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Nicaragua Announces 4 Billion Dollar Renewable Energy Investment Plan

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Brazil, United States, Canada and Israel companies are investing in Nicaragua clean energy projects

By Rafael Jarkin Lopez

The Government of Nicaragua is projecting to attract 4 billion dollars in investment to finance various renewable energy projects over the next fifteen years. The Minister of Energy and Mines, Emilio Rappaccioli said these investments will generate 253MW of hydroelectric power; wind 300MW; geothermal 100MW; and solar 100MW. The Nicaragua Plan is to increase the share of renewables to 90% of the national energy matrix by 2020.

Energía Limpia XXI noted that under the Leadership of President Daniel Ortega, an ambitious plan to transform the energy matrix showing impressive results. In 2006 participation of renewables in the energy matrix was 25% and by early this year it had grown to 56%. This past April 13, the National Energy Dispatch Center reported that 60.3% of energy generated that day came from renewables, suggesting that the medium term goal of reaching 74% renewable share by 2018 is realistic and likely to be met,

Total demand for energy in Nicaragua is approximately 600 megawatts and the estimated renewable energy potential is 5,800 MW, nearly ten times greater. This means that as renewable production continues to grow, surplus energy will be available for export to other Central American countries and beyond, using the soon to be completed Central American Electrical Inter connection System, known as SIEPAC. It is worth noting that Nicaragua has already begun energy exports to Costa Rica, Panama and more recently Honduras.

Public Private Energy Alliance

The President of the Superior Council of Private Enterprise (COSEP), Jose Adan Aguerri, said one of the challenges for the private sector is to contribute to government efforts to expand electrical coverage, improve service and curb power theft. “Entrepreneurs are committed to seek mechanisms to ensure lower energy cost, eliminate unfair competition, attract foreign investments for new projects and for the country to become an energy exporter,” Aguerri said.

Biomass with high potential

During the National Entrepreneur’s Day celebration, the COSEP Entrepreneur of the Year recognition was awarded to Ernesto Fernandez Hollman, for his sugar and clean energy investments in biomass and hydroelectric projects. In accepting the award, Fernandez said that Nicaragua is awakening to a new era of sustainable energy projects and encouraged entrepreneurs to promote technological innovation and strengthen investments in social capital and human resources of the country.

Power generating companies operating in Nicaragua reaffirmed their commitment to continue to promote development of renewable energy. The entrepreneurs announced the creation of a new Chamber of Private Energy Producers comprised of a dozen hydroelectric, geothermal, wind, biomass and solar companies in the country.

Reducing contamination

During his recent visit, United Nations Secretary General Ban Ki-moon, acknowledged the importance of Nicaragua’s energy policy and its contribution to climate change mitigation. He note the great potential to generate power from volcanoes, wind, water, sun and biomass. Ban said he was impressed with the wind farms in Rivas department, considered the Nicaragua wind energy “Mecca”. Nearly a quarter of Nicaragua’s generating capacity is based on wind. It is estimated that development of the sector will mitigate greenhouse gas effects, reducing emission of 100,000 tons of CO2 each year. The Secretary General added that Nicaragua has a clear understanding of the strategic importance of energy to the attainment of the Millennium Development Goals.

Women and young people are leading the solar energy projects in Nicaragua. International agencies such as CABEI, the German Bank KfW, Japan and IDB are supporting small solar projects that are generating tremendouschanges in rural Nicaragua.

This year, Nicaragua projects to install electric service to more than twenty thousand homes in remote rural areas of the country and solar energy will play a key role to achieve this goal. ENERGIA LIMPIA XXI reports that HMV Pioneer is currently conducting studies to build a solar power generating facility in Chinandega department that could generate 100 megawatts and benefit more than 100,000 families, mainly in rural areas.

The Ministry of Energy and Mines plans to install 88 solar and cooling systems based on photovoltaic energy. In July of this year, the Central American Bank of Economic Integration (CABEI) granted a $49,500 loan to Nicaragua to partially finance a feasibility study for a 487 kW photovoltaic plant in the Department of León. In January, the Inter-American Development Bank (IDB) and the Covelo Foundation announced the allocation of $6 million for solar projects in Nicaragua, Guatemala and El Salvador.

Green businesses

The Central American Bank of Economic Integration (CABEI), the German Government through the KfW Bank and the European Union (EU), are supporting an initiative to promote investments in energy efficiency and renewable energy projects for micro, small and medium-size enterprises (MSMEs) in Nicaragua. The $44.5 million dollar “Green MSMEs” initiative is being implemented throughout Central America to promote energy efficiency and small-scale renewable energy projects.

In addition researchers of the Nicaragua Agrarian University (UNA) and the Lerida University of Spain are conducting a pilot dairy project based on use of solar energy. The first solar pasteurization plant will be installed at the UNA Animal Science Faculty. It is expected that this experience will be replicated in municipalities in the interior of the country engaged in dairy production.

Clean energy training for young people

As part of this renewable revolution, new experimental laboratories and classrooms have been opened to promote technical careers in the use of renewable energy and electro-medicine. Maykel Ramirez, Director of the Simon Bolivar National Technology said that at this early stage, the project is preparing the young people in the building and repairing of photovoltaic equipment, solar panels and turbines. The Swiss Cooperation Agency and Luxembourg, are backing technical careers to promote the use solar energy in the municipalities of Managua, Bluefields and Estelí. National and foreign specialists are training young students to repair, maintain and make solar panels, wind turbines and other clean technology equipment.

Similar efforts are being carried out by the Nicaragua Simón Bolívar Technological Institute were more than 3,500 students have registered in technical careers focused on renewable energy especially solar. The government is also investing more than a quarter million dollar in the building of computer and solar energy labs in rural areas of the country.

Rafael Jarkin Lopez, http://energialimpiaparatodos.com/

The post Nicaragua Announces 4 Billion Dollar Renewable Energy Investment Plan appeared first on Eurasia Review.


IS Fighters Advance In Syria Despite US Strikes

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U.S. planes pounded Islamic State (IS) positions in Syria for a second day on Wednesday, but the strikes did not seem to slow the militants’ advance in a Kurdish area where fleeing refugees told of villages burnt and captives beheaded.

Syrian Kurds said IS had responded to U.S. attacks by intensifying its assault near the Turkish border in northern Syria, where 140,000 civilians have fled in recent days in the fastest exodus of the three-year civil war.

Washington, with the support of Arab allies killed scores of Islamic State fighters during the first day of air strikes, the first direct U.S. foray into Syria two weeks after Obama pledged to hit the group on both sides of the Iraq-Syria border.

However, the intensifying IS advances in northern Kurdish area underscored the difficulties Washington faces in defeating Islamist fighters in Syria, where it lacks strong military allies on the ground.

‘Network of death’

Still, speaking at the United Nations in New York Wednesday, President Barack Obama called on IS fighters to “leave the battlefield while you can,” and ruled any negotiations with the group as impossible.

“There can be no reasoning – no negotiation – with this brand of evil. The only language understood by killers like this is the language of force. So the United States of America will work with a broad coalition to dismantle this network of death,” said Obama.

British Prime Minister David Cameron recalled parliament to vote on Friday on whether to join the air strikes. He said in an address at the U.N. that a comprehensive strategy was needed to combat Islamic State.

Separately, the U.S. said it was still assessing whether Mohsin al-Fadhli, a senior figure in the al-Qaeda-linked group Khorasan, had been killed in a U.S. strike in Syria.

A U.S. official earlier said Fadhli, an associate of al-Qaeda founder Osama bin Laden, was thought to have been killed in the first day of strikes on Syria. The Pentagon said any confirmation could take time.

Washington describes Khorasan as a separate group from IS, made up of al-Qaeda veterans planning attacks on the West from a base in Syria.

Fewer strikes, focus on ‘ISR’

Pentagon spokesman Colonel Steve Warren said Wednesday that the number of U.S. strikes has diminished, but stressed that the reduction in attacks should give no reason to believe the fight against terrorists in Syria is weakening. He said the U.S. military is now moving to collect more intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance information, or “ISR.”

“I think you’ll see a mix of what we have seen in Iraq over the last several weeks, which is the result of active ISR, armed ISR, where we’ll strike targets of opportunity when presented,” said Colonel Warren.

The Syrian Observatory for Human Rights monitoring group says bombings overnight hit Islamic State-held territory in Syria near the Turkish border, but the Pentagon told reporters the U.S. military did not conduct strikes in that area.

Colonel Warren also said that the military’s intelligence shows U.S. strikes in Syria have not killed any civilians. This contradicts claims from the Syrian Network for Human Rights that about a dozen civilians died in the first night of strikes in the country.

The Syrian Observatory for Human Rights reports 120 militants belonging to the Islamic State and al-Qaida were killed in the first day of strikes.

The initial strikes in Syria included help from Bahrain, Saudi Arabia, Jordan, Qatar and the United Arab Emirates.

Netherlands to consider sending F-16s

The Dutch government on Wednesday will discuss contributing four F-16 fighter jets to the U.S.-led military operation against Islamic State, national news agency ANP reported.

A special cabinet meeting was called by the government of Prime Minister Mark Rutte for later Wednesday to consider what role the Netherlands should play in the air strikes against insurgents in Iraq and Syria.

The Netherlands was not among the nations approached by U.S. President Obama at a NATO meeting in Wales earlier this month, when he was building a coalition of allies against the hardline Islamic offshoot of al-Qaida.

The Dutch contribution had been on the agenda for a weekly cabinet meeting on Friday, but was brought forward in view of developments on the ground in Syria.

Dutch military participation would also have to be approved by the 150-seat parliament.

Nusra Front evacuates bases

Al-Qaida’s Syrian affiliate, the Nusra Front, has evacuated its bases in populated areas of the Idlib region in northwest Syria after U.S.-led forces carried out air strikes on the group, its fighters said on Wednesday.

Another Syrian Islamist group, Ahrar al-Sham, has also ordered its followers to evacuate bases, according to the Syrian Observatory for Human Rights, a Britain-based monitoring group.

“Heavy weapons have been moved out of the bases. We do not want civilians to be harmed because of us,” one Nusra fighter said in an online message posted on the Internet.

The Observatory also reported the Nusra withdrawal.

At least 50 fighters from the Nusra Front and eight civilians were killed in strikes by a U.S.-led coalition in Syria on Tuesday, the Observatory said.

The post IS Fighters Advance In Syria Despite US Strikes appeared first on Eurasia Review.

Oil Installations In Syria Hit By Anti-ISIS Coalition

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The United States and its partners launched a new round of strikes against Islamic State militants in Syria on Wednesday, only hours after President Barack Obama called on the world to help end the extremist group’s reign of terror in the Middle East.

“I can confirm that US military and Arab partner forces are undertaking additional strikes today against ISIL terrorists in Syria,” Pentagon press secretary Rear Adm. John Kirby said on Wednesday, using the Obama-administration’s preferred language for the group formerly known as ISIS that today identifies as the Islamic State. “These operations are ongoing, so we will not provide additional details at this time. We will do so later as operationally appropriate.”

Later, the Pentagon confirmed that less than a dozen aircraft are involved in the latest attack. US Central Command (CENTCOM), meanwhile, confirmed that Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates also participated.

The latest round of strikes was acknowledged on Wednesday just shy of 12 a.m. local time in Syria and marks at least the third consecutive wave of attacks launched by the US and allied partners since Monday. Prior to then, the US had only attacked Islamic State militants in neighboring Iraq.

According to Agency France-Presse, strikes involved targeting an oil field in Syria administered by the Islamic State, reportedly close to positions held by the group near the towns of Al-Omar and Deir ez-Zor, journalist Zaid Benjamin reported.

The US and its partners used “a mix of fighter and remotely piloted aircraft to conduct 13 of airstrikes against 12 ISIL-controlled modular oil refineries located in remote areas of eastern Syria in the vicinity of Al Mayadin, Al Hasakah, and Abu Kamal and one ISIL vehicle near Dayr az Zawr, also in eastern Syria,” read a statement by CENTCOM.

“These small-scale refineries provided fuel to run ISIL operations, money to finance their continued attacks throughout Iraq and Syria, and an economic asset to support their future operations,” the statement continued. “Producing between 300-500 barrels of refined petroleum per day, ISIL is estimated to generate as much as $2 million per day from these refineries. The destruction and degradation of these targets further limits ISIL’s ability to lead, control, project power and conduct operations.”

All participating aircraft returned safely, CENTCOM added.

Wednesday’s military action was announced only hours after Pres. Obama urged attendees at the annual United Nations General Assembly meeting in New York City to support the US and its allies as it ramps up its campaign against violent extremists, including those aligned with the Islamic State and Al-Qaeda.

“As an international community, we must meet this challenge with a focus on four areas. First, the terrorist group known as ISIL must be degraded, and ultimately destroyed,” Obama said.

“No God condones this terror,” he added. “No grievance justifies these actions. There can be no reasoning – no negotiation – with this brand of evil. The only language understood by killers like this is the language of force. So the United States of America will work with a broad coalition to dismantle this network of death.”

Hours later, the US Treasury Dept. announced that it was imposing sanctions intended to stem the flow of funding to ISIS fighters.

Before Wednesday’s strike was announced, Bloomberg News reported that two nights’ worth of offensives launched by the US and a coalition of Arab partner on Syria involved the use of around 200 munitions, including mostly precision-guided bombs, as well as nearly 50 Tomahawk cruise missiles launched from two warships.

“We are striking through the depths of” Islamic State “formations because we are trying to disrupt their support bases,” Army Lieutenant General William Mayville, director for operations for the Joint Chiefs of Staff, told reporters at the Pentagon on Tuesday.

According to CNN, the United Arab Emirates has joined the US in its latest round of attacks. Earlier this week, the UAE’s first female pilot, Major Mariam Al Mansouri, served as a team leader in the strikes waged against Syria with the US, Saudi Arabia, Jordan, Qatar and Bahrain.

The post Oil Installations In Syria Hit By Anti-ISIS Coalition appeared first on Eurasia Review.

Beheadings, Mania, And Threat Inflation – OpEd

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No politician on this planet is less original. Seeming like a lumbering brontosaurus, the Australian Prime Minister Tony Abbott moves through meeting after meeting in an insentient daze that only lifts when stock terms are used. “Terrorism” so happens to be one of them.

The Australian use of the ISIS beheadings as a pretext to transform a distant country into a crude if clumsy police state is something to behold. The chances of a ceremonial beheading in Australia by masked and brooding youths drunk on Koranic bliss are as remote as finding actual witches in the village undergrowth of Salem. Suggesting that this just might happen is a classic exercise of nonsense. Everything just might happen, be it the arrival of Socratic thinking on the part of the Abbott front bench, or the emergence of a profitable ecologically sustainable Australian economy.

Glenn Greenwald shores up the argument from the other side, dealing with improbabilities as opposed to possibilities. “If you are an Australian citizen, you have a greater chance of being killed by the following causes than you do by a terrorist attack: slipping in the bathtub and hitting your head; contracting a lethal intestinal illness from the next dinner you eat at a restaurant; being struck by lightning.”

Authorities are under the necessary burdens to show the need for measures that are otherwise needless. Instead, the Australian government is dabbling in the exceptionalist guff that shows that state authorities are running dry in the ministry of ideas. Australia is packed with a range of troubling laws as it is, originally drafted and passed with minimal debate when the terrorist genie was making his spectral presence felt.

Amendments on the devilish book of reforms being suggested by the robotic-like Attorney-General, George Brandis, will extend the work of control orders currently found under Division 104 of the Criminal Code Act 1995, restricting the movement of certain individuals, and imposing the requirements to wear electronic tags. Lesser burdens of proof for warrantless interventions are also being suggested.

Regrettably, the High Court in Thomas v Mowbray [2007] HCA 33 deemed such control orders valid and within the power of the Commonwealth to pass, showing that the roots of civil liberty tend to be rather shallow in Antipodean soil.

Abbott sees terrorists lurking in the Australian suburbs with a type of biblical fury. He finds them chatting about “targeting government people”. He hears them targeting Parliament House. “One of the first consequences… has been moves to put the Australian Federal Police back in charge of internal, as well as external security.” Apparently, the chatter, noted in that paragon of accuracy, News Corp, suggested that an attack along the lines of Mumbai from 2008 was on the cards.

Few have decided to question the credibility of an interstate anti-terror operation run by 800 personnel that has netted only a handful of individuals – 15 arrested, supposedly marching under hypnosis similar to the Manchurian candidate.

Even fewer are actually tapping the cabinet on their small shoulders and reminding them that history has a nasty habit of revisiting those who interfere with it. Instead of taking the high ground of cold reasoning and keeping Australian noses dry, Abbott has made it clear that he wants to be dirtied by further engagements, first in Iraq, and most likely in Syria, provided President Barack Obama issues a sweet note of approval. (There is even a suggestion that Obama won’t even have to do that.)

Amendments suggested by Sch.3 of the National Security Legislation Amendment Bill (No.1) 2014 should send civil liberty advocates howling to every human rights commission there is. The bill proposes to exempt those involved in “special intelligence operations” (SIOs) from criminal and civil liability for “special intelligence conduct” that takes place during the course of such operations. The devil here is in the exonerating detail: the operation, provided it falls within the remit of intelligence matters, will be justified.

Such actions include anything authorised by the Director General of ASIO or a Deputy Director General that does not cause “the death of, or serious injury to, any person; or involves the commission of a sexual offence against any person; or causes significant loss of, or serious damage to, property; or induce another person to commit a crime against the Commonwealth or a State or territory that they were not otherwise planning to commit.” This is not merely a get out of gaol card, but a permanent exemption for a range of abuses by officials less squeamish about “enhanced interrogation” and similar nasties.

The gems in this crown of tyrannical impetuousness must be the proposed efforts to curb the disclosure of material on those newly classified SIOs. The Attorney General’s Department has made it clear that a two year term of imprisonment as it stands “would not provide a sentencing court with an adequate range within which to impose a sentence that reflects the gravity of the consequences of the conduct constituting the offence.” Instead, it is recommending a term of up to five years imprisonment, to be increased to 10 in the event that information disclosed endangers lives, even if that information is revealed unwittingly. Beware the errant blogger.

The Parliamentary Joint Committee on Intelligence and Security Committee has decided to roll over and play dead on the issue. Instead of turning colour, the politicians have decided to turn colourless, not finding it “appropriate to provide an explicit exemption for journalists from the proposed offence provisions.” The Commonwealth Director of Public Prosecutions will be required to consider “the public interest, including the public interest in publication before initiating a prosecution” in the context of disclosing or revealing information connected with an SIO.

Anyone with a rudimentary knowledge of how such public interest tests work, notably in common law jurisdictions, should be aware that having it in the first place is a concession to defeat. But that won’t bother the terror-mad Abbottphiles, who have made it clear that the fear factory disgorging its churning products, is very much in business.

 

The post Beheadings, Mania, And Threat Inflation – OpEd appeared first on Eurasia Review.

Weak Demand, Plentiful Supply Drive Recent Decline In Oil Prices – Analysis

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North Sea Brent crude oil prices have remained under the symbolic $100/barrel level since September 5, falling to $94.13/barrel this afternoon, the lowest level in more than two years. Prices have declined almost $21 (18%) from the 2014 daily peak of $115/barrel on June 19. Prior to this decline, average monthly Brent spot prices traded within a narrow $5/barrel band from $107 to $112 per barrel for 13 consecutive months through July 2014. During this time of record-low price volatility, substantial disruptions to OPEC supply were offset by increases in U.S. production and weaker-than-expected non-U.S. global demand. More recently, however, the return of Libyan oil production to the market, combined with the weakening outlook for global oil demand, has put downward pressure on prices.

The return of significant Libyan crude oil production – which has surpassed market expectations in both volume and longevity – has been an important contributor to downward pressure on Brent prices. Despite the deterioration of the security situation in Libya, with the internationally recognized government having fled the capital, crude oil production increased from 200,000 barrels per day (bbl/d) in June to almost 900,000 bbl/d by mid-September. Last week, violence shut production at Libya’s largest oil field, reducing total Libyan production to around 600,000 bbl/d, though initial reports indicate the damage was not extensive and the Libyan National Oil Corporation reported production had resumed Tuesday, returning to almost 800,000 bbl/d.

The sustained increase in Libyan production over the summer weighed on an already well-supplied light sweet crude market in the Atlantic Basin, despite the fact that Libya’s recent production has not come close to the level of 1.65 million bbl/d in 2010 and 2011, prior to the Arab Spring. Over the past several years, increasing U.S. light sweet crude production has significantly reduced light sweet crude imports to the United States. Those reduced imports, which were sourced primarily from Africa, became available to replace Libyan production lost to civil war and subsequent unrest. While Libyan production was disrupted, supply and demand in the Atlantic Basin was relatively balanced. However, as Libyan production has returned, and remained online, the price of Brent has fallen (Figure 1).

twip140924fig1-lgWhile the return of significant Libyan production has been an important factor putting downward pressure on the Brent price, weakening demand, particularly in Europe and Asia, is also important.

Economic growth in 2014 outside of the United States has been slow, and some recent data releases appear to confirm lower-than-expected growth, particularly in Asia and Europe. China, the largest contributor to forecast increases in global petroleum demand this year, reported that industrial production has risen at the slowest pace since 2008. Further, Chinese oil demand earlier this year appears to have been supported by the purchase of strategic crude oil stocks rather than by oil use related to economic growth. In Europe, the OECD has reduced expectations for economic growth through 2015 after data showed second quarter 2014 GDP contracted in Germany and Italy and stagnated in France. In addition to the weaker economy, which has been the primary factor weighing on crude demand, European refineries are facing increased competition from U.S. and Russian refineries, causing them to reduce utilization rates and demand for Brent crude.

Near-term seasonal market conditions are also affecting crude demand, as substantial refinery turnarounds in the United States, Europe, and Asia take place in September and October, reducing demand for crude. The International Energy Agency expects global refinery crude inputs to decline by 1.4 million bbl/d in September and an additional 1 million bbl/d in October before recovering in November and December.

The combination of added Libyan production, weakening global economic conditions, and seasonally low demand, each significant in its own right, has caused Brent prices to decline below the narrow band in which it has traded and has helped push near-term prices below longer-term prices (contango), which typically signifies weak near-term market fundamentals, encouraging inventory builds.

There are many factors that could alter the current oil market landscape. Seasonal refinery maintenance should be completed before the end of the year and, as a result, demand for crude should increase. On the supply side, there remain significant geopolitical risks, including heightened tensions, and in some cases open warfare, in key producing regions. In addition, Saudi Arabia, which recently cut production by 400,000 bbl/d, could make further production cuts. Earlier in 2014, near-record Saudi production had helped offset high levels of OPEC supply disruptions, but the return of significant Libyan production partially alleviates the need for those barrels. Additionally, the end of Saudi peak seasonal demand for summer power generation frees up crude that was previously being used domestically, lowering the impact of reduced production on Saudi crude exports.

U.S. average gasoline and diesel fuel prices decrease

The U.S. average price for regular gasoline as of September 22, 2014, was $3.35 per gallon, down six cents from the previous week, and 14 cents lower than the same time last year. Prices in all regions of the country declined, with the largest drop in the Midwest, where prices fell eight cents to $3.28 per gallon. The West Coast price dropped six cents to $3.68 per gallon, while the Rocky Mountains and Gulf Coast prices each fell five cents, to $3.54 per gallon and $3.13 per gallon, respectively. The East Coast price decreased three cents, to $3.34 per gallon.

The U.S. average diesel fuel price declined two cents this week to $3.78 per gallon, 17 cents lower than the same time last year, and the lowest in over two years, since July 16, 2012. The Midwest and West Coast prices both declined three cents, to $3.71 per gallon and $3.99 per gallon, respectively. The Rocky Mountain and East Coast prices fell two cents, to $3.84 per gallon and $3.80 per gallon, respectively. The Gulf Coast price decreased by a penny to $3.70 per gallon.

Propane inventories rise

U.S. propane stocks increased by 1.7 million barrels last week to 79.1 million barrels as of September 19, 2014, 13.7 million barrels (20.9%) higher than a year ago. Gulf Coast inventories increased by 0.9 million barrels and Midwest inventories increased by 0.6 million barrels. Rocky Mountain/West Coast inventories and East Coast inventories both increased by 0.1 million barrels. Propylene non-fuel-use inventories represented 3.9% of total propane inventories.

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US, Partner Nations Conduct 13 Strikes Against ISIL In Syria, Confirm Refinery Attacks

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U.S. military forces and partner nations, including Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates, attacked Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant terrorists in Syria Tuesday, according to U.S. Central Command.

The attacks used a mix of fighter and remotely piloted aircraft to conduct 13 airstrikes against 12 ISIL-controlled modular oil refineries in remote areas of eastern Syria near Mayadin, Hasakah, and Abu Kamal and an ISIL vehicle near Dayr az Zawr, also in eastern Syria, U.S. Central Command officials reported.

Centcom officials said they are still assessing the outcome of the attack on the refineries, but have initial indications that the strikes were successful. The ISIL vehicle was destroyed, they added.

The small-scale refineries provided fuel to run ISIL operations, money to finance their continued attacks throughout Iraq and Syria, and an economic asset to support their future operations, Centcom officials said. Producing 300 to 500 barrels of refined petroleum per day, ISIL is estimated to generate as much as $2 million per day from these refineries. The destruction and degradation of these targets further limits ISIL’s ability to lead, control, project power and conduct operations, officials said.

To conduct these strikes, the U.S. employed Air Force fighter aircraft deployed to the Centcom area of operations. Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates also participated in the airstrikes, officials said, and all aircraft safely exited the strike areas.

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Saudi Arabia Throws Full Weight Behind War On IS Terror

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By Ghazanfar Ali Khan

The son of Saudi Arabia’s Crown Prince Salman, minister of defense, was among the eight Saudi airmen who took part in a US-led airstrike against Islamic State (IS) targets on Tuesday.

Prince Khaled bin Salman, a pilot, took part in the operations, sabq.org newspaper reported on Wednesday, much to the pride of his father, who expressed admiration at the team’s professionalism and bravery in standing up to the enemies of Islam.

A large number of Saudis, meanwhile, sent tweets praising the valor of Saudi pilots.

Saudi Arabia pledged stronger cooperation with the international community in combating terrorism.

“Saudi efforts will continue to eliminate terror outfits, including the IS,” said Foreign Minister Prince Saud Al-Faisal on the sidelines of the UN General Assembly meeting.

“The participation of the Kingdom in the US-led strikes against IS comes in response to…terror organizations that distort the image of Islam.” He said that the US-led efforts may require more time and resources to completely destroy extremist organizations.

“We have participated in US-led strikes because our interests necessitate such a move and to support Syrian brothers in their struggle, as well as to protect them from the evil of this deviant group,” said Prince Saud following his participation in the global forum on fighting terrorism. “We hope that this work is the beginning of a serious counter-terrorism move at the international level,” said the prince.

The Saudi air force personnel who took part in the operation have since received online death threats after their photos were published by the SPA, an official told Arab News.

A report said that the killing of IS and Al-Qaeda cadres in the airstrikes is what prompted IS members to issue threats to the Kingdom and its airmen. One Twitter user said the airmen were “wanted by IS,” while another said their throats “would sooner or later be slit.”

Sami Al-Faraj, an adviser to the GCC, said: “We view IS as an existential threat. If we don’t put a stop to it, it will expand into our area.”

The British, Dutch and Belgian parliaments are shortly going to consider proposals to join the US-led coalition’s airstrikes on Iraq, according to a report published in Asharq Al-Awsat, a sister publication of Arab News, on Wednesday.

Iraqi Prime Minister Haider Al-Abadi, meanwhile, is expected to issue a formal request for British assistance.

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Taking World Cup Away From Doha? – OpEd

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By Bikram Vohra

Just as much truth is said in jest there is also much truth in denial. Ever since FIFA President Sepp Blatter began to reiterate his faith in the choice of Qatar as the venue for the 2022 soccer World Cup with a special vehemence last year you got the feeling that in the back room the boys were beavering away at ensuring that the privilege would be rescinded. The only issue was how they would set about pulling the rug and a strategy had to be chiseled with maximum damage control.

And having spent weeks ducking the issue it would seem Blatter has opted for the gun to be fired from another’s shoulder. FIFA Executive Committee member Theo Zwanziger went on record earlier this week, and without warning, saying the whole charade was over and Qatar had lost the Cup despite its attempts to show that air-cooled stadiums would provide comfortable playing conditions in otherwise scorching conditions. There was a certain surge of affection from the FIFA rep for the wellbeing of the players and support crew and the thousands of fans who would ostensibly descend upon the tiny state and be broiled in the heat. One heat stroke victim could mean millions in damages and trigger a “suing stampede.”

So, what’s new? As a sports decision made on venues this will rank as one of the worst in the world. Nothing else even comes close to it. We have had pitches that end up calling off cricket matches (Sabina Park when the Windies were hosting the Aussies in 1978). There is the unplayable Rugby Sportsground oval in Newcastle generally believed to be incomparably frightful. And no one can deny the clumsy starts to major Games (India and the Commonwealth farce, Brazil and the fears that the World Cup soccer would be a shambles). But all these fade into mere minor infringements compared to this colossal blunder.

What part of “hot in summer in Qatar” did the FIFA mandarins not get? In May this year, Blatter unequivocally stated, “Of course, it was a mistake. You know, one comes across a lot of mistakes in life.”
Yes but there are consequences of such mistakes and you cannot just walk away from them and pretend they never happened.
The Qatar technical report indicated clearly that it is too hot in summer, but the executive committee with quite a big majority decided that the tournament would be in Qatar.

Technically, it still is since there is no official statement. As things officially stand it is Zwanziger’s personal assessment but who are we kidding. The slinking away has begun. While everyone will have a take on this issue at present it seems more like a test run intended to check out what the reaction will be in Doha and the world at large.

Run it up the flagpole and see what happens.

You cannot see Qatar quietly letting go of the rope and surrendering the prerogative that it officially earned. The more the resistance from Qatar and the higher the bill it gives in penalty clauses and incurred costs plus legal fallout from contractual obligations the more chances there are that FIFA will employ the corruption charges that have been already bandied about as justification enough to walk away. A Sunday Times expose of financial records allegedly indicating that Mohamed bin Hammam, a Qatari billionaire, essentially bought the 2022 bid for Qatar, colluding with Russian officials in their 2018 World Cup bid as well has created a furor.

FIFA is now truly between a rock and a hard place and can only thank itself for this predicament. For now the best course would be to man up and make the dumping official and then face the music rather than dither about finding sanctuary in technical semantics. It is not edifying to break the ledge in such a shabby manner. Either Zwanziger speaks with the authority of FIFA behind him or he speaks out of line. If it is on his own initiative then he should be reprimanded.

That there will be heartburn and bad blood is a given. The ripple effect from the fallout is difficult to assess today but for the host country it is a matter of honor and they take honor very seriously. No one is going gently into this night.

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Madagascar: The Curse Of Economic Growth – OpEd

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By Akong Charles Ndika

The Indian Ocean island nation of 22 million people is famous for at least two things: its unique pristine biological diversity as well as its recurrent political turmoil, the most recent turn of which ended last January with the election of a new President. But there’s another striking feature about Madagascar that barely goes noticed even by its professional watchers: the relations between its political crises and its business cycles. Economic growth and politics apparently operate at cross purposes. Growth spurts generate political crises in cyclical fashion. Economic prosperity in Madagascar displays a destructive impulse: elites fight over its spoils in a way that ends up sinking the whole country into periodic political turmoil and recessions.

THE MADAGASCAR CYCLE

As the country slowly recovers from one of its most damaging political crises, which started in 2009, the newly-elected president, Hery Rajaonarimampianina seems to want do the right things. Sustained economic growth remains a centerpiece of his agenda to reconstruct the country and build peace. But how growth interacts with the conflict systems remains a major threat. Remarkably, with the exception of the period 1978-80, the cyclical crises that have marked politics in the country (1972, 1991, 2002 and 2009) seem to immediately precede periods of relatively strong economic growth, as indicated on the graph: 1968-1970, 1988-1990, 1996-2000 and 2004-2008.

Economic growth, simply put, spurts with a curse. Periods of development boom have been short-lived. Higher levels of corruption and inequality coincide with times of prosperity, suggesting a destabilizing role of elites in a business cycle –a conflict-vicious system. In good times, some people, interests and sectors are left out of ‘the party’. Others fight back in a way that spoils the party for everyone. According to the Mo Ibrahim Governance Index, the rule of law score dropped substantially over the growth period of 2006-2008 from 58.1 to 51.4. During the same business cycle, accountability –which includes corruption – declined from 56.0 to 53.3. In fact, accountability ratings in 2000 and 2008 barely changed: 50.3 and 50.2, respectively— all periods of peak economic performance. Over its two business cycles in the past decade, the country witnessed the most remarkable drop in its relative position against other countries on the Transparency International Corruption Index.

The footprints of elites were revealed in the just-ended crisis. In contrast to previous crises, old grievances between the two major ethno-regional blocs, the Merinas and the Cotiers, did not hold water. The main protagonists, ex-President s Ravalomanana and Rajoelina, were both elites from the highland Merina region. The crisis started when a military directorate took power from the former President, Marc Ravalomanana and handed it over to the then Antananarivo Mayor Andry Rajoelina. The standoff that followed was the worst since the coming of democracy to the country, marked by a five-year-long sanctions by the international community. The previous crisis had lasted only 14 months.

While it is difficult to put an exact figure on the total cost of the recurrent crises, the World Bank estimates that the just ended crisis cost the government almost $6.3 billion over the period 2009-2012 alone. This is more than half the GDP and 15 times what the government spends on healthcare a year. The per capita income dropped significantly over the past ten years too. In 1980, more than 85 per cent of the population lived below the official $1.25 poverty line. And in 2010— the date of the most up-to-date data— it has barely changed, with 81.2 per cent poverty (World Bank 2014). With more than 92 per cent of the population living under $2 a day, Madagascar is now one of the poorest countries in the world. The cumulative impacts are dire. With only 1.9 per cent of the population classified as middle class against an African average of 33 per cent, the staying power of the recurrent conflicts is very high (Kingombe 2014).

ANOTHER CURSE IN WAITING

Despite conflicts, Madagascar’s natural resource base remains rich and diverse with considerable room to bounce back and sustain long-term economic growth. The country is richly endowed with mineral deposits. Mining is becoming an important foreign exchange earner—amplified by the recent discovery of nickel deposits whose processing and expected step-up in production in 2014 will make it one of the world’s largest lateritic mines (Economist Intelligence Unit 2014). Development of the Malagasy oil industry is still in its early stages. The country has no proven offshore reserves of light crude at present. However, according to The Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU), its location in the highly prospective East African region has prompted a new surge of interest, with Total and ExxonMobil among the 17 or so oil companies operating in the country. Tourism and textile manufacturing are also important growth drivers.

How to translate the country’s abundant resources into sustained generation of wealth in way that significantly reduces massive poverty and deprivation? The consistently poor economic performance is at the root of structural violence. The economy is struggling to rebound from a negative trend that marked the crisis. The share of the ‘national cake’ available to each citizen has been declining in absolute terms and, worst of all, is moving in the opposite direction of population growth (per capita GDP growth in 2013 was -0.17 per cent).

A significant percentage of elites have made it a culture to grab the country’s wealth illegally for themselves. According to the new prime minister, almost 40 per cent of the budget is lost to corruption. While the full extent of graft during the political crises remains unknown, the destabilizing effect on the country’s ecological stability and insecurity has raised alarm bells on a global scale. The trafficking of the critically-endangered rosewood has been qualified as a ‘massacre’. According to Global Witness, an international environmental NGO, the illegal trade of the country’s timber alone is worth over $460,000 a day, which averages over $167 million a year, a very significant sum that disappears into private pockets. Shockingly, this is more than the budgets of the ministries of defense, education and health together. In fact, almost 100 thousand of the 8.5 million hectares of pristine forest are lost yearly.

TOO FEW ENCOURAGING STEPS

While the new government has adopted a liberal approach with economic partners, it remains to be seen how this is going to play out in the polarized and corrupt context of economic and business rivalries. Business relations have reopened with the French and the Americans. China’s business engagement, which stayed even during the period of sanctions, has grown significantly since 2000 when it was encouraged by Ravalomanana.

Whether the country’s substantial mineral wealth and new discoveries will be subjected to full competitive bidding processes remains unclear. Even more so, whether the new Government will renege on the opaque contracts that were signed during the crisis is uncertain, too. For example, the license for exploring the Soalala iron deposit was alleged to be underpriced to WISCO, a Chinese company, in a deal in which it paid a $100 million signing bonus (Cathan House 2013). Meanwhile, unscrupulous Chinese businessmen, together with some Madagascar elites, have been held responsible for the illegal trade of the country’s endangered wildlife, such as the tropical rosewood, which has been decried internationally as an ‘ecological massacre’ of extinction scale (Global Witness 2009).

Madagascar turns on its head the standard economic wisdom that a rising tide of economic growth would lift everyone. In fact, without clear rules or people-centered institutions to ensure that the whole boat of prosperity lifts all passengers, the haves will leverage their greed fighting over its spoils in a way that will only end up sinking the whole boat and harming everyone, in particular the have-nots. Plainly speaking, more of the same economic growth is bad for Madagascar’s long-term stability and peace.

References:

Cathan House (2013) Madagascar: Time to Make a Fresh Start, London, Cathan House
Economist Inteligence Unit (2014) Madagascar Country Report Second Quarter, London, The Economist
Global Witness (2009) Illegal Malagasy Trade
Transparency International Initiative Madagascar (2013) RAPPORT D’ACTIVITES 2012, Antanarivo, Transparency International
World Bank (2014) Countries Economic Database

Akong Charles Ndika is a Global Affairs Blogger at http://mettaboy.blogspot.com/

* THE VIEWS OF THE ABOVE ARTICLE ARE THOSE OF THE AUTHOR/S AND DO NOT NECESSARILY REFLECT THE VIEWS OF THE PAMBAZUKA NEWS EDITORIAL TEAM

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Israel Shoots Down Syrian Plane In Syrian Territory – OpEd

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Israel significantly escalated its confrontation with Bashar al-Assad by shooting down a Syrian air force jet that had strayed 1/2 mile into Israeli-occupied Golan.  Al Jazeera reports the wreckage landed in Syrian territory.  My Israeli source confirmed my suspicion (based on evidence presented below) that while the missile was fired when the plane was over Israeli-occupied Golan, it struck the plane over Syrian territory.

Israel could see the plane was attacking rebel positions and not intending hostile action against Israel.  I asked my source why Israel didn’t escort the plane back into Syrian airspace and instead adopted the hair trigger approach.  He responded that Israel feels it has no reaction time and shoots down anything that overflies its zone.

There will be those who argue that Israel made an error that was excusable considering the short distances from the armistice line to Israeli population centers.  But that’s why you have complex computer systems controlling weapons and calibrating distances and borders.  If the Israeli officer who fired the rocket didn’t know he’d be shooting down a Syrian plane over Syrian territory, he was incompetent.

This is an egregious violation of Syrian sovereignty; though Israel routinely tramples over the sovereignty of any country standing in its way, never seeming to pay a price.  It should also be noted that a U.S.-built Patriot missile shot the Syrian plane down.  That’s what friends are for.

Given the Israeli military’s shoot-first, ask questions never approach to these matters, it’s little surprise such an incident occurred.  In the boiling cauldron that is current Middle East politics, such mistakes could easily trigger war.  Major wars throughout history have been provoked by less.  Anyone who doubts Israel could easily light such a match and cause a conflagration that envelops other frontline states is burying their head in the sand.  By the way, the last time Israel shot down a Syrian plane was in 1985.  Turkey also shot down a Syrian fighter jet.  But it did so over or near the Mediterranean and the plane was more than likely in Turkish territory.

It’s also important to note that even if the plane was in Israel-held territory, no one in the world recognizes this territory as Israeli.  The world considers the territory conquered and occupied.  It is legally Syrian.  So Haaretz’s headline reporting the plane was shot down over “Israeli territory”  is a total misnomer.

This article was published at Tikun Olam.

The post Israel Shoots Down Syrian Plane In Syrian Territory – OpEd appeared first on Eurasia Review.

Overview Of US Supreme Court’s October 2014 Term – Analysis

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By Elizabeth Slattery

The Supreme Court of the United States begins its next term on October 6, 2014. The 2013 term featured a number of hot-button issues: campaign finance restrictions, racial preferences, pro-life speech outside abortion clinics, unions, legislative prayer, and a challenge to Obamacare’s Health and Human Services (HHS) mandate. Nearly two-thirds of the decisions were unanimous (at least in the result)—a level of agreement unmatched since before World War II. This led to a number of incremental, cautious opinions that left both liberals and conservatives somewhat unsatisfied.

Another defining feature of the past term was the continuing trend of significant losses for the Obama Administration, sometimes even at the hands of the justices appointed by President Barack Obama. The Administration lost 9–0 in National Labor Relations Board v. Noel Canning (recess appointments); United States v. Wurie (cellphone searches); and Bond v. United States (prosecution under a chemical weapons treaty), to name a few. Now that the 2013 term is behind us, the focus turns to the upcoming term.

With the start of a new term, what issues are likely to come before the justices? There are always plenty of cases involving legal housekeeping issues such as when lawsuits must be filed to be timely and how cases must be litigated or settled. Generally, the Supreme Court does not take on major legal issues until they have percolated in the lower courts for a while. After the Court does address a major legal issue, its decision may lead to a host of related questions on which the lower courts, the academy, the media, and Congress have the opportunity to reflect and identify solutions.

For example, in Burwell v. Hobby Lobby (2014), the Supreme Court held that the Obamacare HHS mandate violated the rights of some business owners who objected to paying for or providing abortion-inducing drugs through their employee health insurance plans. This left open questions about the decision’s impact on pending challenges to the Administration’s “accommodation” for nonprofit employers, whether and how HHS would modify the mandate to comply with the Court’s decision, and whether Congress would amend or repeal the federal law protecting the exercise of religious liberty by for-profit businesses.

Likewise, in Fisher v. University of Texas at Austin (2013), the Court held that lower courts had been too deferential to the university in evaluating its use of race in admissions decisions. On remand, the appellate court upheld the university’s program (again), so the issue may be heading back to the Supreme Court (again).

Cases on the Supreme Court’s 2014–2015 Docket

The Court typically reviews between 70 and 80 cases per term. It has already agreed to hear 40 cases and will likely add more to the schedule at its “megaconference” on September 29. Ten cases have been set for oral argument in October. The upcoming term includes a handful of free speech cases and other cases involving accommodation of prisoners’ religious exercise, the possible return of the seemingly-abandoned nondelegation doctrine, and a white-collar prosecution for “shredding” fish, among others. The following cases are just some of the likely highlights of the next term.

Elonis v. United States. Aspiring rapper Anthony “Tone Dougie” Elonis was convicted of making criminal threats after he wrote several Facebook posts discussing such violent acts as killing his estranged wife, committing a school shooting, and blowing up an FBI agent. Elonis says his Facebook posts were simply rap lyrics.

At trial, Elonis argued that the First Amendment requires the government to prove he intended to make a “true threat,” because the “essence of crime is wrongful intent.” The district court held that the government was not required to prove that Elonis had the subjective intent to make a threatening statement; it only had to prove that a reasonable person would have viewed his statements as true threats.

The Supreme Court suggested in Virginia v. Black (2003) that a speaker’s intent matters when it comes to true threats, and the Court has been increasingly skeptical of overbroad laws that might chill lawful speech. For example, the Court struck down a federal law criminalizing false claims of having received military decorations or medals in United States v. Alvarez (2012) and also struck down a federal law criminalizing the making of animal “crush” videos in United States v. Stevens (2012).

Reed v. Town of Gilbert, Arizona. Like most other towns in America, Gilbert, Arizona, regulates when and where signs may be displayed. Noncommercial signs are classified as political, “qualifying events,” homeowners’ association, or real estate (among other categories), and each category has its own set of regulations. For example, real estate signs may be up to 80 square feet, and political signs may be up to 32 square feet; political signs may be displayed for four and a half months before an election; and homeowners’ association event signs may be displayed for 30 days.

The Good News Community Church uses signs that fall under the “qualifying events” category to announce when its services are held. Pursuant to town policy, such signs may not be bigger than six square feet and may remain up for only 14 hours; in addition, there are limitations on the number of such signs that can be displayed at any given time.

The church challenged the town’s sign code as an impermissible content-based restriction on speech in violation of the First Amendment. The district court upheld the sign code, and an appellate court agreed, finding that there was no evidence that the town adopted its sign code for a discriminatory purpose.

The Supreme Court has held that the First Amendment forbids the government from favoring some noncommercial speakers while discriminating against others based on their content, but there are three competing tests used by the federal appellate courts to evaluate whether a sign code is content-neutral or content-based. With this case, the Supreme Court has the opportunity to clarify how lower courts should determine whether sign codes are content-based or content-neutral.

Holt v. Hobbs. Incarcerated individuals lose many rights while in prison, but the Religious Land Use and Institutionalized Persons Act (RLUIPA) prohibits the government from substantially burdening an inmate’s religious exercise unless that burden advances a compelling interest in the least restrictive way possible.

Gregory Holt (also known as Abdul Maalik Muhammad), who is serving a life sentence at the Arkansas Department of Corrections, wishes to maintain a half-inch beard to comply with his faith. Under Arkansas’s grooming policy, while all inmates may have trimmed mustaches, only those diagnosed with a dermatological problem are permitted to have a quarter-inch beard.

Holt filed suit challenging the policy under RLUIPA, and Arkansas argued that its grooming policy was intended to prevent inmates from concealing contraband and address concerns about an inmate’s ability to quickly change his appearance or be targeted by other inmates for receiving special privileges. In light of these justifications and other religious accommodations that the prison made for Holt, the district court found that Arkansas had met its burden under RLUIPA.

In Cutter v. Wilkinson (2005), the Supreme Court noted that RLUIPA does not place religious accommodations above the need to maintain order and safety in prisons. As Holt points out, however, 39 states and the District of Columbia allow inmates to maintain beards; thus, Arkansas’s grooming policy may fail to meet the high level of scrutiny under RLUIPA.

Kellogg Brown & Root Services, Inc. v. United States ex rel. Carter. The False Claims Act (FCA) is a Civil War–era law that provides civil penalties for contractors that defraud the government. It includes a whistleblower provision that allows a private party with inside knowledge of fraud to bring suit (known as a “qui tam suit”) within six years from the alleged fraud.

The FCA also provides that “no person…[may] bring a related action based on the facts underlying the pending action.” This “first-to-file” requirement was intended to encourage timely disclosure and prevent multiple whistleblowers from filing suits on the same facts.

Benjamin Carter filed a series of qui tam suits alleging that his employer, Kellogg Brown & Root Services, fraudulently billed the U.S. government for services in Iraq during the hostilities in 2005. A federal district court dismissed his most recent suit, both for being time-barred and due to the existence of an earlier qui tam suit arising from the same facts, but a federal appellate court in Richmond, Virginia, reversed, finding that Carter’s suit was not barred because the earlier suit had been dismissed. In another FCA case, a federal appellate court in Washington, D.C., disagreed with this reading of the statute, finding that a later suit relying on the same facts remains barred even if the earlier suit is dismissed.

The appellate court in Carter also determined that the Wartime Suspension of Limitations Act (WSLA)—a 1942 law tolling the statute of limitations for criminal prosecutions for fraud against the United States during wartime—allowed the case to continue. Kellogg Brown & Root Services argues both that the WSLA does not apply to civil actions brought by private parties since it was intended to give the government more time to investigate potential fraud when it was otherwise occupied with a war and that the appellate court’s ruling turns the FCA’s “first-to-file” provision on its head. The case also raises the questions of whether a formal declaration of war is required to trigger the WSLA and how courts determine when the limitations period goes back into effect.

The Supreme Court’s decision in this case could have huge consequences for a variety of industries that do business with the federal government.

Heien v. North Carolina. The Fourth Amendment protects individuals from unreasonable searches and seizures. “Reasonableness” is the lodestar for courts assessing the constitutionality of warrantless searches and seizures made by the police. Consistent with the Fourth Amendment, a police officer may make a traffic stop if he has a reasonable suspicion that a law is being violated. However, what happens if the officer’s suspicion is based on a mistaken view of the law?

A police officer stopped Nicholas Heien after noticing that one of his brake lights was out. North Carolina law requires that vehicles must have “a stop lamp” and that “rear lamps” must be in working condition. After asking Heien some questions and checking his license and registration, the officer asked to search the vehicle and found a baggie of cocaine. Heien was charged with trafficking cocaine and sought to suppress the evidence that had been taken from his car, arguing that the initial traffic stop was unreasonable because the officer misinterpreted the law.

As a matter of first impression, an appellate court determined that the relevant statutes require vehicles to have at least one working brake light (which Heien’s car had) and ruled that the search of Heien’s car was unconstitutional. The Supreme Court of North Carolina reversed, finding that the traffic stop did not violate the Fourth Amendment since the officer’s mistake was objectively reasonable.

In Brinegar v. United States (1949), the Supreme Court explained that police officers must be given some room for operating under mistaken facts—as long as they are reasonable. For example, in Maryland v. Garrison (1987), police officers obtained a warrant to search Lawrence McWebb’s apartment on the third floor of a building without realizing there were two apartments on that floor. The Supreme Court upheld the search of Harold Garrison’s apartment on that floor (where evidence of criminality was uncovered), noting that the officers’ mistake of fact as to which apartment was covered by the warrant was objectively reasonable.

North Carolina argues that the same logic applies to mistakes of law, but Heien maintains that the reasonable suspicion standard leaves no room for an officer’s mistaken interpretation of the law.

Yates v. United States. In the wake of the Enron accounting fraud scandal and its infamous “document-shredding parties,” Congress passed the Sarbanes–Oxley Act of 2002, setting new corporate accountability standards and providing criminal penalties for related white-collar crimes. One provision, 18 U.S.C. § 1519, makes it a crime to knowingly destroy “any record, document, or tangible object with the intent to obstruct an investigation….”

John Yates, a commercial fisherman and captain of the Miss Katie, was issued a citation for catching undersized red grouper in the Gulf of Mexico. While inspecting the Miss Katie, a federally deputized Florida Fish and Wildlife Conservation Commission officer noticed red grouper that looked as if they were less than 20 inches long, the minimum size allowed under law. The officer counted 72 red grouper that measured less than 20 inches and instructed Yates to return to port, where the fish would be seized.

The government alleges that between the point of inspection and the vessel’s arrival at port, Yates’s crew threw the undersized fish overboard and replaced them with larger fish. When the Fish and Wildlife officer measured the fish at port, 69 of them still measured less than 20 inches.

Yates was convicted of knowingly destroying tangible objects with the intent to obstruct an investigation into his harvesting of undersized red grouper. A federal appellate court upheld his conviction, finding that a fish is a “tangible object” according to the statute’s plain meaning and that throwing the fish overboard constituted destruction. Yates argues that, read in context, “tangible object” refers to something used to preserve information such as a computer or other storage device and that a broader reading of the statute produces absurd results.

The Supreme Court has the opportunity to determine whether a federal criminal law aimed at those who would destroy documents and computer records relevant to a criminal investigation also covers “shredding” fish.

Department of Transportation v. Association of American Railroads. Article I, Section 1 of the Constitution states that “All legislative Powers herein granted shall be vested in a Congress….” Derived from this grant of power, the nondelegation doctrine prohibits Congress from delegating legislative functions to the executive branch.

In J.W. Hampton, Jr. & Co. v. United States (1928), the Supreme Court noted that Congress may delegate regulatory authority to an executive branch agency so long as it specifies an “intelligible principle” to limit and guide the agency in the exercise of its discretion. To date, the Supreme Court has struck down only two statutes—both in the 1930s—as unconstitutional delegations because of Congress’s failure to provide a sufficient “intelligible principle” to guide the applicable agency.

It is another issue, however, when Congress attempts to delegate regulatory authority to a private entity. While private entities may be involved in an advisory capacity in making regulations, delegation of legislative authority to private entities is strictly prohibited.

Amtrak is a unique creature—created by an act of Congress but run as a for-profit corporation. Congress delegated to Amtrak the ability to co-author regulations governing the railroad industry in Section 207 of the Passenger Rail Investment and Improvement Act of 2008, and a freight railroad association challenged this delegation of authority. In finding that Amtrak is indeed a private entity and that Section 207 unconstitutionally delegates regulatory authority, a federal appellate court pointed out that such a delegation undermines the political accountability of government.

In Carter v. Carter Coal Company (1936), the Supreme Court struck down a New Deal–era law for improperly delegating to a commission of coal producers the ability to set minimum wages and maximum hours, stating that allowing private parties to regulate their competitors was “the most obnoxious form” of legislative delegation. But the government argues that Amtrak is not a private entity for purposes of the nondelegation doctrine because Congress created it and the executive branch maintains sufficient oversight over and control of it.

Alabama Democratic Conference v. Alabama and Alabama Legislative Black Caucus v. Alabama. With limited exception, it is entirely within the discretion of the Supreme Court to determine whether or not to review a case. One such exception is a constitutional challenge to a statewide redistricting plan brought under 28 U.S.C. § 2284(a).

Two groups of Alabama Democratic legislators challenged the Republican-controlled legislature’s redistricting plan, which purportedly packs black voters into majority-minority districts (thereby reducing their influence in other districts), enacted after the 2010 Census. This is the latest skirmish in the ongoing battle in Alabama over redistricting that previously led a state court to draw up new districts. The Democrats argue that the 2010 plan violates the Equal Protection Clause’s “one person, one vote” guarantee, dilutes the strength of black voters, and is unconstitutional gerrymandering.

A three-judge panel in Alabama ruled for the state across the board, finding that the Democrats failed to prove vote dilution under the standard articulated by the Supreme Court in Thornburg v. Gingles (1986) and also failed to show that the redistricting plan was motivated by an invidious discriminatory purpose. The Democrats appealed to the Supreme Court, which last considered voting rights issues in the landmark Shelby County, Alabama v. Holder decision during the Court’s 2012–2013 term.

Maryland State Comptroller of the Treasury v. Wynne. Benjamin Franklin once wisely remarked, “Nothing can be said to be certain except death and taxes.” This case involves Brian and Karen Wynne, Maryland residents who want to avoid paying duplicative taxes on pass-through income from their stake in an S corporation that operates in 39 states that collect personal income taxes.

Maryland has a state income tax as well as a county income tax. Under Maryland law, residents are allowed to claim a tax credit against the state (but not county) income tax for taxes paid to other states. Thus, Maryland refused to provide a credit against the Wynnes’ county income tax for the more than $80,000 they paid in taxes to other states.

In McCullough v. Maryland (1819), the Supreme Court advised that states have the ability to tax their residents, seemingly without limits, and the Court often has rejected residents’ attempts to limit a state’s ability to tax out-of-state income. The Supreme Court suggested in Oklahoma Tax Commission v. Chickasaw Nation (1995) that a state’s decision to credit income taxes paid to other states is a policy choice, not one required by the Constitution.

The Wynnes argue that the Constitution in fact places two limits on a state’s ability to tax its residents: Under the Fourteenth Amendment’s Due Process Clause, there must be a minimum connection between the state and the person or property it would tax, and the “dormant” Commerce Clause prohibits states from levying taxes that discriminate against interstate commerce. The Maryland Court of Appeals (its highest court) agreed with the Wynnes, finding that Maryland’s refusal to credit out-of-state income taxes to the county tax violates the “dormant” Commerce Clause.

Cases on the Horizon

Attempting to predict what the Supreme Court will or will not do is always a gamble. The Court receives nearly 10,000 petitions for a writ of certiorari each term, and the justices grant review in roughly 1 percent of cases. Some issues, though, are relatively safe bets, and the following two are more than likely to be reviewed by the Supreme Court in the near future.

Same-Sex Marriage. In United States v. Windsor (2012), the Supreme Court struck down the federal definition of marriage in Section 3 of the Defense of Marriage Act. This decision did not address state definitions of marriage or whether or not states can refuse to recognize lawful same-sex marriages from other states.

Since the Windsor decision, traditional marriage laws and constitutional amendments have fallen across the country. In cases from Indiana, Oklahoma, Utah, Virginia, and Wisconsin, parties have already petitioned the Supreme Court for review, asking whether the Equal Protection or Due Process Clauses of the Fourteenth Amendment prohibit states from defining marriage in the traditional way and refusing to recognize out-of-state same-sex marriages.

To bolster their argument that such issues should be left to the individual states to decide, defenders of traditional marriage have seized on language from last term’s decision in Coalition to Defend Affirmative Action v. Schuette in which the Supreme Court upheld the right of voters in Michigan to ban the use of racial preferences in admissions decisions at state-funded schools. In so doing, the Court wrote, “It is demeaning to the democratic process to presume that the voters are not capable of deciding an issue of this sensitivity on decent and rational grounds.”

Obamacare’s Federal Exchanges. President Obama’s signature health care law seems to be a full-employment act for Supreme Court litigators. The latest round of challenges involves Section 36B of the Internal Revenue Code (enacted as part of Obamacare), which allows the Internal Revenue Service to make subsidies available to individuals who buy health insurance through state-run exchanges.

Lawmakers assumed that every state would open an exchange, but 27 states chose not to do so. In those states, the federal government opened up shop, and the IRS claimed it could extend the subsidies to individuals purchasing insurance through these federally run exchanges. Several challenges to the IRS’s interpretation were filed in federal courts.

In Halbig v. Burwell, a federal appellate court in Washington, D.C., found that the text of Section 36B unambiguously restricts subsidies to insurance bought on an exchange “established by the State.” Hours later, a federal appellate court in Richmond, Virginia, reached the opposite conclusion in King v. Burwell, concluding that the IRS’s interpretation was reasonable and entitled to deference.

The court granted the government’s request for a rehearing en banc in Halbig, and the King plaintiffs have asked the Supreme Court to review their case. Given the significant implications that these decisions have for the practical implementation of the law, it looks as though once again, Obamacare may be heading back to the Supreme Court.

Conclusion

Are your Facebook posts unknowingly threatening? Could you be prosecuted for “shredding” a fish in violation of federal white-collar criminal laws? Are you paying too much in state income taxes? Is Amtrak unconstitutionally making laws?

The Supreme Court will hear cases touching on these and other important questions in its upcoming term beginning on October 6, 2014. The Court will also hear significant cases in the areas of free speech, voting rights, criminal law, religious freedom, and prisoners’ rights, among others, and may also take on yet another challenge to Obamacare as well as the issue of same-sex marriage.

Elizabeth H. Slattery is a Legal Fellow in the Edwin Meese III Center for Legal and Judicial Studies at The Heritage Foundation.

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On Guantánamo, No News Is Bad News – OpEd

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I wrote the following article for the “Close Guantánamo” website, which I established in January 2012 with US attorney Tom Wilner. Please join us — just an email address is required to be counted amongst those opposed to the ongoing existence of Guantánamo, and to receive updates of our activities by email.

On Guantánamo, the news has largely dried up in recent weeks, which is not reassuring for the 79 men — out of the 149 men still held — who have had their release approved but are still held. 75 of these men were recommended for release in 2009 by President Obama’s Guantánamo Review Task Force, and four others were recommended for release this year by Periodic Review Boards, established to review the cases of the majority of the men who were not cleared for release by the task force.

Since last May, when President Obama promised to resume releasing prisoners — after a period of nearly three years when only five men were released — 17 men have been released, which is obviously progress of sorts. The drought of releases from 2010 to 2013 was because of obstacles raised by Congress and the president’s refusal to use a waiver in the legislation to bypass Congress, but although it is reassuring that 17 men have been freed, the last of those releases was at the end of May, and campaigners for the closure of Guantánamo can be forgiven for wondering when the next prisoner will be released, especially as that last prisoner release — six Taliban leaders in exchange for Sgt. Bowe Bergdahl, the sole US prisoner of war in Afghanistan — attracted such cynical and hysterical opposition.

According to reports in May, six of the cleared prisoners, from Syria, Palestine and Tunisia — all men who cannot be safely repatriated — were offered new homes in Uruguay after President Mujica responded positively to a request for assistance from the US.

At the start of September, the New York Times reported that the Uruguay deal had been postponed, but a Uruguayan spokesperson responded by stating that the agreement was still on, but no date had yet been set.

It is, of course, hugely disappointing that the release of prisoners to Uruguay has not yet happened, and unfortunately no other countries currently seem to be in line to take in prisoners. The New York Times reported that news of the Uruguay deal had “inspired similar talks with Brazil, Chile and Colombia,” according to regional news reports. In recent weeks, it has been reported that Chile is evaluating a request to accept prisoners, and that the Peruvian government had also been doing the same, but had turned down the request.

As the New York Times also put it, “as many as 14 other releases could also happen by the end of the year if they get approved,” according to officials with knowledge of deliberations, including deals “to repatriate four Afghans and a Mauritanian,” which were completed in March, but have not previously been reported. I mentioned the four Afghans here, and reported the story of the Mauritanian, Ahmed Ould Abdel Aziz, last year.

On September 11, AFP mentioned Aziz in an article noting how “dozens of Guantánamo detainees ought to have sight of freedom, but hard-won deals for their release are languishing awaiting a final Pentagon signature,” essentially because of the obstacles raised by Congress. As AFP also reported, sources within the administration said that “many of the new transfer deals had won a green light from five of the six government agencies involved.” The stumbling block is defense secretary Chuck Hagel, who “has to give final approval to every transfer,” and has been accused of dragging his feet.

Pentagon sources denied that, “saying every case needed proper and thorough review to ensure the right conditions are in place,” and in May Hagel himself explained his reticence.

As I reported recently:

In May, the White House sent Chuck Hagel a memo “saying he should accept more than ‘zero risk’” in approving prisoner transfers “because allowing the prison to remain open raised risks, too.” However, referring to the certification that must be made prior to any prisoner release, Hagel told the Times at the time, “My name is going on that document. That’s a big responsibility.”

In its mention of Ahmed Ould Abdel Aziz, AFP noted how he “is eager to be reunited with his wife, who was pregnant when he was detained, and the young son he has never met,” according to his lawyer, Anna Holland Edwards, who said there are only “so many formative years left and he wants to spend those years with his son,” adding, “He often talks not about living in Guantánamo, but of living in a grave.” She also said that, in addition to his wife and son, there is “an apartment, a job and a social network awaiting Aziz whenever he finally flies back to Mauritania.”

Here at “Close Guantánamo,” we remain convinced that, every day the prison at Guantánamo Bay remains open, it has a corrosive effect on America’s belief that it is a nation that upholds the rule of law, and also continues to create enemies abroad.

Releasing prisoners will not bring this shame and danger to an end on its own; for that, the prison must finally be closed and those accused of crimes tried in an internationally recognized forum, but it remains imperative that men approved for transfer out of the prison are released a soon as possible. Otherwise, it appears that America pretends to have reviews to decide whether to hold or release prisoners, but then fails to let them go if they are approved for release.

What you can do now

Call the White House and ask President Obama to release the Yemenis cleared for release. Call 202-456-1111 or 202-456-1414 or submit a comment online.

Call the Department of Defense and ask Defense Secretary Chuck Hagel to issue certifications for other cleared prisoners: 703-571-3343.

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UK And Iran Leaders Meet For First Time Since 1979 Islamic Revolution

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The British prime minister, David Cameron, met the Iranian president, Hassan Rouhani, in New York on Wednesday in what marks a milestone in the long-strained relations between London and Tehran, Guardian reported.

The meeting – as the two leaders attended the UN general assembly – was the first encounter between an Iranian president and a British prime minister since the 1979 Islamic revolution.

Iranian reporters in Rouhani’s UN entourage tweeted pictures of the smiling Iranian cleric shaking hands with Cameron in front of the two countries’ flags.

“A little bit of history made,” the prime minister was overheard telling one of his aides, according to a tweet by a British reporter , as the meeting ended.

Rouhani’s deputy, Hamid Abutalebi, said the meeting would prepare the ground for “fundamental changes” in the relationship between Iran and the EU.

It “will bring fundamental changes to Iran-EU relations as well the nuclear negotiations,” he said, according to the semi-official Isna news agency. “It will be one of the biggest achievements of Dr Rouhani’s visit to New York and it will also have an affect on Tehran-London relations.”

Despite the meeting’s significance, Rouhani has to proceed cautiously as he visits the UN, accommodating world leaders while not upsetting hardliners at home. The domestic repercussions of any statements he makes or meetings he attends can be costly and hawks and fundamentalists, such as those in the Iranian parliament, will be circling like vultures to watch him slip.

Before the Cameron meeting, Rouhani had already met a number of world leaders, including France’s François Hollande and Austria’s Heinz Fischer, but with suspicion of Britain rife in Iran it will be the most-scrutinised at home.Iranian hardliners have an extraordinary obsession with Britain (which they still consider “the old fox”) and approach it with a conspiratorial mindset. In their view, British hands are behind everything political in Tehran and the royal family still runs Westminster. Iranian conservatives have a suspicion towards Britain much deeper and stronger than towards the United States.

The British embassy in Tehran, which was shut down in 2011 following an attack by an angry mob, remains closed. Both sides have decided to reopen embassies but complications in Iran mean the UK mission is not fully open.

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Azerbaijan Stresses Committed To Fundamental Democratic Values

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Azerbaijan is a country committed to the fundamental democratic values, a country where civil society develops and all freedoms are protected, Head of Azerbaijani Presidential Administration’s Public and Political Issues Department, Ali Hasanov said in his interview with AzerTAc news agency.

The top official was commenting on the critical statements of several international structures and foreign organizations, as well as some officials on the situation of human rights, freedom of speech and information in Azerbaijan.

Hasanov said currently, there is absolute freedom in Azerbaijan and hundreds of non-governmental organizations, media outlets operate in the country in accordance with the law, people freely express their opinion and the state fully supports the development of media and civil society institutions.

“Therefore, such appeals, statements and documents, worked out on the basis of the information received from three or five people without taking into account the public opinion in Azerbaijan, the NGOs, hundreds of media outlets, are biased, groundless and subjective,” Hasanov said.

He said some local NGOs, financed by foreign funds, had been carrying out non-transparent activities for many years, ignoring the law and without giving reporting to the state bodies.

“The measures taken today to implement legal requirements and the relevant amendments to the laws regulating the activities of NGOs in accordance with the democratic standards of the West, aim to ensure the transparent activity of civil society institutions, their accountability and eliminate the shortcomings in this sphere,” Hasanov said.

The lack of transparency in any sphere is one of the main factors paving the way for corruption and other offenses, said Hasanov.

“Of course, the activities of the organizations suspected of violating the law are investigated and necessary measures are taken upon confirmation of the facts. Some organizations that do not comply with the legal requirements of state bodies and spend millions worth of grants received from abroad, on shady dealings, which act as the ‘heralds of democracy’ do not like that.”

“The ‘fifth column’ is deprived of the opportunity to fulfill its mission and this weakens the pressure of certain circles, which created this mechanism, on Azerbaijan,” Hasanov said.

He said the activity of some foreign circles and the organizations subordinate to them, is related to this factor.

Unfortunately, in order to form a negative opinion about independent states, some foreign circles generalize certain distorted cases related to human rights, Hasanov said.

“This is a wrong approach. The severe intervention in the fair protest of residents in the Ferguson city of the state of Missouri, declaration of the state of emergency, the use of weapons, loss of life, tough restrictions on the rights of civil society activists and the press were characterized as the internal affair of the U.S. by the State Department representative,” Hasanov said. “At the same time, some experts stated that the severe measures taken by the U.S. government are aimed at ensuring the social stability and public safety.”

“But it is difficult to believe that a harsh crackdown of the peaceful protest of humanitarian nature, held in front of the UN headquarters in New York a day ago, was aimed at ensuring the public safety,” Hasanov said.

“There is also sufficient evidence of harassment of journalists, control of information resources, the arrest of bloggers and other offenses in the United States and the developed European countries,” Hasanov said.

“Of course, if we summarize all these cases, we can state that there is no democracy in the most developed countries of the world. A question arises: why the well-known circles which criticize Azerbaijan do not summarize these facts and do not express their opinion about the democracy in these countries? Unfortunately, these double standards are clearly demonstrated in the attitude of some western circles to the countries of our region,” Hasanov said.

“Taking all this into account, we can state that the resolution adopted several days ago by the European Parliament, the opinions expressed by the U.S. representatives in the OSCE and the European Parliament, as well as those of the U.S. President Barrack Obama during the Clinton Global Initiative annual meeting, the comments made in the annual reporting meeting of the Office for Democratic Institutions and Human Rights in Warsaw, the pretensions by the Human Rights Watch, Freedom House and other similar foreign organizations are biased and should be regarded as an attempt to put pressure on Azerbaijan’s independent policy.”

“We would like to bring to the attention of these circles that the main task of any state, including Azerbaijan, is to protect the national interests, ensure the sustainable development and public safety, as well as socio-political stability and peace in the country,” Ali Hasanov said.

The top official added that Azerbaijan is an independent country implementing its domestic and foreign policy in accordance with the national interests and by no means intends to back down from its position or serve anyone’s interests.

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Georgia: 8 Referees Arrested In Alleged Football Spot-Fixing

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(Civil.Ge) — Eight football referees of 16-team Georgian football league have been arrested in connection with alleged spot-fixing in matches, the Interior Ministry said on September 24.

The scheme, according to the Interior Ministry, involved so called spot betting in which odds are offered to number of yellow and red cards, as well as on penalties or other incidents during the match.

Eight referees, among them a FIFA referee qualified to officiate at international level, are accused of taking cash ranging from USD 2,500 to USD 5,000 in exchange for securing favorable number of bookings in matches they were officiating.

Georgian Football Federation said in a statement that the investigation was launched after it requested “for number of times” from the law enforcement agencies to probe into “information received from UEFA about suspicious matches in the Georgian national championship.”

The Interior Ministry also released on September 24 several video recordings, made secretly with what seems to be body-worn covert cameras; in one of the undated recordings, a man with body-worn camera, who appears to be an undercover agent, is negotiating with one of the referees favorable number of yellow cards he had to show in one of the Georgian Premier League matches.

The Interior Ministry said that investigation is ongoing as some other referees are also suspected of being involved in spot-fixing scam.

There are over three dozen of referees and assistant referees available for the Georgian Premier League, nine of them (3 referees and 6 assistant referees) are on FIFA international men’s referees list.

“There have long been rumors about it,” Zviad Sichinava, president of the Georgian Football Association, said about spot and match-fixing allegations.

He stressed that the investigation should continue, but instead of focusing only on referees the probe should widen in order to also include much wider circle of illegal betting groups.

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Chinese President’s ‘Sweet & Sour’ Visit To India – Analysis

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By Dr Subhash Kapila

Chinese President XI Jinping’s visit to India in mid-September 2014 ended analytically on a ‘Sweet & Sour’ Chinese flavour. It would be a learning curve for Indian Prime Minister that dealing with China as Prime Minister is vastly different from the effusive perceptions gained on visits to China as Gujarat Chief Minister.

As Prime Minister of India, Narendra Modi has perforce to take firm stands on issues which stand impinged by China’s needless military provocations on our Northern Borders and necessarily give a back-seat to any economic carrots that were offered to India by China to wean India away from its evolving close relationship with Japan. Regrettably, China did not measure up to that extent also, as the economic deals with China during the Chinese President’s visit to India did not materialise as the pre-visit high-voltage Chinese publicity campaign indicated by the Chinese Consul General in Mumbai.

It would also be a learning curve for the Chinese President and the Chinese establishment that India no longer was a captive of the ‘China Appeasement’ policies of the last ten years resorted to by the previous government. China should expect the ‘New India’ to value good and peaceful relations with China as an important plank of its foreign policy which should as it be between two powerful neighbours. But beyond that China would have to make serious and substantive efforts to forge a trustworthy relationship with India with imperatives of boundary settlement and honouring in letter and spirit the innumerable ‘peace and tranquillity border agreements’.

China’s differentials of power with India both in the conventional and non-conventional domains may be glaring enough to tempt China to adopt condescending postures accompanied by provocative brinkmanship on the India-China Occupied Tibet Borders bristling with Chinese troops. Notwithstanding the preceding is the strategic reality also that India is not the India of 1962 under Nehru. China would be well advised to transform its policy attitudes towards India to one of “Equitable Equations” because, as pointed out in a number of my preceding SAAG Papers on China is the painful reality for China to accept that unlike India it is China that is strategically cornered on all its flanks, today.

With this contextual backdrop let us now proceed to analyse the just concluded visit of the Chinese President to India. Essentially, this analysis needs to be done from the perspectives of strategic and economic gains accruing to India on what in the run-up to the Chinese President Xi Jinping’s visit to India was marked by intense euphoria in India. My preceding SAAG Papers kept cautioning that India should not expect any ‘strategic game-changers’ from the Chinese President’s visit and that likely economic upturns in China –India relationship were no substitute for obliterating the decades of “strategic distrust”.

Strategically, the Chinese President did not offer or provide any “sweet flavours” during his first-ever visit to India as President. On the contrary China soured the Chinese President’s visit to India by the additives of glaring Chinese troops confrontations and transgressions into Indian Territory both preceding, during and after the Chinese President’s visit to India. Prime Minister Modi is reported to have drawn the notice of the Chinese President to Chinese brinkmanship on the borders on all three days of the visit but to no avail. It seemed as if China was orchestrating the Chinese troops violations of Indian Territory as part of a pre-determined script to send subtle political messages to the Indian leadership.

Analytically, it flies against all logic that Chinese troops confrontations and intrusions into India territory would not have been in the knowledge of the Chinese President and moreso when he wears all the top four hats of the Chinese military behemoth and all this under his personal control. So what does this presage? It clearly indicates that China despite all pious rhetoric has no inclination to resolve the border disputes with India and is intent on perpetuating it as a bargainable strategic pressure point against India.

Prime Minister Modi seems to have been convinced by the third and final day of the Chinese President’s visit that China was not accommodative on the border disputes issue and not inclined to dilute the military confrontations on the borders and was finally constrained to publicly articulate that when there is a toothache, it affects the whole body and thereby clearly and firmly indicating to China that forward movement in China-India relations was not possible if China persists in prolonging the ‘Chinese Toothache’ generated by it.

China thereby missed a golden opportunity in the strategic domain to carry out course corrections in its disruptive strategies against India and put China-India relations on a new footing in keeping with China’s current strategic environment.

In the economic domain, one could say that there was both an element of ‘sweet feavours’ and equally if not more of ‘sour flavours’. The sweet flavours were provided by China’s eagerness to establish technology parks in Gujarat and Maharashtra besides involvement in railways modernisation and infrastructure. China was keen to enter the Indian civil nuclear power generation industry and negotiations are said to follow.

However, the “sour flavours” were added by China markedly in terms of executing FDI targets pertaining to India. Against a very heavily hyped campaign that the Chinese President would announce a figure of $100 billion investments in India, the figure ended up by the final day of a mere $20 billion. It is reported that this climb-down by the Chinese President occurred after some much-needed plain-speaking by the Indian Prime Minister on strategic issues especially the lack of restraint by Chinese troops on the borders and a reluctance of China to mellow down its aggressive postures in the military stand-off on the Himalayan borders.

In the economic domain too the Chinese President during his visit to India failed in generating China-India economic trust to off-set the prevailing strategic distrust in China –India relations. The ‘sour taste’ left by the Chinese President was that China would resort to heavy economic investments in India provided India was pliable in the strategic domain. This should be an eye- opener for India’s China apologists that good economic relations could pave the way for generation of strategic trust.

In such high level visits of foreign dignitaries the visuals of the visiting leaders’ body-language also count. Perceptionaly, it seemed that the warmth and exuberance exhibited by Prime Minister Modi as the host was not evenly matched by the Chinese President. To say that the Chinese President is habitually reserved would not be correct when visuals of his meetings with President Obama some time back are scrutinised. Reflective of China’s reluctance of not according equitable equations in its dealings with India so was the body-language of the Chinese President during the Indian visit. It was diplomatically and protocol-wise correct and nothing more.

In the overall analysis, it can be stated that the recently concluded visit of Chinese President Xi Jinping to India in September 2014 has in its wake not provided any substantive signals of optimism that China-India relations would in the foreseeable future enter the phase where “Strategic Distrust” presently dominates, would incrementally be replaced by some semblance of trust-building initiatives in the strategic domain and provide optimism that China and India despite their contentious equations in the moulding of Asian security could still hope for a new dawn.
– See more at: http://www.southasiaanalysis.org/node/1619#sthash.7Bfj2cO9.dpuf

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Hospitals Are Cutting Charity Care and Using Emergency Rooms More – OpEd

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Hospitals, inveterate lobbyists for Obamacare, have responded rationally to its incentives: They have increased use of their emergency departments, and cut charity care.

On Tuesday, NPR had a feature on hospitals’ using online services to allow frequent flyers to book appointments with emergency departments:

Three times in one week, 34-year-old Michael Granillo returned to the emergency room of the Northridge Hospital Medical Center in Southern California, seeking relief from intense back pain. Each time, Granillo waited a little while and then left the ER without ever being seen by a doctor.

“I was in so much pain, I wanted to be taken care of ‘now,’ ” says Granillo. “I didn’t want to sit and wait.”

But on a recent Wednesday morning, he woke up feeling even worse. This time, Granillo’s wife, Sonya, tried something different. Using a new service offered by the hospital, she was able to make an ER appointment online, using her mobile phone.

Isn’t that exactly the sort of thing that Obamacare was supposed to stop? All those newly insured patients are supposed to get timely primary care, nipping their health problems in the bud at low-cost points of care. Back in July, I wrote about this worrying development, and concluded that we might all end up getting our health care in the ED. Well, it looks like that is the hospitals’ goal:

Recently, Dignity stepped up its marketing—with billboards, print advertisements and online and radio spots. One online ad features a woman sitting in a hospital waiting room, and then cuts to her on a living room couch with a dog, as the words on the screen read, “Wait for the ER from home.”

Who is not welcome? The uninsured, that’s who:

Stephen Maxwell had struggled for years with a bad back, but what he felt in December was something new.

In January, Truman Medical Center, the hospital he has relied on for care, rolled back its financial assistance program. Truman used to provide free or discounted care for uninsured people making up to 400 percent of the federal poverty level—$46,680 for an individual. Now, only those making less than 200 percent qualify for the help. The change was intended to motivate people to sign up for health insurance plans through the Affordable Care Act. (Kansas City Star)

Another Obamacare success story! Hospitals are where we spend most of our health dollars. And their incentives under Obamacare are worse than they ever were. The next health reform must ensure that hospitals are freed from the spell of perverse incentives.

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For the pivotal alternative to Obamacare, please see the Independent Institute’s widely acclaimed book: Priceless: Curing the Healthcare Crisis, by John C. Goodman.

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Nakhwa Without Borders: Gaza And The End Of ‘Arab Gallantry’ – OpEd

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On its own the Arabic word al-Nakhwa, means “gallantry.” Combined with the word “al-Arabiya” – “Arab gallantry” – the term becomes loaded with meanings, cultural and even political implications and subtext. But what is one to make of “Arab gallantry” during and after Israel’s most brutal war on Gaza between 8 July and 26 August which killed 2,163 Palestinians and wounded over 11,000 more?

Is this the end of Arab Nakhwa? Did it even ever exist?

As a Palestinian Gaza refugee from a simple peasantry background, I was raised to believe that al-Nakhwa was an essential component of one’s Arab identity. Together with al-Rojoula – “manhood/fortitude/heroism” – al-Karm – “generosity” – al-Karama – “dignity” – and al-Sharaf – “honour” – were all indispensable tenants in the character of any upright person. The alternative is unthinkably shameful.

Thus, it is no wonder that Palestinian national songs, and the slogans for successive rebellious generations in Palestine have borrowed heavily from such terminology. It was al-Nakhwa that compelled Gaza to rise in solidarity with the victims of al-Aqsa Mosque clashes in 2000, which ushered in the painful years of the Second Palestinian Uprising (2000-2005). It was al-Karama (dignity) that forced Gaza to the streets to protest the killing of four Palestinian cheap labourers by an Israeli truck driver, leading to the First Palestinian Uprising (1987-1993). It was al-Sharaf (honour) that made Gazans fight like warriors of ancient legends to prevent Israeli troops from taking over the impoverished and besieged Gaza Strip in the most recent war.

But the lack of reactions on Arab streets, – Perhaps Arab societies are too consumed fighting for their own honour and dignity? – and the near complete silence by many Arab governments as Israel savaged Gaza civilians, forces one to question present Arab gallantry altogether.

Yet millions protested for Gaza across the world in a collective global action unprecedented since the US war in Iraq in 2003. South American countries led the way, with some governments turning words into unparalleled action, not fearing western media slander or US government reprisals. Few Arab countries even came close to what the majority Christian Latin American countries like Ecuador have done to show solidarity with Gaza.

And when a ceasefire was declared on 26 August, it became impossible for Israeli or even western media to argue in earnest that Israel had won “Operation Protective Edge.” They tried, but the closest they managed to argue was that there were no winners. Others acknowledged that Gaza had won the war by defeating every war objective laid out by Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu.

Hardly shocking, although certainly dishonourable, some Arab journalists who stayed largely quiet as the Palestinian death toll in Gaza grew rapidly, went on a well-organised crusade. While they shed crocodile tears for Gaza’s children, they insisted that Gaza lost, strengthening Netanyahu’s desperate narrative that his war had achieved its objectives. The Gaza-didn’t-win line was repeated by many well-paid journalists and commentators as to defeat the prevailing notion that resistance was not futile. For them, it seems that Palestinians need to accept their role in the ongoing Arab drama of being perpetual victims, and nothing more. A strong Palestinian, practically and conceptually, is the antithesis to the dominant line of the current Arab political script that is predicated on strong rulers and weak nations. Since the Palestinian Nakba (Catastrophe), the Palestinian is only idealised as a hero in poetry and official text, but an eternal casualty in everyday life.

Some of these pseudo-intellectuals didn’t even muster enough Nakhwa to extol Gaza on its resistance and the sheer enormity of its sacrifices. Most of Gaza’s resistance fighters (who mostly come from Gaza’s poor refugee classes) reportedly fasted (no food or water from dawn to dusk) as they fought throughout the month of Ramadan. Many would break the fast on few dates, if any. Compare this to the endless supplies of food, and everything else that remained available in abundance to invading Israeli troops. Even if these commentators sincerely rejected the “Gaza victory” narrative, wasn’t the sheer fortitude of these men and women deserving of a mere acknowledgement of a few words written by the well-fed “intellectuals” operating from faraway hotel lobbies in rich Arab capitals?

Since the introduction of pan-Arab satellite television news networks, the term “Arab gallantry” was brought into question endless times. In fact, “Iyna al-Nakhwa al-Arabiay?” – where is the Arab gallantry?’ – was perhaps the most oft-repeated question raised by ordinary Arab callers taking part in television political debates. The question was uttered mostly in the Palestinian context, but, in the last decade also in the cases of Iraq and Syria.

There is no definite answer as of yet, but it is not that Arab gallantry is in abundance within ruling Palestinian classes either.

Just days following the ceasefire, the leaders of the Ramallah political class unleashed verbal attacks against the former Hamas government over money, salary and phony coup attempts. For Palestinian Authority President Mahmoud Abbas, per the leaked protocol of his meeting with Hamas’ Khaled Meshaal in Doha, the war in Gaza seemed a secondary matter, as the 80-year-old was overwhelmed by some paranoia that everyone was conspiring against him. His Prime Minister Rami Hamdallah, who behaved as if his “premiership” didn’t include Gaza during the war, returned to action as soon as the ceasefire announcement was made. His government didn’t feel any particular urgency to pay salaries of Gaza employees who were hired by the previous Gaza government.

As if things couldn’t get any worse, a leaked letter provided to French lawyers by the deputy prosecutor of the International Criminal Court (ICC) showed that Abbas’ government actually blocked a Palestinian application to the ICC that is aimed at trying Israeli government and military leaders for alleged war crimes. Here the discussion over gallantry, dignity and honour ends, and a whole different set of terminology begins.

The shameful factionalism has reached a point where Fatah officials are accusing the former Gaza government for being responsible for the loss of lives among Gaza refugees as they make desperate attempts to escape the strip towards Europe atop crowded boats. Agenda-driven Arab commentators are joining in, some blaming both sides equally, as if those who resisted are equal to those who conspired.

Embattled Netanyahu is getting a badly needed break as Palestinian officials in Ramallah and some Arab media commentators are circuitously blaming Gaza for Israel’s own wars and war crimes. While Palestinians continue to gaze at the rubble of their destroyed lives in Gaza, they receive little support and solidarity from their Arab neighbours, or from their won “brethren” in Ramallah.

When Arab media commentators laud Netanyahu for killing Palestinians in Gaza and a UN spokesman weeps on the air, crying for Gaza’s victims, one is forced to question old beliefs about one’s own supposed exceptionalism. It has turned out that Nakhwa has no borders, and can extend from Bolivia to Sir Lanka, and from South Africa to Norway.

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Juncker Defeats Merkel In EU – OpEd

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By Hubertus Hoffmann

Angela Merkel is defeated. Not by Mr Putin, but by Jean-Claude Juncker. The new President of the European Commission was the candidate of the European People’s Party (EPP) for the European Parliament Elections in May. This center block won with him. He was also supported by the German Chancellor and her CDU party which is a founding member of the EPP.

Now Juncker defeated Merkel in the composition of the important commission. Instead of pushing the German EU agenda through, which aims at clear reforms and less debt, Merkel did too little to support German former Energy Commissioner Guenther Oettinger. In the new team he will only be responsible for Digital Economy and Society – a new and minor responsibility. The only German in the commission did not even become one of seven Vice-Presidents. So EU model student Germany lost it all – while France won the trophy: a country with no real reforms, more debt and a very strong right-wing party with a degenerated political elite.

Juncker dared to put the fox in charge of the henhouse in appointing the former French minister of finance Pierre Moscovici as super-commissioner for economy, finance and taxes. This socialist just failed the EU 3 percent deficit hurdle at home and criticized tax discipline a la Merkel. He just wants to continue the French way of high taxes, more public spending and no real reforms like better conditions for small businesses, less state intervention and more freedom. He is anti-Merkel and supported by French president Hollande. He is the Trojan Horse in the EU powerhouse. It is very naive to believe this Frenchman will change his roots and mindset now.

The Brits got it all with Lord Hill, a former conservative lobbyist and Tory peer to oversee financial services: another fox in the henhouse who will block regulations of the banks which caused the financial shocks in 2008 with their XXL greediness.

Mr Juncker acted like a grey man of the past, neglecting the future of Europe.

No fresh start to reform the EU and make it competitive with the strong Chinese dragon, but mini gifts to some member states he needs for himself to rule.

His team is a disillusion for those who want a strong and vital Europe with a future in a globalized world. Radical reforms are needed in most EU countries – nothing else (see Hubertus Hoffmann, Strengthening the “Soul of Europe” in Europe 3.0 through Radical Reforms).

A good day for right-wing radicals, finance sharks, and the stand-still-and-rot lobbies. They all want to continue as before the euro crisis and promote just a transfer of money from the EU-workers to the EU-spenders.

About the author:
Dr. Hubertus Hoffmann is a German entrepreneur and geostrategist. His three main focuses as a philanthropist are: – ‘Networking a Safer World’, with the largest global elite network in foreign affairs, the independent World Security Network Foundation (www.worldsecuritynetwork.com).

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EuroMaidan Nominated For Sakharov Prize

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(EurActiv) — Nominations were made yesterday (23 September) for the European Parliament’s 2014 Sakharov Prize for Freedom of Thought. Among them is the Ukrainian EuroMaidan movement, which led to the overthrow of the regime of Viktor Yanukovich. The winner will be announced in October.

Polish MEP Jacek Saryusz-Wolski, who is also a Vice President of the centre-right European Peoples’ Party (EPP) and 52 other MEPs made the nomination for EuroMaidan. The pro-European Ukrainian movement is represented by the journalist Mustafa Nayem, the musician and Eurovision winner Ruslana Lyzhychko, activist  Yelyzaveta Schepetylnykova and journalist Tetiana Chornovol.

The Sakharov Prize, named after Soviet scientist and dissident Andrei Sakharov, was established in 1988 by the European Parliament. The last recipients were the Russian civil rights society Memorial in 2009, the Cuban dissident Guillermo Fariñas in 2010, representatives of the Arab people in recognition of their role in the Arab spring, for 2011, imprisoned Iranian human rights lawyer Nasrin Sotoudeh and filmmaker Jafar Panahi for 2012 and young Pakistani Malala Yousafzai for 2013.

Saryusz-Wolski, who has invested personal energy in putting the Sakharov Prize on a par with the Nobel Peace Prize, makes nominations regularly and has an impressive rate of successful proposals.

The other nominations for 2014 are, in alphabetical order:

  • Mahmoud Al ‘Asali, a law professor from the University of Mosul who stood up for Christian rights and was killed last July, and Louis Raphael Sako, the Iraqi-born patriarch of the Chaldean Catholic Church, nominated for their defence of religious freedom in the country by the ECR group, Anna Záborská and 66 other MEPs.
  • The rappers Mouad Belghouate (also known as El Haqed from Morocco) and Ala Yaacoubi (also known as Weld El, from Tunisia) and the Egyptian blogger and political activist Alaa Abdel Fattah, nominated by the GUE/NGL group.
  • CHREDO, Open Doors, Oeuvre d’Orient and Aid to the Church in Need, organisations for the protection of Christian minorities, nominated by Philippe Juvin (EPP, France) and 60 other MEPs.
  • The Somali-born American activist Ayaan Hirsi Ali, defender of women’s rights in Islamic societies, known for her opposition to female genital mutilation, nominated by the Europe of freedom and direct democracy group (EFDD).
  • Denis Mukwege, a Congolese gynaecologist specialised in the treatment of rape victims and founder of the Panzi Hospital in Bukavu, in the Democratic Republic Congo, nominated by the S&D and ALDE groups and MEP Barbara Lochbihler (Greens, Germany).
  • Leyla Yunus, imprisoned Azerbaijani human rights activist and director of the Institute of Peace and Democracy, nominated by the Greens/EFA group and MEP Alexander Graf Lambsdorff (ALDE, Germany), MEP Marietje Schaake (ALDE, the Netherlands) and MEP Ramon Tremosa (ALDE, Spain).

In the past, some nominations have divided the European Parliament across party lines. All major European political families support the European course of Ukraine, which was illustrated by the recent ratification by MEPs of the EU-Ukraine Association Agreement. Those who voted against them are largely extreme-left and extreme-right MEPs.

The EuroMaidan protests started last November after then-President Viktor Yanukovich refused to sign the EU-Ukraine association agreement and instead took a course of rapprochement with Russia. Maidan is the central square of Kyiv, but EuroMaidan-type protests took place in other cities as well.

The post EuroMaidan Nominated For Sakharov Prize appeared first on Eurasia Review.

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