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Turkey Should End Prosecutions For Insulting President, Says HRW

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A Turkish court on April 29, 2015, released from prison a lawyer facing trial for insulting President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan, but he should not be facing such charges in the first place, Human Rights Watch said Wednesday.

Umut Kılıç, 24, is one of several people facing charges of defaming the president over the past few months who have been placed in pretrial detention without any good reason.

“Turkey needs to stop putting people on trial for insulting public officials,” said Emma Sinclair-Webb, senior Turkey researcher at Human Rights Watch. “It’s especially worrying to see courts ordering pretrial detention when the case involves insult to President Erdoğan.”

Kılıç was arrested on April 21 after an altercation with a board interviewing prospective judges at the Justice Ministry in Ankara. Senior ministry officials on the interview board called the police and had him detained after he allegedly made critical comments about them, the government, and the president.

He was taken before a prosecutor, and then a court, which ordered him to be sent to prison pending completion of the investigation. Justice Minister Bekir Bozdağ, who must consent to any prosecution for insulting the president, granted permission, and on April 27, an Ankara prosecutor indicted Kılıç for insulting the president under article 299/1 of the Turkish Penal Code and for insulting public officials under article 125. He faces a possible total sentence of eight years and nine months and a deprivation of the right to hold public office or to vote in elections, under article 53.

The prosecutor’s indictment is based on a record of the incident approved by senior Justice Ministry officials that alleges that Kılıç called the interview board “collaborators of the existing system, lackeys of the fascist AK Party power” and that “as he was led away he was heard shouting slogans such as ‘thief, murderer Recep Tayyip Erdoğan.’” Kılıç’s lawyers told Human Rights Watch that he disputes this version of the incident and believes that cronyism in the judiciary has prevented him from being appointed a judge though he passed the written examinations.

The framework of the European Convention on Human Rights protects even shocking and offensive speech. But, the indictment contends that criminalizing insult to the president is necessary “for the aims of upholding the high and unshakeable reputation of the president…” and protecting “the state’s spiritual personality, constitutional institutions and legal personality.” It also contends that European Court case law has not defended terms such as “thief, murderer” as free speech. No date has been set for Kılıç’s trial, but it is expected to start in the coming weeks.

Turkish government figures regularly contend that insulting words are not free speech. Bodies including the Council of Europe, the European Commission, the Organization for Security and Co-operation in Europe, and human rights groups in Turkey and internationally have repeatedly criticized this position and Turkey’s regular restriction of freedom of expression. The European Court of Human Rights (ECHR) has repeatedly issued rulings on Turkey, finding violations of freedom of expression protected under article 10 of the European Convention.

“It is vital to Turkey’s democracy and rule of law for the courts to protect free speech in line with international standards and for the Turkish government to stop misrepresenting ECHR case law,” Sinclair-Webb said. “Putting Kılıç and others in detention while under investigation without any good reason looks like summary punishment.”

Since the end of 2014 the authorities have pursued a spate of such cases with the justice minister’s permission, including against children, and several have entailed short periods of pretrial detention. Prosecution for insulting the president can result in a sentence of between one and four years, increasing by one-sixth if committed publicly. Some cases have involved oral statements; others were for criticism on social media. In no case has the accused used or incited violence. Among such cases documented by Human Rights Watch are:

  • On December 23, police detained a 16-year-old student in Konya the day after he made a speech at a political meeting. The boy is alleged to have said, “As Halkçı Lysee students, we say that we don’t see Erdoğan, the chief of corruption, bribery and theft, as this country’s president but rather as thief Tayyip of the illegal palace.” A court placed him in pretrial detention but released him on appeal on December 26. His trial before the Konya Juvenile Court began in March 2015, then was postponed until September. Another 17-year-old boy in Konya is also being prosecuted for a similar offense;
  • Police detained Onur Kılıç, a political activist from the socialist Birleşik Haziran movement, on February 12 for shouting the slogan “Thief, murderer” at a January 10 political meeting in Izmir. On February 13 an Izmir court put Kılıç in pretrial detention. He was released on February 27 following an appeal, but his prosecution for insulting the president is scheduled for May 5 in Izmir;
  • Police detained Kadir Yavaş, 22, a university student, in Edirne on February 13 and another student, Şafak Kurt, 24, in Akhisar on February 14 for insulting the president. Yavas spent 3 days, and Kurt 11 days, in pretrial detention before they were released on appeal. Kurt’s trial began on April 7 and has been postponed to July. Yavas’ trial is to start on April 30;
  • Police detained former ruling party member of parliament, Feyzi İşbaşaran, on December 8, 2014, for tweets insulting the president. An Istanbul court placed him in pretrial detention. He was released on appeal on January 20, 2015. His trial opened in February and is continuing; and
  • Police arrested a 40-year-old small business owner, İlker Bulundu, at his home in Silifke on April 25, one month after he criticized the president on social media. A court placed him in pretrial detention, where he remains.

The post Turkey Should End Prosecutions For Insulting President, Says HRW appeared first on Eurasia Review.


Charlie Hebdo Cartoonist Luz Says Won’t Draw The Prophet

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The French cartoonist Luz, who drew the Prophet Mohammad for the cover of Charlie Hebdo following the Al-Qaeda inspired killings of members of the magazine’s staff, has said he will no longer draw the Prophet.

“He no longer interests me,” he told Les Inrockuptibles in an interview published on its website Wednesday.

“I’ve got tired of it, just as I got tired of drawing Sarkozy. I’m not going to spend my life drawing them.”

Islamist gunmen claiming to be avenging the Prophet killed 12 in attack on the Paris offices of the satirical magazine, known for lampooning Islam along with other religions.

For Muslims, any depiction of the Prophet is considered blasphemous, but Charlie Hebdo’s next edition carried on its cover Luz’s cartoon of a tearful Mohammad holding a “Je suis Charlie” (“I am Charlie”) sign under the words “All is forgiven”.

A strong show of solidarity and concern for freedom of expression prevailed throughout France following the attacks, and the magazine sold several million copies rather than its usual circulation of 60,000.

“The terrorists did not win,” Luz said in the interview. “They will have won if the whole of France continues to be scared.”

Original article

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Saudi Royal Reshuffle Ensure Kingdom’s US Loyalty

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In a move that is likely to solidify ties with the US for decades to come, King Salman of Saudi Arabia has undertaken a major reshuffle, appointing Mohammed bin Nayef as his new successor and his son Mohammed bin Salman as second in line to the throne.

The decision by King Salman, who succeeded his late brother King Abdullah, who died on January 23, replaces his half-brother Prince Muqrin with Mohammed bin Nayef as crown prince and heir to the Saudi throne.

Mohammed bin Salman, who is 34 years-old, is King Salman’s son. In his position as defense minister, the new deputy crown prince has been overseeing the Saudi-led coalition’s bombing campaign against anti-government Houthi forces in Yemen.

Both princes are part of a generation of grandsons of Saudi Arabia’s founder, the late King Abdulaziz al-Saud, whose sons have passed power from brother to brother since his death in 1953.

The majority of the family’s Allegiance Council approved both appointments. The selections are seen as a shift away from the princes who had been favored by King Salman’s predecessor, King Abdullah.

The 55 year-old Mohammed Bin Nayef is seen as a close friend of the US and has been effective in the country’s fight against Islamic militants. The crown prince speaks excellent English and studied in Portland Oregon in the US during the 1980’s. Mohammed Bin Nayef is “well liked” in US circles, having served as Saudi Arabia’s counterterrorism chief and later as interior minister.

In December, he met with US President Barack Obama and discussed terrorism and regional issues. Obama praised “Saudi Arabia’s contributions to the global coalition to counter ISIL’s extremist ideology,” and expressed “appreciation for Saudi Arabia’s important role in upholding regional peace and security.”

During his visit to the Oval Office, one prominent international affairs professor at Texas A&M, F. Gregory Gause III, described Mohammed bin Nayef as “America’s favorite Saudi official.”

Meanwhile, a senior official in the Obama administration added, “What he has — and which American officials have grown to appreciate in particular — is that he’s quite pragmatic and not particularly ideological,” the Washington Post reported.

The crown prince has been widely praised in all circles for his tough stance on terrorism, something he has experience of first hand. In 2009, Al-Qaeda sent an assassin to try and kill Mohammed bin Nayef. The suicide bomber, disguised as a defector, approached the man before setting off a bomb concealed in his clothes. The first in line to the Saudi throne survived the attack unscathed.

Mohammed bin Nayef’s stance on Yemen has been equally strong, with the crown prince being a staunch supporter of Yemeni President Abd-Rabbu Mansour Hadi, who is currently in exile in Saudi Arabia.

This viewpoint is shared by the deputy crown prince, Mohammed bin Salman, who has taken a hands on role in the Yemeni conflict, overseeing the bombing raids against the Houthi rebels.

The airstrikes, currently in their fifth week, have seen parts of the country devastated. The UN agency for children, UNICEF, reported that at least 115 children have been killed, though the death toll could be higher, while at least 30 schools and 23 hospitals have been damaged during the conflict.

On Wednesday, King Salman ordered all military and security personnel to be given a one-month salary bonus on Wednesday to convey his “appreciation of their efforts,” in what is most likely a reward for the current campaign in Yemen.

Royal bonuses are common in Saudi Arabia during times of political change. In January, King Salman ordered payment of two months extra salary and pensions to government employees and retirees.

In his position as the head of the country’s defense, the deputy crown prince is also responsible for huge arms purchases from the US. The UK also sells billions of dollars’ worth of weapons and planes to Saudi Arabia, some of which have been used the ongoing campaign in Yemen.

Mohammed bin Salman is by far the youngest Saudi in a senior decision making role. With 60 percent of the Kingdom’s population under the age of 21, King Salman’s son has been keen to portray himself in the Saudi media, which is owned by his father, as the leader of a new younger generation of Saudi’s.

Human rights groups are unlikely to welcome the news of King Salman’s appointments, citing Mohammed bin Nayef’s past track record in dealing with government opponents.

“What’s very troubling about his record is that he is the principle architect of this massive onslaught against dissidents and human rights activists,” said Adam Coogle, a Saudi-based Middle East researcher for Human Rights Watch. “He is the chief, number one hard-liner, and he is persecuting moderate, independent voices for reform,” the Washington Post reported.

Coogle mentions that Mohammed bin Nayef’s policies are more extreme than his father’s, Nayef bin Abdul Aziz, who was crown prince when he died in 2012. While his father would lock up opponents for a few days to teach them a lesson, Mohammed bin Nayef has taken a much tougher line.

He has implemented a system with actual trials and charges for citizens who criticize the regime, with jail sentences of 10 to 15 years common.

Human Rights Watch has been routinely critical of Saudi Arabia’s record on the treatment of political opponents and the country’s inability to protect the rights of around nine million foreign workers in the region.

In May 2014, a Jeddah court convicted activist Raif Badawi and sentenced him to 10 years in prison and 1,000 lashes for “insulting Islam” by founding a critical liberal website and for his comments during television interviews.

This move brought condemnation from governments across the globe. However, a number of Western countries who have voiced criticism are still happy to back the Saudi regime and supply it with weapons in exchange for the billion dollar contracts they receive.

The post Saudi Royal Reshuffle Ensure Kingdom’s US Loyalty appeared first on Eurasia Review.

Nepal Earthquake: Women’s Special Role In Disaster Management – Analysis

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By Nishtha Gautam and Vidisha Mishra*

Nature has manifested its might in the form of yet another disaster. After the devastating floods in Uttarakhand, Kashmir and the Northeast, the Indian government is seen battling the earthquake that has reportedly razed the capital of neighbouring Nepal. This quick succession of large-scale natural calamities has highlighted the shortcomings in our disaster management and rehabilitation strategies at the national and state levels.

While the heroic efforts of the Indian Army, relief workers and enthusiastic volunteers in such situations should not be discounted, it is imperative to learn lessons for better execution at present, and preparedness in future.

A lot is often written and said with regards to women’s vulnerability during the time of disasters, though what is often overlooked is their role and potential in disaster management and disaster risk reduction. When we look at the gender-specific capacities of women, they can be significant contributors to disaster risk reduction and building resilience. The example of La Masica community that registered no deaths in the wake of the 1998 Hurricane Mitch in Honduras is cited as an attempt to highlight the salient benefits of gender-sensitive disaster management.

The need to mainstream gender within disaster management efforts has roots in the fact that statistically, women are the single largest demographic group worst affected by natural and human-caused disasters.

Additionally, they are also the community requiring most support in the post-disaster environment. As the primary responsibility of caring for the young, the elderly, the sick and those living with disabilities also lies on the shoulders of women, they are to be seen as the prime target group for relief initiatives.

Based on the reports of relief agencies like Red Cross and findings of researchers across the globe, women and children are particularly affected by disasters. In addition to the overall impact of the disaster on the general community, women are uniquely burdened by the breakdown of infrastructure, displacement and isolation, collapse of familial and social support networks. It has been observed that in the post-disaster communities, women are at a greater risk of sexual and domestic violence. The loss of the male heads of household, also the chief bread winners, complemented with livelihood loss also contributes to increasing women’s burdens and responsibilities.

A woman’s pre-disaster familial responsibilities and roles are magnified and expanded by the onset of a disaster or emergency, with significantly less support and resources for those roles. Women’s lack of skills – including literacy, especially in countries with less access to education among women – combined with their lack of experience in the public sphere, makes it difficult for them to engage with relief and emergency response mechanisms. Women are mostly employed within the agricultural and informal sectors, which are often the worst affected by disasters. Therefore, the rates of unemployment among women after a disaster are inordinately high.

In keeping with these specific vulnerabilities, certain practices can be highlighted for a gender-sensitive approach in disaster management.

Close interaction with communities in planning process

Most planning and preparedness for relief efforts typically takes place in bureaucratic surroundings. While research and analysis is certainly a part of this process, the inputs of locals are seldom sought. An inclusive disaster management plan would make a significant difference in times of crisis. It is important to align disaster management with best practices in gender inclusive governance, domestic as well as global. The case of Swayam Shikshan Prayog (SSP) is worth drawing valuable lessons from. SSP was developed as a pilot collaborative effort in 1980 for encouraging women’s participation in an existing antipoverty program. It provided a platform to community-based women’s groups to interact with local government officials in six districts in the Marathwada region of Maharashtra. SSP plays a big role in coordinating and channelising the training provided by different women groups and co-operatives in the field of education, health, construction, sanitation etc. Such training is found to have reduced women’s vulnerabilities in emergency situations and the post-disaster scenario. In the Latur and Bhuj earthquakes, the SSP women contributed significantly in repairing and rebuilding infrastructure.

Gender disaggregated assessment

While the basic rule for relief efforts in times of natural disasters is to evacuate “women and children” first, the job does not end there. During the Kashmir and Northeast rescue and rehabilitation operations, sanitary napkins were deemed as “essential supplies” by volunteers and relief agencies. This is an example of mainstreaming gender specific concerns in disaster management. Special attention ought to be paid to women’s needs in times of menstruation while considering cultural beliefs during menstruation and women’s limited physical ability during this time. In addition to that, focusing on aspects such as easy and safe access to toilets, availability of wheelchairs, private areas for women to change clothes/bathe and special provisions for pregnant and nursing women, is integral to effective disaster management.

Employment of female relief workers

Like in most professions, women are under represented in the field of disaster management and relief efforts. The inclusion of more women in the process would inarguably augment the efficiency of the process. It is worth acknowledging that in India and the rest of the subcontinent, it is not uncommon for certain women to be apprehensive about confiding in or being touched by a male relief worker even in times of crisis. As per a Red Cross representative (name withheld) currently based in New Delhi, many women have inhibitions in sharing bed with strangers at shelters, and therefore pre-disaster evacuation efforts are met with resistance.

Involvement of affected women in relief efforts/ planning

Gender-sensitive disaster management can be best aided by gender inclusive efforts. There is a lot that women could do to aid the process of relief and rehabilitation. For instance, traditional knowledge and skills of women can be used to manage natural resources, aid the injured and sick, prepare community meals, and nurse displaced infants and children during reconstruction and recovery processes. Moreover, with adequate training we can capitalise on the clichéd role of women as emotional nurturer in PTSD scenario in survivors. After the initial phase of relief and rescue operations have been accomplished, the involvement of affected local women in the management of refugee camps, distribution of food, etc could prove to be an asset. These women belong to the affected community and hence, enjoy a degree of trust that relief workers would have to work hard to establish otherwise.

Safety and security

Unfortunately, even the relief camps are not immune to abuse, violence and sexual harassment. Considering physical, geographical and psychological vulnerabilities of displaced women, safety is of prime importance. Secure areas should include: safe sleeping arrangements, adequate lighting and accessible toilets, and choice of safe location for camps. Designating women-only spaces for changing, in times of menstruation, and nursing is also a need which is much ignored but necessary for effective management.

It must also be ensured that relief reaches specific categories: widows, single, female headed households, elderly, disabled et al. Unarguably, in times of disaster, the entire affected community must be aided and re-habilitated with equal urgency. However, it is a sad fact that specific sections of the population may face more vulnerability and difficulty in the rehabilitation process.

*Nishtha Gautam is an academic in University of Delhi and Associate Fellow at Observer Research Foundation. Vidisha Mishra is a Research Assistant at Observer Research Foundation

Courtesy: Dailyo.in

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Weather And Trade Depress US First Quarter GDP – Analysis

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US GDP grew at just a 0.2 percent annual rate in the first quarter, considerably worse than most analysts had expected. Even this weak number was inflated by an accumulation of inventories. Final sales actually shrank at a 0.5 percent annual rate in the quarter. Weaker inventory accumulation will be a drag on growth in future quarters.

As was the case in the first quarter of 2014, weather likely played a large role in the weak showing. Of particular note, structure investment fell at a 23.1 percent annual rate, subtracting 0.75 percentage points from the growth in the quarter. While there is evidence of overbuilding in many markets, this sharp decline was likely due to many project starts in the Northeast and Midwest being delayed by unusually bad weather. Car sales were also weak, declining at a 3.1 percent annual rate, subtracting 0.08 percentage points from growth. The growth is spending on restaurants and hotels was also weak, which is consistent with bad weather having an impact.

Weather probably also played a role in the 1.5 percent rate of decline in state and local government spending, which was all on the investment side. The decline in state and local spending subtracted 0.17 percentage points from GDP growth in the quarter. Spending on residential construction increased at just a 1.4 percent annual rate, that compares to 6.7 percent growth over the last year.

The other noteworthy source of weakness was trade. The rise in the trade deficit subtracted 1.25 percentage points from the quarter’s growth. Most of this was on the export side, with exports falling at 7.2 percent annual rate and exports of goods falling at a 13.3 percent annual rate. This is undoubtedly due to the impact of the rise in the dollar. Unless this rise is reversed, we are likely to see a further decline in our trade position, which will be a drag on growth for the foreseeable future.

The evidence in this report suggests inflation is falling rather than rising toward the Fed’s 2.0 percent target. The overall price deflator fell at a 0.1 percent annual rate, driven down by lower energy prices. But even the core deflator rose at just a 0.9 percent annual rate, down from a 1.3 percent rate of increase over the last year.

One piece of positive news in this report is that health care prices again appear to be restrained. The price index for health care services actually fell slightly in the first quarter. Over the last year nominal spending on services has risen by 6.2 percent, which translated into a 5.5 percent increase in real spending.

It is worth noting that tendency earlier in the upturn for the growth in gross domestic income (GDI) to outpace the growth in gross domestic product seems to have disappeared in the last two years. (We don’t have data yet for the GDI for the first quarter.) Some analysts had taken the more rapid growth in GDI to indicate the economy was actually doing better than indicated by the GDP data. The more plausible explanation is that some amount of capital gains income is improperly recorded in the GDI measure, leading to an overstatement in GDI growth during periods in which stock or housing prices rise rapidly.

It is important to recognize that while much of the weakness in this report is due to weather, even with optimistic assumptions, the underlying rate of growth would almost certainly not be much over 2.0 percent. This is not even keeping pace with potential GDP, which means that we are making up none of the ground lost in the downturn. It would be difficult to imagine that the Fed would want to slow the economy with interest rate hikes in this context.

It is also important to recognize that the weather-related weakness in the first quarter virtually guarantees strong growth in the next two quarters. Many analysts will undoubtedly seize on these stronger growth reports as evidence of a new boom as they did last year. Hopefully those in policy positions will know enough to dismiss such tales of boom.gdp-2015-04(1)

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Role Of Youth In Countering Violent Extremism – OpEd

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By Gholamali Khoshroo*

Today, young people are in a paradoxical situation in relation to Islam and the West. This critical situation is rooted in two realities that are seemingly contradictory but inherently complementary. On the one hand, we witness the expansion of extremism and terrorism which could be observed as much in some western capitals as in villages in some Islamic countries. On the other hand, Islamophobia is spreading across the West and implanting hatred and fear in the fabric of the Western society.

Where are youth in the midst of this conflicting and contradictory situation? Have they given rise to this situation or are they simply its victims? Who are those who have created this situation and what interest is it to serve? What is the role of the young people in this equation?

The Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic, in a message addressed to the youth in the West, recently called upon them to free themselves from this imposed and destructive quandary. He added that, “Today, modern communication technology has blurred geographical boundaries. You [the young] must not allow yourselves to be confined within fabricated mental walls.”

What are these artificial mental walls? They have their foundations in destructive ideologies, which have two attributes:

1. They are tainted with ignorance, superficiality and fanatic outlooks,

2. They are also violence-oriented and based on terror and takfir, i.e., considering “others” or those who are different as apostates.

Those centers that propagate these ideologies, falsely under the name of Islam, and spend billions of dollars to spread them through satellite TVs and social and traditional media are fueling the spread of ignorance and violence. They specifically prey on youth and link them to their networks of extremism and terrorism.

Today’s world witnesses a nefarious show of violence in the Middle East and North Africa. If those behind this show are not confronted, the danger they create can increase exponentially and leads to the most threatening global security crisis.

It seems that this process has given rise to Islamophobia in the West. However, the financial, political and cultural centers of these hatemongering and takfiri ideologies are indeed allied to the bases of might and money in the West. Such power centers use global media to target Islam and try to depict it as biggest threat, and emphasize the inevitability of the bloody conflict between Islam and the West.

Neither these ideologies, nor global terrorists and nor fear-mongering media, represent Islam. They, all, lie at the core of Islamophobia and the acts that target Muslims. In the message of Iran’s Supreme Leader, youth are called upon to stay aloof from this unjustified crisis and to distance themselves in a savvy and clear-sighted way from the ideologies based on ignorance and violence. Islam is the religion of compassion and wisdom, and the way its Prophet lived demonstrates the peaceful way of life, imbued with wisdom and empathy, that it recommends to all.

Earnest young people who seek truth should break mental barriers raised by both Islamophobia and takfiri ideologies and set a new path in the interaction between Islam and the West. Thanks to these young people, the relation between Islam and the West will be based on constructive interaction, mutual respect and fairness. And this is exactly what the Islamic Republic of Iran is looking for in terms of global cooperation to combat extremism and violence.

Iranians, and especially young Iranians, have been mostly immune when it comes to resisting propaganda and recruitment by violent extremists; which is a matter of pride to us. I would like to take this opportunity to once again reaffirm Iran’s unquestionable commitment to combating violent extremism especially in the context of our fight against the most dangerous of terrorist groups in our region such as Al-Qaeda and Daesh and other similar groups that have also been the most successful in preying upon the young all over the world.

Finally, President Hassan Rouhani of Iran introduced a comprehensive agenda for a World Against Violent Extremism that was adopted by the General Assembly at its 68th session. This agenda provides a path to combat violent extremism and empower young people around the world and its importance has never been clearer.

*Ghomali Khoshroo is the Ambassador of the Islamic Republic of Iran to the United Nations. This article is adapted from a statement he made to the UN Security Council on April 23. The opinions expressed in this article do not necessarily reflect the views of the Common Ground News Service.

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Indian Embassy In Washington DC Starts Yoga Series

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India’s Embassy in Washington DC organized a talk by Sri Sri Ravi Shankar on ‘Nurturing Peace Through Yoga and Meditation’ on April 29, 2015, which began a series of curtain-raiser yoga events to welcome the First International Day of Yoga (June 21, 2015).

Sri Sri Ravi Shankar emphasized the relevance of Yoga in today’s world. He said that yoga is not only about flexibility in body but also about flexibility in mind and thinking. Sri Sri mentioned that wars in the world begin when communication breaks down. Yoga creates skills in communication and relating to people. The purpose of yoga and meditation is to unite hearts and minds of people and to unite religions and cultures of the world. At the end of his Talk, Sri Sri answered questions on Yoga and meditation from the audience.

The United Nations General Assembly has declared June 21 as the International Day of Yoga. Charge d’Affaires Ambassador Taranjit Singh Sandhu highlighted the words of Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi at the United Nations: “Yoga is an invaluable gift of India’s ancient tradition. It embodies unity of mind and body; thought and action; restraint and fulfillment; harmony between man and nature; a holistic approach to health and well-being. It is not about exercise but to discover the sense of oneness with yourself, the world and the nature. By changing our lifestyle and creating consciousness, it can help us deal with climate change”. On December 11, India introduced a draft resolution in the United Nations General Assembly. The draft Resolution received unprecedented broad support from 177 countries and was adopted unanimously.

The Government of India is planning to celebrate the International Day of Yoga in all the countries around the world, including United States. Embassy of India, Washington DC is organizing a series of events on Yoga which will culminate on June 21, 2015. The Talk by Sri Sri Ravi Shankar begins these series of events. This would be followed by curtain raiser Yoga events at the University of Maryland, Chinmaya Mission and other places during the months of May – June 2015.

On the First International Day of Yoga, June 21, 2015, Embassy of India will be collaborating with Yoga organizations, practitioners, and Community Organizations for a day-long event at the Mall, Washington DC.

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Tesla Could Be Changing Dynamics Of Global Energy – Analysis

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By Michael McDonald

Tesla’s announcement last week about creating a new line of batteries for use by businesses, consumers, and the electrical grid at large is a game-changer for the industry. Currently, when individuals or companies need back-up power, they usually rely on generators. Effective battery storage for large amounts of energy would be a game changer in that it would enable a separation of generation and use of energy produced through clean fuels like solar and wind power.

The big problem with solar and wind right now is that the energy is only useful when it is actually produced and, because a company cannot modify generation to correspond with demand needs, any excess power has to be sold back to the market for immediate use. Tesla’s new batteries could go a long way towards solving this problem. It is likely that Solar City, for example, would be very interested in any home application for large scale battery technology.

The unique differentiator here is not necessarily Tesla’s technology. The company certainly has state of the art tech, but what might make battery production feasible is the economies of scale that Tesla is looking to capture in battery production. Tesla’s new gigafactory will be an enormous production facility when it is completed and the facility should be able to produce 50 GWh of annual battery production eventually. This level of production should enable mass production of batteries at a fraction of the current cost.

But beyond Tesla, these economies of scale could also have benefits for other firms in the same industry. To the extent that Tesla’s production capabilities create new demand for component parts, the result would be lower costs for inputs in batteries. As supply costs fall, battery production costs across the industry would fall also leading to increased quantity demanded by consumers and businesses.

Put differently, when Edison invented the light bulb, the standard method for producing vase shaped glass vessels was very different than what it is today. Producing a vase by traditional glass blowing is expensive and time consuming. So if a person had to make just one or two light bulbs, it would likely take hours of work. Once millions of light bulbs are needed, the process becomes industrialized and the cost per bulb falls to pennies. The same principle applies to the economics of battery production, and that already has even competing producers salivating.

Batteries already may be much more profitable than most people realize, and so if Tesla can open up new markets for its products, it could drive the company’s earnings dramatically higher. The exact level of profit will depend on many different factors of course, but assuming that Tesla can sell its batteries based on charge capacity, then the profits could be astronomical. Tesla recently increased the price on some of its vehicles by $4,000 in concert with a 10KWh increase in battery capacity.

This implies that the company thinks 1KWh of battery capacity is worth roughly $400. 1 GWh is equal to 1 million KWh and Tesla’s new factory should be able to produce 50 GWh annually when at full production. This would, in turn, imply $20B in annual revenue from output produced by the factory. Of course this value will vary dramatically based on many factors including battery size and usage, but the raw figures are mind-boggling nonetheless and suggest the magnitude of the market potential here. Even if Tesla ultimately ends up selling battery capacity for one-tenth this amount, then the result would still be a huge boost to the company’s bottom line.

Source: http://oilprice.com/Alternative-Energy/Renewable-Energy/Tesla-Could-Be-Changing-The-Dynamics-Of-Global-Energy.html

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Wars Rarely Advance Freedom: Baltimore Riot Hints That Applies Even To The Civil War – OpEd

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The tragic irony of the recent rioting in Baltimore after alleged police brutality on an African American man is that the violence is a legacy of the American Civil War, which had its first violent deaths in the same location 154 years before. Some of the rioting occurred near Camden Yards, which now is a sports complex, but which in 1861 housed one of Baltimore’s train stations. Troops from the northeastern states were racing to get to Washington, D.C., to defend the North’s capital, which was surrounded by many Southern sympathizing regions, including the city of Baltimore. The troops had to disembark from trains and march across the city to the Camden Yard station to transfer to trains taking them south to Washington. In Baltimore, they met angry southern resistance, which resulted in the first combat deaths of the Civil War.

The Civil War—still the most deadly war in American history with 850,000 deaths, including civilians—seared already deep regional and racial cleavages in America into the permanent political landscape. Abraham Lincoln, the man who our high school history books tell us held the Union together and freed the slaves, receives adulation from historians and a stone temple today on the National Mall in the capital of the reunited nation. Nowadays, criticizing Lincoln, who has become almost the secular equivalent of Jesus, can raise suspicions that you are a closet racist who likes to manifest it publicly by supporting “Confederate heritage” or waving the Confederate battle flag.

Yet coming from a family that was part Quaker with roots in a Northern state, my criticism of Lincoln and the Civil War (in my recently revised book, Recarving Rushmore: Ranking the Presidents on Peace, Prosperity, and Liberty) comes from the other—abolitionist—direction. I make no apologies for a slave-holding, aristocratic antebellum South, which had oppressive one-party rule and many industries that were socialized. Yet, the real question is this: Would the country, and especially African Americans, have been better off if the Civil War had never occurred? I say yes.

Say what? Our high school history books seem to tell us the Civil War was fought to free the slaves, but that’s about as correct as saying the United States fought World War II to free Jews from Nazi concentration camps. Not very. Like most of his era, Lincoln was a racist who believed that African Americans were inferior to whites. He did not like slavery, but he was so afraid of freed slaves that he advocated deporting them back to Africa, as did Thomas Jefferson and Ulysses S. Grant (another Union hero). The Republican Party was formed to oppose slavery in the western territories. The states of the South realized that adding more free states in the West might eventually allow free states to outvote them in Congress, thus ending slavery by allowing the U.S. Constitution to be amended.

After Lincoln’s election in early November 1860 with less than 40 percent of the national vote, the southern states began seceding from the Union. During the then four-month period between the election and inauguration, Lincoln, believing he didn’t need to compromise because he had won the election, refused to offer any conciliatory words to the South. And instead of withdrawing from Fort Sumter off the coast of South Carolina—one of the few federal forts and facilities in or near the southern states that hadn’t yet been taken over by them—as his top military men had advised because it was regarded as indefensible, he chose to re-provision it, knowing that it meant certain war. A federal resupply ship sent to the fort by James Buchanan, the president who had just left office, had been fired on by South Carolinians, and the expectation was that any other ship sent there would meet the same fate. However, Lincoln clearly wanted to provoke the South to start a war. Lincoln wanted South Carolina standing “before the civilized world as having fired upon bread.” The South Carolinians foolishly took the bait and not only fired upon the ship but also upon the fort itself, causing it to predictably surrender. Thus was inaugurated the most cataclysmic war in American history.

But wasn’t even a massively destructive conflagration worth it for the freedom of the slaves? Recent historical research on the war’s aftermath has shown that the answer is not as clear as high school history books would have us believe. First, although the South was clearly and unconscionably fighting to preserve a horrid institution that even Southerners knew was abominable, the reality was that the vast majority of Northerners were fighting to preserve the Union—not to free the slaves. In late 1862, only in the middle of the war, when Lincoln first issued his clearly unconstitutional Emancipation Proclamation, that action was a cynical ploy to help win the war by preventing Britain and France from recognizing an independent Confederacy. Evidence for this accusation is that the proclamation freed slaves only in areas held by Confederate armies—not in Union states (Delaware) or border states (Maryland, Kentucky, and Missouri)—thus not really freeing anyone. Slaves would only be free if they could make the dangerous way to Union lines or if they rebelled against Confederate armies, which Lincoln hoped would happen but which was unlikely and did not, in fact, occur.

Unlike the portrayal in the Hollywood movie “Lincoln,” Lincoln was not the driving force behind the Thirteenth Amendment of the Constitution, which later formally abolished slavery, but only an eventual and reluctant supporter of it after a member of Congress had initiated it and built up congressional support for it.

More important, the Civil War began the American illusion that the United States fights its wars for freedom. Unfortunately, the track record for most wars anywhere is that they don’t advance freedom. Surprisingly, the Civil War is no exception. Recent scholarly research on the post-war Reconstruction of the South paints it in a much more unfavorable light than our high school history books do. The Thirteenth, Fourteenth, and Fifteenth Amendments giving slaves freedom, equality, and voting rights, respectively, were observed only for a few years until Northern armies abandoned their occupation of the South because of Northern financial exhaustion. Southern states then took away black voting rights, instituted a system of neo-slavery or “black codes” (which mandated that slaves had to work for their previous masters), trumped up legal charges on many blacks and required them to work off their sentences, and passed Jim Crow laws that discriminated against African Americans, making them permanent second class citizens. What was worse, Southern hostility from the war led to the rise of what may have been the first non-governmental terrorist group in American history—the Ku Klux Klan—which murdered and terrorized people based on the color of their skin. So now African Americans also had to fear for their lives. In other words, the North won the war and the South won the peace. The war caused overwhelming resentment among southern whites, and African Americans bore the brunt of it. Martin Luther King was largely correct when he later said that slavery wasn’t effectively ended until the Civil Rights movement did it one hundred years later.

The main premise here is that hundreds of thousands of Americans were killed, including 40,000 black soldiers, in a war that did not intend to end slavery and, in effect, did a lousy job of it. What would have been better? Almost anything. Most countries in the world that had slavery were able to end it peaceably by a system of compensated emancipation—in other words, slave owners were paid to free their slaves. Lincoln had earlier in his political career advocated this solution and later went back to it, but only after the war had started, which with the passions combat aroused, made it impossible to carry through. But in early 1861, Lincoln had just won an election and didn’t want to compromise. Had he done so, the nation might have been spared the huge costs in lives, money, and 150 years of poisoned race relations, such as those on display in Baltimore and other cities and towns around the country.

This article appeared at and is reprinted with permission.

The post Wars Rarely Advance Freedom: Baltimore Riot Hints That Applies Even To The Civil War – OpEd appeared first on Eurasia Review.

Thinking About Military History In An Age Of Drones, Hackers And IEDs – Analysis

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By Paul J. Springer*

We live in a transitional period in the history of human conflicts. Military robotics and cyber capabilities constitute a Revolution in Military Affairs (RMA) that will permanently alter the nature of warfare. The United States, which leads in the creation and adoption of these forms of technology, has the unique opportunity to shape the RMA and prevent some of its negative consequences, but only if it acts quickly and decisively to lead an international movement that can address the worst potential consequences of these developments. Absent such a determined effort, military robots and cyber capabilities are likely to make human conflict even more painful and costly, not only for uniformed military organizations but also for the noncombatant civilian populations of the world.

A Brief Introduction to RMAs

RMAs permanently alter the nature of warfare. Nations and non-state actors that accept and adapt to the changes presented by RMAs tend to gain a decisive advantage over non-adopters, such that RMAs offer the possibility of upsetting the pre-existing power structures of the global state system. These RMAs do not occur instantaneously, nor do they occur in a vacuum. Rather, they are the sum of changes in technology, doctrine, and strategy that collectively change the nature of conflicts. Over time, though, RMAs render previous conceptions of warfare obsolete. When the conditions for an RMA are created, there is a period of asymmetry, followed by a widespread adoption of the change as late-adopters realize their errors and rush to retain as much of their power as possible by changing their approach to warfare. While being first in an RMA is not always a lasting advantage, as the costs of first-adopter status can be prohibitively high, being last to adapt is almost always a recipe for disaster.

One of the most well-known RMAs in history serves to illustrate many of the key points of the RMA phenomenon. Gunpowder, in at least a rudimentary form, had been discovered in China by at least the Song Dynasty of the eleventh century, and might have been in existence even earlier. The benefits of gunpowder weaponry were not immediately obvious, although the innovation gradually spread through trade and conquest, reaching Europe in the thirteenth century. At that time, warfare was characterized by limited objectives for massively fortified positions. The pinnacle of field combatants, the heavily-armored, mounted knight, dominated the battlefields of the era, bolstered by armies of less-protected archers and men-at-arms. Fortifications of the era had high walls, protective moats, and the ability to withstand long sieges. To conquer such a position required months, and possibly years, gradually wearing down the defenses and exhausting the supplies of the threatened castle. Once gunpowder artillery, even of a rudimentary sort, became common, the era of castles quickly ended, as the high walls could not withstand even the inaccurate cannon fire of the era. Likewise, knights’ armor could not stop the power of a firearm’s projectile, and thus became an expensive and mostly useless relic of the earlier era. Gunpowder permanently transformed the notion of warfare in Europe, and in turn triggered a fortification revolution, with new strong points constructed specifically to counteract the power of gunpowder weapons. Field armies also abandoned the old means of combat, adopting hand-held firearms that could inflict devastating wounds upon the enemy. Of course, early firearms had disadvantages. They were heavy, they usually failed in poor weather, their rate of fire was ridiculously slow, and their accuracy was dismal. To counter these problems, military theorists invented the notion of linear tactics, combined arms formations, and volley fire. By the sixteenth century, European armies utilizing gunpowder weapons had swept through enormous portions of the globe, conquering the New World empires of the Aztecs and the Incas, colonizing the coasts of the Americas and Africa, and completely overturning the previous world order. States that failed to adapt to the new system, or who did not have the capability to produce gunpowder weapons, simply ceased to exist, the victims of an RMA that swept aside the entire old concept of conflict.[1]

Setting Limits Upon Conflicts

Of course, not every observer of the gunpowder RMA considered it a positive development. Without gunpowder, after all, the widespread adoption of chattel slavery, the eradication of native populations outside of Europe, and the horrors of increasingly widespread warfare would not have been possible. One needs only examine the Thirty Years War to appreciate the terrible potential of gunpowder-wielding armies, particularly when bolstered by religious leadership calling for the annihilation of competing worldviews. After Europe nearly destroyed itself through that terrible conflict, a new desire for order emerged, codified by the Treaty of Westphalia and the establishment of formal state boundaries. Scholars such as Hugo de Grotius presented arguments about the types of behavior that should be forbidden in warfare, attempting to mitigate the very worst aspects of human conflict. The awful potential of gunpowder made the establishment of limits upon wartime behavior a desirable goal, and such limits could only be created during an era of peace. If every belligerent agreed upon a certain standard of behavior in war, or at the very least, agreed not to engage in the worst forms of action, the horrors of warfare might at least be somewhat limited. Later philosophers, most notably Charles-Louis Montesquieu and Emmerich de Vattel, built upon Grotius’ arguments and established further norms of behavior in wartime. In general, the key considerations of wartime behavior can be summed up in two concepts: proportionality and discrimination.[2]

The notion of proportionality simply argues that any given action in a war should be proportionate to the type of conflict being fought. Essentially, it serves as a means to avoid a massive escalation of a conflict that might be contained at a much lower level. Proportionality does not require that every belligerent precisely copy the behavior of the enemy (although to do so would almost guarantee that a war would remain extremely limited), but it does require that a state actor give significant thought to the consequences before engaging in a disproportionate response. Of course, proportionality is, at least to a certain extent, in the eye of the actor, and what one belligerent considers an escalation in hostilities the other might consider a perfectly natural response. In theory, though, the proportionality idea should prevent one state from responding to a border incursion with a nuclear strike, and prohibits extremely powerful states from responding to minor provocations with full-scale attacks against weaker neighbors.[3]

Discrimination is the idea that warfare should be confined to military forces whenever possible. While it is an impossible standard to suggest that civilians should never be affected by interstate conflict, it is necessary that a belligerent’s actions be able to specifically target the legitimate combatants and whenever possible spare the citizenry. Thus, if a weapon cannot be aimed in such a manner as to deliberately target a specific individual, vehicle, or unit, it could be considered indiscriminate. For this reason, general artillery bombardments of civilian populations are considered illegal, indiscriminate attacks, although that has not prevented their use from time to time. Likewise, area bombing of cities during World War II could easily be classified as an indiscriminate attack; to get around the prohibition, aerial attackers constantly claimed to be attacking a certain point target of military value, and then wrote off the resulting collateral damage as the unfortunate result of an imprecise weapon. By the end of the war in the Pacific, even this degree of legal cover had largely been dropped, and the incendiary raids on Japanese cities demonstrated the dangerous potential of indiscriminate (and some would argue disproportionate) attacks.[4]

Warfare in the Twenty-First Century

Modern warfare in the twenty-first century has not been characterized by the large formations and attritional warfare of the World Wars, nor has it particularly resembled the large-scale insurgencies of the American war in Vietnam or the Soviet invasion of Afghanistan. Although American military forces would undoubtedly prefer most modern conflicts to resemble the Persian Gulf War, when an American-led coalition of nearly one million troops managed to drive the Iraqi occupiers out of Kuwait at a minimum of losses to the coalition forces, the coalition victory in 1991 demonstrated the futility of conducting such a war against the United States, NATO, or any of the permanent members of the United Nations Security Council. Rather, any belligerent that hoped to face off against the United States would need to negate many of the American advantages in technology, training, and logistics, and would need to seek to exploit perceived American weaknesses, if any could be found. In the run-up to the 2003 invasion of Iraq, it was evident to most military observers that the Iraqi Army had no chance of holding off an American-led attack. Its fortunes had only declined since 1991, while the coalition position in the region had been considerably strengthened. Aerial overflights gave a massive intelligence advantage to the coalition forces, which had a reasonably certain idea of the size, composition, and location of Iraqi combat units. Further, the coalition would commence any war with uncontested aerial dominance, an almost insurmountable advantage in twenty-first century conventional warfare.

The invasion commenced as planned, with a very quick drive from the Kuwaiti border directly toward Baghdad. The spearhead of the ground column gave little thought to flank security, which was effectively provided by the air cover overhead, and instead focused on quickly pushing into the Iraqi capital. Many American political leaders assumed that the Iraqi population would welcome the overthrow of Saddam Hussein, and would embrace the necessary short-term occupation of their homeland. Cultural misunderstandings aside, this mindset demonstrated both a shocking level of hubris and a total lack of awareness of the risks associated with moving into an urban occupation zone. Apparently, the lessons of the Battle of Mogadishu (1993), in which thousands of poorly-armed, completely untrained Somalis engaged much smaller American special operations forces in a two-day firefight that ended in an American fighting withdrawal after a successful raid, had failed to permeate the U.S. military. At the end of the fighting in Mogadishu, even though the Americans had inflicted more than 20-1 casualties upon their irregular attackers, it was the United States that abandoned the humanitarian mission and the militias that retained control of the city.

Countering the Coalition

In Iraq, an enormous number of well-trained troops who owed their position in Iraqi society to the Hussein regime proved far less amenable to life under coalition occupation than the planners had expected, especially after Paul Bremer’s Coalition Provisional Authority government ordered the Iraqi military disbanded. Hussein’s followers, particularly the special Saddam Fedayeen units, waited for the occupiers to move into the urban areas before launching a very widespread and well-coordinated insurgency. The urban locations largely negated American airpower and firepower advantages, as the resulting collateral damage from any heavy weapons use could be turned into a propaganda victory even if it initially ended in a tactical defeat. Further, the lack of raw numbers of coalition troops meant that many of the enormous weapons caches discovered in the march toward Baghdad remained unsecured, and open to plunder by any miscreants determined to resist the occupation. The insurgents quickly discovered that engaging in any form of direct tactical engagement with the American-led coalition forces was a recipe for disaster. On the other hand, the use of mines and roadside bombs soon became a favorite tactic of the insurgents. Soon, the number one casualty-creating activity for the Iraqi fighters was the use of improvised explosive devices (IEDs).

IEDs have a long history in warfare, stretching back to the first uses of gunpowder as an explosive. There has been almost an infinite variety of IED designs, but their basic premise is relatively simple. A bomb of some type is planted in the vicinity of where enemy troops are expected to pass, and detonated at a time when it can be expected to create the greatest number of casualties. Unlike land mines, an IED does not necessarily require the enemy to make direct contact with the device. Most, rather, are command-detonated at the most advantageous moment. This detonation might be through a mechanical device, an electronic pulse, or some form of wireless signal. The explosives themselves range from repurposed artillery shells buried in the road to extremely complex shaped charges designed to create a penetrating effect capable of piercing even heavily armored vehicles. Although American forces were well-prepared for conventional combat operations, they had little initial ability to detect and counteract IEDs, and soon began to fall victim in staggering numbers. As the casualties mounted, public support for the war in Iraq steadily dropped, making the enemy able to offset many American advantages with a relatively simple device. Warfare is often characterized as a learning contest, and in the battle over IEDs, the concept certainly proved true. Each side sought to out-innovate the other, with the Americans developing better-armored vehicles designed to deflect bomb blasts; deploying jammers to block detonation signals; and clearing the roadways of any debris that might be used to conceal an explosive device. The insurgents, in turn, developed new ways to design and deploy their bombs, eventually hiding them in corpses, in heavily civilian areas, and in cars driven by unknowing accomplices. Unfortunately, the IED is a very easily-constructed weapon, the Internet is rife with instructions for how to construct simple yet effective devices. As the IED casualties mounted, the United States began to cast about for a new means of waging war that would not place so many U.S. troops directly in harm’s way. The obvious solution was to find ways to wage war from afar, substituting machines for human combatants.

Military Robots and the Quest for Bloodless War

The search for a bloodless war led to the most terrifying development of warfare in the current century, specifically the emergence of robotic warfare. Although systems with a limited degree of robotic characteristics have been utilized in war for nearly a century, the newly-emerging machines are starting to be created with a level of environmental awareness and decision-making capabilities that are unprecedented. The mass media is currently enamored with the term “drone,” although it is a thorough misnomer in that it evokes visions of a mindless machine carrying out its task without regard for the consequences or the surroundings. A remotely-piloted vehicle (RPV) has a human controller at some position, determining the actions of the machine, even if the pilot is not actually within the machine in question. The most common such systems are remotely-piloted aircraft (RPAs) which have become ubiquitous in the current American conflicts against terror organizations around the globe. However, the truly frightening machines, which have been designed and tested but not yet fielded, are those given autonomous control over lethal decision-making. Barring an international agreement to ban such devices, it is almost certain that one or more nations will choose to deploy such “killer robots” against an enemy, a move that will undoubtedly demonstrate their tactical utility, but which also might plunge the world into yet another arms race, one which could have devastating consequences for the human population of belligerent nations.

The earliest robotic military systems were simply unmanned flying bombs. The Kettering Bug was designed during World War I, but not put into production soon enough to be used against the enemy. The device, also called the flying torpedo, was an unmanned aircraft with a payload of explosives and enough fuel for a one-way trip toward an enemy position. It was preprogrammed to fly for a set number of minutes on a straight heading, at the end of which the engine cut out and sent the Bug plunging toward the enemy position. It had a range of fifty miles, but rarely managed to strike within a mile of the target.[5] By the end of World War II, the Germans had greatly improved the idea, firing off V-1 flying bombs toward Britain for the last several months of the war. These devices were essentially a bomb attached to a jet engine, their straight and level flight made them easy pickings for interceptors, which found the best countermeasure to be matching speed, altitude, and direction and then literally tipping the bomb over, causing it to crash into the English Channel.[6]

By the Vietnam War, the United States was fielding modified target drones outfitted with cameras to conduct aerial reconnaissance over contested territory. These aircraft really were drones, and could be sent into areas where a manned aircraft might face too much danger (or might cause an international incident if shot down). Dozens were sent across the Chinese border, with a number shot down by Chinese air defenses. On each occasion, the Chinese trumpeted their success in shooting down an American aircraft, but could not show off a captured pilot to complete the propaganda victory.[7] Shortly after the war ended, the United States began working on a series of remotely-piloted aircraft that might be able to gather much better intelligence because they could react to changing conditions on the ground. The most well-known such airframe, the General Atomics RQ-1 Predator, entered service in 1995. After some initial hiccups in its first deployments in the Balkans, the aircraft emerged as a key surveillance platform. Its long loiter time, relative low observability, and its ability to beam a data stream back to its operators made it a key tactical asset in the invasion and occupation of Afghanistan. In 2001, the military tested the idea of firing AGM 114 Hellfire missiles from the Predator, thus allowing an operator the possibility of making an immediate attack upon a key target identified by the aircraft’s sensors. From 2001 until 2009, Predators, and starting in 2007, MQ-9 Reapers, began to play an increasingly important role in the global fight against Al Qaeda, launching attacks in several countries and killing a number of key leaders of the terror organization and its affiliates.[8]

In the meantime, ground robotics also continued to advance, albeit with considerably less fanfare. One of the first goals for a fully-automated military system was the creation of a more effective air-defense system. The U.S. Navy debuted its Phalanx Close-in Weapons System (CIWS) in 1980. This radar-guided Gatling gun fires 20 millimeter shells at a rate of up to 4,500 per minute. It is designed to shoot down anti-ship missiles or attacking aircraft, each of which moves at a speed far too great for a human operator to have a realistic chance of scoring a hit. Thus, the Phalanx must, by definition, be fully automated, even if it has a human operator standing by to hopefully intervene if something goes wrong.[9] By 2003, a ground-based version of the system, the Centurion, was deployed for the mission of protecting American positions from rocket, mortar, and artillery projectiles. Other ground robots capable of combat missions include the iRobot PackBot, which has been most noted for its use in disarming explosives, but which can also be outfitted with weaponry, and the Talon SWORDS, a tracked robot that can carry rocket launchers, machine guns, or sniper rifles. While the SWORDS can be operated remotely by a human, it can at least theoretically be enabled to undertake autonomous operations.[10]

Currently, military robotics are moving in several developmental directions, including the creation of smaller, smarter, and more lethal variants. For many theorists, the true point of no return will be the deployment of a robotic weapon that is authorized to take human life without the permission of a human operator, often called the “man-in-the-loop.” While some of the air defense platforms could theoretically kill in the performance of their duties, it is not necessarily their primary function, in that they exist to counter an aerial threat, not to kill enemy pilots. Many of the latest models in development, on the other hand, are envisioned to be extremely efficient killers, capable of eliminating targets without putting any friendly operators in harm’s way, and with minimal collateral damage. It would not be difficult to marry a sophisticated facial-recognition software program to a camera-carrying platform with an attack capability, resulting in a robot that would be essentially a flying assassin, capable of loitering over an area and searching for an individual target, and then killing that target at the first opportunity.[11]

In the ongoing war against Al Qaeda and its allies, the United States, in particular, has become extremely reliant upon high-technology, remotely-operated systems. These platforms have allowed American decision-makers to largely wage war with impunity, secure in the knowledge that they can attack an enemy that cannot strike back against U.S. military personnel. However, no enemy in history has simply remained content to absorb the blows of an attacker and offer no retaliatory response. The attacks against Al Qaeda militants might keep American military personnel out of harm’s way, but they also infuriate the citizenry in the areas where the attacks are launched, and almost certainly inspire attacks against whatever targets are within reach. Regrettably, those targets are far more likely to be civilians, including journalists, tourists, embassy personnel, or anyone else unfortunate enough to come within range.

The Advent of Cyberwar

The Internet can be not only an information source for designing weapons, but also the mechanism by which weaponry might be deployed. When the interconnection of computers was first envisioned, little thought was given for the security of such a network. Although the network itself massively expanded, the lack of an initial security protocol has led to endemic weaknesses within the infrastructure of the Internet.[12] As well, the computers and software upon which the Internet’s functionality is based are filled with vulnerabilities that might be exploited by a knowledgeable computer user. By the 1990s, it was clear that an attacker could obtain control over a target computer, or at the very least, could significantly hinder its function and ability to transmit useful information. Decades of experimentation with this new type of attack, usually dubbed cyber warfare, have only expanded the abilities of computer attackers, commonly referred to as hackers. The resources of states have been applied to developing cyber attack capabilities, and those nations that are most reliant upon cyber functions for both military and civilian infrastructure are by definition the most vulnerable to cyber attack.[13]

Thus far, cyber warfare has not directly caused a death, although many experts argue that it is only a matter of time before such an attack leads to a fatality. Cyber attacks have definitely contributed to military operations, though, with one of the most obvious examples being Operation Orchard. This incident involved an Israeli airstrike upon a suspected Syrian nuclear reactor that might have been used to produce nuclear weapons. In 2007, Israeli warplanes utterly destroyed the facility, which was still under construction by Syrian engineers assisted by North Korean advisors. Prior to the attack, a cyber attack rendered the Syrian air defense network inoperative by “spoofing” the radar operators’ screens, essentially making the Israeli aircraft invisible on the screens. The first indication that anything was amiss came with the explosion of Israeli ordinance upon the Deir ez-Zor site, which was subsequently filled in and bulldozed by Syrian authorities, who also denied the existence of any nuclear program.[14]

The other most well-known, and somewhat mysterious cyber attack came in 2010, when an extremely sophisticated worm program was introduced to the Iranian nuclear reactor computer system at Natanz. The self-replicating program quickly spread throughout the Iranian network and searched for a very specific form of programmable logic controller used to run uranium-separation centrifuges. Upon locating its target, the worm then slightly modified the logic controllers’ instructions, causing the centrifuges to undergo violent changes in their spinning frequencies. Over time, this destroyed a substantial portion of the centrifuges and greatly set back the Iranian nuclear program.[15] Even after the damage became evident, it was still more than a year before a little-known Belorussian cybersecurity firm announced that it had discovered a malignant program that it dubbed “Stuxnet.” The program could only have been created with the resources possessed by an extremely advanced cyber state, although no nation has formally claimed responsibility for the attack. The most likely candidates, based upon both technological capability and political desire for such an outcome are the United States and Israel, but neither nation has responded to allegations of planting the program.[16]

The Need for New Limits Upon War

While these advanced platforms might offer the illusion of warfare with minimal human casualties, it is far more likely that they will only delay the inevitable human deaths that are created by war. The most fervent proponents of the devices tend to have two lines of argument. The first is that the robots might be able to create a permanent advantage for the first adopters of these devices, essentially locking in the current world power dynamic. However, given the low cost of entry into this field of innovation, this is an extremely unlikely, and quite frankly dangerous, idea of why to adopt such weaponry. The second is that warfare might be relegated to a conflict of machines, with the losing side in the robot war laid open to attack, but naturally conceding the argument that led to the conflict before facing attack. Unfortunately, previous RMAs have led to a similar argument, most recently when airpower advocates argued that warfare would become almost sterile after the adoption of military airplanes. Early airpower theorists like Hugh Trenchard, Billy Mitchell, and Giulio Douhet all argued that the aerial armadas of modern states would meet and fight for supremacy of the air. Once one side’s airpower had triumphed, the loser would inevitably surrender rather than face the devastation of an uncontested aerial bombardment. Nearly a century of aerial warfare has demonstrated the farcical nature of this argument, and yet it continues to be spouted in numerous airpower arenas. Not even the massive devastation of German cities, the firebombing of Japan, and the atomic destruction of Hiroshima and Nagasaki caused the advocates to drop their assumption that enemies would refuse to withstand aerial attacks. It is highly unlikely that a robotic war would simply stop once one side exhausted its supply of machines—instead, the war would devolve from a contest to a slaughter, making the nature of human conflict infinitely worse, but with little or any mediation of the horrors of modern war. Only a deliberate effort to enact and enforce an outright ban of autonomous lethal military robots stands a chance of preventing such a conflict.

The United States, as the foremost developer and user of military robotics, is the only world power that can take the lead on an effort to set limits upon the utilization of military robotics. Instead, though, the United States is doubling down on its investments in high technology killing machines, and essentially refusing to consider setting limits on what it currently considers to be a major asymmetrical advantage in the ongoing conflicts with Al Qaeda, the Islamic State, al-Shabaab, and other terror organizations. Every generation that engages in conflict is forced to examine the limits of acceptable behavior, and to consider whether or not the current rules are still an accurate reflection of the realities of warfare in their era. In the twenty-first century, the laws of armed conflict, developed before the advent of cyber warfare and military robotics, are simply not up to the task of providing an effective governance system for modern conflicts, and thus must be revised to reflect the new paradigm. If the United States does not take the lead in such an effort, the effort cannot succeed, and the likely future of military engagements will truly become more terrible for all involved.

About the author:
*Paul J. Springer, Senior Fellow in the Foreign Policy Research Institute’s Program on National Security, is an associate professor of comparative military history at the Air Command and Staff College, located at Maxwell Air Force Base, Alabama. This essay is based on a lecture delivered at our 2014 History Institute for Teachers at the First Division Museum, Wheaton, IL on America and Modern War: The American Military Post-Vietnam, our 10th weekend conference on American military history. Also see our E-Book American Military History: A Resource for Teachers and Students, jointly published by FPRI and the First Division Museum. The views presented in this essay belong solely to the author, and do not represent the official positions of the U.S. government, Department of Defense, or U.S. Air Force.

Source:
This article was published by FPRI.

[1] P. W. Singer, Wired for War (New York: Penguin, 2009), 181-183; Colin S. Gray, Strategy for Chaos (London: Frank Cass, 2002), 69-73.
[2] Hugo de Grotius, De Jure Belle ac Pacis, trans. Francis W. Kelsey (1625; reprint, 1925), available at http://www.longang.com/exlibris/grotius/; Emmerich de Vattel, The Law of Nations or the Principles of Natural Law (1758), available at http://www.longang.com/exlibris/vattel/. For a shorter summary of the tenets of Just War, see Michael Walzer, Just and Unjust War, 4th ed. (New York: Basic Books, 2006).
[3] Keith Paulischek, “Proportionality in Warfare,” The New Atlantic (Spring 2010): 21-34.
[4] Geoffrey Darnton, “Information Warfare and the Laws of War,” in Cyberwar, Netwar and the Revolution in Military Affairs, edited by Edward Halpin, Philippa Trevorrow, David Webb, and Steve Wright (New York: Palgrave Macmillan, 2006), 148-149.
[5] Richard M. Clark, Uninhabited Combat Aerial Vehicles: Airpower by the People, for the People, but Not with the People, CADRE Paper No. 8 (Maxwell Air Force Base, AL: Air University Press, 2000), 8; Kenneth P. Werrell, The Evolution of the Cruise Missile (Maxwell Air Force Base, AL: Air University Press, 1985), 20.
[6] Werrell, Cruise Missile, 61-62; Michael Armitage, Unmanned Aircraft (London: Brassey’s Defence Publishers, 1988), 7-16.
[7] William Wagner and William P. Sloan, Fireflies and Other UAVs (Leicester, UK: Midland, 1992), 11; Clark, Uninhabited, 12-15.
[8] “Reaper Scores Insurgent Kill in Afghanistan,” Air Force Times, October 29, 2010; Bureau of Investigative Journalism, “Covert Drone War,” available at http://www.thebureauinvestigates.com/category/projects/drones/.
[9] Paul J. Springer, Military Robots and Drones: A Reference Handbook (Santa Barbara, CA: ABC-CLIO, 2013), 53-54.
[10] Lorie Jewell, “Armed Robots to March into Battle,” Transformation (December 6, 2004). Available at http://www.defense.gov/transformation/articles/2004-12/ta120604c.html; Damien McElroy, “Armed Robots Go to War in Iraq,” Telegraph (London), August 5, 2007.
[11] Federation of American Scientists, “Low Cost Autonomous Attack System (LOCAAS) Miniature Munition Capability,” available at http://fas.org/man/dod-101/sys/smart/locaas.htm; Pete Pachal, “Surveillance System Can Recognize a Face from 36 Million Others in One Second,” mashable.com, http://mashable.com/2012/03/23/hitachi-face-recognition/.
[12] John V. Blane, ed. Cyberwarfare: Terror at a Click (New York: Novinka Books, 2002), 49; Paul Rosenzweig, Cyber Warfare: How Conflicts in Cyberspace Are Challenging America and Changing the World (Santa Barbara, CA: Praeger Security International, 2013), 22.
[13] Jeffrey Carr, Inside Cyber Warfare: Mapping the Cyber Underworld (Sebastopol, CA: O’Reilly Media, 2009), 37-43.
[14] Richard A. Clarke and Robert K. Knake, Cyber War: The Next Great Threat to National Security and What to Do about It (New York: HarperCollins, 2010), 1-9; Richard Stiennon, Surviving Cyber War (Lanham, MD: Government Institutes, 2010), 54-55.
[15] Rosenzweig, Cyber Warfare, 2-12; Joel Brenner, America the Vulnerable: Inside the New Threat Matrix of Digital Espionage, Crime, and Warfare (New York: Penguin, 2011), 102-105; Roman Poroshyn, Stuxnet:  The True Story of Hunt and Evolution (Denver: Outskirts Press, 2013), 48-50.
[16] P. W. Singer and Allan Friedman, Cybersecurity and Cyberwar (New York: Oxford University Press, 2014), 114-118.

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Why The US Should Worry About Oil Sector Jobs – Analysis

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By Michael McDonald

Outside of individual’s holding oil stocks, damage to the economy from the fall in oil has been pretty minimal so far. Indeed, the price cut in home heating oil and gasoline has probably outweighed the damage from lower oil prices… so far. Unfortunately, this situation may not last.

Analysts are starting to look beyond the boost to the economy from low oil prices and see the damage that is being done by worker layoffs, slowing business, and falling home prices in oil producing states. Indeed, one recent estimate suggested that up to four jobs could ultimately disappear for every one job lost in the oil sector.

There is little doubt that as oil prices fall, some people working in that sector will lose their jobs. What is less clear is the impact those job losses will have on other sectors of the economy. Since one person’s spending is another person’s income, as people lose their jobs in the oil patch, that should mean less spending at the local grocery store, restaurants, etc. Now of course, this fall in spending is partially offset by a rise in incomes from the fall of gas prices. But that gas price benefit is spread out all across the country, whereas the damage from the fall in oil prices is localized to certain areas with a lot of oil. Overall then, it’s not clear how large the damage will be from oil’s price collapse. But we do have a model to look to in this case: Australia.

Australia went through a mining boom over the last fifteen years that created a large new upper middle class. People working in Australian mines worked hard, but earned excellent wages and spent that money liberally. Stories of blue collar people with high school educations earning $200,000 a year and spending that money like water were common. The same thing has started to happen here in the US. Vice President Joe Biden recently extolled the virtues of new middle class jobs that could be created in the energy industry, especially around updating the country’s infrastructure. Over time, if a lot of these types of jobs are created it can have a dramatic effect on an area, as Australia demonstrates.

Now though, that cycle is working in reverse. As oil prices have fallen, so too have the profits for oil companies and all the other companies in the oil supply chain. The process has been so fast that the economic damage probably has not been felt yet – almost like being injured and not realizing it due to adrenaline. Here again, Australia provides an economic model, and it looks like the damage in oil producing states could end up being widespread and long-lasting.

If the average oil producing metro area has 3% of workers employed in the energy sector and a third of these folks lose their jobs, then that implies an extra 1% of unemployment. That is not bad, but if that 1% of workers are supporting an additional 4% of workers (using the 1:4 rule analysts found), then that would mean a total of 5% in additional unemployment. This could easily lead to 10% unemployment up from a normal 5% rate. That level of unemployment would have a severe long-term effect on house prices, sales tax receipts, economic growth in the area, etc. This is exactly what Australia is experiencing right now. So while the short-term impacts of oil’s decline have not been too bad, it certainly looks like there is more pain to come.

Unfortunately, as helpful as the energy sector was in buoying the county during the Recession of 2008, the energy sector may now hold down the economic expansion just as the economy is starting to pick up steam.

Source: http://oilprice.com/Energy/Crude-Oil/Why-The-US-Should-Worry-About-Oil-Sector-Jobs.html

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Conflicts, Violence And Bloodshed: Predicaments That Overshadow Future And Relevance Of UN Peacekeeping – Analysis

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By Andrew Edward Tchie*

“The planning of peacekeeping operations is the ultimate challenge because you never know where you have to operate; you never know what they want you to do; you don’t have the mandate in advance; you don’t have forces; you don’t have transport; and you don’t have money! We always have to start from zero” — Major-General Frank van Kappen, Military Advisor to the Secretary-General, March 1997.

The rise of peace keeping operations

According to peace researchers at Uppsala University’s Conflict Data Program (UCDP), conflicts in the world increased by one last year, from 32 in 2012 to 33 in 2014. In 2012, there was also an increase in the number of battle-related deaths, with the number of casualties in Syria completely overshadowing any other ongoing conflict. Adding to this number was the amount of those killed in massacres, including over 570,000 civilians who lost their lives in 27 African countries since 1990. Notwithstanding academic discussions and conclusions, there has been no single decisive event, such as the end of the Cold War that can explain this steady increase. Various camps have suggested numerous factors that may have caused this rise in violence and conflict, such as group grievances, economic inequality, denial of minority rights, non-recognition of minority cultures, and religious oppression. These potential factors have all been utilized to measure, estimate, and predict the onset of violence. Nonetheless, the conflict research community is still not able to help offer a deeper understanding of these conflicts that would help peacekeepers to reduce the amount of violence perpetrated against civilians.

The role of a peacekeeper has often been understated and disregarded, and their significance in trying to protect civilians in danger has long been overlooked. In Africa, the first official civilian defence mandate was delivered to peacekeepers in 1960 when United Nations (UN) Secretary-General Dag Hammarskjöld sanctioned peacekeepers in the Congo to protect civilians against acts of violence (Gibbs 1993; O’Brien 1962). Although a multitude of conflicts that endangered international peace and security would later lead to the United Nations establishing 18 peacekeeping operations between 1945 and 1990, since 1990, the UN Security Council has permitted more than 40 new peace operations, half of them since 2000. These post-1990 operations have frequently included directives that step outside the dimensions of traditional peacekeeping, whether in range, purpose, or responsibility. Furthermore, these missions have often concentrated on suppressing conflicts, which in some sense have mirrored the transformation, environment, and new nature of conflict and struggle (interstate conflict between nations to intrastate conflict within nations) that has come to the fore over the last three decades.

Despite the increase in conflicts, violence, and bloodshed, there have been several peacekeeping missions that have achieved unmistakable success, such as those in Namibia, Cambodia, Mozambique, and El Salvador. On the other hand, some operations have found themselves entrenched in intractable stalemates, such as those in Cyprus and the Middle East. There have also been significant failures in places like Rwanda and the former Yugoslavia, where the UN stood by and observed in impotent horror while the most horrendous of wrongdoings were committed. In 1994, 500,000 to one million Rwandan Tutsis along with thousands of moderate Hutus were murdered in the purest case of genocide since the Holocaust. Yet, this failure of the international community, who sat back and observed the genocide from their TV screens for days and weeks after the massacres, is testimony to why there is a need to have UN peacekeeping operations in an age where international security is becoming more and more volatile. US Permanent Representative to the UN Samantha Power maintained in her book that “The story of U.S. policy during the genocide in Rwanda is not a story of wilful complicity with evil. U.S. officials did not sit around and conspire to allow genocide to happen. But whatever their convictions about ‘never again,’ many of them did sit around, and they most certainly did allow genocide to happen.”

The predicament of protection

By June 2009, the UN Department of Peacekeeping Operations (DPKO) was leading and assisting 16 UN peacekeeping operations and two political, or peace-building, operations (in Burundi and Afghanistan). Seven of these peacekeeping operations were in Africa (in the Central African Republic and Chad, Côte d’Ivoire, Darfur, Democratic Republic of the Congo, Liberia, Sudan, and Western Sahara), one was in the Caribbean (in Haiti), three were in Europe (in Cyprus, Georgia, and Kosovo), three were in the Middle East (in Lebanon, Syria’s Golan Heights, and a region-wide mission), and two were in Asia (in East Timor, and in India and Pakistan).

Haiti, Bosnia, Kosovo, East Timor and Afghanistan have demonstrated that the principle of peacekeeping is being learned through experience. In essence, the state in which conflict is occurring is responsible for safeguarding its civilian population from large-scale atrocities or human rights abuses. In practice, the responsibility to protect (R2P) provides a licit and ethical framework where bodies such as the UN, or indeed other states, may intervene in a humanitarian crisis with or without the consent of the host nation state. This means the question of Western responsibility for the genocide in Rwanda weighs heavily on the minds of many. “If the UN has a ‘responsibility to protect’, it must also have a ‘capacity’ to protect.” Hence, it is a responsibility under the umbrella of the United Nations Security Council to act in defence of civilians not protected by their own governments in times of crisis. The execution of such mandates falls to multi-national peacekeeping forces under the United Nations Department of Peacekeeping Operations (DPKO). The notion that states have an obligation to avert and restrain violence, bloodshed, genocide, and crimes against humanity, war crimes, and ethnic cleansing was endorsed by the UN World Summit in October 2005. Not only is the killing of civilians a national security and international issue, but also discontinuing these very killings is crucially part of upholding and safeguarding international humanitarian law, the laws of war, international criminal law, and human rights law.

The UN Charter places the primary obligation for upholding interna¬tional peace, security, and the protection of civilians with the Security Council. The Charter provides the Security Council with extensive authority to examine and scrutinise disagreements and to decide if these situations put at risk or threaten international peace and security. If this is deemed to be the case, applicants that are in disagreement are then requested to resolve the conflict through diplomatic, non-violent, and peaceful settlements. Also, negotiations to impose economic, travel, and diplomatic sanctions and, ultimately, to approve the use of military force would also take place. Acting on instructions, UN peacekeepers then establish safe areas, interpose themselves between civilians and their tormentors, and retaliate with force when necessary. In past missions, peacekeepers and the notions of these peace missions have been insufficient when it came to keeping the peace. There is also a philosophy within the UN that the presence of peacekeepers will gradually resolve decades of political deadlock. Whereas most missions continue out of inertia or because the parties to the conflict have requested that the UN operations continue, However, the UN presence may be contributing to the situation’s insolvability by providing the parties with an excuse not to resolve what is largely a political problem; nonetheless, these problems do not negate the usefulness of UN peacekeeping operations under the right circumstances.

Over time, civilian protection has thus become critical not only to the legitimacy and accomplishment of specific peacekeeping operations, but also to the integrity of the UN structure as a whole. Civilian protection is thus an acute factor for an ecological and viable political peace, because any peace agreement that tolerates continued violence against civilians would not provide a concrete footing to shape authentic governance structures. In this situation, civilian protection holds extraordinary stake in the very concept of peacekeeping: directives request it, the legality of peace operations are contingent on it, and the long-term goal of any peacekeeping strategy must have it at the heart of its mandate to deter attacks on civilians. This means that peacekeeping operations and peacekeepers must not only vigorously act to halt and reprimand the perpetrators of carnages, but also that the UN Security Council and world leaders must reinforce international law.

Adding to this complexity, there is also a need to rethink which nations contribute to peacekeeping operations and where, especially considering that the majority of permanent members do not commit any peacekeeping soldiers at all. Considering the success of more forceful intervention by the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) against Serbian forces in Kosovo, an Australian-led force intervened in East Timor, British paratroopers against rebels advance in Sierra Leone, and French intervention in Mali there may be a need to reconsider intervention. While some substantial advancement has been made in most areas, there is still a need for a more applied and practical approach to strengthen the civilian protection (chain of actions) agenda. This can be done so that all associations involved in protection of civilians have a clearer, more collaborative, and interactive approach to pre-mandate formations, pre-mission preparation, the formulation of directives for peace operations and peacekeepers, the disposition of the UN workforce, and coherent directions and directive of their undertakings on the ground.

The demand for new peacekeeping tactics

While the demand for peacekeeping has risen and will continue to rise, there will be an increasing need for more peacekeeping operations to take place in the future with different multi-level approaches. As this new demand increases, there will be a need for current and future peacekeeping operations to address situations in which peace has to be made or enforced before it can be strived for in the future. The protection of civilians is a critical issue, as civilians are the main victims in these conflicts and a significant amount thereof are slaughtered and experience life-threatening violence and bloodshed. One of the ways that peacekeeping operations need to change is in the way that current blue helm-nations contributing to UNDPKO supply UN missions with troops. Most UN Peacekeepers are supplied by a principal group of emerging and undeveloped nations like Pakistan, Bangladesh, India, Nigeria, Nepal, Ghana, and Rwanda. While none of the existing permanent members of the United Nations Security Council (P5) are a major contributor of troops.

This point has also been echoed by former DPKO Under-Secretary-General Jean-Marie Guéhenno, who stated that the provision of peacekeepers was the “collective responsibility of [all] Member States…countries from the South should not and must not be expected to shoulder this burden alone”. Major issues are roused when troops come exclusively from these nations, particularly because these countries have low GDPs and limited training facilitates and awareness of the conflict from national, sub national and local levels. Complications may arise when it comes to these troops’ ability to protect civilians on the ground when they are deployed. Over time, the peacekeeping troops from these countries, who may have inadequate training, are more often involved in cases of sexual violence against those they were meant to protect. Here, while the UN’s power to punish peacekeepers who commit wrongdoings is already restricted, the organisation has also lacked a strategic effort to take strides within its authority to hold nations answerable when they fail to scrutinise or discipline their troops’ misbehaviour.

The future success of peacekeeping operations, and indeed the United Nations as a whole, hinges not only on the capability of this organisation to influence consensus on matters of international security, but also on the commitment of the Member States of this body to pledge both men and capital in support of official activities, both within and outside the realm of peacekeeping. Failure to do this will lead to and signal an absence of assurance on the part of Member States in the United Nations to accomplish its part as a global intermediary and peace-broker. A consistent and comprehensive understanding of UN peacekeeping operations is cru¬cial for the reason that the demand for UN peacekeeping shows little hint of decreasing in the foresee¬able future. Devoid of fundamental reform, these complications will likely endure and expand, undermining the UN’s integrity and ability to accomplish the key missions of maintaining inter¬national peace and security.

*Andrew Edward Tchie is a PhD student in Government and Associate Fellow at the University of Essex.

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Saudi Arabia: King Salman Empowers Next Generation

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The Cabinet reshuffle announced by Saudi Arabia’s Custodian of the Two Holy Mosques King Salman on Wednesday has now started the process of passing the reins of the country’s government to the next generation, particularly the grandsons of the Kingdom’s founder.

King Salman relieved Crown Prince Muqrin, deputy premier, of his position, at his request, and replaced him with Prince Mohammed bin Naif, who will retain the Interior Ministry portfolio and the chairmanship of the Council of Political and Security Affairs. This makes him the first grandson of the late King Abdulaziz to be named crown prince.

The royal decree also named another grandson, Prince Mohammed bin Salman, as the deputy crown prince and second deputy premier. He will retain the Defense Ministry portfolio and chairmanship of the Council of Economic and Development Affairs.

In the royal decree, King Salman said that he had received a letter from Prince Muqrin outlining his desire to relinquish his position as crown prince. Praising Prince Muqrin, the king said he had agreed to the request.

The king said the appointment of the deputy crown prince was taken in terms of the procedures established by the late King Abdullah, which prioritizes the state’s interests “above all other considerations.”

He said Prince Mohammed bin Salman has shown everyone through his work that he has “great” abilities.

The decree stated that Prince Mohammed bin Salman has been able to perform his duties in an “optimal manner” and in accordance with Islamic law on transition of power. After taking charge on Wednesday, the new deputy crown prince met with the President of Eritrea Isaias Afwerki and had discussions on the two countries’ bilateral relations.

The Kingdom also appointed a new foreign minister after almost 40 years. Approving the request from Prince Saud Al-Faisal, the longest-serving foreign minister in the world, King Salman relieved him of his responsibilities on health grounds, and appointed Adel Al-Jubeir, the Saudi ambassador to the United States, as the new minister.

However, Prince Saud will continue as a minister of state, Cabinet member, adviser and special envoy to the king, and supervisor of foreign affairs. The new Cabinet will also have a fulltime Health Minister Khalid Al-Falih, the head of Saudi Aramco. In addition, Mohammed Al-Jasser, minister of economy and planning, has been relieved of his position and appointed an adviser at the royal court at the rank of a minister.

Labor Minister Adel Fakeih has been appointed as the new minister of economy and planning to replace Al-Jasser, while Mufrej Al-Haqbani is now the new minister of labor. In addition, Khalid Al-Essa, deputy chief of the royal court, has been relieved of his post and appointed as minister of state and a member of the Council of Political and Security Affairs.

Abdulrahman Al-Hazza, president of the Radio and Television Commission, has been relieved of his post and replaced by Abdullah bin Saleh Al-Jasser, who will retain his position as deputy minister of culture and information.

Other important appointments include Sheikh Khalid Al-Yousef as chairman of the Board of Grievances at the rank of a minister, and Hamad Al-Suwailem as chief of the royal court at the rank of a minister.

Nasser Al-Shahrani has been appointed as deputy president of the Human Rights Commission; Amro bin Ibrahim Rajab as deputy chief of the Cabinet’s Bureau of Experts; and Mansour Al-Mansour as assistant general president of Youth Welfare.

Also, Saleh Al-Jasser has been appointed as adviser at the royal court. The king relieved other officials of their posts including Norah bint Abdullah Al-Fayez, deputy minister of education for girls, Hamad bin Mohammed Al-Sheikh, deputy minister of education for boys, Mansour Al-Hawasi, deputy minister of health for health affairs and Mohammed Khashim, deputy minister of health for planning and development.

The king also announced that all military and security personnel in “appreciation of their extraordinary services” would be getting a one-month salary bonus.

THE NEW CABINET

  • Custodian of the Two Holy Mosques, King Salman, Prime Minister
  • Crown Prince Mohammed bin Naif, Deputy Premier and Minister of Interior
  • Prince Saud Al-Faisal, State Minister, king’s special envoy and adviser and supervisor of Foreign Affairs
  • Prince Mansour bin Miteb, Minister of State
  • Prince Miteb bin Abdullah, National Guard minister
  • Deputy Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, Defense Minister
  • Saleh Al-Asheikh, Islamic Affairs Minister
  • Azzam Al-Dakhil, Education Minister
  • Walid Al-Samaani, Justice Minister
  • Matlab Al-Nafeesa, Minister of State
  • Musaed Al-Aiban, Minister of State
  • Ali Al-Naimi, Minister of Petroleum and Mineral Resources
  • Ibrahim Al-Assaf, Finance Minister
  • Abdullah Al-Hussayen, Water and Electricity Minister
  • Adel Fakeih, Minister of Economy and Planning
  • Essam bin Saeed, Housing Minister
  • Bandar Hajjar, Haj Minister
  • Tawfiq Al-Rabiah, Commerce and Industry Minister
  • Mohammed Abusaq, Minister of State for Shoura Affairs
  • Abdullah Al-Muqbil, Minister of Transport
  • Mohammed Al-Suwaiyel, Telecommunication and IT Minister
  • Majed Al-Qassabi, Social Affairs Minister
  • Saad Al-Jabri, Minister of State
  • Mufrej Al-Haqabani, Labor Minister
  • Mohammed Abdul Malik Al-Asheikh, Minister of State
  • Abdul Lateef Al-Asheikh, Municipal and Rural Affairs Minister
  • Khalid Al-Falih, Health Minister
  • Adel Al-Jubeir, Foreign Minister
  • Khaled Al-Araj, Minister of Civil Service
  • Adel Al-Toraifi, Culture and Information Minister
  • Abdul Rahman Al-Fadli, Agriculture Minister
  • Khaled Al-Eissa, State Minister

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Emerging Need For Nepali Ecological Task Force (ETF) Units – Analysis

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By P. K. Gautam

The disaster assistance being provided by India (Operation Maitri) and other countries in the aftermath of the devastating earthquake is an essential first step to help Nepal cope with the disaster. However, the tragedy in Nepal not only requires short-term disaster relief action but also the long-term reconstruction of dwelling units, roads and other infrastructure as well as ecological restoration. It is suggested that like its counterpart in India, the Nepal Army can raise an Ecological Task Force (ETF) made up of former ex-servicemen, with adaptations and modifications to suit its requirements. Former soldiers of the Nepal Army and also ex-servicemen/Gorkha (all ranks) that have served the Indian Army can be made into a nucleus of ETF which can assist in the ecological reconstruction of Nepal.

In the case of India, an ETF has the headquarter (HQ)-cum-administrative element and a company under an officer, three Junior Commissioned Officers (JCOs) and about 99 men. The total strength of an ETF consisting of HQ and one company may be three officers, five JCOs and 139 other ranks, making a total of 147 all ranks. Two companies would be nearly 250 all ranks.

Historically, the process of deploying of an ETF goes through the following stages:

  1. There has to be a problem of environmental degradation demanding military-type discipline and dedication.
  2. There is a need to have political will. This would include allocation of the necessary budgets.
  3. The presence of a sizeable ex-servicemen population residing in the region.
  4. The bureaucracy needs to be motivated to implement the scheme and there is a need for a well-oiled civil-military interface.
  5. Regular officers should be available to be posted by the Military Secretary’s Branch of Army Headquarters, failing which the Territorial Army officer’s intake can be beefed up as a long-term strategy.

The ETF is raised and embodied for the task and may be disembodied after the job is done or may be re-deployed on other ecological tasks. So far, eight ETF units have been raised in India since 1980s. Till date, no ETF has been disbanded. All the ETF which have been raised after having completed their initial task of restoration have handed over the eco-regenerated area to the concerned state department and have got redeployed elsewhere within the state. This is because restoration of ecology is a long-term process when environmental degradation is widespread.

If we relate the above process with the problem at hand in Nepal, environmental destruction has occurred on a large scale which demands the constitution of a long-term disciplined force. Nepal has a number of former soldiers who will be willing to be embodied for the job in their local regions. Further, the disaster has narrowed the gap or any difference in the perception in civil-military relations. A national tragedy automatically leads to closer civil-military cooperation. It has been the Indian experience that even JCO’s and senior Non-Commissioned Officers can perform leadership tasks related to reconstruction and ecology.

If adequate budget is provided for, then it will give muscle to the political will. In the case of India, the budget to raise and employ an ETF is shared by the state government and the Ministry of Environment, Forests and Climate Change (MoEFCC ) of the Union Government. Exceptions include the ETF of the Union Territory of Delhi and Himachal Pradesh which are fully financed by the state governments themselves. Two ETF units in Assam on the other hand are financed fully by the MoEFCC. The rough cost of an ETF embodied for eight months in a year is Rs 1.83 crores for five years (2006 figures).

ETF is a low-cost, high-performance concept. In Nepal, the dedicated ex-servicemen are a national asset. Thus, if suitable funding is provided by the international community through the UN, ecological reconstruction of Nepal can begin in an organized manner by Nepali ETF. As the Indian assistance helps Nepal in the initial difficult stages, it will be the responsibility of the people of Nepal to reconstruct their environment. This may take minimum of ten years or longer. Nepal can assess and survey its own requirements and raise suitable ETF units made up of its former soldiers of the Indian Army, former soldiers of Nepal Army, para-military and the police. The initial ETF may need to be based on engineers to help in repair and reconstruction of infrastructure.

Views expressed are of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of the IDSA or of the Government of India

Originally published by Institute for Defence Studies and Analyses (www.idsa.in) at http://www.idsa.in/idsacomments/EmergingNeedforNepaliEcologicalTaskForce%28ETF%29Units_pkgautam_290415.html

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Andrew Napolitano Speaks On Unjustifiable Killings Of Americans In Baltimore And Overseas – OpEd

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By Adam Dick

You can hear a high level of outrage in the voice of Judge Andrew Napolitano when he discusses on the Alan Colmes Show on Tuesday the death of an American in police custody in Baltimore, Maryland and the use of United States drones to kill three more Americans overseas. Napolitano expresses outrage regarding the killings themselves, as well as processes followed in the Baltimore and US governments that facilitate such killings and hide their details.

Regarding the death of Freddie Gray that has led to ongoing tension in Baltimore, Napolitano and host Alan Colmes engage in the following exchange:

Napolitano: So, look, Baltimore was a “tinderkeg,” if I am using the right term, ready to happen. And the death of Freddie Gray was the tipping point. But, people who loot and riot and cops who kill should be identified and prosecuted. There cannot be the perception that the police are afraid to stop rioters, and there cannot be the perception that the police will favor their own when they have obviously committed a grave legal act. I don’t know what it was: It was either criminally negligent homicide or second degree murder. But, this guy’s dead.

Colmes: But, you’re saying it had to be one of those.

Napolitano: It couldn’t be anything. I don’t think it was first degree murder; that would mean they planned and plotted this whole thing. And I don’t know how it could be less than criminally negligent homicide. And there are probably other crimes. If there is obstruction of justice, and we don’t know because there is silence. Government mandates transparency, particularly in the case of the death of an innocent.

The conversation then turns to the United States government using drones to kill US citizens overseas. In particular, Colmes and Napolitano discuss the January killing overseas of three US citizens that was disclosed in an April 23 White House press release last week. Ahmed Farouq and Warren Weinstein were listed in the press release as killed in one “counterterrorism operation” — language that avoids the largely forbidden mention of drones — near the Pakistan-Afghanistan border. The press release says Adam Gadahn, another US citizen, was killed in January as well, “likely in a separate U.S. Government counterterrorism operation.”

Napolitano describes these drone killings of Americans as “even worse” than president-directed targeted killings he has criticized before, noting that in the January killings “the president did not approve the recent drone strike.” Napolitano continues:

[Obama] said he didn’t know about it. That means he is delegating these drone strikes. War is so commonplace, death is so banal, that he delegates it to the White House staff to decide when to release these drone strikes. And the members of Congress who are supposed to approve this — these 37 people who meet in secret, the House Intelligence Committee and the Senate Intelligence Committee — they didn’t know about it. Their staff had approved it.

Listen to the complete discussion here:

Napolitano, a Ron Paul Institute for Peace and Prosperity Advisory Board member, provides additional thoughts regarding the killings in Baltimore and overseas in his recent editorials “Baltimore riots: Who will protect rights, lives and property of city’s residents?”and “Can the President Kill Americans?

This article was published by the RonPaul Institute.

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Cindy Sheehan: Take This Survey And Shove It – OpEd

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In 2007, to much hoopla and derision from what passes for the left in the USA, I publicly exited (Stage Far Left) the Democratic Party. So, imagine my surprise today when I got a letter from the Democratic National Committee (DNC) asking me “as a party leader” to participate in the Official 2015 Democratic Party Survey. I even have a “DNC MEMBERSHIP” number for cripessake!

When I say that I “left the party” in 2007, I did not leave as a party apparatchik, or anything approaching a “party leader.” At best, I had been a loyal Dem voter for the majority of my life, but I had never belonged to the DNC nor had I even ever contributed to any political campaign.

Before I get into the fluff of the survey (which has nothing about foreign policy/war/torture/CIA, because there is nothing there to distinguish the Dems from the Tea Party), for full disclosure, I have always loathed the GOP (I remember crying when Reagan won). However, when the GOP commits crimes, my thought is, “It is the Republicans, what else can we expect?” In 2007, I left the Democratic Party because it broke my heart and I stand on my principles and against the DNC to this very day. At the time I publicly left, of course, the DNC was only being the DNC, and like any venomous snake, it will bite you to insert its poison. Good thing I jumped out in 2007 before it could do any more damage to me. Even though the difference between the DNC and GOP is negligible when it comes to war, when it comes to domestic policy, the differences seem to be purely rhetorical.

Now on to the fluff of the survey: My first instinct was to say “meat,” but there is no meat in the survey (fundraising scam).

The fundraising scam’s questions are set up in a way to be entirely vague and exploitative at the same time. These questions are professionally designed to inflame a visceral response to the Blue Choir and the chair of the DNC Debbie Wasserman-Schultz (D-Israel) knows that the base of the DNC not only cares about these issues, but wholly blames the Republicans just as they are supposed to.

We “party leaders” (shouldn’t one actually be registered in the party to be a “leader?) aren’t given any space to add our thoughts or concerns except for three tiny lines on the back.

The punch line to the entire survey is that I am not even an “official” “party leader” until I: “Complete Your DNC Contribution Form” and send a minimum of $25.

I am going to mail the survey back in the “enclosed postage paid envelope” with a copy of this article attached and without one thin dime. The DNC is lucky that I don’t sue it for damages. I may tell them to go ahead and put this Fundraising Scam where the sun don’t shine, though.

Here are the questions and my responses:

1. Do you agree with the President’s plan to take executive action on issues that Republicans refuse to bring to a vote, like, immigration action?

I am wondering what “executive action” Obama would take on “immigration?” According to Pulitzer Prize Winning website PolitiFactCheck:

According to current figures from Immigration and Customs Enforcement — the federal agency responsible for deportations — Obama has removed 1.4 million people during his 42 months in office so far. Technically, that’s fewer than under George W. Bush, whose cumulative total was 2 million. But Bush’s number covers eight full years, which doesn’t allow an apples-to-apples comparison.

If you instead compare the two presidents’ monthly averages, it works out to 32,886 for Obama and 20,964 for Bush, putting Obama clearly in the lead. Bill Clinton is far behind with 869,676 total and 9,059 per month. All previous occupants of the White House going back to 1892 fell well short of the level of the three most recent presidents. (Louis Jacobson August 10, 2012)

The inconvenient truth, though, is that Obama is even worse than Republicans on immigration. However, when it comes to taking “executive action” I opposed it when Bush did it and I still oppose it. The US is supposed to have a system of checks and balances and “executive actions” smack of treasonous behavior and illegal usurpation of power.

2. Do you support the President’s plan to increase the minimum wage for American’s workers?

No, I am fundamentally against a minimum wage and $10.10/hr is so far below a living wage with dignity that it will keep millions of “American” workers and their families in poverty or barely scraping by. For example, according to a living wage in my county in California (Solano) is estimated to be $12.24/hour; in San Francisco County it’s $15.66/hour (according to Insight). This is the bare minimum wage for one adult and I doubt much dignity is conferred on a person who makes such low wages. Obama’s “minimum wage” leaves a huge monthly gap and that’s why I support a living wage based on many factors, including cost of living and cost of really living.

Also, if the US had a comprehensive single-payer healthcare system, then healthcare costs would be removed from the equation and people would have a more comfortable standard of living.

3. Do you support the President’s plan to make it possible for more American workers to earn sick days and family leave?

Sick days and family leave should be mandatory and natural for EVERY worker on this planet. And, hey, while we are at it how about paid vacations? In my observation, most work these days is “casual” or “contracted” and I know very few people who actually have paid sick days or paid vacation.

In many “first” world countries, mothers get many months to several years of full or almost full pay when they have children. Here? Six weeks at low pay, if the mom is lucky. In a nation that bombs countries to spread its values, family sure seems like a low-priority to it. Six weeks? A woman who just gave birth has most likely not even stopped bleeding by then. I feel like all of Obama’s “grand” plans are just more stale bread crumbs to keep the flock from rebelling.

Also, when we are asked about “American” workers only, does that absolve the profiteers from paying even a low minimum wage of $10.10/hour (proposed) to their workers in other countries who are making their crappy products to be sold here in the US at Walmart? It’s a rhetorical question, the answer is “yes.” Also, how does fast-tracking the Trans-Pacific Partnership figure into this? I believe it has been shown that the TPP will have a negative affect on all workers.

4. Do you support President Obama’s plans to close the wage gap and make it possible for women to receive equal pay?

The only wages this would affect would be people who contract with the Federal Government. How about an Equal Rights Amendment to the Constitution that would finally mention women as equal to men? I don’t have faith in the Constitution or the ability of the elite to adhere to it, but for over two centuries ½ of the people in this country have been excluded.

5. Do you support his plan to close other tax loopholes and to simplify the tax code so that corporations and the ultra-wealthy will pay their fair share?

Does the DNC mean the “ultra-rich” like a large majority of Congress? If “fair share” means enough of a tax to make the “ultra—rich” like the 99% rest of us (so we could be the 100%), then, yeah, I’d support it. If closing loopholes on Corporations means that all of the money that has been stolen from us via low wages, high prices, and government largess is returned to the public commons, then I’d say, “hell, yes!” However, as the health insurance companies wrote the “Affordable” Care Act, I am sure the ultra-rich corporations would write the new tax code with built-in new and improved loopholes.

6. President Obama presented a plan that will allow American workers to gain the modern job skills necessary to compete in the global economy. Do you support these efforts?

I am not even sure what this means, but it sounds like something I should support and immediately send a minimum of $25 to insure the Democratic agenda moves forward.

7. Do you support President Obama’s plan to reduce carbon pollution, accelerate the development of clean energy, reduce greenhouse gas emissions, and invest in sustainable and resilient infrastructure projects to prepare for the effects of climate change?

While the global oil cartels run US foreign policy, bombing and devastating oil rich countries, approving more offshore drilling leases, increasing nuclear power, increasing hydro-fracturing, letting Monsanto poison our water as well as our food, letting BP get away with ecocide in the Gulf of Mexico, letting big water steal our water and then charge us for it, allowing US corporations to operate in other countries without even the bare minimum of ecological protection?

I don’t support green Capitalism. Energy and energy production belongs in the hands of the workers and communities.

8. The President has proposed a plan to provide a community college education to any American who is willing to work for it. Do you support this initiative?

Hell, no! Education is a human right and higher education should be free, high quality and accessible to EVERY PERSON that wants to use it. Paid job training, apprenticeship programs, internships, and certificate programs should be free for those who choose that path. Our young people already work their asses off to go to school only to get into lifelong, unrelenting debt. I would support a plan to forgive student debt (but Obama’s buddies at the banks wouldn’t like that) and make all education free. Most countries do this and here in California we did it until profit and privatization became the overwhelming goal of the parasites at the top.

*****

Those are the questions. There is one odd part that asks me to choose three Republicans from a list of ten that may be the likely Republican nominee in 2016. I checked: Other: Hillary Clinton. I evaluated Clinton and she has all the desirable qualities of a Republican candidate for president. However, I am sure all of the evil clowns at the DNC will get behind her rightwing agenda, too.

In the tiny three-line space for any other comments I would like to make to the President or DNC, I wrote in all caps (in black ink as instructed. We are all conditioned well in this fill-in-the-bubble world):

WHY THE HELL DIDN’T YOU DO ANY OF THIS WHILE DEMS CONTROLLED EVERY BRANCH OF THE GOV’T IN ’08-’10?
SOME OF US SEE ALL THE WAY THROUGH YOUR ROT.

The post Cindy Sheehan: Take This Survey And Shove It – OpEd appeared first on Eurasia Review.

No Arab Bolivars: As Region Implodes, Arab Socialism Fizzles Out – OpEd

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A student group recently asked me to address socialism in the Arab world. This with the assumption that there is indeed such a movement capable of overhauling inherently incompetent and utterly corrupt regimes across the region. But today such a group, or configuration of socialist groups, exists only in name.

I recall a talk I delivered in London soon after Hamas was placed under siege in Gaza in 2007. “Hamas is the largest and most effective socialist movement in Palestine,” I said to the surprise of some and the agreeing nods of others. I was not referring to Hamas’s adherence to Marxist theory but rather to the fact that it was the only operating grassroots political movement that had in some ways succeeded in lessening the gap between various social and economic classes that were all united by a radical political agenda.

Moreover, it was a movement largely made of Palestine’s fellahin (peasants) and workers who were mostly centred in refugee camps. If one is to compare them to the detached, elitist, largely urban-based “socialist” movements in Palestine, the mass of Islamists in the occupied territories is as socialist as a movement can be – under the circumstances.

But what do I tell the student group, made of young, enthusiastic socialists who are eager to see the rise of the proletariat?

A starting point would be that there is a difference between western socialism, and “Arab socialism,” which is a term coined by Arab nationalists in the early 1950s. A merger between nationalist and socialist movements began to take hold, ultimately leading to the formation of the Baath parties of Syria and Iraq. The idea was originally framed by Salah al-Din al-Bitar and Michel Aflaq, founders of the Baath Party.

Socialism in its western forms seemed unappealing to many Arab nationalists. Not only was it intellectually removed from the cultural and socioeconomic contexts of Arab peoples, but it was also politically unpromising if not altogether chauvinistic. Many western socialists romanticised the creation and meaning of Israel, a colonial implant that has united colonial and neocolonial forces against Arab aspirations for many decades.

But Arab nationalism also failed, for it neither offered a compelling alternative, nor had it practically championed a serious paradigm shift. Aside from some land reforms in Egypt after the 1952 anti-King revolt – among other gestures – Arab socialism could neither break free from the confines of good-sounding ideals nor from outside influences that vied to control, influence or crush these movements.

Later, that failure became even more pronounced as the Soviet Union’s influence began to wane in the late 1980s, until its complete collapse in the early 90s. Arab socialists, whether they were governments who adopted that slogan, or organisations that revolved around Soviet agendas, were too dependent on that relationship. With the absence of the Soviets from the scene, they had little chance of surviving the rising dominance of the United States.

However, that failure was not just the outcome of the socialist bloc’s crumbling geopolitical regional models, but also due to the fact that Middle Eastern countries – under the influence or because of pressure from western hegemons – were experiencing a rethink. That was the time of the rise of the Islamic alternative. It was partly a genuine attempt at galvanizing the region’s own intellectual resources, and partly steered by funds coming from rich Arab Gulf countries to regulate the rise of the Islamic tide.

That was the time when the new slogan: “Islam is the Solution” became quite dominant and pierced through the collective psyche of various Arab Muslim intellectual groups throughout the Middle East and beyond, because it seemed to be an attempt at tapping into the region’s own historical and cultural references.

The general argument was: both US-western and Soviet models have failed or are failing along with their client regimes, and there is an urgent need for an alternative.

Arab socialism would have survived, had it indeed been predicated on strong social platforms, propelled by wide-popular support and grassroots movements. That, however, was not the case.

Generally speaking, there was a relatively strong intellectual component of the left in the Arab world. But the intellectual left hardly ever managed to cross the divide between the world of theories and ideas – which was available to the educated classes – into the work place or with the peasants and the average man and woman on the street. Without mobilising the workers, peasants, and oppressed masses, the Arab left had little to offer except for rhetoric that was largely devoid of practical experience.

Of course, there were exceptions in every Arab country. Palestine’s early socialist movements had a strong presence in the refugee camps. They were pioneers in all forms of popular resistance, a situation that can be explained around the uniqueness of the Palestinian situation, as opposed to reflecting a larger trend throughout the entire region.

Another important thing to note is that oppression tends to unite oppressed groups, no matter how seemingly insurmountable their ideological differences may be. In fact, because of that shared oppression between political Islam and the radical left, there was a degree of affinity between activists from both groups as they shared prison cells, were tortured and humiliated together.

The turning point, however, could arguably be the early 1990s when the Soviet Union collapsed. That freed much political space while oil money continued to pour in. Many Islamic universities opened up all over the world, and tens of thousands of students from across the Middle East received higher education degrees in various fields, from Islamic Sharia to engineering.

Look at Hamas in Gaza. Many of their leaders and members are educated in fields such as engineering and medicine. And that has become very common among all Islamic groups’ supporters in Palestine, Egypt, Morocco and so forth. So the hegemony over education and over the articulation of political discourses was no longer in the hands of the political or intellectual elites. On the other hand, a political agenda that was predicated on Islamic ideals was born.

With time, socialists were faced with stark choices: either live on the margins of society – imagine the stereotypical maverick communist intellectual sitting in a coffee shop in Cairo theorising about everything – or join NGOs and official or semi-official institutions in order to remain financially afloat or relevant. Those who opted for the latter needed to compromise to the extent that some of them are now mouthpieces for the very regimes they once fought.

As a result, the thrust of the socialists’ political power as a group has diminished greatly throughout the years. Being more institutionalised, they became further removed from the masses in whose name they continued to speak. In Egypt, one can hardly think of a single powerful leftist organisation that operates there. There are “leftists” but they hardly register as movers and shakers of the current political landscape.

Wishful thinking alone will hardly revive the socialist tide in the Arab world. There are few signs that the decline will be soon reversed, or that a homegrown interpretation of socialism – think of the considerably successful Bolivarian movement of Latin America – will mould together nationalistic priorities and socialist ideals into a workable mix.

But of course, the Middle East is experiencing its greatest political upheaval and socialist influx in a hundred years. New variables are added to the multifarious equation on a regular basis. While the present remains grim, the future seems pregnant with possibilities.

The post No Arab Bolivars: As Region Implodes, Arab Socialism Fizzles Out – OpEd appeared first on Eurasia Review.

Dipping Into Cultural Barriers To ‘Social’ Media – Interview

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For the past two years, and with support from the UPLOAD project, Dr Koen Leurs has been interviewing young Londoners to generate data about how the social media generation deals with cultural differences.

With racism being a particularly worrying trend in recent times, observing youth’s relationship with multiculturalism is probably as close as experts can get to crystal ball predictions about where racism is heading. And what better way to do that than to focus on the communication channels they are most fond of?

Young people are known to be the primary target of major social networks such as Facebook, Twitter and YouTube, where they can easily voice their opinions to friends and followers. The more they do, the closer they get to the much-envied status of social media influencer. What is less documented, however, is that a closer look at who follows who can actually reveal valuable information about how cultural differences are perceived among digitally-active youngsters.

This observation is what led Dr Koen Leurs to move from the Netherlands to London, a city well known for its social media appetite. For the past two years, and with support from the FP7 Marie Curie project UPLOAD (Urban Politics of London Youngsters Analyzed Digitally), Dr Leurs has been interviewing 84 Londoners from 12 to 18 years to generate valuable data about how the social media generation deals with cultural differences.

What are the main objectives of this project?

UPLOAD seeks to understand how young Londoners engage with cultural diversity using social media such as Facebook, Twitter and YouTube. More specifically, the main aim was to investigate how young Londoners (aged 12-18 years) digitally negotiate living together with racially and religiously different people. Developing a comparative approach together with Dr Myria Georgiou, I conducted fieldwork in three London boroughs — Haringey, Hammersmith-Fulham and Kensington-Chelsea — among working class, middle class and (upper) middle class families respectively. Methodologically, the goal was to innovatively mix in-depth interviews with participant observation and creative, digital methods.

What led you to do this research in this area?

When I began conducting research for UPLOAD, urban encounters and multiculturalism on social media were yet to be put on the scholarly agenda, and we needed a better understanding of two entangled processes: living together with difference in urban environments and the socio-political relevance of everyday internet use among young people.

As social media and mobile devices have become an important part of young people’s everyday lives, there is an urgency to gain greater insights into whether their use of internet applications corroborates pan-European sentiments of failed multiculturalism and ethnic segregation or whether their experiences instead foster intercultural dialogue and cosmopolitan understanding.

What have you learned from your research so far? Is it any different from what you expected?

In the figure I have given you, you can see the Facebook friendship network of Xavier, a 13-year-old London-born Portuguese boy. A few of his contacts live in Portugal, others are Portuguese people living in London, however, the majority of his contacts are local friends of various backgrounds. When discussing these various contacts with him, he said: ‘The thing is, especially in a country like this, there are [people from] so many different countries. You can’t really discriminate. I prefer to learn.’

We interviewed 84 young Londoners like Xavier. We have just completed transcribing the audiotapes of the interviews and we are currently coding the transcripts to develop theories. As little is known about the topic of digital multiculturalism, we seek to develop new theories and methodologies grounded in the everyday experiences of our informants. Two related insights are worth sharing here, one conceptual and one methodological observation.
Methodologically, we quickly realised that a meaningful study of social media would entail using digital tools to gather data. But we also wanted to have informants involved in gathering data. So we chose to visualise the Facebook friendships of interviewees active on Facebook, and used this visualisation to have them research their own network. As Xavier’s narrative illustrates, this new technique is useful for triggering strong reflections among the informants, as they can participate in making the visualisation and have a say on their own representations.

Conceptually, we found that both white British as well as young Londoners of migrant descent predominantly use social media such as Facebook to connect with fellow young people who live locally. Thus, we realised it is problematic that previous studies on internet use among ethnic minorities mostly focused on transnational communication and encapsulation with co-ethnics and contacts overseas. Social media seem to be a place where young people befriend other youth who live in their surroundings. A diverse racial or religious composition of their neighbourhood and school is for example reflected in an equally diverse social media friendship network. People commonly post about their cultural background, and social media thus provide a meaningful way for users to learn more about diversity.

What were the main difficulties you faced in your research?

Two main difficulties can be mentioned. First, our plan to conduct interviews with roughly 90 informants was very ambitious. In contrast with the working class area of Haringey where we were greatly assisted by parents, local councils, youth workers, youth clubs and libraries, upper middle class families in Hammersmith-Fulham and Kensington-Chelsea were reluctant to get involved. It is important to reflect on the implications of an apparent reluctance in richer families to participate in research.

Secondly, and although very exciting, this research project illustrates the tough balancing acts required when pursuing an academic lifestyle. My wife and I took up the challenge to move to London so that I could start the study only five weeks after we welcomed our son into our family. Luckily my new colleagues, my family members and my friends were very supportive.

You chose to focus on London. Why? Do you think your results are likely to apply to the rest of Europe?

As more than half of the world’s population live in cities, empirically-grounded insights into multiculturalism in the city are important, especially given the recent upsurge of racialisation, discrimination and religious extremism across Europe.

London is an illustrative case in point, as more than 50 % of the population are from ethnic minorities. Although London has its own particular dynamics, our findings are illustrative for larger urban cities across Europe and they can inform policies around cultural diversity and migration.

What do you think could or should be done to turn social media channels into real platforms for cultural exchange?

Our study shows that young Londoners already use social media as platforms for cultural exchange. Like in the offline context, ethnic strife and violence is an exception to the rule. When the 2011 BlackBerry Messenger London riots happened in Tottenham, newspaper headlines such as ‘Is technology to blame for the London riots’ and ‘These riots were about race. Why ignore the fact?’ indicate that the two issues of race and digital technologies were singled out as key drivers of the riots. New technologies and race however do not lead to chaos. Nor can social media platforms themselves drive intercultural understanding. It is the users themselves who choose to use social media as loci for cosmopolitan encounters. It is up to us researchers to be attentive to this dynamic, and in their everyday social media use young Londoners bridge racial and religious differences by maintaining intercultural friendships.

Now that the project is getting close to its end, what would you like to do next?

A small group of the young Londoners interviewed came to the UK as asylum seekers. Hearing their experiences about using the internet to carve out a livelihood in London, I realised there was a lot to learn about the European social media/forced migration nexus. In future research, I aim to explore to what extent digital practices of young asylum seekers reflect their human rights, and especially their digital communication rights. Also, and of particular urgency for the EU, I will seek to better understand in particular how asylum seeker youth engage in informal networked learning to gain the cultural capital needed for successful migration and acculturation.

Source: Based on an interview from issue 41 of research*eu results magazine. CORDIS

The post Dipping Into Cultural Barriers To ‘Social’ Media – Interview appeared first on Eurasia Review.

Is Quality Or Cost More Essential In International Cellphone Market?

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As businesses move into international markets, they often do so with a “one size fits all” customer satisfaction strategy. But factors as basic as how consumers prioritize pricing and quality can differ sharply across cultures and economic systems, according to a new study in the Journal of International Marketing. Success will depend in part on understanding these perceptions across cultures.

“A company’s success abroad will depend in part on understanding how people of different cultures sometimes perceive value very differently,” write authors Forrest V. Morgeson III (American Customer Satisfaction Index), Pratyush Nidhi Sharma (University of Delaware) and G. Tomas M. Hult (Michigan State University). “The current study provides new insights into important ways in which customer perceptions vary from nation to nation.”

The authors studied cellphone customer attitudes across the very different cultures and markets of Barbados, Singapore, Turkey, the UK, and the US. This industry was chosen because cellphones are used by the richest and poorest consumers, making it ideal for comparing national experiences. Participants were given surveys and interviews about their cellphone service provider, answering such questions as “How high were your expectations when signing up for your service? How would you rate the overall quality of the service? Have you ever complained to your provider?”

The differences between cultures were often striking. In less-developed markets such as Barbados, the product needed to be affordable above all else. In more developed countries such as Singapore, quality was essential, even at a higher cost. Satisfaction with quality fostered customer loyalty in developed nations, while customers in less-developed nations were likely to remain loyal even if the quality was less than stellar.

“The findings provide a wealth of insight across cultures and economies. The implications are vital, in what promises to be an important and colorful field of study into how customer satisfaction varies worldwide, and the need for modern companies to swiftly understand these make-or-break differences,” the authors conclude.

The post Is Quality Or Cost More Essential In International Cellphone Market? appeared first on Eurasia Review.

Using Organic Farming To Reverse Agriculture Ecosystem From Carbon Source To Carbon Sink

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Approximately 35% of global greenhouse gases (GHGs) come from agriculture. It’s on that backdrop that some pundits argue that humans can reverse global warming by sequestering several hundred billion tons of excess CO2 through regenerative, organic farming, ranching and land use. Increasing the soil’s organic content will not only fix carbon and reduce emissions, it will also improve the soil’s ability to retain water and nutrients and resist pests and droughts.

To mitigate GHG emissions and retain soil fertility, organic agriculture might be a wise choice for decreasing the intensive use of synthetic fertilizers, protecting environments, and further improving crop yields. Recent research has showed that replacing chemical fertilizer with organic manure significantly decreased the emission of GHGs. In this vein, organic farming can reverse the agriculture ecosystem from a carbon source to a carbon sink.

To explore the potential of farmlands acting as a carbon sink without yield losses, Jiang Gaoming, a professor at the Chinese Academy of Sciences’ Institute of Botany, conducted an experiment on a temperate eco-farm in eastern rural China. Crop residues were applied to cattle feed and the composted cattle manure was returned to cropland with a winter wheat and maize rotation. Crop yield and greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions were carefully calculated according to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Guidelines for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories 2006.

This study showed that replacing chemical fertilizer with organic manure significantly decreased the emission of GHGs. Yields of wheat and corn also increased as the soil fertility was improved by the application of cattle manure. Totally replacing chemical fertilizer with organic manure decreased GHG emissions, which reversed the agriculture ecosystem from a carbon source (+ 2.7 t CO2-eq. hm-2 yr-1) to a carbon sink (- 8.8 t CO2-eq. hm-2 yr-1).

Making full use of crop residues as forage for cattle, collecting and composting cattle manure, and replacing part of the chemical fertilizer input with organic manure have been successfully shown to be ideal choices to reduce energy waste and cut GHG emissions without crop yield losses. A combination of organic manure and chemical fertilizer demonstrated the best result in improving soil quality and crop yields, while decreasing GHG emissions. Solely utilizing chemical fertilizer on the farmland not only led to increased GHG emissions, but also deteriorated the quality of the soil.

The post Using Organic Farming To Reverse Agriculture Ecosystem From Carbon Source To Carbon Sink appeared first on Eurasia Review.

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