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Lithuania To Reintroduce Military Draft Over Perceived Russian Threat

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(EurActiv) — Lithuania plans to restart military conscription, which it ended in 2008, to address growing concerns about Russian assertiveness in the Baltic region, President Dalia Grybauskaitė said on Tuesday.

“Today’s geopolitical environment requires us to strengthen the army, and do it as fast as possible,” Grybauskaitė said after a meeting of the country’s defence council.

The Baltic states are concerned that Russian annexation of Crimea and support for rebels in east Ukraine may be a foretaste of it reasserting itself in other former Soviet territories.

Latvia’s defence minister has suggested increasing army numbers by 2,000 to 7,000 men, but there are no plans to introduce the draft. Estonia has maintained conscription.

Lithuania’s new conscription would apply to men between the ages of 19 and 26 with exemptions for certain categories, such as university students and single fathers and would recruit around 3,500 men per year. It would be up for renewal after a 5-year period.

Lithuania’s parliament still needs to approve the plan.

The Baltic states spent much of the last century incorporated into the Soviet Union, and upon independence in 1991 quickly sought to join NATO and the European Union.

Lithuania borders the Russian enclave of Kaliningrad where Moscow carried out a military drill in December with 9,000 soldiers and more than 55 naval vessels.

NATO has increased the number of fighter planes patrolling the Baltic skies, intensified military drills and agreed to set up command centres there to protect the region in the event of any threat from Russia.

The post Lithuania To Reintroduce Military Draft Over Perceived Russian Threat appeared first on Eurasia Review.


Potential Market Implications Of Outage At ExxonMobil’s Torrance, California Refinery – Analysis

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On February 18, an explosion and fire occurred at the ExxonMobil refinery in Torrance, California. The Torrance refinery, the third-largest refinery in southern California, has about 20% of the region’s fluid catalytic cracking (FCC) capacity and is an important source of gasoline and distillate supply. Based on publicly available information, it can be estimated that Torrance produces about 117,000 barrels per day (bbl/d) of gasoline (about 15-20% of southern California’s supply) and about 50,000 bbl/d of distillate and jet fuel (about 10% of southern California supply).

Unplanned refinery outages can have noticeable impacts on liquid fuel markets, disrupting supplies of gasoline and distillate, particularly in regions that are tightly balanced, such as Petroleum Administration for Defense District (PADD) 5 (West Coast). While refineries make arrangements for alternative sources of supply during periods of planned maintenance to ensure that supply obligations are met, it sometimes takes days or weeks for markets to adjust to the sudden loss of production when an unexpected outage occurs. As a result, unplanned outages often result in a reduction in supply that causes prices to increase, sometimes dramatically. The severity and duration of these price spikes depend on how quickly the refinery issue can be resolved and how soon supply from alternative sources can reach the affected market. The recent incident at Exxon’s Torrance refinery in southern California is a case in point.

PADD 5 is relatively isolated from other U.S. markets and located far from international sources of supply, so the region is very dependent on in-region production to meet demand. Additionally, California’s more-restrictive gasoline specifications (CARBOB) limit the availability of supply from other markets. Mainland PADD 5 has three distinct supply/demand centers (Figure 1) and is geographically separated from other markets by mountains to the east and the Pacific Ocean to the west. As a result, moving product to southern California requires long lead times.maptwip150225fig1-lg

West Coast product markets reacted immediately to the potential loss of supply from the Torrance refinery. Spot prices in Los Angeles (LA) for CARBOB (California Reformulated Blendstock for Oxygenate Blending) gasoline increased $0.22 to $2.02 per gallon (gal) between February 17 and February 23. Spot CARBOB prices increased from $0.25 premium above the New York Mercantile Exchange (Nymex) Reformulated Blendstock for Oxygenate Blending (RBOB) front month futures contract, a standard pricing basis for gasoline, to $0.41 above over the same time.

This rapid price response is not unusual and is similar to what happened following past unplanned outages. During a series of West Coast supply disruptions in 2012, LA-CARBOB spot prices spiked higher to $1.16/gal over the Nymex RBOB front month contract (Figure 2). The 2012 spot price spikes, as well as price spikes during supply disruptions in California in 2008 and 2009, resulted in price increases that persisted for an average of eight weeks and took, on average, two weeks to be passed through to retail prices.

On February 23, average regular retail gasoline prices in California were $0.63/gal higher than the U.S. average, at $2.96/gal. California retail gasoline prices are typically $0.30-$0.40/gal above the national average retail gasoline price. PADD 5 as a whole had an average price of $2.76/gal.twip150225fig2-lg

The most immediate source of replacement product supply on the West Coast is regional inventories. As of February 20, diesel fuel inventories in PADD 5 are above the five-year average, and as a result supply is likely to be adequate assuming no additional disruptions or increases in demand. As of February 20, total PADD 5 gasoline inventories were just under 31 million barrels, sufficient to supply approximately 20 days of demand. However, EIA does not collect product inventories below the PADD level, and therefore does not know the inventory held in southern California. In addition, product exports from the region, to the extent they meet CARBOB specifications (and not all do), could be diverted to meet local demand.

Replacement supply could also reach southern California from a variety of locations outside the region, with differing logistical limitations and lead times. Potential sources of alternative product supply include refineries in northern California and the Pacific Northwest, the U.S. Gulf Coast (USGC), and imports.

Refineries in northern California as well as Tesoro’s Anacortes refinery and BP’s Cherry Point refinery in Washington State can produce CARBOB. In addition, some refineries along the U.S. Gulf Coast (USGC), a region that produces more gasoline than is consumed locally, and can also produce CARBOB. Resupply from these refineries, which would require a U.S. coast-wise compliant vessel, could take three to four weeks to reach southern California, taking into account both the time needed to manufacture and deliver CARBOB. CARBOB may also be available from SK Energy’s refinery in South Korea. Shipping product from Asia could take about four weeks.

EIA will continue to monitor West Coast product prices as the market responds to the unexpected loss of supply. As with previous disruptions, prices should stabilize as more information about the severity and duration of the expected outage becomes available.

Gasoline and diesel fuel prices increase

The U.S. average price of retail gasoline rose six cents from the week prior to $2.33 per gallon as of February 23, 2015, down $1.11 per gallon from the same time last year. The West Coast price increased 14 cents to $2.76 per gallon. East Coast and Rocky Mountain prices rose five cents, to $2.30 per gallon and $2.04 per gallon, respectively. Midwest and Gulf Coast prices increased four cents, to $2.27 per gallon and $2.11 per gallon, respectively.

The U.S. average price of diesel fuel increased four cents to $2.90 per gallon, $1.12 per gallon less than the same time last year. Only the Rocky Mountain price decreased, falling by a penny to $2.76 per gallon. The West Coast price increased seven cents to $3.07 per gallon. The East Coast price rose five cents to $3.01 per gallon, followed by the Midwest price which rose three cents to $2.83 per gallon. The Gulf Coast price increased by a penny to $2.80 per gallon.

Propane inventories fall

U.S. propane stocks decreased by 2.2 million barrels last week to 59.2 million barrels as of February 20, 2015, 32.6 million barrels (122.1%) higher than a year ago. Gulf Coast inventories decreased by 1.0 million barrels and East Coast inventories decreased by 0.7 million barrels. Midwest inventories decreased by 0.5 million barrels while Rocky Mountain/West Coast inventories remained unchanged. Propylene non-fuel-use inventories represented 7.5% of total propane inventories.

Residential heating oil price increases while residential propane price decreases

As of February 23, 2015, residential heating oil prices averaged nearly $3.19 per gallon, almost 15 cents per gallon higher than last week, and $1.06 per gallon less than last year’s price for the same week. Wholesale heating oil prices averaged $2.30 per gallon, nearly 19 cents per gallon higher than last week and almost $1.09 per gallon lower when compared to the same time last year.

Residential propane prices averaged $2.35 per gallon, less than 1 cent per gallon lower than last week, and $1.12 per gallon less than the price at the same time last year. The average wholesale propane price increased by almost 3 cents per gallon this week to 75 cents per gallon, $1.09 per gallon lower than the February 24, 2014 price.

The post Potential Market Implications Of Outage At ExxonMobil’s Torrance, California Refinery – Analysis appeared first on Eurasia Review.

Sri Lanka Sees Commercial Exploration For Natural Gas In Mannar Basin By 2018

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Sri Lanka’s Power and Energy Minister Patali Champika Ranawaka said that commercial exploration for natural gas in the Mannar Basin will commence in two years by 2018.

Ranawaka said that natural gas has already been discovered in oil wells in the Mannar Basin.

Addressing a public meeting, Ranawaka said that 20 areas within the territorial waters of Sri Lanka have been identified for exploring crude oil. The blocks are to be offered for excavation under an accepted and a competitive procedure, the Minister added.

Ranawaka said the new government would not give away oil rich areas in Sri Lanka to various countries in an irregular manner like the previous regime.

Meanwhile, officials from Cairns India are to hold discussion with Sri Lankan authorities this week on commencing exploration work for natural gas in the Mannar Basin.

Cairn Lanka, which made gas discoveries in two of the four exploration wells it was awarded, expects production from the country’s offshore gas fields starting as early as 2016.

The post Sri Lanka Sees Commercial Exploration For Natural Gas In Mannar Basin By 2018 appeared first on Eurasia Review.

US Continues To Assist Demining In Sri Lanka

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The United States is continuing its assistance for demining in war-affected areas in Sri Lanka and has donated nearly Rs. 300 million worth of demining equipment to the Sri Lanka Army.

Lieutenant Dave Chesson from the US Embassy in Colombo delivered Wednesday donated equipmentto assist with demining efforts in the former war-affected areas of Sri Lanka.

The particular shipment, valued at nearly Rs. 300 million is just a part of continuing US assistance with demining efforts across the country since 2009, the Embassy said in a statement.

Major General Lasantha Wickramasuriya, Chief Field Engineer, and Brigadier Jagath Gunawardena, Commander Engineer Brigade, received the donated equipment from the US Embassy.

The post US Continues To Assist Demining In Sri Lanka appeared first on Eurasia Review.

The Rise Of Boko Haram And Response Of Civil Society – OpEd

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Armed violence, distrust and politicization of ethnic identity have eroded the fabric of the Nigerian state since independence in 1960. The challenge is how to make ‘unity in diversity’ not only meaningful but also workable. Extremist groups have been able to tap into grievances over widespread poverty, and ethnic and religious divides, to assert their ideology.

By Michael Olufemi Sodipo*

Recent attacks by Boko Haram in northern Nigeria are perhaps the deadliest in the insurgent group’s history. Dozens of villages and towns, and the military base of a multinational force deployed to fight them, are now under the control of Boko Haram.

At the beginning of January, rampaging insurgents stormed Baga and 16 other towns leaving behind a trail of sorrow, tears and blood. Hundreds of people were massacred and over 35,000 people displaced. Many drowned in Lake Chad while escaping the Boko Haram onslaught. The insurgents abducted women and young people, and destroyed property  worth millions of Naira. During this same period, Boko Haram carried out several coordinated suicide missions, deploying teenage girls to carry out the attacks.

The spate of recent deadly attacks by Boko Haram comes at a time of political uncertainty and tension in Nigeria. General elections due in February have been postponed due to the security challenges in northeast. Unhealthy rivalry, political realignments and violent electioneering campaigns by political parties are adding to existing tensions. It is imperative that the forthcoming election is free, fair, credible and non-violent.

Regional implications

The insurgency in northern Nigeria is a security concern not just for Nigeria but for the broader Sub-Saharan region and the international community. Nigeria’s strategic importance in Africa cannot be underestimated. With a population of over 160 million, Nigeria is the most populous country in Africa and home to the continent’s largest economy.

Unless Nigeria and its partners can address the growing radicalization of Nigeria’s youth and the festering ethnic and religious tensions, many poor and marginalized Nigerians will continue to gravitate toward extremist groups, turning the country into a hub of insecurity. This, in turn, has security and economic implications for the wider region.

The rise of Boko Haram

Armed violence, distrust and politicization of ethnic identity have eroded the fabric of the Nigerian state since independence in 1960. The challenge is how to make ‘unity in diversity’ not only meaningful but also workable. Extremist groups have been able to tap into grievances over widespread poverty, and ethnic and religious divides, to assert their ideology. Boko Haram grew its ranks by taking advantage of widespread anger and resentment in northern Nigeria over the country’s wealth gap, and exploited religious rhetoric to justify its violence.

Meanwhile the military’s efforts at countering armed violence have been continually undercut by low troop morale, sabotage by Boko Haram sympathizers, and alleged human rights abuses by the security forces which alienate local support.

Civil society response

Civil society in Nigeria has been vocal in response to the insecurity and insurgency. There is an abundance of activities to increase community engagement, social healing, and a culture of peace in Nigeria. Among the many examples:

  • The Bring Back Our Girls Movement is a diverse group of citizens advocating for the search and rescue of the 200 girls abducted in April 2014 and for a rapid containment and quelling of insurgency in Nigeria.
  • The Voice and Accountability Platform organises awareness campaigns and town hall meetings with emphasis on non-violence and the need to strengthen good governance and democracy.
  • A group of Nigerian organisations have petitioned the UN Security Council to adopt a resolution regarding the deteriorating humanitarian situations and mass atrocities committed by Boko Haram.

More than military might

Addressing the challenges of radicalization in northern Nigeria requires measures that transcend simply crushing Boko Haram and other radical groups through military means. Redressing insurgency in Nigeria will require interventions at every stage, from the measured use of force, to proactive development investments to alleviate social and economic grievances, and countering extremist ideologies:

  • Intelligence-driven operations and continuous engagement of local community are key to solving the prevailing security challenges. These would include dealing with extremist training locations, sources of funding and the presence of foreign fighters.
  • Demonstrable commitments to drastic reduction of poverty and fuller enrolment in public education are crucial strategic steps for eliminating violent radicalism. Citizens need to be empowered to acquire the basic education and vocational skills that will prepare them to be functional members of society and participate actively. Government and local civil society organisations have critical roles to play in this.
  • The authorities need to provide more space for moderate Muslims in northern Nigeria the protection from being silenced. Government and civil society groups should encourage and facilitate public discourse and transformative dialogue between Muslims, Christians and the security forces operatives to foster interfaith harmony and development.
  • Government should address other factors that have created a fertile ground for violent extremism in Nigeria, such as endemic government corruption and impunity.

In these ways, the Nigerian government can address the underlying causes of ongoing ethnic and religious tensions.

*Michael Olufemi Sodipo is Insight on Conflict’s Local Correspondent for Nigeria. He also works as Project Coordinator for the Peace Initiative Network, a Nigerian peacebuilding organisation.

The post The Rise Of Boko Haram And Response Of Civil Society – OpEd appeared first on Eurasia Review.

Drones Appear Over Paris Landmarks For Second Night

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Drones have appeared over landmarks in central Paris for the second night running and police are no closer to knowing who is operating them.

There were five sightings between 23:00 on Tuesday, Feb 24 and 02:00 (01:00 GMT) on Wednesday, BBC News reports citing French media.

Up to three drones were seen near the Invalides military museum, Place de la Concorde and two of the old city gates.

Flying drones over Paris at night is illegal and daytime flights require authorisation from the city. Five drones were seen the previous night in similar areas, including the Eiffel Tower and above the US embassy, close to Place de la Concorde.

However, some of the latest drone flights have been captured on film and will be analysed by a 10-strong team of investigators set up after the first incidents.

The new sightings were also on the fringes of central Paris, at the key transport gates of Porte de Clignancourt in the north and Porte de Saint-Cloud in the south-west.

Small drones are inexpensive and easy to buy but their appearance in recent months over sensitive locations has worried French authorities.

It is against the law for any aircraft to fly lower than 6,000m (19,700ft) over central Paris. Flying any aircraft under that ceiling – including drones, police helicopters and air ambulances – requires permission from city authorities.

Flying a drone at night is banned completely.

Last month a drone was seen over the Elysee Palace, home of President Francois Hollande and in October last year, a 24-year-old Israeli tourist was fined €400 ($453) and spent a night in jail after flying a drone over the city’s historic Hotel Dieu hospital and a police station.

Drones were also spotted flying over at least 13 nuclear power plants in France between October 2014 and January 2015.

Those flights were thought to be the work of environmental activists but no group claimed responsibility.

Drones present a problem for authorities in built-up areas, in that shooting them down could endanger the public. It is possible to jam GPS or radio signals guiding them.

The post Drones Appear Over Paris Landmarks For Second Night appeared first on Eurasia Review.

Egypt Clerics Reject Islamic State Manifesto On Women

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By Mohamed Mahmoud

A new manifesto on women issued by the “Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant” (ISIL) which sets out guidelines governing their life and role in Islam has been roundly rejected by religious scholars and the Egyptian public.

The al-Khansaa Brigade , an all-female wing of ISIL in Syria, issued the 10,000 word manifesto in Arabic last month.

The document, titled, “Women in the Islamic State: Manifesto and Case Study”, has been translated and analysed by Charlie Winter, a researcher on jihadism in Syria and Iraq at Quilliam, a British counter-extremism foundation.

According to the manifesto, which stresses women’s role as wives, mothers and housewives, it is considered “legitimate” for girls to be married between the ages of 9 and 17.

“The fundamental function of a woman is to stay at home with her husband and children, but [she] could leave the house to serve the community under exceptional circumstances, such as jihad in the absence of men, or to study religion,” it states.

A woman can get an education, the document says, but the curricula must focus on Islamic studies, the Qur’an, the Arabic language, cooking and sewing and other skills that prepare her for the role of wife and mother.

A woman’s movements also are heavily restricted and she is prohibited from traveling for any reason, the document says, and she must remember at all times that she comes second to a man.

“No matter what she does, she will not be able to prove that she is more intelligent and skilled than a man,” the document says.

“Women who go out to work acquire corrupt ideas and incorrect beliefs rather than religion,” the manifesto continues, noting that the model used by “infidels” failed the moment women were liberated.

ISIL disapproves of the Muslim community’s preoccupation “with trying to unravel the secrets of nature and reaching the pinnacle of architectural sophistication”, the manifesto adds, suggesting that “instead, it should focus on the application of sharia and spreading Islam”.

Manifesto bears ‘no relation to Islam’

Ibrahim Negm, adviser to Egypt’s Grand Mufti , told Al-Shorfa that ISIL’s leaders and supporters ” abuse women and exploit them to the worst degree to achieve lowly purposes and objectives that bear no relation whatsoever to Islam”.

The group’s violations and transgressions against women “have no connection to any religion whatsoever”, he said. “These barbaric acts and violations existed before Islam, until Islam came and prohibited them.”

“These takfiri groups operate on the principle of abolishing others of different opinions, religion or gender, which confirms how far removed these organisations are from the teachings and principles of Islam which brought equality to women,” Negm said.

ISIL has expanded its exploitation of women, now using them to help enlist new recruits, and has turned women into “prisoners of war and sex slaves sold to the highest bidder”, Negm said.

Islam disavows the ideology of takfiri groups such as ISIL whose manifesto completely contradicts Islam, said Ahmed Omar Hashem, a member of Al-Azhar’s Council of Senior Scholars.

For example, he said, “sharia permits women to work within the regulatory rules governing [work], including the ethics that govern their profession with the stipulation that they do not conflict with the provisions of sharia”.

A woman works in order to ease the burdens of living on the members of her family, he said, and this originates in the Qur’an’s message that a woman is a man’s partner and has family obligations and household duties.

Al-Azhar University professor of philosophy and comparative jurisprudence Amna Noseir said that ISIL “falsifies and distorts religion”.

“Islam respects women and preserves their role in community-building and building the country,” she said, adding that in his final sermon, Prophet Mohammed enjoined men to care for women and safeguard their rights.

According to a 2014 poll conducted by the Pew Research Centre, ISIL’s ideology will find little support among the Egyptian public.

The poll indicated that 81% of Egyptians reject the ideology of extremist groups, and about 75% expressed concern that extremist ideas might undermine regional security.

‘A death sentence for all women’

“I cannot imagine my life without a job outside the house unless there is a need [for me] to take care of my children,” said Amira Abdel-Hakam, 28, who works for a private sector food company.

“Islam urges me to be pro-active in building my country, and to take care of my family by all means,” she said. “My work helps me do that.”

“Everyone at my workplace respects and appreciates me,” she said. “I was even [named] exemplary employee last year, and this is difficult for ISIL to understand because a woman to those groups is merely a body.”

“ISIL’s ideas are a myth and have no basis in reality or Islam whatsoever,” she added. “If Islam were so, it would have ended thousands of years ago.”

“ISIL’s manifesto for women is a death sentence for all women,” said Hanan Zaki, 43, who works in the public service sector.

Zaki was particularly scornful of the manifesto’s rulings on early marriage.

“How can a 12-year-old, or even a 15-year-old, take care of a nursing baby?” she said, adding that a mother is highly influential in a child’s life, and marriage at such an early age will produce children who lag behind their peers.

“My husband is a very devout Muslim, yet he has encouraged me to work since we got married more than 20 years ago,” Zaki said. “He also encouraged me to get a master’s degree in administrative sciences in order to get top positions at the ministry where I work.”

Her 19-year-old daughter wants to be an agricultural engineer, she added, yet that has not stopped her from memorising the Qur’an and studying sharia via courses offered by an Al-Azhar-affiliated centre.

“I think this will make her a wonderful Muslim mother and I am very proud of her,” Zaki said. “How can ISIL ask us to sacrifice this positive energy for mere ideas that have nothing to do with Islam?”

Suad Mohamed Amer, 72, a grandmother of 10, told Al-Shorfa she never imagined she would see Islam distorted in this way.

“Sharia gives women a role in all walks of life so she may serve her family and her country,” Amer said. “But treating women as something that must be silenced dates back to before Islam, to the Jahiliyyah eras.”

“God blessed me with the gift of grandchildren, both girls and boys, but we rely more on the girls because they are all highly educated and have a great sense of responsibility,” she said. “They are the ones who manage the family’s financial affairs.”

“I cannot imagine my life with them just sitting at home, ignorant, and there just to take care of the children,” she said.

The post Egypt Clerics Reject Islamic State Manifesto On Women appeared first on Eurasia Review.

Fish Native To Japan Found In Port Orford Waters

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A team of scientists from Oregon State University and the Oregon Department of Fish and Wildlife is studying an unusual fish captured alive in a crab pot near Port Orford this week called a striped knifejaw that is native to Japan, as well as China and Korea.

The appearance in Oregon waters of the fish (Oplegnathus fasciatus), which is sometimes called a barred knifejaw or striped beakfish, may or may not be related to the Japanese tsunami of 2011, the researchers say, and it is premature to conclude that this non-native species may be established in Oregon waters.

But its appearance and survival certainly raises questions, according to OSU’s John Chapman, an aquatic invasive species specialist at the university’s Hatfield Marine Science Center in Newport.

“Some association with Japanese tsunami debris is a strong possibility, but we cannot rule out other options, such as the fish being carried over in ballast water of a ship or an aquarium fish being released locally,” Chapman said. “But finding a second knifejaw nearly two years after the discovery of fish in a drifting Japanese boat certainly gets my attention.”

In March 2013, five striped knifejaws were found alive in a boat near Long Beach, Washington, that had drifted over from Japan. Four of the fish were euthanized, but one was taken to the Seaside Aquarium, where it is still alive and well.

OSU marine ecologist Jessica Miller examined the four euthanized knifejaws from Washington in 2013, analyzing their otoliths, or ear bones, for clues to their origin.

“The young fish of these species are known to associate with drift and may be attracted to floating marine debris,” Miller said. “Japanese tsunami marine debris continues to arrive on beaches in Oregon and Washington – and some debris from Japan washed up on the southern Oregon coast this month – so it is not inconceivable that the Port Orford fish was associated with Japanese marine debris.

“The species is also found in other parts of Asia and the northwest Hawaiian islands, so it is native to a broader range than just Japan,” she added. “At this time, there is no evidence that they are successfully reproducing in Oregon.”

Tom Calvanese, an Oregon State graduate student researcher working with Oregon Sea Grant on the start-up of a new OSU field station in Port Orford, worked with the fisherman to secure the exotic species. The fish is approximately 13 centimeters in length, and thus not a fully grown adult, and was captured in a crab pot between Port Orford and Cape Blanco – just off the Elk River in southern Oregon.

“We are fortunate to have this occur in a fishing community that is ocean-aware,” Calvanese said. “The fisherman who caught the fish identified it as an exotic then transported it to shore alive, where the fish buyer was able to care for it. It was then brought to my attention, initiating a response from the scientific community that will result in an exciting learning opportunity for all.

“It appears to be in good shape and was swimming upright, though it had a small cut in its abdomen,” Calvanese said. “I talked to Keith Chandler at the Seaside Aquarium who suggested feeding it razor clams, which it took readily.”

Steven Rumrill, a biologist with the Oregon Department of Fish and Wildlife, is working with Calvanese and others to transport the fish to a quarantine facility at the Hatfield Marine Science Center, where it will be under the care of OSU aquatic veterinarian Tim Miller-Morgan of Oregon Sea Grant.

“It is important that the fish be held in quarantine until the wound is healed and for sufficient time to ensure that it is free from any pathogens or parasites that could pose a threat to our native fishes,” Rumrill said.

Sam Chan, an OSU invasive species expert affiliated with Oregon Sea Grant and vice-chair of the Oregon Invasive Species Council, has seen striped knifejaws in Japan and estimates this fish may be 1-2 years old.

“Therefore, it is unlikely to have left Japan in the 2011 tsunami,” Chan said, “but a boat could have been milling around Asian waters for the past 2-3 years and then picked up the fish and ridden the currents over. The big question is – are there more of these?”

Chan said Oregon Sea Grant – an OSU-based marine research, education and outreach program – would work with Oregon fishermen, crabbers and others to keep a lookout for additional striped knifejaws and other exotic species.

The post Fish Native To Japan Found In Port Orford Waters appeared first on Eurasia Review.


Roman Abramovich Invests $15M In New US Fracking Technology – Analysis

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By James Stafford

Are the Russians coming to Texas riding the tailwinds of fracking? That depends on who you ask, as some believe Russian forces were behind the anti-fracking vote in Denton, while a $15 million investment in new Texas fracking technology by Roman Abramovich perhaps tells another story.

When the anti-fracking campaign started to heat up late last year in Denton, Texas—the heart of the shale revolution—conspiracy theories were spread from within the pro-fracking community that the Russians were behind the whole thing. The logic was that the American shale revolution threatened Russia’s market share.

Yet just months after a successful vote to ban fracking in Denton, Russian billionaire Roman Abramovich has invested $15 million in Houston-based Propell Technologies Group, Inc. (OTC:PROP) and its new fracking technology from wholly owned subsidiary Novas Energy. Significantly, this new enhanced oil recovery (EOR) technology enables ‘clean’ hydraulic micro/nano fracturing of oil reservoirs—that is, without water, without polluting chemicals and without earthquakes.

According to Propell, the Plasma Pulse patented downhole tool creates a controlled plasma arc within a vertical well, generating a tremendous amount of heat for a fraction of a second. The subsequent high-speed hydraulic impulse wave emitted is strong enough to remove any clogged sedimentation from the perforation zone without damaging steel. The series of impulse waves/vibrations also penetrate deep into the reservoir causing nano fractures in the matrix which increase reservoir permeability for up to a year per treatment.

In the die-hard conspiracy theorist community—particularly in the latest ‘Cold War’ atmosphere the media has latched onto once again—there will be continued rumors of Russian scheming here. Some might say that the Russians laid the foundation for a ‘no’ vote on fracking and then swooped in to invest in ‘clean’ fracking technology.

It may or may not be a coincidence that Propell’s Plasma Pulse Technology is licensed from Novas Energy, a venture capital-backed Russian energy technology company.

There is also another Russian element to this: PPT has been very successfully employed in Russian injector wells. This is perhaps the most significant aspect to consider. Russia does not have draconian fracking regulations pressuring companies to use environmentally friendly technology. Instead, they are using PPT to improve enhanced oil recovery (EOR) and reduce production costs.

Conspiracy or not, Abramovich does nothing small or half-heartedly.

Abramovich is a metals magnate who also happens to own the Chelsea football club. He is the 143rd wealthiest person in the world and is worth about $9 billion, according to Forbes. He is the main owner of UK-registered Millhouse LLC, a private investment company whose assets have included major stakes in stakes in Sibneft, which is now Gazprom Neft. In 2005, Millhouse sold a 72% stake in Sibneft to Gazprom for more than $13 billion.

Abramovich has now invested in Propell’s PPT. The investor is Cyprus-registered Ervington Investments Limited, whose ultimate beneficial owner is Abramovich.

“This will not merely be a $15 million investment,” said one source close to the deal. “You have to read between the lines here. Abramovich doesn’t do anything small. He’ll get the infrastructure in place and then look to acquire a significant position in the US oil sector at today’s fire sale prices. We’ll probably be looking at hundreds of millions in investment at the end of the day.”

An anonymous source with knowledge of the deal said that an initial $5 million of the $15 million investment would be working capital, while $10 million would be for acquisition of oilfields. The overall idea is to apply EOR technology and double the output with Plasma Pulse technology.

For Abramovich, this deal is not merely a whim: The billionaire is a strategic investor who has quite profitably invested in a number of energy technology companies. Abramovich—again through Ervington–is the largest shareholder in AIM-listed AFC Energy, which is working to commercialize clean fuel cell technology. He has also invested in Oxford Catalysts, which is close to commercializing the GreenSky London Project to supply renewable jet fuel made from London’s household waste. The system is to be used by British Airways to create fuel for its planes. London-based Weedingtech—which makes herbicide-free weed killer—and AIM-listed Clean Air Power are also among Abramovich’s strategic energy investments.

The Propell investment may be the most strategic—on two fronts.

On the first front, we have increasing controversy surrounding fracking in the US.

While Denton, for instance, is just a small town and the ban on fracking is only within the city limits, this small-town vote has much larger implications. This was where the shale revolution kicked off, and banning fracking here could snowball and empower other anti-fracking movements and efforts.

The state of California is also gearing up for stringent new regulations that are set to take effect in July.

Plasma Pulse Technology foregoes toxic chemicals and harnesses plasma pulses that would once have been reminiscent of science fiction weaponry. It may indeed be a weapon of sorts—one that could bring the industry and environmentalists together finally.

PPT is deemed to be an environmentally friendly way to clear clogging sedimentation from well drainage areas to allow the oil and gas to flow. The technology uses vibrations, or electrically generated plasma impulses to reduce viscosity, increase permeability and improve the flow of oil and gas to the surface for extraction.

And this is where we find the ‘second front’: The technology is not only designed to be environmentally friendly; it is also designed to increase production and reduce production costs.

After all, Abramovich isn’t looking to spend an initial $15 million on an investment that is strictly friendly to the environment—there has to be more, and it would appear that there is.

This is all about enhanced oil recovery (EOR), and plasma pulse technology is one way to improve EOR processes to get even more oil and gas out of the ground.

The average increase in production for the initial 27 US wells treated with plasma pulse technology is 295%. The company is also reportedly working versions of its plasma pulse tool for horizontal shale wells and much shallower water wells as well.

Abramovich will be getting in very early in this game, which would allow him—for instance–to comply with California’s new anti-fracking bill and its tight restrictions on acid washing for injector wells. The regulations will have a profound effect on key producers in the area, such as Chevron Corp. (NYSE:CVX), ExxonMobil (NYSE:XOM) and Occidental Petroleum (NYSE:OXY), who will have to go through a long and costly permit process for each individual acid wash procedure. If they employ plasma pulse technology, however, they comply with the water-injector cleaning restrictions that kick in July 1. In California, major oil and gas companies are already paying $20,000 a pop for PPT pilot tests, according to our industry sources.

What Abramovich sees is brilliant math here. Plasma Pulse technology could easily turn into a $1 million/week business just in the state of California, and as anti-fracking gains momentum countrywide, these millions turn into billions. The Russian billionaire also sees a new technology that is not experimental, but already commercially viable.

When Abramovich makes a new investment, everyone pays attention. So many will be asking why a Russian is investing in this Houston-based technology. The answer is simple and all about the bottom line. This ‘clean’ fracking technology could storm the market. Abramovich thinks so, and he has been wildly successful.

It will be hard for the conspiracy theorists to digest, but for the investor looking for the next big thing, it goes down pretty smoothly, from Russia with … a great deal of pragmatism.

Source: http://oilprice.com/Energy/Crude-Oil/Roman-Abramovich-Invests-15M-in-New-US-Fracking-Technology.html

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Philippines: President Aquino Rejects Calls To Step Down

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Philippines President Benigno Aquino has once again rejected calls to step down ahead of the end of his term in June 2016, despite mounting pressures from the political opposition, civil society sectors and the military (officially denied, though perceptible to the point of the media suggesting the risk of a coup), reports MISNA.

Setting aside the controversies over the misuse and assignment of public funds, results of his economic-social policies for the poor and persistent public insecurity, calls for his resignation heightened after a controversial operation in the southern Maguindanao province killed 44 elite police force members. The January 25 operation, of which the rebels (for over a year engaged with the government in a difficult peace process) of the MILF (Moro Islamic Liberation Front) were not forewarned, didn’t only claim the lives of government forces, but of several civilians and rebels, in addition to that of the Malaysian terrorist Marwan, who was the prime target of the elite forces.

A disaster that was attributed to the police command, but also to the President, who failed to publicly apologize for the responsibilities, also toward the former MILF rebellion. A situation that risks jeopardizing the peace initiatives and autonomy in the South, heightening tensions also in parliament among those favourble and contrary to the accord.

Calls for Aquino’s resignation that, not by chance, mounted ahead of today’s 29th anniversary of the peaceful People Power Revolution of February 25, a first of its kind in Asia, which toppled the 20-year authoritarian rule of Ferdinand Marcos, and brought the President’s mother Corazon Aquino into power.

Public initiatives marking the key anniversary are in fact limited, on a precise official decision to impede the risk of protests or unrest, while the coalition of groups demanding the President’s resignation has called demonstrations for today.

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Monster Black Hole Discovered At Cosmic Dawn

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Scientists have discovered the brightest quasar in the early universe, powered by the most massive black hole yet known at that time. The international team led by astronomers from Peking University in China and from the University of Arizona announce their findings in the scientific journal Nature on Feb. 26.

The discovery of this quasar, named SDSS J0100+2802, marks an important step in understanding how quasars, the most powerful objects in the universe, have evolved from the earliest epoch, only 900 million years after the Big Bang, which is thought to have happened 13.7 billion years ago. The quasar, with its central black hole mass of 12 billion solar masses and the luminosity of 420 trillion suns, is at a distance of 12.8 billion light-years from Earth.

The discovery of this ultraluminous quasar also presents a major puzzle to the theory of black hole growth at early universe, according to Xiaohui Fan, Regents’ Professor of Astronomy at the UA’s Steward Observatory, who co-authored the study.

“How can a quasar so luminous, and a black hole so massive, form so early in the history of the universe, at an era soon after the earliest stars and galaxies have just emerged?” Fan said. “And what is the relationship between this monster black hole and its surrounding environment, including its host galaxy?

“This ultraluminous quasar with its supermassive black hole provides a unique laboratory to the study of the mass assembly and galaxy formation around the most massive black holes in the early universe.”

The quasar dates from a time close to the end of an important cosmic event that astronomers referred to as the “epoch of reionization”: the cosmic dawn when light from the earliest generations of galaxies and quasars is thought to have ended the “cosmic dark ages” and transformed the universe into how we see it today.

Discovered in 1963, quasars are the most powerful objects beyond our Milky Way galaxy, beaming vast amounts of energy across space as the supermassive black hole in their center sucks in matter from its surroundings. Thanks to the new generation of digital sky surveys, astronomers have discovered more than 200,000 quasars, with ages ranging from 0.7 billion years after the Big Bang to today.

Shining with the equivalent of 420 trillion suns, the new quasar is seven times brighter than the most distant quasar known (which is 13 billion years away). It harbors a black hole with mass of 12 billion solar masses, proving it to be the most luminous quasar with the most massive black hole among all the known high redshift (very distant) quasars.

“By comparison, our own Milky Way galaxy has a black hole with a mass of only 4 million solar masses at its center; the black hole that powers this new quasar is 3,000 time heavier,” Fan said.

Feige Wang, a doctoral student from Peking University who is supervised jointly by Fan and Prof. Xue-Bing Wu at Peking University, the study’s lead author, initially spotted this quasar for further study.

“This quasar was first discovered by our 2.4-meter Lijiang Telescope in Yunnan, China, making it the only quasar ever discovered by a 2-meter telescope at such distance, and we’re very proud of it,” Wang said. “The ultraluminous nature of this quasar will allow us to make unprecedented measurements of the temperature, ionization state and metal content of the intergalactic medium at the epoch of reionization.”

Following the initial discovery, two telescopes in southern Arizona did the heavy lifting in determining the distance and mass of the black hole: the 8.4-meter Large Binocular Telescope, or LBT, on Mount Graham and the 6.5-meter Multiple Mirror Telescope, or MMT, on Mount Hopkins. Additional observations with the 6.5-meter Magellan Telescope in Las Campanas Observatory, Chile, and the 8.2-meter Gemini North Telescope in Mauna Kea, Hawaii, confirmed the results.

“This quasar is very unique,” said Xue-Bing Wu, a professor of the Department of Astronomy, School of Physics at Peking University and the associate director of the Kavli Institute of Astronomy and Astrophysics. “Just like the brightest lighthouse in the distant universe, its glowing light will help us to probe more about the early universe.”

Wu leads a team that has developed a method to effectively select quasars in the distant universe based on optical and near-infrared photometric data, in particular using data from the Sloan Digital Sky Survey and NASA’s Wide-Field Infrared Explorer, or WISE, satellite.

“This is a great accomplishment for the LBT,” said Fan, who chairs the LBT Scientific Advisory Committee and also discovered the previous record holders for the most massive black hole in the early universe, about a fourth of the size of the newly discovered object. “The especially sensitive optical and infrared spectrographs of the LBT provided the early assessment of both the distance of the quasars and the mass of the black hole at the quasar’s center.”

For Christian Veillet, director of the Large Binocular Telescope Observatory, or LBTO, this discovery demonstrates both the power of international collaborations and the benefit of using a variety of facilities spread throughout the world.

“This result is particularly gratifying for LBTO, which is well on its way to full nighttime operations,” Veillet said. “While in this case the authors used two different instruments in series, one for visible light spectroscopy and one for near-infrared imaging, LBTO will soon offer a pair of instruments that can be used simultaneously, effectively doubling the number of observations possible in clear skies and ultimately creating even more exciting science.”

To further unveil the nature of this remarkable quasar, and to shed light on the physical processes that led to the formation of the earliest supermassive black holes, the research team will carry out further investigations on this quasar with more international telescopes, including the Hubble Space Telescope and the Chandra X-ray Telescope.

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US Deplores Russia’s Detention Of Savchenko And ‘Continued Ill-Treatment’

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The United States is deeply concerned by the decision by a Russian court to continue the detention of Ukrainian Member of Parliament Nadiya Savchenko to May 13, said US State Department spokesperson Jen Psaki.

Ms. Savchenko has been on a hunger strike for 75 days to protest being held hostage by Russian authorities.

“The United States deplores her continued ill-treatment and is deeply concerned by reports of her deteriorating health,” said Psaki in a statement.

Psaki added that, “By any standard, Russia’s detention and treatment of Ms. Savchenko is unacceptable. We call on Russia to honor its commitments under the September 2014 Minsk agreements and the February 15 implementation plan by immediately releasing Nadiya Savchenko and all other Ukrainian hostages.”

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Washington Won’t Say How Much Damage Snowden Leaks Did

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The National Security Agency has repeatedly stated that leaks by former contractor Edward Snowden about its surveillance programs have compromised national security and harmed American foreign policy – but Washington remains unwilling to say how.

When pressed on the issue, officials tend to offer little in the way of details, while attempts to force the government to disclose information have so far failed to turn up any significant information. Vice News recently filed a Freedom of Information Act (FOIA) request regarding the damage done by Snowden – as seen by the government through its own internal investigations – but even though 112 documents were released, nearly everything was redacted.

Outside of a few subheadings – some of which read “assessment,” and “compromised information,” as well as “recommendations” – virtually all text from the documents was redacted in order to “mitigate the harm caused to national security,” reads a declaration signed by Aleysia Williams, head of the Defense Intelligence Agency’s FOIA department.

Unsurprisingly, the redacted documents don’t reveal much about what the Defense Intelligence Agency (DIA) uncovered about the fallout of the Snowden leaks. Williams told Vice that the information contained within the task force reports can only be seen by individuals from the task force itself, and that these individuals have also signed non-disclosure agreements.

However, the task force reports were summarized in a 39-page report from December 2013 and handed over to the Defense Department. Vice reporter Jason Leopold had previously filed a FOIA request for this report while at the Guardian, only to receive another heavily redacted dump concluding that “the scope of the compromised knowledge related to US intelligence capabilities is staggering.”

The summary has been viewed by some lawmakers, including House Intelligence Committee Chairman Mike Rogers (R-Mich.), who referred to it in 2014 and said “Snowden’s actions are likely to have lethal consequences for our troops in the field.”

“This report confirms my greatest fears – Snowden’s real acts of betrayal place America’s military men and women at greater risk,” he said.

According to the DIA’s David Leatherwood, the task force reports focus on military plans and weapons systems, America’s relationships with foreign countries, plans to safeguard nuclear facilities, and vulnerabilities related to national security.

US officials argue that releasing more specific details about the damage done to the NSA could hurt relationships with allies and expose still-classified practices. In turn, this could potentially allow rival nations to learn from what the NSA is doing and make its job harder to do.

In the past, officials have also said that the Snowden leaks pushed terrorist groups to develop more sophisticated methods of communication, making it harder for the NSA to spy on them. While the NSA itself did not release evidence supporting this idea, a 2014 survey drafted by the Recorded Future data firm in Massachusetts seemed to back up some of these claims.

The report documented several instances in which Al-Qaeda and affiliated groups overhauled computer software in an attempt to combat NSA surveillance. Researchers drew a direct link between the Snowden leaks and the software revisions, saying that Al-Qaeda updated its communications abilities within three to five months of the surveillance revelations.

Other experts weren’t as convinced of the link, suggesting the revisions could have come about naturally and would be unlikely to keep the NSA from spying on them.

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South Africa Launches Probe Into Leak Of Classified Security Documents

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South Africa Minister of State Security David Mahlobo has condemned the alleged leaking of purported documents detailing operational details of the State Security Agency.

“While it is an international practice for countries to share intelligence on cross cutting issues pertaining to economic opportunities and security matters amongst others, the leaking of the purported documents detailing operational details of the State Security Agency is condemned in the strongest possible terms,” said the Minister in a statement on Wednesday.

In terms of the legal and policy framework governing South African management of classified information, it is illegal to disclose such information outside of the classification protocols in place.

“Such conduct has the dangerous effect of undermining operational effectiveness of the work to secure this country and borders on undermining diplomatic relations with our partners in the international community.

“Any leakages of classified information undermine the national security of any state,” said Minister Mahlobo.

A full investigation had been launched into the purported leakage, said the Minister adding that its veracity and verification will be handled in terms of the protocols governing the management of classified information.

“Government has further noted with concern social media reports alleging espionage activities linked to some politicians and a head of a Chapter 9 institution. Government will look further into this matter,” he said.

The Minister assured all South Africans that the State Security Agency will continue to focus on its mandate to protect and secure the integrity of the country, its citizens and critical infrastructure.

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East African Officials Note Progress In Harmonization Of National Accounts Statistics

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Senior officials from East African countries participating in the IMF’s East African Regional Technical Assistance Center (East AFRITAC) workshop in Zanzibar, Tanzania, agreed that significant progress had been made over the past five years in expanding and improving national accounts statistics and in implementing several 2008 System of National Accounts recommendations.

Thirteen officials representing the East African Community (EAC) and national statistical offices of Burundi, Eritrea, Ethiopia, Kenya, Malawi, Rwanda, South Sudan, Tanzania and Uganda took part in the East AFRITAC harmonization workshop during February 16-20, 2015.

The economic statistics strategies for each country were presented and discussed. In addition to harmonizing the national accounts, the statistical offices for Burundi, Eritrea, Ethiopia, Malawi, and South Sudan will continue to focus on implementing the General Data Dissemination System; while those of Kenya, Rwanda, Tanzania and Uganda will focus on implementing the Special Data Dissemination Standard.

The workshop also helped to ensure that the technical assistance program for real sector statistics is closely aligned with member countries’ needs. The knowledge acquired by participants will contribute to improved planning and implementation of macroeconomic statistics development work in East African countries.

East AFRITAC also provided training on compiling gross domestic product (GDP) by the expenditure approach to a group of 25 officials from Eritrea, Ethiopia, Kenya, Malawi, Rwanda, South Sudan, Tanzania and Uganda. The training module included presentations on the concepts used in compiling GDP by expenditure, data sources, compilation methods, and benchmarking techniques.

The workshop included practical sessions where participants worked in country teams to develop estimates using their own source data. It is expected that the skills developed will contribute significantly to the development work underway in East African countries to expand the range of national accounts statistics being disseminated.

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New Studies Show ‘Significant Breakthrough’ In HIV Prevention, Says UN Agency

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The United Nations programme working to combat HIV/AIDS welcomed yesterday the results of a number of recent clinical studies of the effects of antiretroviral medicines on preventing new HIV infections, which were presented at a conference on viruses held in Seattle.

At the 2015 Conference on Retroviruses and Opportunistic Infections (CROI), the results of two separate studies on pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) medicines showed 86 per cent efficacy in preventing new HIV infections among men who have sex with men.

A third study showed that in so-called serodiscordant couples – where one partner has HIV and the other does not – access to PrEP for the HIV-negative person combined with access to antiretroviral therapy for the HIV-positive person was 96 per cent effective in preventing new infections.

“These new results are a significant breakthrough in advancing efforts to provide effective HIV prevention options to men who have sex with men and to serodiscordant couples,” said Michel Sidibé, Executive Director of UNAIDS. “The results are timely and important and will advance global efforts to end the AIDS epidemic by 2030.”

A study in the United Kingdom, involving 500 men who have sex with men at higher risk of HIV infection, found that those taking a daily pill of the medicines tenofovir and emtricitabine were 86 per cent less likely to become infected with HIV than those involved in the study not taking the medicines. The same effect was found in a similar study conducted in France and Canada, where participants took four tablets of tenofovir and emtricitabine, two before and two after sexual intercourse.

In both studies, the trials were modified to offer active antiretroviral medicines to all participants after interim analysis of the data showed a significantly positive effect.

In another study, conducted in Kenya and Uganda, PrEP was used on the HIV-negative partner, while antiretrovirals were used on the HIV-positive partner. The results, which showed that the combination produced 96 per cent efficacy, suggest that PrEP could be a highly effective “bridge” treatment to reduce new infections in the period between when a HIV-positive person begins treatment and when their risk of transmitting the virus reduces.

A fourth study, in South Africa, was less successful. While the trial, which involved women at higher risk of HIV infection using a one per cent tenofovir vaginal gel, showed disappointing results, the study still provided valuable information about the urgent need to find new and effective HIV prevention options that work for young women.

UNAIDS, which unites the efforts of 11 UN organizations – UNHCR, UNICEF, WFP, UNDP, UNFPA, UNODC, UN Women, ILO, UNESCO, WHO and the World Bank – and works closely with global and national partners towards ending the AIDS epidemic by 2030, congratulated all the researchers on completing their studies and welcomed the “highly effective additional HIV prevention option” offered by PrEP.

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Guyana Remains Firmly With PetroCaribe – OpEd

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By Dr. Odeen Ishmael*

Ever since the inception of PetroCaribe in 2005, Guyana has remained firmly committed to the oil agreement. This staunch assertion flies in the face of urgings from some analysts in the Caribbean region who opine that Venezuela would be unable to sustain the program of providing concessionary oil to countries signatory of the PetroCaribe agreement but due to its current economic crisis and the recent drop in international oil prices the status of the agreement remainded in doubt. They, therefore, suggest that now Caribbean countries, including Guyana, should no longer place much reliance on it.

This position was also adopted by the International Monetary Fund (IMF) which in November 2014 claimed that four Caricom countries (Belize, Haiti, Jamaica and Guyana) had begun to take steps to reduce their dependency on PetroCaribe oil.

But it was unclear how the IMF had reached this viewpoint with respect to Guyana. An opposite position was taken by the country’s finance minister, Dr. Ashni Singh, who stated in his March 2014 budget presentation that the country had concluded three rice-for-oil agreements with Venezuela, specifically within the ambit of the PetroCaribe agreement and aimed at debt compensation. He also assured that Guyana would continue to meet its obligations under the PetroCaribe arrangement.

From the beginning of the agreement, Guyana never placed its total dependency on PetroCaribe oil; it actually obtains only half of its fuel energy requirements from that source. Guyana has not responded to the IMF statement, but nevertheless the government is concerned over the economic downturn in Venezuela, one of the largest purchasers of Guyana’s rice. It is probably for this reason that the national rice marketing agency has been seeking to expand its international rice sales to new markets just in case future Venezuelan purchases are reduced.

Significantly, Venezuela’s President Nicolás Maduro has dispelled fears about any cutback in PetroCaribe support to Caribbean countries and has reassured them of the “long term” viability of the agreement despite the recent price drop. He reaffirmed his government’s commitment to the initiative which would remain as an integral part of Venezuela’s strategy for regional security and support.

As of now, Guyana remains firmly in support of PetroCaribe. At a joint meeting of PetroCaribe and the Bolivarian Alliance for the Peoples of Our America (ALBA) in Caracas on December 17, 2014, President Donald Ramotar said PetroCaribe was an agreement of foresight and of special importance to the Caribbean region. He pointed out that the arrangement was exemplary and important for Guyana, and has helped to increase trade relations with Venezuela.

PetroCaribe is also intended to promote trade amongst member countries, and Guyana has been supplying rice to Venezuela under the initiative. Under the current trade agreement, Guyana is expected to supply 210,000 tons of paddy and polished rice annually to Venezuela. The value of this supply amounts to US$130 million. Significantly, under this rice agreement which dates back to 2009, Guyana has been able to obtain increased prices every year, a development that has since brought added benefits to rice farmers and the economy as a whole. Actually, for Guyana it has spurred a rapid increase in rice production, due to the lucrative Venezuelan market, thus increasing the food supply in the region.

It will be recalled that PetroCaribe was established to act an economic “cushion,” giving countries time to adjust their rates of consumption, make lifestyle changes, and move toward renewable energy sources. It also created a mechanism, whereby a fund could be established to be used for the development of the energy sector as well as other areas such as social projects.

However, there has been little adjustment in the agreement over the past decade. Obviously, one of its drawbacks is that while the present arrangement serves as a conduit for the supply of fuel under concessionary terms, it has not moved into the area whereby it can offer support for oil exploration projects by member-states.

Guyana’s total fuel bill at the time it joined PetroCaribe was about US$400 million annually and at 50 percent co-financing under the agreement, the country was expected to develop an annual debt of about US$200 million. But with the aim to offset such a situation, Guyana took the position that for every shipment of oil, full payment would be made immediately.

At present, the local fuel company buying the oil has to pay the full price to the Guyana Energy Agency which acts as the agent to facilitate the purchase. At the level of the government, the Venezuelan-financed portion is placed in a special account and the finance ministry issues a promissory note. The money accumulated in this process has been used to help in purchasing two power plants for the national electricity sector as well as funding other projects.

For export of rice and paddy, the cost is discounted against what is owed by Guyana for Venezuelan oil. In other words, Guyana’s debt to PetroCaribe is paid in paddy and rice as settlement for oil from Venezuela. Under this arrangement, three compensation agreements signed with Venezuela resulted in the cancellation of US$281.1 million of Guyana’s oil debt. This amount was equivalent to the value of rice and paddy exported to Venezuela from July 2011 to October 2013.

Certainly, PetroCaribe has definitely established itself as a unique mechanism for the purchase of the fuel. This was reemphasized at the ministerial meeting of PetroCaribe and the summit of heads of governments in December 2014 when Venezuela proposed the establishment of a PetroCaribe economic zone through an alliance with ALBA.

The introduction of an economic zone presents future opportunities to either access greater markets since participating countries would be able to reduce or expand the amount of oil debt periodically, while expanding their markets, introduce economies of scale in terms of technology, and increase job creation.

While all of this remains a distinct possibility in the near future, Guyana is currently discussing with Venezuela the possibility of exporting additional products under the PetroCaribe arrangement. Cash crops, vegetables, fruits, medicine and building materials are just some of the products Guyana could export to Venezuela.

The benefits of PetroCaribe for Guyana are not only in the concessionary terms for the import of oil, but also for the funding of energy projects, or the increased exports of its rice shipments to Venezuela. Out of the initiative, an important social project in the form of a shelter for homeless people was established in 2013 at Onverwagt, in the West Berbice region. The facility, named the Hugo Chavez Centre for Rehabilitation and Reintegration, was made possible through a grant of US$2 million from the social fund of ALBA (a “partner” of PetroCaribe). This shelter, equipped with dormitories and kitchen, medical and recreational facilities, will remain as a lasting memorial to the generosity of the late Venezuelan leader, the initiator of the PetroCaribe agreement.

With these positive developments accruing to the country’s benefit, it remains obvious that Guyana will most likely continue in the foreseeable future to be an active contributor of PetroCaribe. More recently, Prime Minister Samuel Hinds, responsible for Guyana’s energy program, categorically asserted this position when he dismissed as “premature” the speculative arguments that the initiative would collapse due to the perceived political upheaval and declining economy in Venezuela. Clearly, Guyana, as he and other government leaders have emphatically declared, will continue to vigorously support and honor the terms of the PetroCaribe agreement.

*Dr. Odeen Ishmael, Ambassador Emeritus, was Guyana’s Ambassador to Venezuela from 2003 to 2011 and participated as a leading negotiator in the drafting of the PetroCaribe Agreement. He also served as ambassador to the United States, Kuwait and Qatar. He retired from the diplomatic service in 2014. The views expressed here are solely his own. He is also a Council on Hemispheric Affairs’ senior research fellow.

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US Has Resurrected Threat Of Nuclear War – OpEd

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By Dr. Paul Craig Roberts

Foreign Affairs is the publication of the elitist Council on Foreign Relations, a collection of former and current government officials, academics, and corporate and financial executives who regard themselves as the custodian and formulator of US foreign policy. The publication of the council carries the heavy weight of authority. One doesn’t expect to find humor in it, but I found myself roaring with laughter while reading an article in the February 5 online issue by Alexander J. Motyl, “Goodbye, Putin: Why the President’s Days Are Numbered.”

I assumed I was reading a clever parody of Washington’s anti-Putin propaganda. Absurd statement followed absurd statement. It was better than Colbert. I couldn’t stop laughing.

To my dismay I discovered that the absolute gibberish wasn’t a parody of Washington’s propaganda. Motyl, an ardent Ukrainian nationalist, is a professor at Rugers University and was not joking when he wrote that Putin had stolen $45 billion, that Putin was resurrecting the Soviet Empire, that Putin had troops and tanks in Ukraine and had started the war in Ukraine, that Putin is an authoritarian whose regime is “exceedingly brittle” and subject to being overthrown at any time by the people Putin has bought off with revenues from the former high oil price, or by “an Orange Revolution in Moscow” in which Putin is overthrown by Washington orchestrated demonstrations by US financed NGOs as in Ukraine, or by a coup d’etat by Putin’s Praetorial guards. And if none of this sends Putin goodbye, the North Caucasus, Chechnya, Ingushetia, Dagestan, and the Crimean Tarters are spinning out of control and will do Washington’s will by unseating Putin. Only the West’s friendly relationship with Ukraine, Belarus and Kazakstan can shield “the rest of the world from Putin’s disastrous legacy of ruin.”

When confronted with this level of ignorant nonsense in what is alleged to be a respectable publication, we experience the degradation of the Western political and media elite. To argue with nonsense is pointless.

What we see here with Motyl is the purest expression of the blatant propagandistic lies that flow continually from the likes of Fox “News,” Sean Hannity, the neocon warmongers, the White House, and executive branch and congressional personnel beholden to the military/security complex.

The lies are too much even for Henry Kissinger.

As Stephen Lendman, who documents the ever growing anti-Russian propaganda, honestly states: “America’s war on the world rages. Humanity’s greatest challenge is stopping this monster before it destroys everyone.”

The absurdity of it all! Even a moron knows that if Russia is going to put tanks and troops into Ukraine, Russia will put in enough to do the job. The war would be over in a few days if not in a few hours. As Putin himself said some months ago, if the Russian military enters Ukraine, the news will not be the fate of Donetsk or Mauriupol, but the fall of Kiev and Lviv.

Former US Ambassador to the Soviet Union (1987-91) Jack Matlock cautioned against the crazed propagandistic attack against Russia in his speech at the National Press Club on February 11. Matlock is astonished by the dismissal of Russia as merely “a regional power” of little consequence to the powerful US military. No country, Matlock says, armed with numerous, accurate, and mobile ICBMs is limited to regional power. This is the kind of hubristic miscalculation that ends in world destruction.

Matlock also notes that the entirely of Ukraine, like Crimea, has been part of Russia for centuries and that Washington and NATO have no business being in Ukraine.

He also points out the violations of promises made to Russia not to expand NATO eastward and how this and other acts of US aggression toward Russia have recreated the lack of trust between the two powers that Reagan worked successfully to overcome.

Reagan’s politeness toward the Soviet leadership and refusal to personalize differences created an era of cooperation that the morons who are Reagan’s successors have thrown away, thus renewing the threat of nuclear war that Reagan and Gorbachev had ended.

Washington’s foreign policy, Matlock says, is autistic, which he defines as impaired social interaction, failed communication, and restricted and repetitive behavior.

This article originally appeared on paulcraigroberts.org. Reprinted with permission.

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Claims Yemen Ex-President Saleh Conspired With Houthis

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Yemeni ex-president Ali Abdullah Saleh is suspected of corruptly amassing as much as $60 billion, equivalent to Yemen’s annual GDP, during his long rule, and colluding in a Houthi takeover last year, UN-appointed investigators have told the Security Council.

The report by the world body’s Panel of Experts on Yemen echoes criticism by his opponents that Saleh’s rule from 1978 to 2012 was marred by graft, and that even out of office he is fomenting instability – allegations he has consistently denied.

Presented with the experts’ 54-page findings, the Council voted unanimously on Tuesday to extend sanctions on Saleh and two top militia leaders, first targeted by the world body in November for their alleged role in destabilising the country.

Repeated calls to a spokesman for Saleh were not immediately returned.

In an interview with Reuters last year, Saleh denied any corruption during his tenure.

His party has also rejected allegations by Saleh’s critics that he or his son Ahmad Ali, once one of Yemen’s top military commanders, had had a hand in the fall of the capital Sana’a.

“(Saleh) is alleged to have amassed assets between $32 billion and $60 billion … partly from his corrupt practices as President of Yemen, particularly relating to gas and oil contracts where he reportedly asked for money in exchange for granting companies exclusive rights to prospect for gas and oil,” write the experts, who monitor violations of UN sanctions on Yemen.

Most of this wealth was believed to have been transferred abroad under false names or the names of others holding the assets on his behalf, the report said. It took the form of property, cash, shares, gold and other valuable commodities, and was believed to spread across at least 20 countries.

Saleh was ousted in the wake of the 2011 Arab Spring protests, after 33 years at the head of one of the Arab world’s most fractious and — despite modest energy reserves — impoverished countries.

Saleh has remained a power-broker, and frequently criticised his successor, Abd Rabbo Mansour Hadi, in the months running up to the invasion of Sana’a in September by Al Houthis who eventually swept Hadi from power and opened up a political vacuum.

Describing Al Houthis’ armed surge into the capital in September, the UN experts cited “the loyalty of large parts of the army to elements of the old regime, in particular Ahmad Ali Saleh and former President Saleh, who colluded with Al Houthis in what resulted in a coup d’état”.

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Spain: PM Rajoy Says Economy To Grow By 2.4% In 2015, Higher Than Previously Forecast

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In his speech during the Debate on the State of the Nation, Spanish Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy stressed that the next “achievable” target, “if we avoid tripping up”, is to create “three million jobs, net”. He stressed that not asking for a bailout was “the main measure under our social policy” in this legislature and announced further measures to promote the Social Agenda of the Government of Spain and consolidate economic growth.

After highlighting that Spanish GDP will grow by 2.4% in 2015, Rajoy offered some further economic data: consumption will continue to grow at approximately 3%; investment in capital goods will increase by over 7%; the current account balance of payments will show a surplus; and the lending capacity of the Spanish economy to the rest of the world will exceed 1% of GDP.

According to the Spanish Prime Minister, “this legislature still has more to give” so the reformist agenda will continue. In this regard, he announced a reduction in National Insurance contributions for new permanent employment contracts, which will benefit from a contribution-exempt minimum of 500 euros. He explained that this reduction will have “no impact on benefit entitlements for the worker”. He went on to add that the goal is to foster a return to work for those groups experiencing the greatest difficulty.

Furthermore, the Government of Spain is preparing more measures for the self-employed: they will receive a one-year break of 100% from National Insurance contributions when they need to reduce their working day to care for children under the age of seven or elderly persons requiring long-term care. Mariano Rajoy explained that, with these measures, the Government of Spain aims to continue bringing the rights of the self-employed into line with those of employees.

A second chance for the people

Rajoy made special mention of the middle classes because of “their effort and solidarity” during these years of crisis. In his opinion, “Spain owes them a great debt” and “the time has come to start easing their situation”.

In this regard, the Prime Minister cited a series of measures for achieving progress on the Social Agenda of the Government of Spain. These include the Integrated Family Support Plan, the Framework of Action on the Elderly and the Special Plan for Equality between Men and Women in the Workplace. Furthermore, the tax breaks for large families and the so-called “family cheques” for 1,200 euros handed out to single-parent families with two children will be extended. One million people could benefit from these new measures.

Rajoy also provided information on what “this government will do to promote reforms aimed at offering a second chance to every member of the public” and thus ease the indebtedness of households, the self-employed and SMEs. From now on, he said, “households will be able to restructure their debt via an out-of-court settlement agreement”. A simplified procedure will be created under which it will be possible to agree write-offs, deferred payments and other ways to reduce the debt. Furthermore, “natural persons” under the Insolvency Act will be able to cancel those debts that remain unpaid following execution of guarantees and their assets.

rajoy explained that the prescription limits on demanding repayment of the debt will be revised (reduced to five years under standard circumstances), the Banking Best Practices Code will be reformed and a provision will be included so that vulnerable groups can benefit from a definitive non-application of floor clauses.

The reforms continue

In his speech, Rajoy also discussed the topic of public administration services. In this regard, he said that a new legal framework will be defined for a system of entirely online, interconnected and transparent government with a clear and simple structure. All this will bring benefits for the public, companies and the administration services themselves.

Furthermore, the Prime Minister expressed his intention to move forward with speeding up the justice system. On this issue, he announced a reform of the Spanish Criminal Procedure Act (to avoid mass court cases taking too long), a review of the legal fees system and an amendment to the Spanish Civil Procedure Act.

Rajoy also announced measures to strengthen anti-fraud measures, both in the Public Treasury and the Social Security system. To do so, he said, a reform of the General Tax Act and the Law Governing the Labour Inspection, Social Security and Employment Health System will be undertaken.

Results from three years in government

Rajoy began his speech by taking stock of the last three years of government. After recalling that the economic crisis reduced revenue by 70 billion euros, destroyed 3.4 million jobs and escalated the risk premium to over 600 basis points, he explained that “we were forced to dedicate two whole years to straightening out that disaster – two tough years of effort and cut-backs to finally balance the books”.

However, in 2013, “we managed what many people thought was unfeasable: for Spanish economic activity to start growing, reversing the economic recession we inherited when we came to power”. Hence, 400,000 jobs were created in 2014 and, “with the January 2015 data, we can now say that there are 74,000 fewer registered unemployed than in the first month of this legislature”.

Three years on, added the Prime Minister, Spain is “a nation that has emerged from the nightmare, bailed itself out, regained economic confidence, enjoys prestige, is becoming attractive to investors again, has reorganised the way it works and is seeing growth in consumption”. In other words, “Spain has gone from being a country on the verge of bankruptcy to a fine example of economic recovery”.

Rajoy said that “Spain itself and the people of Spain deserve all the praise”.

Not asking for a bailout, the best social policy

The Prime Minister stressed that these targets have been achieved by maintaining the welfare State, “with no social break-up” and without deepening inequality. And more importantly, he said, without asking for a bailout. “That was the great decision of this legislature, the great measure of social policy”, he explained, because “a bailout is ruthless, it considers not age nor social status nor the strength or weakness of each household”.

However, Rajoy warned that “everything we have gained in three years can be lost in only a few months”. He went on to add that we should not “allow what we have built to be torn down” but should rather commit ourselves to “finishing the job and consolidating our recovery from the economic crisis”. In his opinion, job creation is what guarantees the welfare State.

Rajoy also recalled that extraordinary support mechanisms have been implemented for the public administration services, such as the ICO line of credit, the Supplier Payment Plan and the Regional Liquidity Fund. “Over 70% of those funds have been used on social spending”, he said. In this regard, Rajoy announced new financing and liquidity instruments for 2015 worth 39.87 billion euros aimed at guaranteeing the provision of basic services. The fiscal reform was another important measure to be adopted by the Government of Spain, said Rajoy, which benefited 20 million taxpayers.

As regards the fight against corruption,Rajoy explained that it represents “a priority objective” for his government. Along the same lines, he recalled all the measures that have been approved and that have made it “much more difficult for corruption to occur”. At the end of the legislature, he said, “Spain will have one of the most stringent pieces of legislation to prevent and punish corruption”.

As regards the sovereignty process in Catalonia,Rajoy expressed his constant willingness “to reach an understanding with the Regional Government of Catalonia, as with any other regional government in this country”. He once again reiterated the fact he will never accept “the unity of Spain, our national sovereignty, the equality of all Spaniards and their fundamental rights” to be jeopardised.

EU, Greece, Jihadism and Ukraine

As regards the European Union, Rajoy highlighted the progress made along the path of banking union and the launch of the so-called Juncker Plan. The latter, approved last December by the European Council, represents a commitment to economic growth and job creation as it aims to mobilise up to 315 billion euros between 2015 and 2017. The Prime Minister stressed that this money will be used to finance small and medium-sized enterprises and promote infrastructure projects, especially energy projects, mainly for the Iberian Peninsula.

The Prime Minister also spoke about the situation in Greece and backed the agreement reached between the EU and Greece because, as “is to be expected”, they will meet their commitments and flexibility will be applied wherever room for manoeuvre was provided. As regards the fight against Jihadi terrorism,  Rajoy said that the keys lie in “political and social commitment, dedicated and constant police and judicial action, and international cooperation”.

He also said “it is highly important for the EU to maintain a united position over the situation in Ukraine”. In his opinion, “any solution will have to be political and negotiated, and guarantee the independence and territorial integrity of Ukraine”.

This is the 25th Debate on the State of the Nation to be held since the transition to democracy in Spain. Furthermore, it is the third and last of the tenth legislature.

The post Spain: PM Rajoy Says Economy To Grow By 2.4% In 2015, Higher Than Previously Forecast appeared first on Eurasia Review.

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