change” tilted the scales heavily in favour of Trump.

Lastly, it would not be prudent to compare Trump’s victory with that of Prime Minister Modi in 2014. First, Modi’s victory in 2014 did not come as a surprise. The only aspect not clear in 2014 was the margin of victory. It was always known with the enthusiastic response that Modi’s rallies and meetings were evoking that Modi would romp home convincingly. It appears that Trump’s win came as a surprise even to most Trumpers!! Second, Modi never made the sort of derogatory, scurrilous and slanderous comments against minorities, immigrants, women etc as done by Trump. Third, Trump has won when performance of incumbent Obama Administration cannot be criticised beyond a point. On the contrary the UPA government in India was saddled with a number of scandals and scams like CWG, 2G, Coalgate etc, afflicted by policy paralysis and staring at abysmally low economic growth before the elections in 2014. PM Modi conducted a vigorous and spirited campaign through the length and breadth of the country which completely demolished the opposition at the hustings.

The world waits with bated breath to see the first moves of President elect Trump and his selection of senior officials and advisers in his administration. This will give an indication of policies he would follow on the domestic and international arena over the coming four years.

*The author is a former Indian Ambassador to Kazakhstan, Sweden and Latvia.

The Italian Left And Palestine: It’s Now Or Never – OpEd

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By Romana Rubeo*

Trying to retrace Italy’s position on Palestine means, in some ways, following the same painful history that has marked the emptying of the Italian left, the abandonment of the values which characterized it and made it great, the missing of both our goals and benchmarks.

The same subservience that characterizes the action of the left on all fields also is also reflected in its foreign policies: nobody takes a clear stand and everything seems to be surrounded by a certain degree of ideological confusion as to the cornerstones that should guide our choices.

For many years, the Italian left has been an important point of reference for the Palestinian liberation movement, but even in this specific field we weren’t able to come through neo-liberalism and Islamophobic rhetoric following 9/11 unscathed. Pressed on all fronts, we have given way to the prevailing narrative of the enemy, adopting its conceptual categories.

During Israel’s military operations in the Gaza Strip, part of the left tried to speak out, but even in this case, it was not done in reference to a solid it theoretical foundation, necessary in order to avoid the empty rhetoric of a purely humanitarian interest, focusing solely on brutality and on inaccurate death tolls, and not bringing attention to the very root of the problems.

The Palestinian resistance movement is a broader liberation struggle against imperialism, colonialism and neo-colonialism, and for this reason it is still essential in order to decipher the Middle East Region; it is fundamental for a left-wing a party or a movement to consider this perspective.

In recent months, there has been a fervent debate about the future of the left in Italy, and about the possibility of creating a new entity, able to represent a viable alternative to the complete dismantling of the values that have shaped our history and our noble tradition.

As an activist, I am convinced that this new movement cannot remain silent in the face of what’s happening in Palestine and, more generally, in the Middle East. Again, the gap that separates us from Matteo Renzi’s policies seems unbridgeable: the statements of our Premier at the Knesset were incisive and clear; they showed a well-defined path, the same Italy has already undertaken during the last decades.

He moved the issue of the right to resistance from the side of the powerful (the State of Israel) and declared the Italian willingness to stand by Israel’s side in this challenge; after that, the reference to the “two-State solution” reiterated with Palestinian Authority President Mahmoud Abbas the next day in Bethlehem sounded even more empty and purely rhetorical. And now history is repeating itself, with Renzi’s inaccurate and nonsensical comments on UNESCO resolution.

Building a left-wing movement which is not subservient towards the dominant perspective on history is a true challenge: and I believe that the discussion should be frank and open, in all the fields and in particular as regards the Palestinian question.

In my opinion, the left-wing movement to be built should get rid of some taboos and reconsider its choices in the framework of a clear theoretical apparatus, in order to develop an independent way of thinking and trace a new direction.

For example, we cannot consider the BDS as a taboo: Matteo Renzi branded it as “sterile and stupid”; at the very best, it is presented as a measure that hinders the building of bridges for freedom and co-existence, as stated by the popular writer JK Rowling. Such a stance clearly does not take into account the context of apartheid in which the Palestinian people live and also, it denies the right to a form of non-violent resistance, which was internationally supported in South Africa.

Another taboo we should get rid of is the uncritical condemnation to all forms of violence, which often leads to a short-sighted reading of the facts, without the filter of the lens of a people’s right to resistance. Italy, as we know it, was born out of Resistance; we should be proud of our history and express full solidarity with all people struggling to free themselves from the grip of occupation. Even in condemning radicalism and extremism, we cannot neglect to consider the internal and external factors that ultimately determine them, or we will succumb to simplistic and Manichaean judgments.

Moreover, we should start to doubt the formula that we repeated like a mantra every time we were questioned on this issue: “two states for two peoples”. A mantra that, we must be honest, served the objective of having a clear conscience; however, confidence in the negotiation as the sole criterion of conflict resolution is dead and gone after Oslo. We should renew our conceptual categories in the light of history, if we don’t want to fall into a purely rhetorical vortex that clears us from all responsibilities.

“It’s now or never”; that’s what I think every time I look at this desolating situation, where our traditional values are relentlessly under attack; the greatest achievements of the 20th centuries are described as outdated burdens hindering the myth of progress, and blamed for a crisis that instead is the result of the internal contradictions of capitalism; the social fabric is so disrupted that every individual is completely shut down, and keeps blaming the victims instead of the perpetrators.

“It’s now or never” we have the chance to build a left that cannot remain silent, a left that is able to take a clear stance in the conflict between the powerful and the powerless.

*Romana Rubeo is a freelance translator based in Italy. She holds a Master’s degree in Foreign Languages and Literature and she is specialized in Audiovisual and Journalism Translation. An avid reader, her interests include music, politics, and geopolitics. She contributed this article to PalestineChronicle.com.


How Europe Should Deal With A Trump Administration – Analysis

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By Ulrich Speck*

It is very tempting for political leaders to react to Donald Trump’s victory with anger or disdain. Leaders who express such sentiments can be sure to be applauded. And we have seen plenty of such statements over the past few days.

But to alienate the next US President is unwise, as it will harm European interests. Instead, Europe must try to influence Trump’s policies and his decision-making by engaging with him. And it must start to work on a plan B.

Geopolitically, Europe is far from being strong or independent enough to survive a more or less hostile Trump presidency without major damage. It needs an active and engaged US to keep NATO alive and kicking, to help manage relations with Russia and to deal with growing instability in the Middle East and North Africa. Furthermore, Europe has a major interest in being involved in US-Chinese relations, as peace in East Asia is vital for the European economy.

All these goals cannot be achieved against the US, or independently from the US. In the past, it was US leadership on all these issues that provided Europe with a framework in which it could prosper.

But now the cards are being shuffled anew. It is totally unclear whether Donald Trump is inclined to continue the policies the US has pursued over the past decades in Europe or whether he even sees Europe as a valuable partner.

There is no way of knowing to what extent Trump means what he said during the campaign, and whether these ideas will fundamentally change once they are transformed into policies by a larger political and bureaucratic apparatus. His intentions are as unclear as his priorities; and he has no record as a politician to give observers a hint of what he might do.

A good start is to consider the worst-case assumption that Trump might follow through with what he said during the campaign. If he is serious, we might see policies that will put NATO’s existence at risk, a deal with Putin over the delineation of spheres of influence, unconditional support for Russia and Assad in Syria, and protectionist economic policies with disruptive effects on the global economy. And that would just be the beginning.

European leaders should therefore rapidly cease commenting on Trump’s elections from the sidelines and move towards a strategy of damage control.

Such a strategy would involve two elements:

  1. Resist: European leaders –including the UK– should resist any attempt by the Trump Administration to weaken and undermine NATO. They must oppose a grand bargain with Trump over Eastern Europe –especially Ukraine– and the Middle East –especially Syria–.European leaders must present unity towards Washington, and they must understand that the only way to prevent the worst from happening is to act in concert. They should start right now to build such a united front: defining their goals and red lines, agreeing on tactics and strategies of how to protect their core interests against a potential assault from a Trump Administration.
  2. Integrate: at the same time, Europeans must reach out to Trump and to his team. They should start a broad charm offensive. But not independently, but rather in coordination.Donald Trump is unprepared and unexperienced. He has some general ideas or feelings’ but so far no clear policies. European leaders, especially in Germany, France and the UK –those Trump might take more seriously– must seek to influence his views and policies especially with regard to Europe’s core interests. The more often they talk to him the better. Russia’s President Vladimir Putin has already started his own charm offensive, and European leaders should not leave the floor to such a very skilled political operator.

Nevertheless, there is no guarantee that a strategy of this kind would be successful. Trump might just ignore Europe’s leaders and go ahead with policies that damage European interests. But given the enormous stakes at play, Europe’s leaders should at least try and make an effort.

At the same time, Europeans need to start working on a plan B, which would consist, broadly speaking, of gaining greater independence from the US along with a growing ability to act alone.

Even if things go well, America will still expect the Europeans to do much much more with regard to their own security and their eastern and southern neighbourhoods. Among the items on which Obama and Trump are in agreement is that the Europeans must share more of the burden for the alliance. Both leaders have talked about European ‘free-riding’.

Trump’s election should bring home the point to Europe that this is not just the usual bargaining over burden-sharing among trusted allies. In his farewell speech as US Secretary of Defense in Brussels, Robert Gates in June 2011 warned that ‘Future US political leaders –those for whom the Cold War was not the formative experience that it was for me– may not consider the return on America’s investment in NATO worth the cost’.

With Trump now President-elect, the moment of truth may well come much earlier than many have been led to think.

At any event, Europeans need to become more independent with regard to their security. In the best case this would help retain the US engaged as a partner, as it will be able to see Europe doing its part. In the worst case, should American disengage from NATO, Europe will have already have set up structures to at least partly fill the void.

This is an issue in which the capitals of the major European powers need to take the lead: Berlin, Paris and London, as well as Rome, Madrid and Warsaw. And it will take some time. But the outcome of the 2016 US election ought to serve as a wake-up call that American protection can no longer simply be taken for granted.

About the author:
*Ulrich Speck,
Senior Research Fellow at the Elcano Royal Institute’s office in Brussels | @ulrichspeck

Source:
This article was published at Elcano Royal Institute

Hillary Clinton Supporters Petition To Force Electoral College To Vote For Her December 19

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Following Donald Trump’s win, Hillary Clinton’s supporters are not giving in – they have launched an online petition calling upon the Electoral College to vote for Clinton instead of Trump.

This Tuesday’s vote in the US Presidential election determined the electors in the Electoral College. On December 19 these electors will in turn cast the votes to legally elect the US president. Their vote, however, is extremely unlikely to change the results, being a purely a ceremonial occasion.

Clinton’s supporters in their petition on change.org are not losing hope though – they are calling on the electors “to ignore their states’ votes and cast their ballots for [former] Secretary Clinton.”

“Why? Mr. Trump is unfit to serve. His scapegoating of so many Americans, and his impulsivity, bullying, lying, admitted history of sexual assault, and utter lack of experience make him a danger to the Republic,” the petition states. “There is no reason Trump should be President. It’s the ‘People’s Will’”

Around 3.3 million people have signed the petition so far.

Winning the popular vote was a bitter consolation prize for Clinton, as overall victory is based on the 538 members of the Electoral College, each of whom represent a state or the District of Columbia based on population.

The number of electoral voters a state gets is equal to its representation in Congress, with a minimum of three (Delaware, DC, Montana, North Dakota, South Dakota, Vermont and Wyoming) and the highest currently being 55 (California). The winning candidate must receive at least 270 votes in the Electoral College. With Michigan (16) and New Hampshire (4) still outstanding, Trump has 290 electoral votes and Clinton only 218.

“Hillary won the popular vote. The only reason Trump ‘won’ is because of the Electoral College. But the Electoral College can actually give the White House to either candidate. So why not use this most undemocratic of our institutions to ensure a democratic result?” the petition states.

The authors of the petition acknowledge that if electors “vote against their party, they usually pay a fine.”

“But they can vote however they want and there is no legal means to stop them in most states,” it adds.

When he is sworn into office, President-elect Donald Trump will become the fourth commander-in-chief in US history to win in the Electoral College vote while losing the popular vote.

George W. Bush did the same in the controversial 2000 election. It also happened twice in 12 years in the 1800s: Rutherford B. Hayes won in 1876, and Benjamin Harrison in 1888. Hayes suffered the biggest loss in the popular vote, losing by 3 percentage points to Southern Democrat Samuel Tilden. Trump came in second by 1.2 percent. Both Bush and Harrison lost by less than a percent to Vice President Al Gore and incumbent President Grover Cleveland respectively, according to Dave Leip’s Atlas of US Presidents.

There was only one other time that a president entered the White House without winning the popular vote, and that was in 1824, due to a four-way race that did not produce a winner in the Electoral College, forcing the House of Representatives to decide, in accordance with the 12th Amendment. The House elected John Quincy Adams as president. At that point in time, candidates did not run as a combined presidential and vice presidential ticket, and John C. Calhoun won the vice presidency outright.

Afghanistan: Taliban Claim Responsibility For Suicide Bombing Of German Consulate

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The Taliban says it carried out a suicide bomb attack on the German consulate in Afghanistan.

At least four civilians were killed and scores hurt when a car packed with explosives rammed into a wall surrounding the compound in the northern city of Mazar-i-Sharif.

Heavily armed attackers followed up the blast, battling with Afghan and German security forces late into the night.

The explosion is said to caused “massive damage”.

All Germans at the site were rescued unharmed.

A Taliban spokesman said the attack was in response to NATO air strikes against suspected militants last week in the city of Kunduz, in which dozens of Afghan civilians were killed.

The strikes were called in after US and local troops came under heavy fire during an operation in which two American service members also died.

The German foreign ministry has formed a crisis task force in response to the consulate attack.

Original source

India’s Foreign Aid To South Asia – Analysis

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By Preety Bhogal

The title of ‘foreign aid donor’ is no longer exclusive to rich developed economies. Many developing countries have lately transformed themselves from aid recipients into aid donors. India is an example of such a transformation. Despite receiving aid for years, India has extended development, humanitarian and technical assistance to countries in different parts of the world. South Asia is one of the major recipients of aid from India. It is important to explore India’s interests in providing aid to her neighbours.

India emerged as a benevolent donor for her immediate neighbours with total foreign assistance, including technical and economic cooperation, and loans to foreign governments, increasing dramatically over the past years. During 2009-10, India provided US$ 383.01 million in aid and loans to South Asian countries (except Pakistan), which has expanded to US$ 1,149 million in 2015-16. Out of India’s total foreign aid budget in 2015-16, about 74.6 percent was pledged for Bhutan, followed by 9.1 percent for Afghanistan, 6.6 percent for Sri Lanka, 4 percent for Nepal and 2.8 percent each for Bangladesh and Maldives. The pattern of aid allocation in South Asia has however remained constant during 2009/10 — 2015/16, with Bhutan continuing its reign over the aid budget.

The relative shares of these economies in the aid outlay indicate their reliance on India on the one hand, and India’s strategic and economic interests in them on the other. It is noteworthy that aid by India to smaller nations in the neighbourhood goes beyond altruism. A clearer understanding of India’s motives for extending aid to South Asian economies comes from a critical analysis of her aid programs.

India’s aid programs in South Asia

Bhutan is a landlocked country and has more than half of its trade with India. In 2015-16, the bilateral trade between India and Bhutan stood at US$ 750.22 million, which represents nearly 55 percent growth over the previous year. Bhutan holds greater significance for India as it is an important source of India’s imports of electricity, base minerals, cement, chemicals and wood products. Particularly, hydropower electricity is central to cooperation between India and Bhutan. A major part of India’s aid to Bhutan during 2016-17 — approximately 78 percent is budgeted for construction of hydropower projects namely 1200 megawatts (MW) Punatsangchhu-I, 1020 MW Punatsangchhu-II, 720 MW Mangdechhu and 600 MW Kholongchhu, among others. Developing large hydropower projects in Bhutan is in India’s economic interests as it gets easy access to cheap electricity, especially during times of power shortages. With escalating demand and competition over energy resources in the world, India is undertaking numerous projects in its neighbourhood for securing reliable and cheap sources of energy supplies.

Driven by similar interests, India has endeavoured to strengthen relations with Afghanistan, which provides an easy route to Central Asia — the hub of energy, minerals and gas resources and access to markets in the Middle East and Europe. India’s foreign aid activities are mainly focused on reconstruction and development of Afghanistan, which would provide security and economic benefits to India in the longer term. Various infrastructure projects, including construction of the Afghan Parliament, Salma dam — hydropower and irrigation project, Zaranj-Delaram highway project (linking Delaram road in Afghanistan to Iranian border Zaranj) have been initiated by the Indian government in Afghanistan with an intention of greater access to country’s energy markets. India’s foreign policy for Afghanistan has significantly changed over time in response to Kabul’s growing centrality in many energy projects such as Turkmenistan-Afghanistan-Pakistan-India gas pipeline project, and the Central Asia and South Asia 1000 electricity transmission and trade project.

India is also funding various infrastructure development projects in Sri Lanka, Bangladesh, Nepal and the Maldives. These are typically ‘aid for trade’ projects as they aim at developing these countries’ trade capacity and infrastructure (roads, sea ports and airports), which significantly alters the time and costs of trading with them. Due to limited transport arrangements connecting countries in South Asia, trade costs (or transport costs) are typically high for traders in this region. India intends to reduce the cost of trading by directing aid towards improving regional transport connectivity, especially between north-eastern states in India and landlocked countries like Bangladesh, Bhutan and Nepal. Enhancing connectivity among countries in South Asia fosters regional growth and prosperity.

Besides economic interests, India also has strategic and security interests in South Asia that it pursues through its foreign aid programs. Bhutan, Bangladesh and Nepal share borders with both India and China. Should China gain access to these countries, it would open an easy route for it to eastern and north-eastern states in India. This raises a security concern for India. In response to this threat and to ensure regional connectivity, India is engaging with South Asian countries on a sub-regional level. It has inked motor vehicle agreements with Bangladesh, Bhutan and Nepal, which would provide an easy and seamless movement of cargo, people and vehicles among them.

China is relentlessly competing with India for power and influence in South Asia. It has been trying to strengthen its relations with South Asian countries due to their immense potential in energy and trade markets. These economies are also a significant part of China’s string of pearls strategy and would help to encircle the Indian Ocean, thus establishing China’s control over important sea trade routes. China has also shown interest in stabilising Afghanistan in order to establish safe trade and transport networks in the region. Yet, this appears to be challenging given China’s interests in bolstering the military capabilities of Pakistan, which is alleged to be inflicting terror in South Asia. China has invested funds of nearly US$ 46 billion in the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor project that would link western China to Gwadar port in Pakistan through a network of roads and railways. This would open markets for China in western Asia, extending to Central Asia and Europe. In order to check China’s growing footprints in South Asia, India has expedited its own plans to establish links with Chabahar port in Iran via Afghanistan.

Foreign aid models — India versus the West

Traditional theories of foreign aid suggest that western countries generally provide conditional aid, which might not promote economic and social development of the recipient. Aid by western countries is tied to the recipient’s assent to neoliberal preconditions (ranging from trade-investment liberalisation to governance and human rights) as set out in the ‘Washington Consensus’. The low level of development in recipient countries however makes it difficult for them to comply with the radical democratic reforms stipulated by the consensus. This is exemplified by the persistently low levels of development and income in Africa despite receiving plenty of foreign aid from United States, which apparently is also its largest trade partner. The western countries did not invest adequately in developing the African economy, which is endowed with a large natural and human resource base.

Alongside conditional transfers, a significant proportion of aid from the west is targeted at social sectors like education, health, sanitation and water supply, government and civil society, among others. Nearly 42 percent of the total aid commitments by various donor countries in 2013 were focused in Africa’s social sector in comparison to only 19 percent for the economic and production sectors. United Kingdom has been a significant contributor of aid to Africa for years. However, this aid is concentrated mainly into relief and disease prevention programs. This kind of assistance surely alleviates distress in the shorter term but does little to build recipient’s capacity to become self-reliant, which fosters long-term self-sustaining growth. Instead it is recommended that western countries should direct aid towards productive sectors that could generate employment and income for the recipients in the long run. The focus of any aid model should be domestic resource mobilization and infrastructure development, which are pivotal in promoting self-reliance among the recipients.

Indian aid perfectly fills this space as it provides untied aid in the form of concessional grants and loans to her neighbours, targeted at infrastructure development. India provides aid to her neighbours in sectors that hold mutual economic-strategic interest, such as transport, energy and democracy. In this manner, India acknowledges the development needs of her neighbours, especially smaller landlocked countries like Bhutan and Nepal. Development cooperation is encouraged in areas with vast potential such as hydropower electricity in Bhutan, road and rail connectivity projects in Nepal. Indian aid programs also do not interfere with recipient’s domestic policies and respect their sovereignty. These programs thus are incongruent to western aid strategy as they have a direct impact on development of the recipient via targeted investment in sectors like energy, manufacturing, connectivity, trade infrastructure etc.

Teresa Hayter succinctly describes foreign aid as an instrument for promoting imperialism because it sustains the unequal relationship between donor and recipient. Foreign assistance from India however does not promote a culture of pauperization (or absolute dependence) in the recipient country as advocated by traditional foreign aid theorists. India’s aid strategy in South Asia rests on tenets of common development, equality and mutual benefit. In addition, Indian aid projects provide autonomy to the recipients as these are based on a demand-driven approach wherein aid-receiving countries identify priority sectors for investment and development cooperation. These sectors are predominantly energy and transport, which are pivotal to development of the entire South Asian region. India’s aid strategy in South Asia is focused on enhancing the export potential of the recipients’ priority sectors by providing them support in the form of technical knowledge, capital resources, capacity building etc.

India does not follow ‘one size fits all’ approach while providing aid to South Asian economies. It formulates an aid package specific to interests of the recipient country. For instance — in Afghanistan, India’s development assistance projects cater to stabilising the war-prone country, with looming security threats from extremist groups, by building the democratic capacity of the Afghan government and its institutions. This is quite different from India’s aid projects in countries like Bhutan, Bangladesh and Nepal where the majority of aid is concentrated in developing infrastructure for trade and transport connectivity.

It can be concluded that aid from India to South Asian economies, although contradicting the western approach, is potentially more beneficial and effective in achieving development goals because it is targeted at relevant productive sectors. An effective foreign aid strategy requires that donor nations respect recipients’ sovereignty and development needs. This is aptly demonstrated by India’s aid programs in South Asia that are based on common development goals and are guided by recipients’ needs and demand.

This article first appeared in Global Policy.

Saudi Arabia: Prince Turki Bin Abdulaziz Passes Away

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By Rashid Hassan

Saudi Arabia’s Custodian of the Two Holy Mosques King Salman led funeral prayers for Prince Turki bin Abdulaziz Al Saud after Asr prayer at Imam Turki bin Abdullah Mosque in Riyadh on Saturday. The king’s brother died late on Friday, a statement from the royal court published by the Saudi Press Agency (SPA) said.

Performing the funeral prayer with the king were Crown Prince Mohammed bin Naif, Deputy Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, and a number of princes.

Following the funeral prayer, the king received condolences from princes, officials and citizens. The body of Prince Turki was taken to Al-Oud Cemetery where he was buried.

Meanwhile, King Felipe VI of Spain, who was scheduled to arrive on a three-day visit to Riyadh on Saturday, postponed his official visit.

The Spanish Embassy in Riyadh confirmed the postponement of the royal visit saying, “the high-profile visit was postponed after the death of Prince Turki bin Abdulaziz.”

A statement issued by the Spanish Royal Court mourned the death of Prince Turki bin Abdulaziz.

When asked about the next date of the Riyadh visit by King Felipe VI, a senior diplomat at the Spanish Embassy told Arab News: “The new date of the royal visit has not been determined.”

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