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International Importance Of Kazakhstan – OpEd

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By Gulshat Abdullaeva

For several years, the role of Kazakhstan has gained increasing importance in the international arena. This became apparent against the backdrop of N.Nazarbayev’s policy aimed at positioning the RK as an international mediator.

Astana has become an independent platform for holding peace talks on the settlement of the Syrian conflict. Also, the president of Kazakhstan, noting the stupor in the negotiations on Ukraine, so offered his country as a new platform for their conduct. The Foreign Secretary of Belarus V.Makey immediately reacted negatively on such proposal, noting that Kazakhstan is simply chasing the peacekeeper’s laurels.

Kazakhstan actively operates within the framework of international organizations, developing new methods for more effective interaction and taking documentary solutions to international significance. N.Nazarbayev notes the importance of the work of the SCO organization in the fight against terrorism, which includes the countries of Central Asia.

In September 2017, the summit of the Organization of Islamic Cooperation (OIC) was held in Astana, which resulted in the adoption of the Astana Declaration “Science, Technology, Innovation and Modernization of the Islamic World.”

After the summit, the Islamic Organization for Food Security (OFS) was established, with headquarters in Astana.

According to A.Myrzakhmetov, Vice Prime Minister of Agriculture of Kazakhstan, the establishment of the OFS headquarters on the territory of Kazakhstan allows to obtain a profitable expansion of the export potential of agricultural produce.

“Within the framework of the organization, Kazakhstan will be able to export an additional 1 million tons of wheat, attract funds from international financial institutions, including the Islamic Development Bank, to implement infrastructure projects.” Attracting direct investments to the country’s economy using Islamic financial instruments, “said Minister.

International specialized exhibition Expo-2017 under the auspices of the International Exhibition Bureau, held in the capital of Kazakhstan, gathered participants from 100 countries and more than 10 international organizations.

In addition, since 2018, Kazakhstan is the chairman of the UN Security Council, where decisions are taken to maintain international peace and security.

In addition to international projects, the political leadership of Kazakhstan pays attention to the population of its country.

N.Nazarbayev continues to focus on the implementation of the program “Ruhani Zhahyrou”, which is aimed at modernizing the consciousness of Muslims. The program envisages several projects: the transition to the Latin alphabet, “100 new books in the Kazakh language”, the patriotic program “Tugan Jer” and “Sacral Geography of Kazakhstan”, as well as the projects “Modern Culture of Kazakhstan in the Global World” and “100 New Faces of Kazakhstan” .

During the last OIC summit, the topic of modernization of the educational process of the countries of the Islamic world was also discussed. The need to change the consciousness of a Muslim society arose in connection with the spread of radical Islamization, the source of which is the terrorist group ISIS.

At present, Kazakhstan, together with China, plans to strengthen cooperation in combating international terrorism, extremism and separatism. The President of Kazakhstan N.Nazarbayev noted the effectiveness of the actions of the Russian Armed Forces in the fight against the militants of ISIS on the territory of Syria, as well as the forces of the coalition led by the United States.

Despite the fact that the ISIS does not have its own territory anymore, they send their militants to different countries, including Afghanistan. Islamic civilization is based on science and knowledge, but nevertheless half of the population of the Islamic world is illiterate. And here the problem arises, because the most educated Muslims go to work in Western countries, which becomes a threat to national security.

Kazakhstan supports Afghanistan, providing places for studying to Afghan students. Since the civil war in Afghanistan has lasted for 40 years, people living in the territory of this country except for the war do not see anything. They earn money only from drug production, which only contributes to the development of terrorism. The leader of Kazakhstan sees the ways of fighting in this situation in providing jobs to the residents of Afghanistan, only in this way will Kazakhstan be able to help the neighboring country in creating its own economy.

In short, the Republic of Kazakhstan, as a significant country in the Central Asian region, today plays a key role in resolving conflicts of an international format. Kazakhstan’s policy to date has reached the maximum level of confidence among neighboring countries, which made it possible to bring the country to a new level of interaction, which certainly only contributes to the country’s prestige in the international arena.

Source: http://sodrugestvo.info/?p=612072&lang=en


Vineyards On Depleted Ash Dams Of Thermal Power Plants – OpEd

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Today your writer will try to review an untold evaluation of post-operation utilization of already depleted ash dam fields near old existing thermal power plants.

Ash dams are necessary for thermal power plants. Whether you fire either hard coal or low quality lignite, you generate lots of fly ash and bottom ash in the end. You have to dispose that ash by any means. If it is fly ash, you capture them through big capacity electrostatic precipitators (ESP) prior to entering high stacks, collect and then transfer to nearby cement plants to be added into cement production. Local price is around 18- 20 US Dollars per ton CIF delivery at cement plant.

If it is bottom ash, then you mix it with available nearby water, and pump them all to nearby ash dam. Ash dam is a man made water dam. You circulate the water and transfer the bottom ash from thermal power plant to the dam. These ash dams are built by the contractor during thermal power plant construction and they are used during life cycle of the thermal power plant operation.

In the end, the thermal power plant ages, gets old, needs rehabilitation. At the same time your ash dam gets filled with incoming bottom ash. At first you insert some cement into the ash dam so that you cover the bottom of dam, to insulate the dam from infusion of unnecessary material to underwater resources. Then the upcoming bottom ash fills the ash dam, where ash goes down, water remains at top for water recirculation.

Finally your ash dam gets full, having no more bottom ash keeping capacity. If our thermal power plant is still in operation, at that time you have to build a new ash dam to keep the new bottom ash.

What happens after you fill the ash dam? What can you do on depleted ash dam fields?

You put 1 or a maximum 2 meters of agricultural soil on top of depleted ash dam fields, and plant suitable trees. Ash lands especially volcanic ash lands are suitable for vineyards to grow good quality grapes for wine production. Ash dam is a men-made ash field for vineyards. That is the same case everywhere. Some of the world famous vineyards of California are not only on volcanic ash fields but also on depleted man-made ash dams, or on similar municipality refuse dump areas.

In Elbistan, Turkey, administration raises pine trees. This is simple solution but not so feasible. In Soma thermal power plant, on the first depleted ash dam, administration plants olive trees and produces excellent virgin olive oil. Yatagan ash dam capacity is almost complete. There are new depleted ash dam fields waiting for agricultural utilization.

The Sugozu thermal power plant administration is planning to grow Cabernet Sauvignon grapes for nearby wine factory in future. Grapes are already planted around ash disposal land, however I do not feel that neither land and nor environment suitable for Cabernet Sauvignon production. It is highly recommended that the administration should check local grapes. We would expect them to plant local grapes. Elbistan and Tufanbeyli are suitable for OkuzGozu grapes, Kangal for Bogazkere, Cayirhan is suitable for KalecikKarasi, Can Canakkale is suitable for local KaraLahna/ Çavuş/ Kuntra grapes.

Soma is allocated for olive trees for sure and their virgin olive oil is extraordinary. Yatagan can follow Soma experience and Yatagan administration should plant olive trees on their almost depleted ash dam fields.

Thermal power plants are long term operations, you learn while you operate. All long term future strategies are to be considered. The plants are to be operated with long term programs. Privatization procedures are to enforce sufficient capacity ESPs, FGDs in full operation at all times, as well as post agricultural utilization of depleted ash dams near old thermal power plants.

Nakhchivan Promotes ‘Azerbaijani Multiculturalism’ As Valuable Source Of World’s Intercultural Dialogue – OpEd

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On October 24, 2017, the Nakhchivan Teachers Institute hosted a presentation of a university textbook on “Azerbaijani Multiculturalism”.

At the event, the Vice Chancellor of the Institute on Educational Curriculum Prof. Dr. Akif Imanli stated that the topic of multiculturalism has been taught at higher educational institutions for some years and this university textbook of “Azerbaijani Multiculturalism” is a great asset to both teachers and students in the study of this field. The chief of Analytics Department of Baku International Centre of Multiculturalism Dr. Rashad Ilyasov spoke about the textbook “Azerbaijani Multiculturalism” and noted that “the chapters of this volume contain a broad information on multicultural security in Azerbaijan’s internal and external policy as well as includes literary-artistic sources of multiculturalism in Azerbaijani culture.”

The Corresponding Member of the National Academy of Sciences of Azerbaijan Artegin Salamzadeh emphasized that: “multiculturalism is a lifestyle and a state policy in Azerbaijan. It has no alternative. Today Azerbaijan is presenting to the world its rich model of multiculturalism that has passed through the filter of many centuries. In this field our country has a rich experience based on ancient history.”

Indeed the Autonomous Republic of Nakhchivan (Azerbaijan) is a laboratory of multiculturalism and an important archeological source of special significance to the world. The land of Ajami ibn Abubakr Nakhchivani and of Prophet Noah has many archeological sites that are a perfect testimony to Azerbaijan’s ancient multiculturalism values and inter-religious dialogue. Under the leadership of Chairman Vasif Talibov, the Autonomous Republic of Nakhchivan has made a great progress towards preserving ancient artifacts and potteries on archaeological sites and cultural monuments that pay a special tribute to Azerbaijani women and religious tolerance.

During the book promotion event, was analyzed the study of the historical, cultural, political, and social essence of Azerbaijan’s traditions of tolerance. The keynote speakers analyzed the foundations of tolerance, religious diversity in the Republic of Azerbaijan and effective public policies that directly affect the vibrant cultural fabric of the Land of Fire.

Furthermore the religious monuments have acquired a special priority in the policy of Azerbaijan’s multiculturalism. The textbook “Azerbaijani Multiculturalism” plays a huge role and is a valuable source in encouraging multicultural values to the young generation.

The “Azerbaijani Multiculturalism” textbook consists of an Introduction, three sections and seven chapters. This volume is intended for university graduate students in Azerbaijan and abroad who attend the course on “Azerbaijani Multiculturalism”, as well as those who are interested in the basic issues of the model of Azerbaijani multiculturalism. The book has over 40 co-authors including some international contributors. This textbook is the outcome of joint efforts of outstanding scholars in Azerbaijani history, literature, philosophy, law, psychology, Azerbaijan’s modern policy, language, ethnography and international relations.

The first section of this textbook covers the methods of the course on “Azerbaijani Multiculturalism”, and its correlation to other social sciences; the second section introduces multiculturalism as Azerbaijan’s state policy and its people’s lifestyle, it also analyses “Multicultural Security and Its Main Principles” as well as “the Azerbaijanism and Multiculturalism”; the third section presents some important points on multiculturalism in Azerbaijan’s foreign policy (this section shows multiculturalism as a factor of the country’s successful foreign policy, it analyses the initiative of “Baku Process” that has lately entered the political lexicon and implies the development of a dialogue among different cultures).

As the Republic of Azerbaijan fosters a multiculturalism policy at the national and international levels and is a key player to preserving peace in the world; the Republic of Armenia continues to occupy over twenty percent of Azerbaijan’s sovereign territory, including the Nagorno – Karabakh region and its seven surrounding districts. Only in February 2018, Armenian Armed Forces violated the ceasefire 3,423 times on various directions along the line of contact between Armenian and Azerbaijani troops. The Armenian Troops have been using large-caliber machine guns and sniper rifles while attacking the Azerbaijani army positions.

The government of Armenia has ordered its troops to shell the Azerbaijani army positions in the districts of Gazakh, Tovuz, Aghstafa, Gadabay, Tartar, Agdam, Khojavand and Fuzuli. Meanwhile the Azerbaijani Army had a full control of the situation through the entire line of contact.

In February 2018, was prevented another provocation by Armenian Armed Forces in the direction of Azerbaijan’s Gazakh district. An Armenian sabotage group in a UAZ vehicle was detected in time and their reconnaissance mission was crumbled; once again the preventive actions of Azerbaijan’s troops prevailed.

Furthermore, an Armenian quad-copter was intercepted while attempting to carry out flights over the Azerbaijani army positions in the direction of Fuzuli district.

The Nagorno-Karabakh conflict entered in an intensified phase when the Armenian SRR made territorial claims against the Azerbaijani SSR in 1988. Immediately thereafter a fierce war broke out between Azerbaijan and Armenia over the Nagorno-Karabakh region of Azerbaijan.

As a result of the war, Armenian armed forces occupied some 20 percent of Azerbaijani territory which includes Nagorno-Karabakh  Region and seven adjacent districts (Lachin, Kalbajar, Aghdam, Fuzuli, Jabrayil, Gubadli and Zangilan), and over one million Azerbaijani citizens became refugees and internally displaced people. The military operations finally came to an end when Azerbaijan and Armenia signed a ceasefire agreement in Bishkek in 1994.

Since then the Armenian Government and its terrorist political leadership have violated the UN Security Council Resolutions 822, 853, 874 and 884, that were passed in 1993, and continue to grossly violate other resolutions adopted by the UN General Assembly, PACE, OSCE, OIC, that pressure Armenia to unconditionally withdraw its troops from Nagorno-Karabakh a sovereign territory of Azerbaijan.

Source: http://multikulturalizm.gov.az/textbook-azerbaijani-multiculturalism-s-valuable-source-nstilling-multicultural-values/

Misinterpretations Of Quran – OpEd

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Ignoring the debate on whether the Quran is the word of God or of Muhammad (pbuh), there is no dispute on the fact that the Quran is not only the first and the most important document in the history of Arabs but also its importance as an important document in world history will remain intact for long years to come. Before the advent of this book, the Arabs had neither seen a book nor had they given so much importance to any book. The effect of this book on their life has been enormous from day one. In my view the Quran has been the most influential book in the history of man provided Michael Hart’s standards are kept in view.

With its advent, this book decisively changed the face of the world and caused revolutionary changes that could be felt at every level. On this front, even the Torah cannot be compared to the Quran although it is older than the Quran. (Here belittling the Torah is not the intent as it has its own impact and importance which is not the point of discussion here). Therefore, if this book (the Quran) is criticized or doubted, it should not be a matter of surprise, rather it is the proof of its popularity and Muslims should take every criticism and expression of doubt in their stride because now Quran has already assumed universal significance.

Going by its universality, it is necessary that people subscribing to every school of thought, even those who consider it a work of human mind should pay special attention to it. It is the responsibility of all the schools of thought that they should work without ideological and cultural preoccupations to know its truth and to reveal its truth to the world, not because this book belongs to the Muslims but because it has played a very important role in shaping the world.

There is a need of a total rethinking of the Quran’s views on war and peace without any prejudice because this issue is not only very important  but also because a misconception  has spread far and wide on this issue which has been causing Muslim as well as non-Muslim world huge damage.

There is no dearth of people among Muslims who give negative explanations of the Quranic verses on sensitive issues like rights, freedoms and war and peace. On the other hand, there are many non-Muslims also who consciously accept these negative explanations. We have observed that when a non-Muslim discusses his own sacred scripture, he treads with great caution, but when he discusses the Quran, his attitude is lackadaisical. If he does not resort to lies, it should be considered a favour from him.

One example of this lackadaisical attitude is that they take the stance that the Quran advocates the use of violence against its opponents and present such verses in support of their argument which are quoted out of context. For example, they quote the following verse:

“Fight those who do not believe in Allah or in the Last Day and who do not consider unlawful what Allah and His Messenger have made unlawful and who do not adopt the religion of truth from those who were given the Scripture – [fight] until they give the jiJyah willingly while they are humbled.” (Quran, Surah Taubah: 9: 29)

They argue that all the opponents who fulfil the conditions mentioned in the verse deserve being killed according to the Quran, no matter how much contemporary situation and the circumstances might have changed from the time Quran was revealed.

It is interesting to note that both the Muslim extremists and the opponents of the Quran agree on this point.  Definitely this explanation is brutal to the extent of irrationality which, though may it suit ignoramuses, will not find favour with the rationalists and liberal minds because a rationalist person knows it well that any text cannot be understood after taking it out of its context even if it is a very simple and common book. The issue of the Quran is all the more different because it is perhaps the single sacred scripture which sets its own preconditions for reading it. So, if someone is not ready to fulfil those preconditions, then we will request him not to read it at all.

From the above quoted verse, it is evident that it is speaking of a particular historical situation relating to the People of the Book that are pitched against a new Islamic group and have waged a war against it. The exegetes should stop right there because there is no generalization in the verse. In other words, even if a group of people fulfil those conditions mentioned in the verse, it is out of the context of the verse. This point can further be explained in the light of other verses of the Quran where it enjoins on Muslims to establish such a good rapport with the People of the Book which may even culminate into marriage. Moreover, there are also verses that prevent men from religious persecution in any form. If Jizya were a tool to pressurize non-Muslims to convert to Islam, it would only be termed a kind of ‘Ikrah’ (persecution) which would be in confrontation with the verse “La Ikraha Fid Deen” (there is no compulsion in religion). Practically this is not possible. It is not understood why a section of people still insist that the verse in question encourages killing of opponents in every situation and circumstances.

The stance of Muslim extremists on this explanation is that the above-mentioned verse abrogates all the pervious verses encouraging brotherhood and harmony with opponents whereas the mis-interpreters of the Quran have taken the stand that it is an example of Muslim opportunism that when they were weak, they would speak of brotherhood and when they became strong they started terminating their treaties and killing and exiling their opponents. In short, the exegetes have opted for the explanations closer to their temperament and have set aside academic and investigative logic.

If these people would use logic, they would have realized the fallacy of the former argument. On what basis can one decide that this verse abrogates all the other verses? The issue of abrogation is not only based on Ijtihad (liberal thinking) and not on Khabar (tradition) nor is there any consensus on it. And if it is based on Khabar, what is the perpetual Khabar (tradition) which tells them that this verse was abrogated.

Translated from Urdu by New Age Islam.

Sochi Investment Forum Gives New Impetus To Intensification Of Business And Economic Ties

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Participants of the Russian Investment Forum (RIF), which ended in Sochi on February 16, signed 538 cooperation agreements totaling 794 billion rubles, which significantly exceeds the figures of the previous year.

The event was attended by representatives of the federal and regional authorities, leading economists and analysts, domestic entrepreneurs and heads of foreign companies. According to the organizers, the RIF brought together more than 6 thousand people, which is 27% more than last year.

The two-day business program included 55 events, where the participants discussed issues concerning new regional policy, the results of the establishment of innovative clusters, the digital economy and the funding of infrastructure projects.

According to Russian Prime Minister Dmitry Medvedev the forum in Sochi is first of all aimed at effective “integration of the regions into the trajectory of global development.”

“Last year, we had a revival of investment activity and the economic situation as a whole. However, this is not enough. It is important that the inflow of investments was high enough to promote an emergence of new industries, in addition to support the work of conventional ones,” he said speaking at the RIF plenary session.

“To build a strong and healthy economy of our country as a whole and its regions in particular, our focus should be on making its structure more diverse, and improving the ability to manage it. This is the logic we adhere to,” Dmitry Medvedev added.

Analyzing the results of the Sochi forum, representatives of Siemens in Russia noted that participation in the event was a good opportunity to meet with Russian partners and discuss current and future projects.

“For Siemens, as for a company that has local production sites, it is very important to understand the accents of the Russian business community,” the press service of the organization told PenzaNews.

According to the comment, Siemens has signed two documents at the forum: a contract with a group of companies OTEKO and an agreement with the administration of the Leningrad region.

“The contract with the OTEKO GC affects the modernization of the sorting slide of the Panagia railway station in the Krasnodar region. The total value of the contract will be more than 3 billion rubles. In addition, Siemens signed an agreement on cooperation with the Leningrad region. We plan to join efforts to modernize the economy and transport infrastructure of the Leningrad region, develop medical technologies and introduce them into the healthcare organizations,” the comment says.

In addition, it says that the leadership of Siemens in Russia held meetings with customers in Sochi, and also discussed a number of important issues, including the topics of digitalization of production and energy sector.

“The president of Siemens in Russia Dietrich Moeller took part in the discussion Smart Energy: Challenges and Strategy, introducing the interests of foreign supply companies. Experts discussed the prospects for the development of the energy sector in the era of digitalization and the way how, with the help of modern technologies, to increase the dynamics of the country’s economic growth. The focus on the digitalization of this industry is not accidental – today energy makes more than 20% in Russia’s GDP. The first digitalization projects are already being implemented with Russian partners. The Center of processing and analysis of the data, which is received during operation of Lastochka trains, has been functioning since 2017; the work on the introduction of the digital production concept has begun at KamAZ enterprises; the Smart Grid project is being implemented in Ufa together with Bashkirenergo,” the comment says.

In turn, Vadim Cheban, First Deputy Chairman of the Executive Committee of the Autonomous Territorial Entity (ATE) of Gagauzia of the Republic of Moldova (RM), called the region’s participation in the RIF active and successful.

“The Russian investment forum in Sochi is an international investment platform that has once again enabled us to see the diverse potential of the Russian regions and allowed to present to the participants the investment potential of Gagauzia with the aim of creating joint ventures on mutually beneficial terms,” Vadim Cheban said.

According to him, during the event, the autonomy presented its industrial sites and investment preferences.

“Participation in forums of this level has favorable impact on the development of bilateral relations and socio-economic development of the region, allows us to make adjustments to the regional and sectoral programs of our ATE. […]Economic interaction of Gagauzia with the regions of the Russian Federation through the increase in turnover and investment will contribute to improving the well-being of the population of the autonomy as a whole,” the first deputy chairman of the Executive Committee of Gagauzia said.

He also stressed that most of the states are interested in building good relations with Russia.

“They count on Russia as an important source of capital and a reliable partner. Participation in international forums helps potential investors to learn about the opportunities not only at the level of Russian regions, but also other countries and to intensify economic cooperation,” the politician said.

According to Shankaran Nambiar, Senior Research Fellow at Malaysian Institute of Economic Research in Kuala Lumpur, Russia is an attractive destination for foreign business.

“Russia’s interest in creating an investment hub and attracting foreign investment is a commendable one. There are definitely abundant opportunities in Russia that foreign firms can take advantage of. In addition, there is a favorable supply of high quality technical expertise in Russia that firms from Southeast Asia can leverage on,” the analyst said.

However, there are some constraints to investing in Russia, he said.

According to Shankaran Nambiar, the authorities should provide greatest possible support to foreign investors wishing to set up their companies in Russia and pay attention to trade exhibitions and trade missions.

“Government-to-government contacts have to be established and state-owned enterprises in ASEAN have to be engaged to explore joint ventures. Russia has to compete more actively with China because China is seen as an attractive destination,” the expert added.

Meanwhile, President of the Russian Investment Agency (RIA) Yuri Spiridonov drew attention to the fact that the investment forum in Sochi was originally planned to be held after the announcement of the message of Russian President Vladimir Putin to the Federal Assembly for 2018.

“If this were the case and the message would not be postponed, the forum for the most part would be a practical discussion of the measures that must be taken to implement these decisions of the president. As a result, we heard interesting proposals from the government – in particular, investments in infrastructure designed to create in the country centers of a new scale– in small and medium-sized settlements, as opposed to megacities. These plans, still causing divergences between departments: the Ministry of Finance and the Ministry of Economic Development, nevertheless reflected the spirit and goals of the forum, its investment and regional focus. And this is the value of the RIF: it opened the key measures from the yet unpublished plan of the government to accelerate the economy, gave the opportunity for preliminary discussions on them,” Yuri Spiridonov said.

He also noted that shortly after the forum in Sochi, Standard & Poor’s (S&P) international agency has raised Russia’s long-term and short-term sovereign credit rating to BBB-.

“This optimistic background allowed the head of the Ministry of Economy Maxim Oreshkin to say that the current situation contributes to the inflow of capital and a stable OFZ yields below 7% for long-term securities, and expands the possibilities for debt financing of infrastructure,” the RIA president reminded and stressed that a new rating should increase investors’ interest in Russia.

Source: https://penzanews.ru/en/analysis/65140-2018

France: Le Pen Formally Charged For Graphic Tweets Of ISIS Violence

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The leader of of France’s far-right National Front party, Marine Le Pen, was formally charged on Thursday over graphic tweets of ISIS violence she posted in 2015.

The move taken by a judge in the Paris suburb of Nanterre comes after the French National Assembly’s lifting of Le Pen’s immunity last November. European lawmakers had taken a similar decision back in March 2017 regarding the same issue.

In Dec. 2015, Le Pen tweeted three graphic photos of ISIS executions – among them the decapitated body of U.S. journalist James Foley — with a caption “ISIS is THIS!”, following a dispute with a journalist who had compared her party to the terrorist group.

Later, a French prosecutor opened a probe and requested the revocation of Le Pen’s EU and French parliamentary immunity.

Under French law, one can face up to five years in prison and receive a €75,000 ($79,000) fine if convicted on charges of distributing violent images.

Original source

Pentagon Says Russian Implementation Of Syria Cease-Fire Inadequate

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By Marine Corps Sgt. David Staten

The U.N. Security Council unanimously voted Feb. 24 for an immediate 30-day cease-fire throughout Syria, but the regime of Syrian President Bashar Assad continues attacking its citizens, especially in East Ghouta, chief Pentagon spokesperson Dana W. White said Thursday.

The cease-fire would have allowed for the delivery of emergency aid and the evacuation of the wounded in heavily targeted areas. According to U.N. Secretary General Antonio Guterres, these areas are home to 400,000 people.

Russia, a strong ally of Assad, was supposed to help in making sure the Syrian regime followed the U.N. resolution, but instead has called for daily five-hour local cease-fires to establish what it calls a humanitarian corridor so aid can enter the enclave and civilians and wounded can leave.

Officials say this isn’t enough time to give the people the aid they need.

With a failed cease-fire, Russia’s commitment to de-escalate violence and negotiate a political solution is questionable. “Russia’s inability to exert control over portions of the battlefield where they operate is troublesome,” White said.

Undermining International Security

White referred to U.S. Central Command commander Army Gen. Joseph L. Votel’s testimony Feb. 27 at the House Armed Services Committee, saying “Russia played both arsonists and firefighters in Syria, fueling tensions among all parties, then serving as an arbiter to resolve disputes, attempting to undermine and weaken … each party’s bargaining position.”

“Russia’s efforts to preserve their own interests in Syria puts coalition progress at risk, and undermines international security,” she added.

White said the United States does not seek a conflict with the Syrian regime.

“But we call on Russia to restrain the Assad regime, deconflict counterterrorism operations with the coalition and de-escalate the remaining battlefields of the Syrian civil war,” she added

“We want Russia to live up to its commitments with respect to the cease-fire,” White said. “There are innocent people dying, there’s humanitarian assistance that’s not getting through. They made a commitment and we need them to uphold that commitment.”

US Drone Strike, Political Betrayal Drove Aging Afghan Militant Closer To Islamic State

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By Chris Sands and Fazelminallah Qazizai

Hajji Amanullah had been walking through the night, hoping to use the cover of darkness to shake off the Americans hunting him down, when he again heard the familiar low-pitched hum of the drone that seemed to watch his every move. It was early on the morning of June 24, 2017, near the end of Ramadan, and for the past few days the unmanned aerial vehicle had been doggedly following the insurgent commander as he traversed the boulder-strewn peaks and valleys that form the district of Shaygal, in eastern Afghanistan.

Almost 180 coalition troops had been killed in the surrounding province of Kunar since the war began in 2001 and Amanullah was the architect of much of the bloodshed. As a senior figure in the Islamist group Hizb-e Islami (the Islamic Party), he had clashed with the Americans dozens of times. Only now did he realize that this was their moment of revenge.

He had been using a torch to light a path through the rugged terrain and just as he recognized his mistake and paused to switch it off, a loud tearing sound split the sky. The first missile hit the ground in front of him, throwing him to the floor. The second landed closer, sending dirt, rocks and branches into the air. Stunned, and with his left wrist and left ear bleeding, he recited his last rites, convinced another missile was on its way. But to his amazement there were no more explosions. After several minutes villagers arrived on the scene and took him to a cluster of nearby houses. There, he began to recuperate and plot his next move.

Recounting the details of the drone strike in an exclusive interview with Arab News recently, Amanullah blamed himself for being too casual with his own security and underestimating the Americans’ firepower.

“If your enemy is a fox, you should think of it as a lion,” he said, repeating an old proverb.

Amanullah’s previously untold story offers a fascinating, and sobering, glimpse into the insurgent side of the war in Afghanistan, as US policymakers continue their search for a decisive breakthrough that will turn around the conflict. It is a tale of missed opportunities and shifting alliances; the horrors of combat and the perils of making peace with an intractable enemy. Ultimately, it is also the story of the changing face of radicalism in this country — a land that nurtured Al-Qaeda and that is now becoming an increasingly important sanctuary for Daesh.

Aged 50 and sporting a long white beard, Amanullah comes from the La Hussein valley in Shaygal, a picturesque area of persimmon and walnut trees. He belongs to the Shinwari tribe, one of eastern Afghanistan’s most prominent Pashtun groups, and was born into a typically large family, with eight brothers and three sisters. He was just 12-years-old when he joined Hizb-e Islami in its guerrilla war against local Marxists in the late 1970s.

Hizb, as it is commonly known by Afghans, was influenced by the ideas of the Egyptian Muslim Brotherhood and led by a charismatic and ruthless former engineering student, Gulbuddin Hekmatyar, who Aman revered.

Together, they vowed to wage armed jihad until the country was governed by a radical interpretation of Islamic law. The party went on to become the most powerful Mujahedeen faction in the 1979-1989 war against Soviet occupation, when it received the largest share of covert US arms supplies funnelled to the resistance through Pakistan’s ISI intelligence agency.

At the same time, Hekmatyar mentored militants from across Asia and the Middle East, training them to launch insurrections in their home countries after the Soviet withdrawal.

But when the Russians left Afghanistan and victory seemed within reach, Hizb was outflanked by rival Mujahedeen parties and Kabul descended into a savage civil war that killed tens of thousands of people, ultimately giving rise to the Taliban. Hekmatyar, one of the conflict’s main protagonists, fled to Iran before returning to Afghanistan in 2002 to launch a jihad against the America-led occupation.

For many of Hekmatyar’s supporters this new guerrilla campaign was a step too far and, exhausted by years of conflict, they laid down their arms to join the democratic process in Kabul, forming their own factions of Hizb. Amanullah was one of the few who stood by Hekmatyar and the insurgent wing of the party, known in US-military parlance as HIG.

Before he had a chance to fire a shot in anger, however, American forces arrested him in the eastern province of Nangarhar while he was trying to visit a friend in jail. The experience only hardened his resolve. Released after five months, he returned to Shaygal and resumed his insurgency.

By his own account, Amanullah first confronted US soldiers in battle in late 2002, digging up a rocket-propelled grenade launcher he had hidden in a cemetery and ambushing a military convoy. Already well known in local rebel circles, his reputation grew in the years that followed as he led dozens of raids against the Americans. He rose through Hizb’s ranks, eventually becoming head of its military committee — the section of the party tasked with organizing guerrilla operations across the country. His growing influence was most keenly felt in Kunar, where American troops stationed in remote outposts struggled to withstand frequent assaults from radical fighters largely drawn from a local population hostile to outsiders.

As the war dragged on, Hizb conducted several high-profile attacks in Kabul, including one by a female suicide bomber in September 2012 that killed at least 12 people — eight of them South African employees of a chartered aviation company. But Hekmatyar’s faction remained militarily weak compared with the Taliban and, after years of behind the scenes talks, it signed a peace agreement with the Afghan government in September 2016, less than two months before Donald Trump’s election as US president. It seemed like one of the most significant political breakthroughs Afghanistan had experienced in years.

Even then, however, there were warning signs that the deal would give rise to a new wave of radicalism. A small band of Daesh fighters had already spent several months living under Amanullah’s protection in Shaygal, impressing him with their adherence to a violent and austere way of life that they claimed mirrored the conduct of Islam’s earliest apostles. He sheltered them in accordance with Pashtun honor codes but opted to keep a prudent distance from their daily operations while he waited to see how their jihad progressed.

The more time that passed, the more troubled he became by the contrasting approaches between the extremist old guard he grew up with and the younger, stricter, fighters emerging in their wake. While Daesh seemed to resemble the earlier incarnation of Hizb that he joined in the late 1970s — executing alleged spies in the pockets of territory under its control and demanding everyone adhere to its interpretation of Islam — the men he had spent a lifetime serving alongside appeared to have given up on their goal of turning Afghanistan into a radical Islamist state that would inspire uprisings across the Muslim world.

The last straw for Amanullah came in April 2017, when Hekmatyar used his first public speeches in the country for 20 years to rebuke sections of the insurgency and call for an end to the war. As far as the commander was concerned, his leader was tacitly condoning the American occupation. To add to his consternation, Hekmatyar — a man once famous for his support for Al-Qaeda and his strident denunciations of US foreign policy — then came to Kabul and took up residency in a house owned by the Afghan president, Ashraf Ghani.

“God is a witness that from the start of the peace talks until the end, the process was un-Islamic and illegal,” Amanullah told Arab News. “If you look at history Muslims never send an offer of peace to infidels and apostates; it is always the infidels who send us the offer of peace. They are the forces of Satan and they will be defeated by the forces of God — they cannot resist us.”

Disgusted, he announced that he was forming his own faction of Hizb and took hundreds of fighters with him. He insisted to us that this move was initially meant as a symbolic show of dissent, rather than an act of war against his former colleagues. He claimed he only intended to speak out against the peace deal and had no plans to reignite his insurgency until the drone strike caused him to reconsider his options and edge even closer to Daesh.

Amanullah survived the attack, which occurred in La Hussein, with relatively minor injuries, but two of his most trusted fighters were killed: Amran, a 25-year-old father of five, and Redi Gul, a 30-year-old father of seven. In the hours that followed the commander’s men began to spread the rumor that he had also died, hoping the announcement would be picked up by mainstream and social media, throwing the Americans off his scent. The deception worked.

In the ensuing days leaflets started appearing in and around Kunar, warning of more retribution to follow. “Hajji Amanullah is dead!” they proclaimed in Pashto, over a picture of him with his face crossed out. “We are coming after you. Understand this: your leaders are also not safe because the coalition forces are coming after you.”

It was a boast that may yet come back to haunt the American and Afghan governments. We first met Amanullah in June 2016, before he formed his own faction of Hizb. Back then, he was happy walking in daylight and served under Hekmatyar’s chief lieutenant, Kashmir Khan, a prominent local commander who would die of natural causes later that year. Even in those days Daesh fighters enjoyed the protection of Hizb in Shaygal but their numbers were small. By the time of our most recent meeting late last year, the situation was markedly different. Security was tighter and the tension greater.

With drones clearly audible in the sky over the district, Amanullah’s militants forbade photography and kept phone conversations to a minimum. It took us several attempts to rendezvous with him at a safe house in rugged terrain in a remote corner of the district.

He arrived for the interview just after 10:45pm, accompanied by five bodyguards. He wore a shalwar kameez, a flat Afghan pakhool hat, military belt and hiking boots, and walked with the aid of a long stick. He was polite and genial, demonstrating the hospitality Pashtuns customarily show to guests. Throughout the area in which we met there was talk of the growing strength of Daesh. In places under Amanullah’s jurisdiction the group’s fighters roamed freely alongside members of the Taliban. He claimed they had all learnt from the way he and his men governed with an iron fist.

“I tell people here that the rules and laws of Daesh were the rules of Hizb. First they were adopted by the Taliban, now they are adopted by Daesh,” he said.

As someone who prides himself on keeping his word and protecting the honor of his fighters, Amanullah’s split with Hizb’s leadership has proved more traumatic than the drone strike that nearly killed him. He still regards himself as a member of the party but feels senior figures within the movement have betrayed its core principles, leaving him with no choice other than to take matters into his own hands and establish a splinter group.

At a gathering of 3,000 mainstream Hizb members in Kabul last November, Hekmatyar attempted to address the grievances of colleagues like Amanullah who are angry with the peace agreement. He acknowledged that the government had yet to fulfil key aspects of its side of the deal, including the large-scale release of party prisoners and the provision of land for the families of thousands of Hizb members currently living as refugees in Pakistan. But he claimed that by working openly in the country Hizb now had “an effective and decisive role” in Afghan politics. Dissidents should “be patient and have hope in the future,” he said.

Privately, some senior party officials are less magnanimous toward their former brothers-in-arms who continue to advocate violent resistance. Speaking to us last autumn, one high-ranking figure in Hekmatyar’s inner-circle accused Amanullah of acting out of self-interest, claiming the rogue commander was being funded by unspecified foreign donors to cause divisions within the party’s ranks.

We found no evidence to support this claim. The living conditions of Amanullah and his men were far harsher than their contemporaries in Kabul, and they expressed no interest in compromise or political power.

What mattered to them was sticking to their radical beliefs, however unpalatable those ideas may be to millions of their fellow Afghans.
In Shaygal itself, the highly conservative community views Amanullah’s strict leadership as upholding Islamic values. Smoking and music are outlawed in villages under his control and it is forbidden for men to shave. Opium cultivation is banned and residents are only allowed to fish using nets or rods, not by throwing grenades into the local river — a practice that has become all too common in war-ravaged Afghanistan.

He predicted that Hizb’s influence would wane under Hekmatyar’s continued guidance and left open the possibility that he would formally merge his break-away faction of the movement with Daesh. Even if he is killed there seems little doubt that his followers will continue the jihad he started more than 30 years ago.

“All over the country the Mujahedeen of Hizb are ready to stay with us and continue as Mujahedeen until we achieve our holy aim,” he said.
When the interview was over he gathered a handful of his men and led them in prayer. He then melted back into the night.

* For this article Chris Sands reported from Kabul and Fazelminallah Qazizai reported from Kunar.


Hubble Observes Exoplanet Atmosphere In More Detail Than Ever Before

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An international team of scientists has used the NASA/ESA Hubble Space Telescope to study the atmosphere of the hot exoplanet WASP-39b. By combining this new data with older data they created the most complete study yet of an exoplanet atmosphere. The atmospheric composition of WASP-39b hints that the formation processes of exoplanets can be very different from those of our own Solar System giants.

Investigating exoplanet atmospheres can provide new insight into how and where planets form around a star. “We need to look outward to help us understand our own Solar System,” explains lead investigator Hannah Wakeford from the University of Exeter in the UK and the Space Telescope Science Institute in the USA.

Therefore the British-American team combined the capabilities of the NASA/ESA Hubble Space Telescope with those of other ground- and space-based telescopes for a detailed study of the exoplanet WASP-39b. They have produced the most complete spectrum of an exoplanet’s atmosphere possible with present-day technology [1].

WASP-39b is orbiting a Sun-like star, about 700 light-years from Earth. The exoplanet is classified as a “Hot-Saturn”, reflecting both its mass being similar to the planet Saturn in our own Solar System and its proximity to its parent star. This study found that the two planets, despite having a similar mass, are profoundly different in many ways. Not only is WASP-39b not known to have a ring system, it also has a puffy atmosphere that is free of high-altitude clouds. This characteristic allowed Hubble to peer deep into its atmosphere.

By dissecting starlight filtering through the planet’s atmosphere [2] the team found clear evidence for atmospheric water vapour. In fact, WASP-39b has three times as much water as Saturn does. Although the researchers had predicted they would see water vapour, they were surprised by the amount that they found. This surprise, combined with the water abundance allowed to infer the presence of large amount of heavier elements in the atmosphere. This in turn suggests that the planet was bombarded by a lot of icy material which gathered in its atmosphere. This kind of bombardment would only be possible if WASP-39b formed much further away from its host star than it is right now.

“WASP-39b shows exoplanets are full of surprises and can have very different compositions than those of our Solar System,” says co-author David Sing from the University of Exeter, UK.

The analysis of the atmospheric composition and the current position of the planet indicate that WASP-39b most likely underwent an interesting inward migration, making an epic journey across its planetary system. “Exoplanets are showing us that planet formation is more complicated and more confusing than we thought it was. And that’s fantastic!”, adds Wakeford.

Having made its incredible inward journey WASP-39b is now eight times closer to its parent star, WASP-39, than Mercury is to the Sun and it takes only four days to complete an orbit. The planet is also tidally locked, meaning it always shows the same side to its star. Wakeford and her team measured the temperature of WASP-39b to be a scorching 750 degrees Celsius. Although only one side of the planet faces its parent star, powerful winds transport heat from the bright side around the planet, keeping the dark side almost as hot.

“Hopefully this diversity we see in exoplanets will help us figure out all the different ways a planet can form and evolve,” explains David Sing.

Looking ahead, the team wants to use the NASA/ESA/CSA James Webb Space Telescope — scheduled to launch in 2019 — to capture an even more complete spectrum of the atmosphere of WASP-39b. James Webb will be able to collect data about the planet’s atmospheric carbon, which absorbs light of longer wavelengths than Hubble can see [3]. Wakeford concludes: “By calculating the amount of carbon and oxygen in the atmosphere, we can learn even more about where and how this planet formed.”

Arthritis Drug Can Lower Sugar Levels In Diabetes

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A common rheumatoid arthritis treatment may be an effective new therapy for lowering blood glucose levels of patients with type-2 diabetes, according to a study published in the Journal of Endocrinology. The anti-inflammatory drug, lefluonamide, lowered blood glucose levels and reversed insulin resistance in mouse models of type 2 diabetes, which suggests that this therapy could be repurposed as an effective antidiabetic treatment, particularly suitable for patients with both diabetes and rheumatoid arthritis.

Rheumatoid arthritis, affecting approximately 1% of the worldwide population, is a chronic autoimmune condition that causes pain and swelling in the joints. The anti-inflammatory drug, lefluonamide, has long been approved to treat the condition and previous clinical studies have noted that patients taking the drug tended to have lower blood glucose levels and that obese patients lost weight.

Type 2 diabetes is a growing health concern, affecting 1 in 11 adults worldwide, and is primarily caused by poor diet, obesity and an inactive lifestyle. In this metabolic disorder, cells do not respond to the hormone insulin, which causes patients to have high blood sugar levels that can lead to serious complications, including heart disease and kidney problems. In addition to controlling lifestyle factors, many patients require drug therapy to correct their blood glucose levels and prevent disease progression. Although previous findings indicated that lefluonamide may have desirable antidiabetic effects, the mechanisms behind these observations had never been fully investigated, nor had its effectiveness as an antidiabetic drug been tested.

In this study, Prof Xuilong Xu and colleagues, at the Institute of Comparative Medicine at Yangzhou University, investigated the effects of lefluonomide treatment on blood sugar levels of two different type 2 diabetes mouse models. In both models lefluonomide not only normalised blood glucose levels, but also caused cells to start responding to insulin again.

“We studied how lefluonomide works at a molecular level, and found that it targets a protein involved in desensitising the insulin receptor, which is responsible for instructing the cells to start absorbing sugar from the bloodstream,” said Professor Xiulong Xu.

However, lefluonomide also acts on other molecular targets in the body. This suggests that more studies are needed to confirm that the anti-diabetic effects observed are solely caused by lefluonamide’s effect on the insulin receptor, studied here.

“We know some inflammatory factors can also desensitise the insulin receptor, and lefluonamide is an anti-inflammatory, so it may be that it controls blood sugar partly by its anti-inflammatory effect,” Professor Xu added.

The next step for Professor Xu’s group is to conduct clinical trials to test if the antidiabetic effect of lefluonamide also occurs in humans as well as mice.

Most Viruses And Bacteria Fall From The Sky

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An international research project led by the University of Granada has revealed for the first time that almost one billion viruses and more than twenty million bacteria circulate in the Earth’s atmosphere and are deposited in high-mountain places every day.

The research findings, published recently in the ISME Journal: Multidisciplinary Journal of Microbial Ecology (part of the Nature group) help to explain why genetically identical viruses have been found in such distant locations and diverse environments of the planet. The University of British Columbia (Canada) and San Diego State University (United States) also participated in the project.

The mechanisms responsible for the dispersal of these microorganisms at the global scale are still practically unknown. However, this pioneering project marks the first time that researchers have quantified the amount of viruses and bacteria deposited in the high mountains of Sierra Nevada after­ travelling thousands of kilometres in the Earth’s atmosphere. The research team was also able to determine that these viruses and bacteria are primarily transported from the Atlantic Ocean and the Sahara Desert.

Every day almost one billion viruses and more than 20 million bacteria are deposited on each square metre above the atmospheric boundary layer (above 2500-3000 metres) in the Sierra Nevada mountain range.

Interestingly, the deposition rates of viruses were found to be between 9 and 461 times higher than those of bacteria. Viruses and bacteria are normally deposited by means of atmospheric rain washout and gravity sedimentation. However, rain seems to be less efficient in the removal of viruses from the atmosphere than in the removal of bacteria. This seems to be related to the size of the particles to which viruses and bacteria respectively tend to adhere.

The main author of the paper, Dr. Isabel Reche, a Lecturer at the Department of Ecology (UGR), explained that, “We have discovered that most of the viruses are of marine origin and are usually transported attached to organic particles, which are smaller than the particles to which bacteria adhere.”

Bacteria, meanwhile, tend to stick to mineral particles, especially those from the Sahara Desert. In short, bacteria and viruses, generally speaking, are deposited through rain events and dust intrusions.

“The small size of the particles to which viruses preferentially adhere and the low deposition efficiency associated with rain washout mean that viruses are able to stay in the atmosphere for longer periods and, consequently, they can be transported over greater distances,” Dr. Reche said.

According to the authors, this research helps explain why, for over twenty years, viruses that are genetically identical have been found in very distant parts of the planet and in highly disparate environments. The reason, according to their work, is that viruses travel through the Earth’s atmosphere.

Azerbaijan And Its Dynamic Relations With Brazil – OpEd

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Introduction

Immediately after the Declaration of Independence on October 18th, 1991, and a brief period of political turmoil, the Government of the Republic of Azerbaijan under the leadership of President Heydar Aliyev, swiftly initiated a series of legislative reforms that generated a robust economic growth, promoted national values and alleviated poverty and unemployment throughout the territory of Azerbaijan.

In the first decade of  an independent Azerbaijan (1993-2003), the Government of National Leader Heydar Aliyev modernized the oil industry and signed agreements with some of the largest international oil and gas companies that were persuaded by the Azerbaijani leader to establish their operations and regional offices in Baku.

In 2003, the impressive technological developments in the oil and natural gas sector, dynamic financial policies, followed by the admirable improvements of health care policy and the implementation of a renewed public education system marked the beginning of the presidency of H. E. Mr. Ilham Aliyev, whose government has transformed Azerbaijan into a developed nation located in the cross roads of South East Europe and Western Asia.

For more than ten years the Government of President Ilham Aliyev introduced Azerbaijan for the first time to a production economy and achieved remarkable results in the course of attracting international strategic investors to his country. Furthermore, the Government of Azerbaijan has pursued liberalization policies, greater labor market flexibility, and lower tax rates for the international business community; Baku has emerged as a hub of logistics and a regional competitive market.

In this context, global alliances and bilateral agreements with the Latin American country of Brazil have acquired a special attention in the implementation of Azerbaijan’s Foreign Policy. Over twenty years after the Declaration of Independence, in 2013-2017, the Republic of Azerbaijan, under the unwavering guidance and vision of President Ilham Aliyev, opened a brand new chapter on its foreign policy and economic diplomacy. The Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Azerbaijan, for the first time established close cooperation ties with the South American nation of Federative Republic of Brazil. This article will address the bilateral partnership, implementation of Azerbaijan’s Foreign Policy and the diplomatic dialogue that has currently taken place between the Republic of Azerbaijan and Brazil.

Interactive cooperation on many sectors

On January 23, 2013, Azerbaijani Ambassador to Brazil Elnur Sultanov presented his credential letters to the President of Brazil Dilma Rousseff. At the ceremony Ambassador Elnur Sultanov conveyed President Ilham Aliyev’s greetings and best wishes to the Brazilian Head of State. He also noted that in 2013 the two countries marked the 20th anniversary of the establishment of diplomatic relations and underlined Azerbaijan’s interest to expand ties with Brazil.

Furthermore, President Dilma Rousseff asked the Ambassador to pass her greetings and best wishes on to President Ilham Aliyev. She also congratulated the Azerbaijani Ambassador on the opening of Azerbaijani Embassy in Brazil and expressed hope that the bilateral ties will develop successfully in the future.  Ambassador Elnur Sultanov stressed the great potential of Azerbaijani-Brazilian relations in various fields, including trade, commerce and humanitarian areas; he stated that the Embassy will work to strengthen bilateral ties. On this occasion, the Brazilian Foreign Affairs Minister Antonio Patriota and the President’s foreign policy adviser Marco Aurelio Garcia were also present.

On November 30, 2011, the President of Azerbaijan Mr. Ilham Aliyev received the Extraordinary and Plenipotentiary Ambassador of the Federative Republic of Brazil to Azerbaijan, Paulo Antonio marking the conclusion of his diplomatic mission. It was indicated that bilateral relations between the Republic of Azerbaijan and the Federative Republic of Brazil are at a high level. In the meeting was emphasized that there are good prospects for enhancing bilateral relations in various fields, including the application of modern technologies.

On January 10, 2013, Ambassador Elnur Sultanov met with the Leader of Customs and International Relations Department of the Ministry of Finance of Brazil Mr. Ernani Argolo Kekkucci. During this meeting both public servants held discussions about the current state of cooperation in customs services between the two countries, possible ways on how to further develop this partnership, including the need to establish a legal framework and work on the arrangement of bilateral working visits.

Ambassador Elnur Sultanov reported about Azerbaijan’s recent economic development, legislative reforms undertaken in the customs sector and about its international relations.

On January 22 (2013) Ambassador Elnur Sultanov met with the President of Brazilian Trade and Investments Promotion Agency (APEX) Mauricio Borjes. APEX is the government agency responsible for promoting Brazil’s products and services abroad and to attract foreign direct investments into the strategic sectors of Brazil. During this meeting they discussed possible ways on how to promote bilateral commercial ties by establishing business-to-business connections and stressed the need to arrange mutual visits and presentations.

Ambassador Elnur Sultanov spoke about the development of Azerbaijan’s economy, the significant steps taken to ensure economic diversification, a favorable business environment to foreign investors, Azerbaijan’s leading role in undertaking regional energy projects and handed in informative materials to the President of APEX.

On February 1, 2013, Azerbaijan’s Foreign Affairs Minister Elmar Mammadyarov met with the Foreign Affairs Minister of Brazil Antonio Patriota on the sidelines of the Munich Security Conference.  In this bilateral meeting discussions were focused on the prospects of furthering economic cooperation. Both sides underlined their intention to use the huge potential that exists in order to accelerate the ongoing bilateral ties. They also exchanged opinions about expanding this cooperation on various fields.

“Cooperating with Brazil, Azerbaijan can overcome future innovative challenges. Joint efforts should be done to avoid disruptive inequalities that might appear on their mutual path, but with goodwill and joint focus, there are no scilas and haribdas that will stop cooperation. Being innovative, at the same time, Baku and Brasilia must do more to spread the benefits all together,” stated Assoc. Prof. Dr. & Dr. Honoris Causa Sabahudin Hadžalić, the editor in chief of Diogen Pro Culture Magazine of United States and Bosnia and Herzegovina.

Minister Elmar Mammadyarov talked about the dynamic development of Azerbaijani Economy.  He also stressed that Azerbaijan is interested to develop bilateral cooperation with Latin American countries. The Diplomacy Chief of Azerbaijan stated that the ongoing excellent sports cooperation between Azerbaijan and Brazil serves as an example to strengthen the overall bilateral relationship. The Foreign Affairs Minister of Brazil said that he is well informed about the historical background of energy resources and the production of Azerbaijan and that his country is interested to further develop the energy cooperation with Azerbaijan.

Both Ministers discussed ways on how to expand the energy cooperation.  In regards to the armed conflict between Armenia and Azerbaijan, Minister Elmar Mammadyarov pointed out that the continuing existence of Armenian armed forces in the occupied territories of Azerbaijan adversely impacts Armenia which lags behind in the regional development. He also underlined that the withdrawal of Armenian armed forces from the occupied territories of Azerbaijan would open up new opportunities for the settlement of the conflict and in the development of the region.

While noting Azerbaijan’s role in the Caucasus region, Brazilian Foreign Affairs Minister highlighted Azerbaijan’s well known political and economic stability.

On February 19, 2013, Ambassador Elnur Sultanov met with Brazil’s Minister for Strategic Affairs Moreira Franco. They noted with satisfaction the current bilateral relationship between Azerbaijan and Brazil and underlined the huge potential to further develop bilateral cooperation across a wide range of areas.  Azerbaijani Ambassador Elnur Sultanov informed the Brazilian Minister about Azerbaijan’s foreign policy, economic development, and large scale regional projects initiated by Azerbaijan as well as provided an update on regional affairs.

On March 27, 2013, Ambassador Sultanov had a meeting with Brazil’s Minister of Culture Marta Suplisi. During this meeting they discussed the cultural ties between Azerbaijan and Brazil and explored ways on how to enhance bilateral cultural cooperation between the two countries.

Ambassador Sultanov informed the Brazilian Minister about the rich and ancient Azerbaijani culture; traditions of tolerance, its leading role in promoting intercultural dialogue and international events.

On April 10, 2013, the Foreign Affairs Minister Elmar Mammadyarov received the outgoing Brazilian Ambassador Sergio de Sousa Fontes. During their meeting, they noted with satisfaction the recent progress in the bilateral relations and stressed the importance of furthering this cooperation.

On April 10-12, 2013, H. E. Mr. Elnur Sultanov paid a business trip to Rio de Janeiro.  During his visit Ambassador Sultanov held meetings with senior officials of Rio de Janeiro as well as the state of Rio de Janeiro; he shared information about the existing bilateral relations and prospects for further enhancing this bilateral relationship. Ambassador Sultanov visited the Brazilian Centre for International Relations and the Getulio Vargas Foundation, in order to explore opportunities for a joint research project and the establishment of bilateral academic ties.

On April 18, the Azerbaijan State News Agency (AZERTAC) reported that the Azerbaijani Ambassador to Brazil Elnur Sultanov met Brazil’s Minister for Women’s Rights Eleonora Menicucci. During his presentation the Ambassador of Azerbaijan spoke about the works implemented in women’s and children policy, state programs, national legislation and the main priorities in the international cooperation in Azerbaijan. He also suggested a greater cooperation between the Azerbaijan State Committee for Family, Women and Children Affairs and Brazil’s Special Secretariat for Women’s Rights. Ambassador Sultanov also informed the Brazilian Minister about the historic role of women and their current engagement in the society of Azerbaijan.

On November 6, 2013, the Foreign Relations Committee of Rio de Janeiro City Council adopted a draft law on the sister-ship program between Baku and Rio de Janeiro. On December 3rd, the mayor of Rio de Janeiro Eduardo Paes signed the law on the twinning of Baku and Rio de Janeiro cities which came into force on December 4.

The common features of Baku and Rio de Janeiro are the cultural events, dynamic life style, their respective rich history, grandiose architecture and their emphasis given to sports; all of these items were particularly highlighted in the adopted law.  Baku and Rio de Janeiro are known as two of the world’s cultural heritage centers and are visited by thousands of tourists every year.

Conclusion

The close strategic partnership of the Republic of Azerbaijan with the Federative Republic of Brazil is a testimony to Baku’s dynamic foreign policy implemented under the vision of National Leader Heydar Aliyev and the leadership of H. E. President Ilham Aliyev. Such an interactive partnership is also one of the concrete results of the Baku Process, a platform that has increased diplomatic communication and cooperation between the Republic of Azerbaijan and other major global players such as Brasilia.

As Assoc. Prof. Dr. Honoris Causa Sabahudin Hadžalić emphasized, “Azerbaijan should focus on innovative challenges working and coordinating efforts within economic fields closely with Latin America countries.  The effects of the future technologies are unknown, but policy challenges related to current technologies illustrate the magnitude of the shifts. Job losses are expected as technology transforms manufacturing and services in the coming years, raising questions about how quickly new jobs will be created and about the future of economic development models based on exporting labor-intensive manufacturing products.”

In continuation to this fruitful partnership, Brasilia is expected to strengthen its versatile cooperation in the following fields: cultural projects, economic, bilateral trade and logistical sector. Moreover, the Republic of Azerbaijan is highly motivated, has a lucrative propensity, to strengthen its bilateral cooperation on economic development and political dialogue with its partners in South America.

Tillerson To Make First Official Trip To Africa

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On his first official trip to Africa, Secretary Rex Tillerson will travel to N’Djamena, Chad; Djibouti, Djibouti; Addis Ababa, Ethiopia; Nairobi, Kenya; and Abuja, Nigeria, March 6-13, 2018.

According to US State Department spokesperson Heather Nauert, “Secretary Tillerson will meet with leadership in each country, as well as the leadership of the African Union Commission based in Addis Ababa, to further our partnerships with the governments and people of Africa. In particular, he plans to discuss ways we can work with our partners to counter terrorism, advance peace and security, promote good governance, and spur mutually beneficial trade and investment.”

During his trip, Tillerson will also meet with U.S. Embassy personnel and participate in events related to U.S. government-supported activities, the State Department said.

Déjà Vu And Feelings Of Prediction: They’re Just Feelings

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Most people can relate to the prickly, unsettling experience of déjà vu: When you’re in a new situation, but you feel like you’ve been there before.

For some, that eerie feeling has an added twist: In that moment, they feel like they know what’s going to happen next. Say you’re walking up a stairwell for the first time, but it feels familiar, like a dream state – so much so that you think, “At the top of the stairs, there will be a Picasso on the left.”

Anne Cleary, a cognitive psychologist at Colorado State University, has spent the last several years establishing déjà vu as a memory phenomenon – a trick of the brain akin to when a word is on the tip of your tongue, but you just can’t retrieve it.

Building on previous experiments, Cleary has now shown that the prescient feeling that sometimes accompanies déjà vu is just that ­- a feeling. But it sure feels real.

A professor in CSU’s Department of Psychology, Cleary has a new paper in Psychological Science, co-authored by former graduate student Alexander Claxton, detailing how they recreated déjà vu in human subjects in order to examine the feeling of premonition during the déjà vu state. According to their results, participants were no more likely to actually be able to tell the future than if they were blindly guessing. But during déjà vu, they felt like they could – which seems to mirror real life.

Cleary is one of just a handful of déjà vu researchers in the world. Ever since she read Alan S. Brown’s book, The Déjà Vu Experience, she’s been fascinated by the phenomenon and wanted to experimentally unmask why it occurs.

Déjà vu has a supernatural reputation. Is it recall of a past life, people have asked? Scientists, though, tend to attack questions through a more logical lens.

Cleary and others have shown that déjà vu is likely a memory phenomenon. It can occur when someone encounters a scenario that’s similar to an actual memory, but they fail to recall the memory. For example, Cleary and collaborators have shown that déjà vu can be prompted by a scene that is spatially similar to a prior one.

“We cannot consciously remember the prior scene, but our brains recognize the similarity,” Cleary said. “That information comes through as the unsettling feeling that we’ve been there before, but we can’t pin down when or why.”

Cleary has also studied the phenomenon known as “tip of the tongue” – that sensation when a word is just out of reach of recall. Both tip of the tongue and déjà vu are examples of what researchers call “metamemory” phenomena. They reflect a degree of subjective awareness of our own memories. Another example is the memory process known as familiarity, Cleary says ­- like when you see a familiar face out of context and can’t place it.

“My working hypothesis is that déjà vu is a particular manifestation of familiarity,” Cleary said. “You have familiarity in a situation when you feel you shouldn’t have it, and that’s why it’s so jarring, so striking.”

Since she began publicizing her results about déjà vu as a memory phenomenon more than 10 years ago, people around the world started responding. You’re wrong, they argued. It’s not just a memory. I also feel that I know what’s going to happen next.

Cleary herself doesn’t relate to this feeling, but she felt the need to suss out the claims. She read a study from the 1950s by neurologist Wilder Penfield, in which he stimulated parts of patients’ brains and had them talk about what they were experiencing. In at least one case, when a patient reported feeling déjà vu upon stimulation, Penfield documented concurrent feelings of premonition. Hmm, Cleary thought. There’s something to this.

Her hypothesis: If déjà vu is a memory phenomenon, is the feeling of prediction also a memory phenomenon? Cleary was further motivated by a recent shift in memory research, asserting that human memory is adapted for being able to predict the future, for survival purposes, rather than simply recollecting the past.

In previously published research, Cleary and her research group created virtual reality scenarios using the Sims virtual world video game. They made scenes – like a junkyard, or a hedge garden – that later spatially mapped to previously witnessed, but thematically unrelated scenes.

While immersed in a virtual reality test scene, participants were asked to report whether they were experiencing déjà vu. Subjects were more likely to report déjà vu among scenes that spatially mapped onto earlier witnessed scenes. These foundational studies mirrored the real-life experience of “feeling like you’ve been there before,” but being unable to recall why.

In her most recent experiments, Cleary created dynamic video scenes in which the participant was moved through a series of turns. Later, they were moved through scenes spatially mapped to the previous ones, to induce the déjà vu, but at the last moment, they were asked what the final turn should be. In those moments, the researchers asked the participants if they were experiencing déjà vu, and whether they felt they knew what the direction of the next turn should be.

Cleary and her team were intrigued to note that about half the respondents felt a strong premonition during déjà vu. But they were no more likely to actually recall the correct answer – the turn they had previously seen in a spatially mapped, different scene – than if they were to choose randomly. In other words, participants who had the feeling of prediction were pretty confident they were right, but they usually weren’t.

Conclusion: no, déjà vu doesn’t help us predict the future. But it can manifest as a feeling that we can.

Cleary and her lab are conducting follow-up experiments now that even further probe this feeling of prediction. They wonder whether it’s the familiarity process that drives the feeling. They want to know whether people experience hindsight bias – that is, whether people will be convinced they knew what was going to happen, after the fact.

“I think the reason people come up with psychic theories about déjà vu is that they are these mysterious, subjective experiences,” Cleary said. “Even scientists who don’t believe in past lives have whispered to me, ‘Do you have an explanation for why I have this?’ People look for explanations in different places. If you’re a scientist, you’re looking for the logical reason for why you just had this really weird experience.”

Putin Unveils New Russian Nuclear Arsenal

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Russia has developed a number of advanced weapons systems, including a nuclear-powered cruise missile, which make all US capabilities aimed at undermining the Russian nuclear deterrent obsolete, President Vladimir Putin announced.

The latest advances in Russian strategic deterrence have made America’s anti-missile systems obsolete, so Washington should stop trying to diminish Russia’s security and start talking to Moscow as an equal partner, not the dominant military power it seeks to be, Putin said.

The Russian leader made the comments during his state of the nation address on Wednesday. While the first part of the address was a straightforward description of domestic goals and achievements, the second became a defiant challenge to the US. Putin announced that Russia has successfully developed several new weapons systems, which basically negate American anti-ballistic missile capabilities.

The Russian president accused the US of arrogance, saying that it thought that Russia would not be able to recover anytime soon after the collapse of the Soviet Union and that its interests can simply be ignored. One particular move – the withdrawal by George W Bush from the Anti-ballistic Missile Treaty (ABM) in 2002 – resulted in Russia being increasingly surrounded by American assets, which undermined the country’s nuclear deterrence.

“In the end, if we did nothing, this would render the Russian nuclear potential worthless,” Putin said. “They could simply intercept all of it.”

Without a nuclear deterrent, Russia would be exposed to US military pressure and would not be able to pursue a sovereign policy, Putin said. The president warned as early as in 2004 that Russia would not sit idle and that it would respond to this threat by developing new weapons systems.
Russia’s new ‘big stick’

Russia has now done this, according to Putin, who went on to present a number of new systems, some of which don’t yet have names, and which are all meant to counter current and future ABM systems. His speech was accompanied by a series of video clips showing those new systems, partially as footage of tests and partially as computer-generated images showing their capabilities.

One system is the new Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) called Sarmat, or RS-28. It’s already well-known, but Putin stressed that its increased range allows the missile to reach US territory from Russia via a South Pole route. The US has dozens of interceptor missiles deployed in Alaska on the presumption that Russia’s ICBMs would approach from that direction, which would not be the case with Sarmat.

In fact, the Soviet Union had a missile that could approach the US from any direction. It was not a regular ballistic missile but rather one that put the warhead into low-earth orbit. The warhead would then deorbit when close to its target, thanks to its own engines. However, the R-36orb missiles were scrapped as part of nuclear reduction process.

Putin then went on to weapons systems that were not previously known to the public. One is a yet-to-be-named cruise missile with an almost unlimited range.

This is achieved thanks to a highly-efficient on-board miniaturized nuclear reactor, which powers the flight. Such a missile can fly low enough to avoid early detection, can change course to avoid enemy anti-missile assets along its path, and maneuver to pierce the anti-missile systems protecting its target.

According to Putin, Russia successfully tested a nuclear-propelled cruise missile at the end of 2017. It is now developing a new class of strategic weapons, he added.

The idea of a nuclear-powered projectile is hardly new. The US tried to develop one as part of Project Pluto in the early 1960s, but abandoned it since strategic missiles with chemical propellants proved to be a more viable alternative. Russia has reportedly made a breakthrough in this technology, becoming the first nation to bring it to maturity.

Putin also said that miniaturization of a nuclear reactor gave Russia another advanced weapons system in the form of a high-endurance underwater drone. The drone can dive “really very deep” and travel between continents at a speed that is several times higher than that of a submarine, a modern torpedo or even a surface ship, he said.

According to the president, such drones can attack enemy aircraft carrier groups, shoreline defenses or infrastructure, and cannot be countered by any defense system in the world. Both conventional and nuclear-tipped versions can be made, he said.

In December 2017, Russia completed the trials of a nuclear reactor which gives the drones such capabilities. The reactor is “100 times smaller” than those used by nuclear-propelled submarines and generates more power, Putin said. It can also reach its peak power 200 times faster than a conventional nuclear power plant.

The video shown for this weapon system didn’t include any actual test, but presumably the claimed miniaturization of a nuclear reactor, which was used for the cruise missile, can also work for a watercraft.

Putin then showcased two variants of a hypersonic weapons systems already developed by Russia. One is an air-launched vehicle that is already deployed in southern Russia for test combat duty. The projectile travels at a speed of Mach-10 and has a range of 2,000km (1,240 miles). The weapon, which is called Kinzhal (“dagger” in Russian) is available in conventional and nuclear forms, Putin said. A video shown to the audience included the moment the weapon was deployed by a fighter jet and the fire from its engine.

Another weapon that is being developed, but which was not shown being tested because its appearance is classified, according to Putin, is a hypersonic glider warhead deployed from space. Russia first tested one back in 2004 and has made significant progress since, the president said. The glider can fly in the atmosphere at speeds of over Mach-20 and can withstand a heat of up to 2,000C (3,632F) generated by air fiction. The system is in series production and is called Avangard (“advance guard” in Russian).

The last weapon system showcased by Putin during his speech was a combat laser, which he said Russia had started to deploy last year. A small video clip showed what presumably is an anti-aircraft laser system, but no test footage was shown.

Putin stressed that Russia would not need all these new weapons if its legitimate concerns had not been ignored by the US and its allies. “Nobody wanted to talk with us on the core of the problem. Nobody listened to us. Now you listen!” he said.

He suggested that the US abandon its costly and inefficient hostile plans towards Russia and start negotiating a security arrangement which would take Moscow’s interests into account.

“To those who for the last 15 years have been trying to fan an arms race, achieve unilateral advantage against Russia, impose sanctions, which are illegal from the standpoint of international law and are aimed at holding back the development of our country, including in the military area, I have this to say: All the things you were trying to prevent through your policies have already happened. You have failed to hold Russia back,” Putin said.

“You now have to acknowledge this reality, confirm that everything I said is no bluff – which it isn’t – think for some time, send into retirement the people stuck in the past and incapable of looking into the future, [and] stop rocking the boat that we all ride in and which is called planet Earth,” he said. Russia would be responsive if talked to as an equal partner, Putin added.


Iran’s FM Zarif Meets Croatian President, Labor Minister

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Iranian Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif, who is in Croatia on the third leg of his tour of the Balkans, held separate talks with the Eastern European country’s president and minister of labor and pension system.

In the meeting with Zarif in Zagreb, Croatian President Kolinda Grabar-Kitarovic pointed to her recent trip to Iran and said the two countries have close and friendly political ties.

Croatia is ready to promote bilateral relations with Iran in all areas, she said, adding that merchants of the Balkan country are very interested in cooperation with their Iranian counterparts.

Zarif, for his part, hailed the friendship between the two nations and said Grabar-Kitarovic’s recent visit to Iran opened a new chapter in the history of bilateral relations between Tehran and Zagreb.

In a separate meeting, Zarif and Croatian Minister of Labor and Pension System Marko Pavic explored avenues for the development of Iran-Croatia relations and closer cooperation in various fields, including energy, investment, industries, technical and vocational training, and banking.

Zarif started his tour of the Balkans on Monday in a bid to boost relations between the Islamic Republic and countries in the Eastern European region.

After visiting Serbia and Bulgaria, Zarif is now in Croatia and plans to travel to Bosnia and Herzegovina on the last leg of his tour to hold talks with senior officials of the Balkan country.

A high-ranking political and economic delegation, including a number of Iranian entrepreneurs from the public and private sectors, are accompanying the top diplomat.

Russian Nationality Policy Must Shift Focus From Republics To Cities – OpEd

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Russian officials and scholars who work on nationality issues must shift from their traditional focus on the non-Russian republics to major urban centers where immigration and ethnic mixing require a new approach to the management of cultural diversity, according to Emil Pain, one of Moscow’s leading specialists on ethnic conflict.

In a 6,000-word article in the latest Druzhba Narodov, Pain argues that the latest nationality strategy document reflects the older conception and thus fails to address where most ethnic issues arise and the ways in which they intersect with other phenomena like religion and localism (magazines.russ.ru/druzhba/2018/2/upravlenie-kulturnym-raznoobraziem.html).

The Higher School of Economics scholar says that an analysis of urban conflicts between 2006 and 2013 shows that “outbursts of xenophobia and the negative consolidation of the urban population arising from social turbulence lead to rapid changes in the image of the enemy who can be ethnic, religious or politically ‘alien,’” a pattern the dominant paradigm doesn’t address

Moreover, Pain says, the situation regarding these clashes is quite different from similar ones in France or the US because Russian residents are not inclined to turn directly to state institutions in which they have little trust but rather the crowd seeks to impose justice on its own and to “punish” those they believe are responsible for problems.

Despite the fact that Russians are not inclined to turn to police or local officials to address specific problems, they overwhelmingly believe that the state plays a much more significant role than any other institution in defining the nation, a statist approach that limits the development of the horizontal ties between people and weakens social trust.

“It is generally recognized,” Pain says, “that in states where etatism predominates in mass consciousness and display vertical administrative approaches to state administration, informal rules, including patron-client relations are more significant than are formal ones.” And that means traditional values can play a major role in social consolidation, although again the basic policy documents ignore this.

“In the Strategy of State Nationality Policy,” he continues, “one of the most important tasks is the development of a pan-civic self-consciousness. However, this task is treated extremely narrowly both by government employees and a significant segment of experts” who limit it to something the state constructs, just as they did earlier.

“The ethnopolitical situation in Russia at the start of the 21st century has essentially changed in comparison to that of the 1990s, but the methodology of ‘nationality policy’ has remained what it was before. In the 1990s, the main problems of inter-ethnic relations in Russia were connected with ethnic mobilization of groups of the population” in regions.

But “in the first decade of the 21st century,” Pain argues, “the sharpness of ‘vertical conflicts about sovereignty between the republics and federal center weakened, while ‘horizontal’ inter-group conflicts in the cities began to be manifest more strongly and above all in connection with the unprecedented influx of migrants.”

As a result, “the cities became not only a place of the concentration of the population but also the main drivers of the development of the present-day state and society practically in all spheres of their lives,” the scholar says. Unfortunately, much of the government and the academic community has yet to catch with or appreciate the consequences of this change.

“It is precisely the cities which are the primary place of the manifestation of contemporary cultural diversity; in them are displayed the sharpest growth of diversity connected above all with changes in urban identity, the lowering of trust between various groups of the population and the weakening of city-wide solidarity.”

Pain says that his research shows that cities have significant resources to help deal with such conflicts. This is easier if the share of urban natives is higher so that they can integrate immigrants with less difficulty and if people are attached to their city rather than seeing it as a transit point for movement on to another.

A most important factor in limiting conflicts, he suggests, are strong mechanisms of local democracy; but unfortunately, these are increasingly rare in Russian cities. And that means that a resource that might be used to prevent or limit conflict on ethnic or religious grounds is not being exploited.

But what is needed above all, Pain suggests, is a revision of the main theoretical position of Russian nationality policy, one that “repeats the idea accepted in the USSR of the idea of ‘catch up modernization’ and ranks culture according to the level of achievement by it of a certain norm such as civic solidarity.”

“We propose instead,” Pain says, “being guided by the conception of ‘multiple modernities’ which allows for significantly greater flexibility in the assessment of the effectiveness of the administration of cultural processes and directing researchers in the search for local and specific forms of modernization.”

Trump, North Korea And Post-Olympic Angst – OpEd

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With the icicles still glinting with the closing ceremony of the Pyeongchang Winter Olympic games, US President Donald Trump, like any disgruntled child, wanted to reassert his relevance.  Little Rocket Man had assumed diplomatic pose, or at the very least adopted a stance of considered caution towards his South Korean counterparts.  While the US seemed stubborn and sulky, South Korea seemed encouraged, taking Pyongyang’s gestures to heart.

This could hardly have been easy for a playtime president.   He had been, to some extent, shaded by the spectacle of two Koreas marching and competing together, and murmurings of a possible summit between Kim Jong-un and South Korea’s Moon Jae-in.

The sentiment had been conveyed via an invitation from Kim’s sister, Kim Yo-jong, that the two leaders meet.  “I hope President Moon will,” claimed Kim’s sibling envoy with historical purpose, “take the leading role to open a new chapter for unification and accomplish a legacy that will be remembered for long.”

During the Olympics, US Vice-President Mike Pence decided to damn such efforts with faint praise. “For all that President Moon has done in outreach and discussions around the Olympics and inter-Korean talks, there is no daylight between the United States and the Republic of Korea and Japan on the need to continue to isolate North Korea economically and diplomatically until they abandon their nuclear and ballistic missile program.”

Pence affirmed the stance by insisting that, whatever openness might be felt for talks between Washington and Pyongyang, North Korea remained, essentially, a power to be isolated in its refusal to take steps towards nuclear dismantlement.  Sanctions, for instance, would continue their biting way.  What Pence was essentially pushing for was a diplomatic option – at least for Pyongyang – with fewer bargaining chips and a less crowded deck.

This fumbling has become a policy that resists clarity with stubborn conviction.  Sanctions must be used, because they are supposedly eating into the nuclear weapons program.  This point is hard to ascertain with any certainty, given that the North Korean Army will always have first dibs at any rationed pie. “There’s no guarantee,” advances former deputy assistant secretary of State for sanctions and counter threat finance Andrew Keller, “that [Friday’s] action will ultimately be effective in preventing the illicit trade in coal and fuel with Pyongyang. As ever, showmanship is Trump’s boastful bread and butter.

On Friday, another round made their dreary appearance.  Trump deemed these the “heaviest sanctions ever” delved by a US administration.  Debate naturally ensued about the accuracy of the term, though Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin was pleased to note that the United States had some 450 sanctions against the DPRK.  The Friday bonanza featured some 27 shipping and trade companies, 28 vessels and an individual, all supposedly engaged in illicit trade with Pyongyang.

Whatever the effect of such muscling, it is certainly one that the President wishes to own as his own, even if it risks impairing the roads to diplomatic engagement.  On Monday, Trump assailed, in customary fashion, his predecessors on the broader issue of North Korea.  Such is the nature of a period he has come to identify as singular, unprecedented, remarkable.

“The Bush administration did nothing.  The Obama administration wanted to do something.  He told me it’s the single biggest problem.  They didn’t do anything.  It would have been much easier in those days than it is now.”

Such are the travails of an aggressive superpower’s ill-considered actions.  Maximum pressure on the North remains both dulling mantra and dirty deed, and Trump’s insistence on holding this line in public has a damp lettuce feel to it.

Wearily, he keeps insisting that talks are certainly possible with Pyongyang, only to then frame it as a matter of strict conditionality.  For good measure, he also suggests that North Korea’s refusal to abandon its nuclear weapons and ballistic missile programs will lead to massive “loss of lives, numbers that nobody’s ever contemplated, never thought of”.

North Korea, in turn, wants South Korea and the US to halt massive military drills that can be only construed as having one purpose: a rehearsed invasion of the North.  But military exercises Key Resolve and Foal Eagle are scheduled to go ahead, though after the Winter Paralympics. As the Korean Central News Agency ill-temperedly retorted, “The Trump group’s racket for resuming the war exercises is a wild act of ruthlessly tramping even a small sprout of peace that has been now seen on the Korean Peninsula.”

In the meantime, the stalemate between the powers will continue to yield room for the Kim nuclear option, while also adding thrills to the sanctions lobby.  It seems that little else gets done on the Hill these days on foreign policy other than pushing the next sanctions agenda.  Ultimately, Washington is asking the impossible at first instance: a North Korea which promises, in advance, to remove its most sacred pillar in favour of talks it has yet to experience.  Sensibility may well have to come from the South Korean side in what promises to be a continuing scrap.

Malaysia: Report Says American Firm Offered To Help Shut Down US Probe Into 1MDB

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An American law firm engaged by Malaysian businessman Jho Low offered to help get the U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ) to drop 1MDB-linked lawsuits for a fee of U.S. $75 million, to be paid if it succeeded in 180 days, The Wall Street Journal reported Thursday.

The offer was contained in a draft agreement between a California law firm and representatives of Low, a target of DOJ lawsuits that allege he helped siphon off $4.5 billion from the state-owned Malaysian development fund between 2009 and 2015, the paper said.

It is not clear if the agreement was ever signed, according to the Journal, which said it was among “emails dated during the past year” from the accounts of lawyer Robin Rosenzweig of Colfax Law Office Inc. and her husband Elliott Broidy.

In another email, Broidy, a senior fundraiser for President Donald Trump’s 2016 election campaign, appears to offer talking points for Malaysian Prime Minister Najib Razak’s 2017 White House visit, the paper said. It was not clear if those talking points were used, it added.

The Journal quoted a spokesman for the pair confirming that Rosenzweig’s law firm was engaged “to provide strategic advice as part of a broader team to Mr. Low.”

“During the course of this engagement a number of strategies were discussed … But at no time did Mr. Broidy or Ms. Rosenzweig, or anyone acting on their behalf, discuss Mr. Low’s case with President Trump, any member of his staff, or anyone at the U.S. Department of Justice,” the Journal quoted the spokesman as saying in a statement.

Neither Colfax Law nor Broidy ever represented Malaysia or any of its officials in any capacity, the statement said, adding that the Wall Street Journal appeared to have obtained in a questionable manner “internal drafts of documents that were never used.”

In its article, the paper refers to “a cache of emails …. provided to the Journal” but does not clarify who provided them or why.

Jho Low (also known as Low Taek Jho) has denied any wrongdoing in the 1MDB affair. Earlier this week, at the request of American authorities, police seized his luxury yacht in Bali after investigations found it was purchased “with proceeds of corruption,” Indonesian officials said.

In a statement, a spokesman for Low complained about the seizure because U.S. justice officials had “still not taken any steps to prove that any impropriety has occurred.”

“It is therefore disappointing that, rather than reflecting on the deeply flawed and politically motivated allegations, the DOJ is continuing with its pattern of global over-reach – all based on entirely unsupported claims of wrongdoing,” the spokesman said.

Najib, who faces a re-election test later this year, has been linked by critics to the scandal surrounding the 1MDB affair, but cleared by Malaysia’s attorney general of any wrongdoing.

Najib founded the sovereign wealth fund in 2009. In 2013, he acknowledged receiving close to $681 million in his personal bank accounts but said it was a political donation from Saudi Arabia’s royal family used to fund candidates in the 2013 election.

In announcing it would seize assets allegedly purchased during a “multi-year, multi-billion-dollar fraud scheme,” Department of Justice officials said the funds “financed the lavish lifestyles of the alleged co-conspirators at the expense and detriment of the Malaysian people.”

Cardinal Zen Calls China-Vatican Deal ‘Suicide’

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By Elise Harris

In a recent blog post Cardinal Joseph Zen has issued another harsh critique of the rumored Vatican-China deal on the appointment of bishops, calling it an act of “suicide” and a “shameless surrender” to the communist government.

However, he said the problem isn’t necessarily the Pope, who “is optimistic and full of love, and is eager to visit China.”

Rather, he faulted the Pope’s advisors for what he said is a “bad deal,” saying they are “obsessed” with an “Ostpolitik” solution to the issue of episcopal appointments which “compromises without limits,” yet gains little in return.

Pope Francis, he said, “has never had direct knowledge of the Chinese Communist Party and, moreover, is poorly informed by the people around him.”

Specifically, Zen pointed the finger at Vatican Secretary of State Cardinal Pietro Parolin, who he said was in the “diplomatic school” of his predecessor Cardinal Agostino Casaroli, who served as Vatican Secretary of State from 1979-1990.

Zen said Casaroli was “obsessed with Ostpolitik,” and called it “a sort of political compromise.”

He also said the late Cardinal Ivan Dias, formerly Prefect of the Congregation for the Evangelization of Peoples, had also been influenced by Casaroli. The Congregation for the Evangelization of Peoples oversees the administration of the Church in areas designated ‘mission territories’ around the world.

Dias, who died last summer, had a “marvelous curriculum,” having been Archbishop of Bombay for nearly a decade and was familiar with the situation in Asia as a whole, Zen said.

However, the problem is that both Dias and Parolin “were perfectly in tune with the application of Ostpolitik in China, and [played] a double game against the instructions of Benedict XVI.”

Ostpolitik was the name given to the political process of pursuing the normalization of relations between the fractured German government in the late 1960s. Specifically, it aimed to patch the division between the Federal Republic of Germany of West Germany, and the German Democratic Republic of East Germany, which were split after the end of World War II in 1945.

Since then, the term Ostpolitik has also been used to describe the efforts made by Pope Paul VI to engage, through dialogue, compromise, or agreements, with Eastern European countries run by communist regimes.

Although Dias retired at the age of 75 and Parolin was named as nuncio to Venezuela in 2009, Cardinal Zen said that ever since Parolin’s re-entry into the Vatican scene as Pope Francis’ Secretary of State in 2013, he has continued to promote Casaroli’s political approach to China.

Parolin, he said, is kind and is “gifted with an extraordinary diplomatic art,” but nonetheless continues “to be obsessed with Ostpolitik…[he] willingly offers his collaboration, giving the desired information and sparing the worrying parts.”

In his view, Zen said those who back the deal want “compromise without limits, they are already willing to completely surrender.”

Based on what Pope Francis has told him and Archbishop Savio Hon, who was born in British Hong Kong and is currently apostolic nuncio to Greece, Zen said it’s clear that the Pope “didn’t know the details” of the planned deal.

“We all know that the indications of the Roman Curia are necessarily approved by the Pope,” he said, adding that faithful from the Chinese continent “do not complain about the Pope due to certain misunderstandings.”

“If he signs any deal they want, we can only accept it, without protest,” he said. “But before the eventual signing, it is our right to make the truth about things known, because this can change the direction and avoid serious dangers for the Church.”

Cardinal Zen’s latest critique was published in Chinese on his blog Feb. 24, and was translated and published in Italian on the blog of veteran Vatican analyst Sandro Magister.

The post centers on a conversation Zen had with a priest from continental China, Fr. Geng Zhanhe, responding to different points Geng apparently made in support of the deal.

Rumors of the proposed agreement have been gaining steam in recent weeks, with sources close the situation saying the accord is “imminent” and could come as early as this spring. If the deal is reached, the Vatican is expected to officially recognize seven bishops who are out of communion with Rome, including 2-3 whose excommunications have been explicitly declared by the Vatican.

Most notably, the new deal would also apparently outline government and Vatican roles in future episcopal selection. The details of the deal would reportedly be similar to the Vatican’s agreement with Vietnam, in which the Holy See would propose three names, and the Chinese government would choose the one to be appointed bishop.

Currently every bishop recognized by Beijing must be a member of the patriotic association, and many bishops appointed by the Vatican who are not recognized or approved by the Chinese government have faced government persecution.

In his blog post, Cardinal Zen criticized the fact that as one of two Chinese cardinals, he has not been made aware of the contents of the agreement. “Certainly they can’t make public all the contents of the negotiation,” he said, but as one of the two cardinals for China, “would I not have the right to know the contents?”

Yet even if the contents of the deal were commonly known, “should we just wait and hold hands and make critiques only once it’s been accomplished?”

Zen said the “democratic election” of new bishops in China by the “illegitimate episcopal conference” would mean that it is really the government who elects the prelates, so the “final word” of the Pope “cannot save his function; the formality of maintaining pontifical authority will hide the fact that the real authority to name bishops will be placed in the hands of an atheist government.”

If Francis were to sign the agreement tomorrow, Zen said he “could not criticize it,” even if he doesn’t understand the decision. But until then, “I have the duty to speak with a loud voice according to my conscience, I have the right to reiterate that this is a bad agreement!”

He noted that China is increasingly tightening its grip on religious activity in general, and pointed to a new crackdown put into place Feb. 1 which, among other things, bans anyone under 18 from attending religious services. It’s also forbidden to hold any sort of youth group activity or summer camp, even if it’s not held at a church.

Asking why the Chinese government is suddenly becoming so strict with the clandestine Church after looking the other way for many years, Zen said this is because “the Holy See is helping the authorities of the government to do this.”

Responding to the argument that if a deal is not reached the Chinese government would increasingly appoint illegitimate bishops, eventually leading to schism, Zen said having the government control the Church in China independently of the Holy See is already schismatic.

“Will it be [schismatic] with only an increased number of illegitimate bishops?” he asked. “Would it not still be worse if the Pope were to bless the bishops chosen by the government and the Church is controlled by the government?”

Zen then referred to a comment made by Fr. Geng reflecting that while it might seem unjust to ask legitimate bishops to step down in favor of those who are illegitimate, which the Vatican has done in at least two cases, it was also unjust for God the Father to ask his only Son to die on the cross.

“It’s true that the Father sacrificed the Son, but it was man who crucified him,” Zen said, and pointed to the verse in scripture when Jesus told Pilate that “those who handed me over have the greater sin.”

“All those who made him die sinned,” Zen said. “Certainly Christ could forgive them, but they didn’t become apostles.”

“Don Geng,” he said, referring to the priest and his acceptance of the deal, “does not know how to distinguish between abject sale and suffering oppression, voluntary suicide and the wound suffered, shameless surrender and unhappy failure. How sad!”

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