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New UN Report Highlights Impact Of Climate Change On Health

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By Rita Joshi

While a new UN report finds that health risks related to climate change are on the rise worldwide, it avers that coordinated international responses can help prevent some of the worst impacts of climate change on health.

“The report clearly highlights the need for the UN and partners to continuously strengthen their actions to support governments to build climate resilience, including measures to protect human health,” says Youssef Nassef, Director of the Adaptation Programme of the UNFCCC secretariat.

The report, which will be presented to governments during the next round of climate change negotiations to be held in Bonn from May 8-18, 2017, was prepared in collaboration with countries, the World Health Organization and other relevant expert organisations, under the Nairobi work programme − UN Knowledge-for-Action Climate Resilience Network.

Below follows an overview of the report’s main findings.

  1. Certain groups have a higher susceptibility to climate-sensitive health impacts owing to their age (children and elderly), gender (particularly pregnant women), social marginalisation (associated in some areas with indigenous populations, poverty or migration status), or other health conditions like HIV. The socioeconomic costs of health problems caused by climate change are considerable.
  2. Many infectious diseases, including water-borne ones, are highly sensitive to climate conditions. The main concern in both developed and developing countries was the increase in and increased geographical spread of diarrhoeal diseases, the report found.
  3. Climate change lengthens the transmission season and expands the geographical range of many diseases like malaria and dengue. For example, the conditions for dengue transmission are likely to expand significantly across the globe.
  4. Climate change will bring new and emerging health issues, including heatwaves and other extreme events. Heat stress can make working conditions unbearable and increase the risk of cardiovascular, respiratory and renal diseases.Additionally, it is estimated that 22.5 million people are displaced annually by climate or weather-related disasters, and these figures are expected to increase in the future. Climate-induced human mobility has a socioeconomic cost and can affect mental and physical health.
  1. Malnutrition and undernutrition were highlighted as a concern for a number of developing countries in Africa, Asia and Latin America, which discussed the impacts of climate change on food security, particularly in relation to floods and drought.

However, the report also highlights inspiring examples of adaptation solutions for health worldwide:

– The Climate Adaptation Management and Innovation Initiative of the World Food Programme develops climate-induced food insecurity analyses and practices to inform programming and decision-making. The initiative focuses on16 countries across Asia, the Middle East, and Eastern, Central and Northern Africa.

– In France, the Tiger Mosquito Surveillance Network monitors the tiger mosquito’s movements.

– The Smart Health Facilities Initiative and Smart Hospitals Toolkit is being implemented through the Pan American Health Organization in the Caribbean with the aim of supporting the governments of the selected countries to assess and prioritise vulnerability reduction investments in their health facilities.

– Some countries integrate health into their national adaptation plans (NAPs) and programmes. For example, Macedonia and six additional countries are part of an initiative of WHO and the German Federal Ministry for the Environment, Nature Conservation, Building and Nuclear Safety that brings health into adaptation plans.

– There are also a number of training and awareness-raising activities, including the Self-Learning Course on Climate Change and Health, developed by Mexico’s National Institute of Public Health in line with the joint Pan American Health Organization/WHO Strategy and Plan for Action on Climate Change. The training aims at raising awareness and improving knowledge on the health effects of climate change among the general public and other sectors.


Snowden: MOAB Destroyed Afghan Bunker Built By CIA – OpEd

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Destroying evidence? The US just spent $314 million to destroy the Islamic terrorist cave complex which the CIA built with help from Bin Laden.

The media is awash with enthusiastic reports that the US military has employed the largest conventional bomb ever designed, the Massive Ordnance Air Blast bomb or “MOAB” (18,000 lbs. of explosive, 22,000 lbs. total weight) on a cave-bunker complex in near Tora Bora in Afghanistan – the same place Osama bin Laden was supposedly hiding not long after 9-11.

The US says the complex was being used by ISIS.

US President Trump is receiving credit for the bombing, both from supporters and opponents (including former supporters), though he told the press he did not personally give the order.

Nevertheless, the bombing seems to fit into Trump’s declared strategy for fighting terrorism, described below (from 0:36 seconds).

Only one thing is being left out of the media reports. How did ISIS (or al Qaeda, or the Mujahadeen, or whichever Islamic terrorists the US is secretly backing this week) get such a wonderful bunker complex to begin with? Ed Snowden reminds us of the answer:

So $314 million to destroy, and untold millions more to build.

Are we seeing how the military-industrial complex works yet?

US VP Pence To Discuss North Korean Aggression On Asia-Pacific Trip

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By Cheryl Pellerin

US Vice President Mike Pence begins his first official trip to the Asia-Pacific region tomorrow to, among other things, reinforce the Trump administration’s full commitment to U.S. security alliances there, senior administration officials said Thursday.

Pence will visit top officials in Seoul, South Korea; Tokyo; Jakarta, Indonesia; and Sydney for discussions on economic engagement and evolving security challenges.

“You’ve seen the nuclear threat of North Korea,” a senior official said in a background phone call with reporters, “and we’ll reinforce those security alliances.”

Pence and President Donald J. Trump are working closely with Defense Secretary Jim Mattis, Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Marine Corps General Joe Dunford, National Security Advisor Army Lt. Gen. H.R. McMaster and the rest of the National Security Council to develop a military strategy for South Korea and the region as it relates to the entire national security strategy, an officials said in the call.

Discussions have had “particular emphasis on the belligerency of North Korea, [and] absolutely, we’ll be discussing that with our allies and partners at every stop,” the official added.

Military Options

The National Security Council already is assessing military options, the official added, “but we’ll work that as we sit down in discussions with [Army Gen. Vincent K. Brooks, commander of U.S. Forces Korea, United Nations Command and Republic of Korea-U.S. Combined Forces Command].”

An official on the media call said the topic of the Terminal High Altitude Area Defense, or THAAD, missile defense system probably would come up in discussions with officials in Seoul, “[and] we’re prepared to address that as well. It’s a critical point for the defense of South Korea in recognizing it’s not an offensive weapon. It’s there to prevent rockets slamming from the North Koreans.”

The two nations agreed in July on a plan to have a THAAD system on the Korean Peninsula, and the United States began shipping parts of it to South Korea last month.. China is opposed to the THAAD deployment, which it considers a threat to its own security interests, according to media reports.

The officials declined to comment on specifics of the strategy for stopping North Korea from launching ballistic missiles and testing nuclear weapons, although they said sanctions were one of the tools being considered.

“In our commitment to the Republic of Korea, we consult with them as well,” an official said. “Those discussions [are] part of the broader assessment with the National Security Council, so we wouldn’t get into the weeds in the military setting. That is the purview of the secretary of defense.”

Overriding Message

In the broad national security discussions, an official said they’d welcome the dialogue between Pence and South Korean leaders “as a continuation of dialogue that’s already been in place.”

The overriding national security message the vice president will be taking to South Korea “is that our long alliance between the United States and South Korea is the linchpin of peace and prosperity,” an official on the call said.

“The president takes national security as a top priority,” the official added, and … we have an ironclad commitment to all of our allies in the Asia-Pacific. We take their defense very seriously, and that is unwavering.”

US Defense Secretary Mattis To Visit Middle East, Africa

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US Defense Secretary Jim Mattis will embark April 17 on his fourth trip since becoming secretary. Mattis will reaffirm key U.S. military alliances, engage with strategic partners in the Middle East and Africa, and discuss cooperative efforts to counter destabilizing activities and defeat extremist terror organizations, according to a Defense Department news release.

Saudi Arabia, Egypt

Mattis will begin his trip April 18 with a stop in Saudi Arabia, where he will have a series of meetings with key international counterparts to strengthen commitments to the U.S.-Saudi security partnership.

On April 19, the secretary travels to Egypt to discuss regional security issues and participate in a wreath-laying ceremony at the Unknown Soldier Memorial in honor of fallen Egyptian soldiers.

Israel, Qatar, Djibouti

On April 20, Mattis arrives in Israel to meet with President Reuben Rivlin, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and Defense Minister Avigdor Lieberman. Additionally, the secretary will participate in a wreath-laying ceremony at the World Holocaust Remembrance Center.

On April 22, the secretary arrives in Qatar to meet with key international leadership and continue efforts to strengthen regional security architectures.

On April 23, Mattis will travel to Djibouti to meet with President Ismail Omar Guelleh to further the U.S-Djibouti commitment to promoting regional stability.

Sri Lanka: Sirisena Says New Year Is Connection Between Man And Nature – Statement

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The customary rites and rituals attached with the “Avurudda”, based on transition of sun, depict the social connotation of the deep and subtle connection between the man and nature in physical and spiritual facets since the origin of life on the planet earth many ages ago.

Manifestation of rituals during the Avurudu festivities is a living example for gratefulness of human being, since time immemorial, and such values are still alive in the collective consciousness of the people due to the strength of our cultural sprit in an age where the agricultural life style is being transformed, tremendously.

The entire gamut of the Avurudu customs portrays praising nature which is similar to a caring mother figure towards mankind; as she is offering humans the sustenance they need to survive. It also showcases renewal of the close relationships with fellow members of the society. The Avurudu Nakath system has paved the way to time management with a time table for the activities come under the Avurudu celebrations. Practicing the exchange of money at an auspicious time in all solemnity in the Avurudu celebrations is a deep-rooted value of our distinctive cultural heritage as it denotes being authentic in the transactions is a noblest manner as both giving and receiving are taking place simultaneously in a much transparent manner.

The intention of the whole range of Avurudu customs, marked in line with the transition of the Sun, is formation of a new man free from regressive thinking and menial attitudes.

“Aluth Avurudda” is a turning point of our lives as it resuscitates to serve as a catalyst to change our attitudes for bringing some fresh thinking.

Let’s determine to join hands to build a country where reconciliation and coexistence are given pride of place while making the victories achieved more meaningful.

I wish a very happy, prosperous and peaceful Aluth Avurudda for all Sri Lankans living in the country and overseas.

Russia’s FM Lavrov Meets With Syria’s Deputy Prime Minister

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Russia’s Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov held talks on Thursday in Moscow with Deputy Prime Minister and Minister of Foreign Affairs and Expatriates of the Syrian Arab Republic Walid Muallem.

The talks focused on the military-political situation in Syria after the US missile strike at the Syrian Air Force Shayrat Base early on April 7.

Sergey Lavrov reaffirmed Russia’s invariable stand in support of the sovereignty, independence and territorial integrity of Syria. He pointed out that Washington’s use of military force in circumvention of the UN Security Council was a gross violation of international law, ran contrary to the goals of fighting international terrorism, threatened regional and global security and undermined the collective efforts taken in Geneva and Astana to promote a political and diplomatic settlement in Syria. The ministers discussed joint moves that can be taken to minimise the negative consequences of the aggressive US action.

At the same time, they pointed out that the April 4 tragedy at Khan Sheikhoun should be thoroughly investigated by a geographically balanced group of OPCW experts. Sergey Lavrov welcomed Damascus’s willingness to let an OPCW mission inspect the Shayrat airfield and to create safe working conditions for the international experts.

Walid Muallem expressed gratitude for Russia’s support for the Syrian people, who have been living for the past six years amid an acute crisis and an open military conflict. The Syrian minister reaffirmed the Syrian government’s resolve to look for compromise solutions to internal political problems in order to end the violence and restore order and stability in the country.

The parties again said that there was no military solution to the Syrian crisis, which can be only settled by political and diplomatic means. In this context, they stressed the importance of continued negotiations in Astana and Geneva between the Syrian Government and the opposition.

While discussing the bilateral agenda, Mr Lavrov and Mr Muallem reaffirmed mutual resolve to continue to develop and strengthen broad bilateral cooperation and outlined ways to enhance the effectiveness of trade, economic and cultural cooperation.

US Overall And Core CPI Decline In March – Analysis

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Both the overall and core consumer price index declined in March. The overall index fell by 0.3 percent, while the core index declined by 0.1 percent. The overall index has increased by 2.4 percent over the last year, while the core index has risen by 2.0 percent.

The drop in the core index was not expected. This is the first decline in the core CPI since a 0.1 percent drop in January of 2010. Some of the factors leading to the decline were clearly anomalous. For example, the price of physicians’ services reportedly fell by 0.3 percent in March. They are now up by 3.0 percent over the last year.

Apparel prices fell by 0.7 percent. They are up 0.6 percent over the last year. Monthly movements in this component are often erratic. In the same vein, hotel prices reportedly fell by 2.4 percent in March and are up by 0.4 percent over the last year.

New vehicle prices dropped by 0.3 percent in March, while the price of used cars fell 0.9 percent. The former is likely an anomaly that will be reversed, new vehicle prices are up by 0.2 percent over the last year. However the drop in used vehicle prices likely reflects real conditions in the car market. Many subprime car loans are going bad, causing people to lose their cars and flood the used car market. Prices over the last year are down by 4.7 percent. The glut of used cars will put downward pressure on new car prices and sales over the next year or two.

Housing continues to be the one major area showing substantial price pressure. Rent proper rose by 0.3 percent in March and is up 3.9 percent over the last year. Owners’ equivalent rent rose by 0.2 percent and is up by 3.5 percent over the last year. Even the rate of inflation in college tuition appears to be well under control, with prices flat in March and up by just 1.9 percent over the last year. The story is a bit worse for child care, with prices rising by 0.1 percent in March and 3.1 percent over the last year.

A minor item in the index that is perhaps worth noting with tax day coming up, is that the cost of tax preparation and other accounting services jumped by 2.4 percent in March. It is up by 6.5 percent over the last year.

There is also no evidence of inflation at earlier stages in the production process. Final demand prices in the producer price index fell by 0.1 percent in March. They are up 2.3 percent over the last year, driven by higher energy prices. The core index for final demand prices was flat last month and is up by 1.6 percent over the last year. This is a slightly more rapid rate of increase than we saw through most of 2016, but still below the growth rates of 2013 and 2014, which peaked on a year-over-year basis at 2.1 percent in May of 2014.

Nonfuel import prices rose 0.2 percent in March and is up 1.0 percent over the last year. Export prices excluding food and fuel rose by 0.3 percent in March, but are up by just 0.9 percent over the last year.

It is very hard to see any evidence of increasing inflationary pressures in the price reports for March. The only major area where there is notable price pressure is housing. The CPI without food, energy, and shelter, is up just 1.0 percent over the last year. The rate of inflation in this measure has actually been trending downward over the last year. It peaked at 1.6 percent in February of 2016 (it had been over 2.0 percent in 2011 and 2012), and has gradually edged downward. Since price trends in rents do not follow the same pattern as other prices, it is probably reasonable to remove them when considering a true core index. In any case, even including housing costs, there is no case to be made that inflation is accelerating, and if these costs are excluded, the rate of inflation appears to be slowing.

Supply Crunch Or Oil Glut: Investment Banks Can’t Agree – Analysis

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By Tsvetana Paraskova

In recent years, U.S. shale has thrown in another unknown in the mix of factors driving the price of oil. This year, shale output forecasts combine with OPEC’s production cuts, geopolitical factors, and unexpected outages to further complicate supply/demand and oil price forecasts by Wall Street’s major investment banks.

The biggest banks remain bullish on oil prices, expecting moderate price gains by the end of the year, even after last month WTI prices dropped below $50 for a couple of weeks.

But analyst projections about oil global supply and demand are increasingly diverging, because expectations of the combined effects of OPEC’s cuts, U.S. shale production, new oil discoveries, and new project start-ups also differ a lot.

Goldman Sachs, for example, expects a “material oversupply” in 2018-2019, due to the increase in mega projects production in 2017-19 as a result of the record spending in those projects between 2011 and 2013. Short-cycle shale output will also add to the glut, says Goldman, projecting an additional 1 million bpd to global supply by 2018-2019 coming from the mega projects sanctioned before the oil price crash and from U.S. shale output.

Morgan Stanley, however, begs to differ, and has recently said that “by 2020, we estimate that [around] 1.5 million bpd of demand will need to come from projects that have not been sanctioned yet, but that have break-even oil prices of $70-75 a barrel.

UBS, for its part, expects a 4-million-bpd supply gap by 2020.

Beyond 2017, the impact of a collapse in longer-cycle conventional investment over 2014-16 begins to be felt. 2015 saw just six major upstream projects totaling [some] 0.6 million bpd … versus the 3-4 million bpd average, and 2016 has seen just one major liquids project sanctioned,” UBS strategist Jon Rigby told Reuters.

Analysts and industry bodies warn of a supply crunch, especially after 2020, when the effect of the significantly lowered investments in conventional projects during the downturn will show. The International Energy Agency (IEA) sees a shortage in oil supply after 2020, “unless new projects are approved soon“. According to the IEA, supply could lag demand in a few years, which could lead to a surge in oil prices.

In the next few years, oil supply is growing in the United States, Canada, Brazil and elsewhere but this growth could stall by 2020 if the record two-year investment slump of 2015 and 2016 is not reversed. While investments in the US shale play are picking up strongly, early indications of global spending for 2017 are not encouraging,” the IEA said in a report last month.

According to Wood Mackenzie, although projects around the world slated for final investment decisions (FIDs) will double this year compared with 2016, and prospects for 2017 are largely looking good, “the longer-term deepwater pipeline is more challenged.”

The oil price slump has not only deferred some investment decisions, it has also forced companies to scale back exploration spending for conventional oil.

Last year, total global discovered volumes of oil and gas combined hit their lowest since the 1940s, according to Rystad Energy. The Oslo-based consultancy sees exploration activity slowly picking up from 2018.

Although last year’s low discovery volumes won’t have an immediate effect on global supply, they could influence supply a decade or so into the future because of the long lead-time in sanctioning conventional oil developments and actual production start-ups.

Meanwhile, short-cycle U.S. shale is now more flexible in scaling back or resuming production, depending on the price of oil and well economics. This adds another conundrum for investment banks in predicting oil prices – how fast U.S. supply could grow and how many barrels it could add on the global oil market.

Source: http://oilprice.com/Energy/Energy-General/Supply-Crunch-Or-Oil-Glut-Investment-Banks-Cant-Agree.html


Justice Deferred: 15 Year Anniversary Of Eritrea-Ethiopia Boundary Commission Verdict – OpEd

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This week represents 15 years since the Eritrea Ethiopia Boundary Commission (EEBC) made its ruling to solve the border conflict between the neighbouring countries. However, its decisions, presented on 13 April 2002, remain unimplemented, constituting a flagrant violation of fundamental international law, calling into question the moral authority of several international organizations, serving as a serious impediment to peace and development in the Horn of Africa, and leading to the destabilization of the region through contributing to unnecessary rivalry, tension, conflict, and insecurity.

Between 1998 and 2000, Eritrea and Ethiopia waged a bitter war. The conflict, partly based on a dispute over the precise location of extensive parts of the boundary between Eritrea and Ethiopia, led to the death of tens of thousands on both sides (it is estimated that Eritrea lost about 19,000 soldiers, while Ethiopia’s losses are estimated at between 70,000-130,000 soldiers), large-scale displacement of civilians, and was highly costly for both countries. In June 2000, the two countries signed the Agreement on Cessation of Hostilities in Algiers, and then in December 2000, President Isaias Afwerki of Eritrea and Prime Minister Meles Zenawi of Ethiopia signed the Algiers Peace Agreement. Inter-alia, the agreement called for both parties to permanently terminate hostilities and refrain from the threat or use of force, established an independent and impartial Boundary Commission to delimit and demarcate borders based on pertinent colonial treaties (from 1900, 1902, and 1908) and applicable international law, sought to determine the conflict’s origins, and established a Claims Commission to assess damages and losses caused by the conflict.

Subsequently, in 2001, the EEBC was formally established in accordance with the terms and conditions of the Algiers Peace Agreement. The EEBC consisted of five members; Ethiopia and Eritrea appointed two commissioners each, while the fifth commissioner, serving as the president of the Commission, was selected by the party-appointed commissioners. After a lengthy investigation and litigation process, the Commission rendered its decisions on 13 April 2002 at the Permanent Court of Arbitration at The Hague, with the entire process guaranteed by the United Nations (UN) and the OAU/AU and witnessed by the US, the European Union (EU), Algeria, and Nigeria. Importantly, the United Nations Security Council (UNSC) was charged with guaranteeing the EEBC ruling and enforcing implementation without preconditions.

The EEBC ruling presented both countries with gains and losses; however, one of the EEBC’s most significant decisions saw the flashpoint of the 1998-2000 war, the rural border town of Badme, awarded to Eritrea. While Eritrea accepted the EEBC’s decisions in their entirety and has generally sought to uphold the integrity of the Algiers Peace Agreement, and although Article 4.15 of the agreement clearly stipulates that both parties “agree that the delimitation and demarcation determinations of the Commission shall be final and binding,” Ethiopia has completely failed to abide by its international legal obligations and responsibilities. Instead, it has persistently sought to obstruct or reverse the EEBC’s decisions, continued to militarily occupy large swathes of Eritrean territory (including Badme), and sustained a policy of unremitting aggression and hostility toward Eritrea.

Somewhat ironically, shortly after the verdict, Ethiopia actually appeared to accept the EEBC ruling; both the Ethiopian Foreign Minister and the country’s parliament made statements proclaiming Ethiopia’s “satisfaction” with and wholehearted “acceptance” of the decision, and the Ethiopian government also expressed gratitude to the Commission for delivering a “just” verdict, even calling on the international community to “compel Eritrea to agree to a speedy demarcation.” However, this line of approach was quickly and dramatically reversed. In 2003, Ethiopia denounced the ruling as “illegal, unjust and irresponsible,” while castigating the Boundary Commission and seeking to reopen the EEBC’s decisions through an “alternative mechanism.” Subsequently, in 2004, Ethiopia vacillated again, this time shifting its position to claim that it accepted the ruling “in principle,” but within the context of various and numerous reservations, qualifications, and preconditions prior to implementation. Importantly, Ethiopia also began to establish illegal settlements within sovereign Eritrean territories, and in 2006 the Ethiopian Foreign Minister, Seyoum Mesfin, sent a highly-publicized letter to the President of the EEBC, Sir Elihu Lauterpacht, again criticizing the EEBC and even assigning blame to the Commission for Ethiopia’s own failure to meet its international obligations under the agreement.

Beyond its outright military occupation of sovereign Eritrean territories and rejection and obstruction of the EEBC ruling, Ethiopia has also retained a policy of unrelenting aggression toward Eritrea.

Less than a year ago, on 12 June 2016, Ethiopia launched a large, unprovoked attack against Eritrea on the Tsorona Central Front, leading to the death of hundreds of Ethiopians and 18 Eritreans. Notably, the region, located along the tense, militarized border between the two countries, was the scene of some of the fiercest fighting during the 1998-2000 war. It is important to note that such aggression, described by the Nuremberg Tribunal as “the supreme international crime,” is a grave breach of fundamental international law and the UN Charter, as well as a clear, direct violation of Article 1.1 of the Algiers Peace Agreement. Rather than an isolated incident, however, the mid-2016 attack was but the latest in a long series of deadly provocations by Ethiopia since the end of the destructive 1998-2000 war. For example, on 16 March 2012, the Ethiopian government crossed into Eritrean territory and attacked several Eritrean military installations.

Ethiopia not only occupies sovereign Eritrean territory and engages in frequent illegal incursions into and attacks against Eritrea, it also regularly makes calls for the overthrow of the Eritrean government and, through belligerent, threatening statements via government-owned media outlets, boldly proclaims its intentions to carry out “military action to oust the regime in Eritrea,” – again, violating the UN Charter (e.g. Article 2.4), international law, and the Algiers Peace Agreement. For instance, in 2014, Ethiopia’s Prime Minister, Hailemariam Desalegn, announced that the “no war, no peace situation with Eritrea is over. Ethiopia from now on is ready to take military action against Eritrea,” while in 2015 and early 2016, he claimed Ethiopia was ready to take “proportionate military action against Eritrea.” As well, shortly after the disastrous June 2016 attack, high-level Ethiopian officials (including the Prime Minister, Minister of Defence, and Minister of Government Communication) proudly boasted in parliament about Ethiopia’s aggressive actions against Eritrea (including statements made on 14 June, 28 June, and 5 July 2016).

A point of particular concern that arises in exploring the ongoing stalemate is that although the entire EEBC process was guaranteed by the UN, UNSC, and OAU/AU, and witnessed by the US, EU, Algeria, and Nigeria, the international community has effectively ignored Ethiopia’s complete failure to abide by its international legal obligations and responsibilities for demarcating the border. Instead of condemning Ethiopia’s illegal military occupation and repeated aggressive actions or calling for the immediate, unconditional implementation of the EEBC ruling, the international community, principally led by the US, have turned a blind eye, abdicated their responsibility, and been acquiescent to Ethiopia’s persistent violations and hostile behavior.

Unwavering support for and appeasement of Ethiopia, despite its utter contempt for international treaties or laws, are part of a policy approach based upon the misguided belief, dating back to the immediate post-World War 2 period but rearticulated more recently in terms of regional “anchor states” designations, that US and Western geostrategic interests and foreign policy aims can be better protected and served by Ethiopia.

During the immediate post-World War 2 period, UN Resolution 390 (V) of 2 December 1950 stifled Eritrea’s hopes for decolonization and independence, forcibly federating Eritrea, a former Italian colony, with Ethiopia because Ethiopia was seen as a key partner “in the fight against the Soviet-led spread of Communism in Africa,” and as so pointedly expressed by John Foster Dulles, the then US Secretary of State, “the strategic interests of the United States in the Red Sea Basin and considerations of security and world peace make it necessary that the country [Eritrea] be linked with our ally, Ethiopia.” Shortly thereafter, on 14 November 1952, in a move it would essentially repeat a half-century later, Ethiopia violated the principles of the international resolution, declaring the Eritrean Constitution void, ending the federal status of Eritrea, dissolving the Eritrean parliament, and incorporating Eritrea into Ethiopia as a province. These developments would lead to Eritrea’s 30-year armed struggle for independence, which ultimately culminated with an Eritrean victory in 1991.

Since World War 2, the US, with the West in tow, has maintained a close alliance with a series of autocratic Ethiopian leaders, providing them with considerable economic, diplomatic, and military support and permitting them to act with impunity. Annually, Ethiopia receives hundreds of millions of dollars in aid from a variety of bilateral and multilateral sources – for 2016/17 alone, Ethiopia was to receive $US918 million in assistance, just from the US – while its grave transgressions of international law and human rights standards (both at home and abroad) are overlooked.

In regard to the 1998-2000 conflict and subsequent EEBC ruling, there was heavy-handed involvement by the US during both the conflict and throughout the peace negotiation process on the side of Ethiopia. In 1998, Susan Rice, then serving under former President Bill Clinton as Assistant Secretary of State for African Affairs, completely failed to adequately or impartially mediate a peace plan between warring Ethiopia and Eritrea. Her total “misreading of the situation” elicited the fury of then US Secretary of State Madeleine Albright, who quickly summoned Rice back to Washington after negotiations collapsed. Subsequently, after the EEBC ruling, a number of Wikileaks cables reveal how successive US administrations have sought to keep the “[Eritrean-Ethiopian] border dispute frozen,” if not reverse or “reopen the 2002 EEBC decision,” since Ethiopia is an “indispensable partner” in the region.

As well, Ambassador John Bolton, former US Permanent Representative to the UN, in his book Surrender is not an Option: Defending America at the United Nations readily acknowledges that although “Ethiopia had agreed on a mechanism to resolve the border dispute in 2000…[it] was welching on its deal in flat violation of its commitments.” Notably, Bolton also strongly questions the efforts of the former US Assistant Secretary of State for African Affairs, Jendayi Frazer, to overturn the border ruling in Ethiopia’s favor, noting, “[f]or reasons I never understood, however, Frazer reversed course, and asked in early February [2006] to reopen the 2002 EEBC decision, which she had concluded was wrong, and award a major piece of disputed territory to Ethiopia. I was at a loss how to explain that to the Security Council, so I didn’t” (2007: 347). Furthermore, a June 2006 memo by Azouz Ennifar, the former Acting Special Representative of the United Nations Secretary General (UNSG) to Eritrea and Ethiopia, reveals how Frazer “developed parallel tracks to deal with the [EEBC ruling and implementation],” essentially condoning and supporting Ethiopia’s rejection of the verdict and violation of international law.

In addition to unreservedly shielding Ethiopia’s noncompliance and intransigence, the misguided approach of the US has also, in the words of the former US Assistant Secretary of State for African Affairs, extended to attempting to “pin down and punish Eritrea” for refusing to give up the legal course in terms of the EEBC. This strategy has involved attempts to isolate Eritrea through scuppering foreign agreements and economic deals, as well as the utilization of unjustified international sanctions.

According to a leaked US embassy cable in Addis Ababa sent by Chargé d’Affaires Vicki Huddleston (dated 1 November 2005), the strategy of the US-backed Ethiopian proxy was to, “isolate Eritrea and wait for it to implode economically.” Moreover, a cable sent by Chargé d’Affaires Roger Meece (30 November 2009) exposes how the “USG [US Government] has worked to undercut support for Eritrea,” while another cable (2 November 2009) reveals that the German government’s rescinding of a credit guarantee to banks for a commercial loan of $US146 million to Eritrea’s Bisha mining project was the result of “caving in to…American pressure.”

Additionally, on 23 December 2009, the UNSC adopted Resolution 1907 (2009) imposing a sanctions regime against Eritrea, which was then expanded on 5 December 2011 via UNSC Resolution 2023. Importantly, not only is it increasingly acknowledged that the original imposition of sanctions was biased and lacking in basis – a series of Wikileaks cables reveal how the sanctions were actively planned and pushed for through close cooperation and shadowy backroom dealings by the US and Ethiopia – their continuance has widely become recognized as illegitimate, counterproductive, unjustified, and not based upon a genuine concern for international peace or security. Over several years, a long series of UN Somalia Eritrea Monitoring Group (UN SEMG) reports have consistently concluded that they have found “no evidence of Eritrea’s support for Al-Shabaab,” while in 2010 Eritrea and Djibouti signed a comprehensive agreement entrusting Qatar to play a mediating role, quickly followed by a process of implementation. It is quite telling that in 2014, while 14 Security Council members wanted to lift the sanctions, the US vetoed the move. Essentially, the sanctions constitute an extension of the unwarranted hostile US policy toward Eritrea for its principled adherence to the EEBC’s border ruling and for Eritrea’s opposition to misguided US policies in the Horn of Africa. As so aptly put by Ambassador Herman Cohen, former US Assistant Secretary of State for African Affairs, the sanctions against are a “gross miscarriage of justice.”

It is tremendously difficult to overlook the troubling paradox that Eritrea remains burdened by sanctions – even, as it must be underscored, in the absence of any supportive evidence for their pretext and despite its acceptance of the EEBC’s ruling and its regular calls for unconditional implementation – while the UN and the international community continue to ignore, if not enable and support, Ethiopia’s complete failure to abide by its international legal obligations and responsibilities for demarcating the border, and its ongoing military occupation and state of war and aggression toward Eritrea. Moreover, in a twisted case of illogic, Eritrea is further punished since the sanctions (particularly the arms embargo and severe limitations on defensive materials) effectively mean it is restricted in defending itself – a fundamental international right enshrined under the UN Charter – against Ethiopia’s military occupation and unrelenting aggression or terror-related threats which abound throughout the region.

Ultimately, the international community has utterly failed the people of Eritrea, Ethiopia, and the broader region. To be clear, there is no longer a contested or disputed border between Eritrea and Ethiopia; rather, there is only an ongoing military occupation of sovereign Eritrean territories, including Badme, by Ethiopia and an unrelenting state of hostility and aggression by the latter toward the former. Not only is the international community’s failure to act morally vacuous, with the international community, led by the US, effectively complicit in the ongoing violation of fundamental international law by Ethiopia, the continued lack of implementation of the EEBC has served to impede regional development, reduce prospects for peace or security, and led to the destabilization of the entire Horn of Africa region through contributing to unnecessary rivalry and tension.

Moving forward, it is quite apparent and highly imperative that the international community shoulder its legal responsibility and obligations by genuinely censuring Ethiopia’s illegal military occupation and repeated aggressive actions towards Eritrea, and calling for the immediate, unconditional implementation of the “final and binding” EEBC decisions. Importantly, such steps will both reflect and fulfill commitments to key principles of international law, represent positive gestures that can help encourage fruitful and effective cooperation, remove unnecessary, harmful distractions and support the addressing of internal issues and challenges within both countries, support the two countries’ socio-economic growth and development (prior to the two-year conflict, Ethiopia and Eritrea enjoyed strong economic relations), and ultimately potentially prove to be useful measures toward promoting lasting, sustainable peace, security, and stability.

US Conducts Flight Test Of Gravity Nuclear Bomb In Nevada

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The US recently completed flight testing for its gravity nuclear bomb in Nevada.

The Department of Energy’s National Nuclear Security Administration said on Thursday that the U.S Air Force completed the first qualification flight test of the B61-12 gravity bomb on March 14 at Tonopah Test Range in Nevada.

According to the National Nuclear Security Administration, the non-nuclear test assembly was dropped from an F-16 based at Nellis Air Force Base. The test evaluated both the weapon’s non-nuclear functions as well as the aircraft’s capability to deliver the weapon.

This event is the first of a series that will be conducted over the next three years to qualify the B61-12 for service. Three successful development flight tests were conducted in 2015.

“This demonstration of effective end-to-end system performance in a realistic ballistic flight environment marks another on-time achievement for the B61-12 Life Extension Program,” said Brig. Gen. Michael Lutton, NNSA’s principal assistant deputy administrator for military application. “The successful test provides critical qualification data to validate that the baseline design meets military requirements. It reflects the nation’s continued commitment to our national security and that of our allies and partners.”

The flight test included hardware designed by Sandia and Los Alamos national laboratories, manufactured by the Nuclear Security Enterprise plants, and mated to the tail-kit assembly section, designed by the Boeing Company under contract with the Air Force Nuclear Weapons Center.

The B61-12 consolidates and replaces four B61 bomb variants in the nation’s nuclear arsenal. The first production unit is scheduled to be completed by March 2020, the National Nuclear Security Administration said.

USS Stethem Operates In South China Sea

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The US’ guided-missile destroyer USS Stethem is conducting routine operations in the South China Sea, according to the US Navy.

While in the area, the Stethem completed a refueling at sea with Her Majesty’s New Zealand Ship Endeavour, to allow the Stethem to remain mission ready, the Navy said in a press statement.

“Conducting these types of operations with our allies builds proficiency and sustains our ability to maintain a persistent presence throughout the 7th Fleet area of operations,” according to Command Senior Chief William Palmer IV.

During operations, the Stethem has regularly communicated with naval vessels from the People’s Republic of China. Nations utilize the Code for Unplanned Encounters at Sea (CUES) to communicate navigational intentions to ensure safe maneuvering.

Since departing Japan earlier this year, Stethem has operated extensively in the Western Pacific. In addition to the current operations in the South China Sea, the ship and its crew operated in the waters off the Korean Peninsula alongside the Carl Vinson Strike Group and the Republic of Korea (ROK) Navy during the 2017 Foal Eagle exercise. In conjunction with Foal Eagle, Stethem conducted routine port visits in the Republic of Korea, including the island of Jeju-do, where Stethem was the first foreign warship to visit the new Jeju Joint Civil-Military Complex.

Stethem, assigned to Commander, Destroyer Squadron 15, and is on patrol in the U.S. 7th Fleet area of operations in support of security and stability in the Indo-Asia-Pacific region

South Sudan: New Spate Of Ethnic Killings, Says HRW

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Government soldiers and allied militias deliberately killed at least 16 civilians in South Sudan’s western town of Wau on April 10, 2017, in what appears to be an act of collective punishment, Human Rights Watch said Friday. The attacks were against people presumed to support the opposition because of their ethnicity.

The killings followed weeks of tensions in the area, where South Sudan’s government has carried out an abusive counterinsurgency operation since late 2015. When the UN Security Council meets to discuss South Sudan later in April, it should condemn these crimes and ask the peacekeeping mission in South Sudan what steps it intends to take to deter further revenge killings in Wau and the surrounding area.

“The pattern of abuses by government forces against civilians in Wau has become predictable, with soldiers taking revenge against unarmed civilians based on their ethnicity,” said Daniel Bekele, senior director for Africa advocacy at Human Rights Watch. “The South Sudan authorities need to call a halt to the killings, investigate, and bring those responsible to justice.”

In November, a special investigation commissioned by the UN recommended that peacekeepers should move around in armored vehicles rather than remaining in their bases to better identify threats to civilian lives and prevent rapes on their doorstep. The UN is expected to release an update on steps it has taken to carry out those recommendations on April 17.

Hostilities erupted on April 8, outside of Wau, when government forces opened an offensive on opposition-controlled areas and opposition groups counter-attacked. The opposition killed two high-ranking government officers, including a prominent member of the Dinka tribe from the neighboring Lakes region.

On April 10, government soldiers and Dinka militiamen went from house to house in ethnic Fertit and Luo neighbourhoods on the southwest side of Wau, and killed at least 16 civilians, apparently in retaliation for the killing of the two men. Government authorities prevented UN peacekeepers from moving freely around the town, limiting their access to areas where the violence occurred.

The recent violence displaced nearly 8,000 people, about 3,800 of who sought safety in the Catholic church. Others have moved to a site adjacent to the United Nations’ Mission to South Sudan base, where more than 25,000 people had already gathered under UN protection.

A 26-year-old Fertit, mother-of-four, who is married to a Luo and was living in the Nazareth neighbourhood, said she was at home preparing a fire when she heard gunshots in the morning of April 10: “The attackers came over to my house. They wore civilian clothes, had their faces whitened with ashes, and carried spears and guns. I lied and told them that my husband was a Dinka and they said they would not kill me because I am their wife. They said: ‘don’t go out in the streets because we are killing people.’ When it calmed down, I went to my neighbor’s house. She had been shot in the eye. Her four children, between 3 and 15, were hiding under the bed. They were killed too. I saw their bodies.”

Human Rights Watch expressed concern about the possibility of further attacks on civilians, and urged the peacekeeping mission, UNMISS, to increase the number of troops stationed in Wau and to ensure adequate patrols of sensitive areas, such as around the Catholic church and southwest of the city. After Kenyan troops withdrew from the peacekeeping mission in 2016, the contingent in Wau has been short staffed. The UN’s response to the deteriorating situation in Wau will be an important test of the mission’s ability to improve protection of civilians in hostile environments, especially following attacks on bases in Malakal and Juba last year, Human Rights Watch said.

In Wau, the abuses have followed a familiar pattern in recent years, with hostilities between government soldiers and opposition forces followed by retaliatory attacks by mostly Dinka government forces and militias against ethnic Fertit and Luo civilians.

In May 2016, Human Rights Watch documented a surge in government abuses against civilians in Wau and surrounding villages beginning in late December 2015, after the government deployed a large numbers of new soldiers, mostly Dinka from the former states of Northern Bahr el-Ghazal and Warrap, to the area. Government soldiers were responsible for a spate of targeted killings and arbitrary detentions and abuse of ethnic Fertit and Luo civilians in February and again in June. The violence and abuses in June forced more than 70,000 to flee.

South Sudan’s government has taken little action to stop these attacks on civilians. Following each round of violence in 2016, president Salva Kiir appointed investigation committees. The first one visited Wau in March and the second in in early July. A report submitted to president Kiir on August 1 found that at least 50 civilians had been killed on June 24 and 25, more than 100 shops were looted, and tens of thousands of civilians were displaced; but no further criminal investigations or prosecutions were carried out. While the media reported that the army executed two soldiers on July 22 who had been convicted by a military court for the murder of two civilians in a residential area of Wau, no other steps were taken.

On April 12, President Kiir announced an investigation of the most recent killings. But the government’s track record of investigating these kinds of incidents in Wau and its weak judicial system raise questions about its credibility. Credible criminal investigations and transparent judicial procedures against those responsible are urgently needed, Human Rights Watch said.

The government forces’ continuing crimes against civilians in Wau and the lack of accountability underscore the urgent need for the hybrid court envisioned in the 2015 peace agreement. Despite the agreement, government soldiers have committed widespread violence against civilians, not just in Wau, but also in Juba, Malakal and the Equatorias, Human Rights Watch researchers found.

Human Rights Watch has also repeatedly called on the United Nations Security Council to impose a comprehensive arms embargo on South Sudan to reduce harm to civilians by increasing the cost of weapons used to attack them. In December 2016, an attempt to pass an arms embargo at the Security Council failed when eights members abstained. They included Egypt and Japan, which still sit on the Security Council.

“South Sudan’s military commanders have once again shown they won’t stop the abuse or hold anyone to account, and instead they obstruct peacekeepers from doing their jobs to protect civilians,” Bekele said. “The UN Security Council should make it clear that there will be a price to pay for this kind of obstruction.”

Philippines: Interfaith Group Report On Killings To UN

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An interfaith delegation from the Philippines raised concerns over drug-related killings during a meeting with the special rapporteur on extrajudicial killings at the United Nations.

“We have documented many of the thousands that were killed without due process, mostly from urban poor communities,” said Redemptorist Brother Ciriaco Santiago. He said the impact of the killings “is mind-numbing and heart-wrenching.”

“The victims have left behind many orphaned children and young and jobless widows,” said Brother Santiago who joined the Philippine Universal Periodic Review Watch, a network of faith-based and human rights groups, at the meeting in Geneva on April 5.

Father Jonash Joyohoy, a member of the Philippine Independent Church, also raised before the international body the lack of government action “to actively protect” human rights defenders.

Father Joyohoy said activists and human rights advocates are “subjected to threat and intimidation, surveillance, trumped up charges, red-tagging, enforced disappearances, and killings.”

The National Council of Churches in the Philippines, in its presentation before the U.N. body, cited the killings of tribal people and poor farmers caught in he middle of the government’s anti-insurgency war.

“This culture of impunity is a major factor for continued violations of human rights under the present government,” said Johanna May dela Cruz of the Protestant church organization.

The interfaith group called on the international community to pressure the Philippine government to end the killings.

The third cycle of the Universal Periodic Review on the Philippines human rights situation is set for May 8.

When Choosing A Profile Picture, Let Strangers Do The Job

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When trying to pick the most flattering pictures for online profiles, it may be best to let a stranger do the choosing, a study published in the open access journal Cognitive Research: Principles and Implications suggests.

In the first study to investigate the process by which people choose their profile pictures, a team led by researchers at UNSW Sydney, Australia found that images selected by strangers convey more favorable first impressions than images people select for themselves. The findings appear to contradict previous research which showed that people tend to portray themselves more favorably than others.

Dr David White, lead author of the study said: “Our findings suggest that people make poor choices when selecting flattering images of themselves for online profile pictures, which affects other people’s perception of them. This effect is likely to have a substantial impact on online interactions, the impressions people form and the decisions they base on them, including whether to employ, date, befriend or even vote for someone.”

Dr White said: “Previous work has shown that people make inferences about an individual’s character and personality within a split second of seeing a photograph of their face, so our results have clear practical implications; if you want to put your best face forward, it makes sense to ask someone else to choose your picture.”

To find out whether selecting one’s own profile picture might have a positive or negative effect on first impressions, the researchers asked 102 students to select two out of 12 photos of their own face that they were most or least likely to use as a profile picture in three online network contexts: social networks, dating sites and professional networks.

Participants were then asked to do the same for 12 images of a randomly selected stranger who had participated in the study previously. The researchers found that people tended to select images that highlighted positive personality traits in line with the context of the website that the image was for.

Dr White said: “Our results demonstrate that people know how to select profile pictures that fit specific networking contexts and make positive impressions on strangers: dating images appear more attractive, and professional images appear more competent.”

However, when the researchers showed these images to unfamiliar viewers (i.e. strangers) they had recruited via the internet and asked them to rate how attractive, trustworthy, dominant, confident or competent the person in them appeared, they found that the images people had selected for themselves made a less favorable impression than images selected by others.

Dr White added: “Future research needs to investigate the mechanisms that underlie the choices people make when selecting profile pictures to find out why people seem to have a limited ability to select the most flattering images of themselves.”

Methane Seeps In Canadian High Arctic

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Cretaceous climate warming led to a significant methane release from the seafloor, indicating potential for similar destabilization of gas hydrates under modern global warming. A field campaign on the remote Ellef Ringnes Island, Canadian High Arctic, discovered an astounding number of methane seep mounds in Cretaceous age sediments.

Seep mounds are carbonate deposits, often hosting unique fauna, which form at sites of methane leakage into the seafloor. Over 130 were found covering over 10,000 square kilometers of the Cretaceous sea floor. They occurred over a very short time interval immediately following onset of Cretaceous global warming, suggesting that the warming destabilized gas hydrates and released a large burb of methane. Given that methane has 20 times the impact of CO2 as a greenhouse gas, such a release could have accelerated global warming at that time. This discovery supports concerns of potential destabilization of modern methane hydrates.

Background

A field campaign was run during 2009-2011 to map the geology of Ellef Ringnes Island. Around the same size as Jamaica, this is one of the most remote and difficult to access islands in the Canadian High Arctic, and as such not much was known about the geology. A remote helicopter supported field camp was established in 2009, with a peak of 30 geoscientists working from the camp in 2010 as part of the Geological Survey of Canada’s GEM Program. The island, and its neighbor Amund Ringnes Island, were named after brothers who founded Norway’s Ringnes Brewery that funded the exploration of the region conducted by Otto Sverdrup in the early 1900s

As part of this work, Krista Williscroft, Stephen Grasby, and colleagues intended to reinvestigate strange spaghetti-like rock that was noticed, but the origin not understood, during the first geologic mapping of the island in the 1970s. Years later, a geologist saw a sample of this feature sitting on his colleague’s desk and was intrigued by its spaghetti like nature. Chemical analyses revealed that this was a carbonate rock formed by the oxidation of methane, and the spaghetti texture was formed by fossil tube worms. This was shortly after the first discovery of methane cold seeps in the modern oceans and became the first recognition of such features in the geologic record. In this case, it was known to have formed during the Cretaceous, the time of the dinosaurs roamed the earth, around 110 million years ago. Sadly, these original samples were lost, and given the remoteness of the location, it was not possible to gain more, limiting any further work.

Methane Cold Seeps

Methane cold seeps are similar to the more famous black smokers in that they form isolated ecosystems as oasis in the deep ocean, but are lower temperatures and form away from mid-ocean ridges. They forms at sites were natural methane gas leaks into seawater. Microbes oxidase this methane as a source of energy and produce carbonate deposits as a by-product. In the modern world, these sites are characterized by an unusual abundance of tube worms, bivalves (clams), molluscs, and other animals that survive on the microbial mats that grow there. In the rock record, they stand out as very unusual features that have this strange spaghetti-like appearance related to fossil tube worms and an abundance of other fossils. As they form in deep water they also stand out as resistant carbonate mounds in rock that is otherwise easily eroded shale.

New Discovery

In 2010 the intention was to revisit the site first discovered in the 1970s. It stood out as a small mound on the otherwise rolling landscape of arctic tundra. From this site another mound could be seen in the distance, which raised the tantalizing possibility of a second site. Some hard walking through thick mud paid off when it was reached, revealing another fossil methane seep. From there a further mound could be seen, and on and on. This lead to more than four weeks of trudging from mound to mound through muddy tundra, and the discovery of over 130 methane seep mounds in the rock record. This is now one of the most extensive sites of these features known anywhere in the world, covering more than 10,000 square kilometers.

Implications

A key feature of this discovery is recognition that all the seep mounds formed during a very narrow range of geologic time. Because they form by leakage of methane into seawater it implies that something at that time caused a large release of methane into the ocean. The timing is coincident with a period of global warming, and Williscroft and colleagues suggest that it was this warming that released methane frozen as methane hydrates in the sea floor, as a relatively sudden methane “burp.” If correct, this has important implications for modern warming of the Arctic Ocean. Similar frozen methane hydrates occur throughout the same arctic region as they did in the past, and warming of the ocean and release of this methane is of key concern as methane is 20x the impact of CO2 as a greenhouse gas. Release of methane hydrates has previously been suggested as a mechanism to drive runaway greenhouse events, as warming oceans releases trapped methane that causes further warming and releases more methane. The extensive methane seep mounds across the remote arctic island of Ellef Ringnes may be a caution from the past regarding potential impacts of modern warming of the Arctic Ocean.


Medieval Devotion Alive And Well For Handful Of Modern Romans

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By Ann Schneible

In the hours after evening Mass of the Lord’s Supper on Holy Thursday, a few pilgrims in Rome make their way to the Church of Saint Praxedes, home to a fragment of stone alleged to be the pillar upon which Jesus was scourged.

Known as the Column of the Flagellation, the stone offers an object of contemplation for those visiting the church to reflect on Christ’s Passion. This is especially true on Holy Thursday, when pilgrims traditionally go to churches throughout the city to venerate the decorated altars within which the Eucharist has been reposed in anticipation of Good Friday.

The column is kept in a glass reliquary in one of the side chapels of Saint Praxedes, a 9th century church named after an early Christian martyr who has long-standing devotion in Rome, but about whom little is known for certain.

The pillar itself, sculpted from black-and-white marble, was retrieved from the Holy Land during the medieval period.

Is the artifact which continues to be visited by pilgrims as the column of the scourging a true relic of Christ’s Passion? Most scholars would say this is highly doubtful.

Yet the probable in-authenticity of the pillar does not take away from the value in venerating it, says one expert. Rather, it is reminiscent of the genuine spirituality of medieval Christians, like those who found the pillar and brought it back from the Holy Land.

“The Middle Ages had a very powerful sense of God’s Providence,” said Gregory DiPippo, managing editor of the New Liturgical Movement website, “and to them you could almost say it was illogical that God would allow something like (the pillar) – which would have been Sanctified by being part of the Lord’s Passion – to go missing.”

Whether the true pillar of the flagellation still exists anywhere is uncertain. Jerusalem’s Chapel of the Apparition claims to have the true pillar: a broken red porphyry column which bears no resemblance to the artifact in Rome.

However, in speaking of Saint Praxedes pillar, DiPippo explained it was improbable that the original would have survived on account of the 1st century uprisings which led to the destruction of Jerusalem.

Nonetheless, there is inherent value in venerating an object that may not be genuine, when one takes into account the objective of veneration, he added.

In the Western tradition, “you aren’t venerating the object for its own sake, necessarily, but rather as an expression of a sort of realized presence of the person or the event that it represents.”

This point is further illustrated by comparing Western and Eastern liturgical practices, he said, observing that in the West, the priest incenses the relics of the saints, whereas Byzantines incense the images and icons.

“It is the living presence, realized presence in this case, of the Passion of Christ,” DiPippo said. “Even if it isn’t authentic, we are still honoring the Passion of Christ by venerating it as such.”

The pillar of Saint Praxedes was first brought to Italy by Cardinal Giovanni Colonna, a 13th century prelate appointed by Pope Innocent III, who had been serving as papal legate in the Holy Land during the sixth Crusade. Returning to Rome in the 1220s, he brought with him the column in question.

“One mustn’t think of this as a conscious fraud on the part of Cardinal Colonna, or the people who received it as the relic of the flagellation,” DiPippo explained, but rather of Medieval devotion.

Montenegro: 14 Indicted As Coup Controversy Continues

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By Dusica Tomovic

Montenegro’s Special Prosecutor for organised crime, Milivoje Katnic, on Thursday filed an indictment againt 14 people suspected of having played roles in last year’s alleged coup plot, and sent it the High Court in Podgorica for approval.

Meanwhile, doubts continue to swirl over the official version of events.

Montenegrin, Serbian and Russian citizens accused in the case include the two opposition leaders in Montenegro, Andrija Mandic and Milan Knezevic, from the pro-Russian opposition Democratic Front.

Others include two Russian military intelligence officers and a police general from Serbia.

All were allegedly involved in a plot to overthrow the pro-Western government and assassinate the then Prime Minister, Milo Djukanovic, on election day, October 16.

Prosecutor Katnic has tried hard over the past six months to convince the public that the state has firm evidence that a terrorist attack was planned and organized by the two opposition leaders and by Russian nationals Vladimir Popov and Eduard Shirokov.

But many say the investigation has not dispelled suspicions that Djukanovic himself hired the plotters to play the role of putschists in order to win over voters and tar the opposition.

Djukanovic’s ruling Democratic Party of Socialists, DPS, duly came first in the October election.

The list of possible indictees is expected to include the former commander of the elite Serbian police unit, the Gendarmerie, Bratislav Dikic, arrested in Montenegro on October 16.

Despite claims that it has not come up with much firm evidence in support of its charges, the prosecution appears strongly supported by the government and by senior officials in some Western countries – who all accuse the Kremlin of conspiring to get rid of the current government in Montenegro.

Just days ahead of the indictment and the start of the “trial of the century”, US media reports cited White House sources as saying that there were “credible reports” that Russians supported the overthrow of the government in Montenegro.

“We are very concerned about Russian interference in the October elections in Montenegro, including credible reports of Russian support for an attempted election day attack on the government,” a senior White House official told the US reporters on April 12.

Inconsistencies mar investigation

Montenegrin police arrested a group of Serbian nationals on the eve of the 16 October vote while two Russian suspects remain at large, wanted over the alleged plot.

The authorities at first said only that the conspiracy was orchestrated by “Russian nationalists”.

But Katnic went a step further on February 19, suggesting that the Russian authorities had been involved in the attempted coup, in order to stop Montenegro from joining NATO.

The Kremlin has dismissed such allegations as absurd.

Asked where Montenegro got the first information about the terror plot, Katnic answered: “We got the information the way we have always received it, with the help of God.”

In one of his latest interviews, Katnic remained steadfast, even arguing that he deserves a Nobel prize for saving Montenegro.

Katnic again said the prosecution had gathered evidence to support its accusations, saying the weapons intended for use in the attack had been seized and destroyed “at a safe location in another country”.

He would not go into further details, however, saying the investigation was ongoing.

Later, Katnic said the some of the coup plotters tried the enter Montenegro through Albania.

Katnic may have convinced international and pro-government media in Montenegro that claims about a Russian-backed coup are indisputable, but at home he is widely criticized.

During the course of the investigation into the coup case and the hearings, local media and watchdogs reported many inconsistencies in the prosecution’s claims.

The first concerned the weapons, which the prosecution first claimed had been “safely destroyed“ in a third country.

In January, however, a protected witness, Milan Velimirovic, claimed he had bought the rifles for 15,000 euros in Serbia and had later tossed them into “a lake in Kosovo”.

During the open hearing, Velimirovic said he had acted on the suggestion of the prosecution, which prompted criticism that Kantichad ordered such thing – to destroy the key evidence of the alleged crime.

The names of the main suspects and their role in the plot have also caused confusion.

Last November, the prosecution claimed that a Serbian nationalist named Aleksandar Sindjelic, who had reportedly fought on the pro-Russian side in Ukraine, masterminded the plot and led the criminal ring.

Two months later, however, after the prosecution granted him protected witness status to testify against the other accused, it was revealed that his name was Sasa, not Aleksandar.

The name of one of the Russians allegedly involved in the plot also appears to be different from what the prosecution at first claimed.

Initially, he was named as Eduard Shirokov. But on February 21, Katnic said the head of the group was in fact Eduard Shishmakov, which appeared to be the real name of the former Russian military officer.

Shishmakov had been a deputy military attache at the Russian embassy in Warsaw. He was declared persona non grata in Poland in June 2014, along with three other Russian citizens, because it was believed they were involved in spying.

Main witness ‘a murder convict’ in Croatia

The latest coup controversy concerned information revealed by the opposition Democratic Front on April 9.

This said that Sasa Sindjelic, the main protected witness, had been convicted of murder in Croatia.

According to Croatian court papers revealed by the Front, Sindjelic was sentenced to 21 years in prison for a murder committed in 2002.

The Front accused prosecutor Katnic of deliberately hiding this information, demanding his immediate resignation.

On April 11, the Croatian Justice Ministry confirmed it had issued an Interpol warrant against Sindjelic saying it was “interested in seeking his extradition from Montenegro”.

The statement from the Podgorica Higher Court, which approved protected witness status for Sindjelic, added fuel to the row when the court said it had not been aware of his murder conviction in Croatia.

Local media reported that since this revelation, special police forces have been guarding Sindjelic at a “secret location in Montenegro”.

In another twist, the second protected witness, Milan Velimirovic, on April 8 said that he had signed a statement before the court in Novi Pazar in Serbia, claiming that everything he told the Montenegrin prosecution earlier about Russians and Serbs involved in the plot had been a lie.

Velimirovic claimed the Montenegrin prosecution had forced him to accuse them.

The prosecution has denied being involved in hiding information from the court and has denied forcing Velimirovic to give false testimony.

“Questioning the credibility of Sasa Sindjelic in connection with the status of witness collaborator aims to create in the public a negative attitude towards the validity of the criminal proceedings and confirms that the organizers of criminal organizations are making great efforts to prevent conviction of its members,“ the prosecution said on April 11, referring to the fact that Front leaders Mandic and Knezevic could be indicted.

Danger: Federal Tax Revenue Growth Falls To 80-Month Low – Analysis

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By Ryan McMaken*

A new report from the US Treasury Department shows that growth in federal receipts has fallen to the lowest level seen in 80 months, with the 12-month average falling 1.3 percent from March 2016 to March 2017.

The last time federal receipts fell as far was during July of 2010 when they dropped 2.4 percent from July of the previous year. More importantly, the last time receipts fell this much, while in a downward trend, was in July 2008 shortly before the financial crisis.

March 2017 was the fourth month in a row during which federal receipts were down year over year, while growth rates overall have been falling quickly since mid-2015.

If we remove the rolling averages and simply look at straight year-over-year growth, we find that growth rates have been bumping along near zero percent for the past year. By this measure, the overall trend has been downward since mid-2013.

This isn’t to say that the federal government is hurting for revenues, of course. Through mid-2015, the feds were pulling in record receipts, and only over the past year have receipts begun to flatten out. Nevertheless, they remain above pre-recession levels.

So why is this trend important? Going back decades, we find when receipts turn from positive to negative, the US is either about to slip into recession or is already in recession.

Declining federal revenues should be a warning sign that all is not well in the economy. The habit of measuring economic well-being in terms of the Dow Jones or home prices — as the Trump administration likes to do — tells us little since rising home prices and stock prices are more indicators of price inflation in the current economy. And, of course, rising home prices largely just indicate that the cost of living is going up.

It’s more likely that the lackluster tax data — lackluster from the government’s perspective — illustrates that households and workers aren’t doing nearly as well as we’re being told they are. Janet Yellen, after all, tells us that the economy is doing just swell, and this will allow for increases in the Fed’s target rate.

But don’t worry too much about the feds. Even if revenues fall, they’ll be fine because they’ll be able to make up for it by inflating the money supply and through deficit spending. Your household revenues — and thus the tax receipts you produce — may be going down, but the feds will simply go deeper into debt and ignore the problem.

Moreover, if we dig deeper into recent receipt data, we find that through the end of 2016, corporate tax revenues fell a whopping 11 percent, which was the largest drop since 2009 — in the midst of recession. Indeed, it appears that much of the recent decline in receipts is due to falling corporate revenue.

Looking at personal income taxes through 2016, we find that growth in receipts is at the lowest level seen since 2003, in the wake of recession. The quarterly data doesn’t look any better.

While we have plenty of measures of how people “feel” about the economy, tax receipts remain one of the more objective measures of earnings. After all, in spite of what some cranks may say, paying federal taxes is mandatory under pain of legal sanctions, and thus provides us with a reliable glimpse into how much revenue people are earning. For most people, when they earn more, they pay more in taxes.

Last year, a look at total tax returns and personal income taxes paid revealed that wages and salaries went nowhere between 2007 and 2014 (the most recent year available).

On the other hand, those who already own lots of inflationary assets — such as stocks, real estate, and fine art — are doing fine. Many others — many who pay the taxes — appear to be doing less well.

About the author:
*Ryan McMaken is the editor of Mises Wire and The Austrian. Send him your article submissions, but read article guidelines first. (Contact: email; twitter.)

Source:
This article was published by the MISES Institute

India’s Foreign Policy Ambitions And Capabilities: Options For Pakistan – OpEd

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Effective foreign policy making and implementation requires clear vision about self and pragmatic understanding of prevailing international environment. For newly independent countries the role of leadership, especially founding fathers, becomes naturally very important for defining the core objectives of foreign policy of the country. Defining the institutional structure and structuralization of long term core foreign policy agenda requires leadership having the ability to make sense of outside world through the prism of pragmatism.

Jawaharlal Nehru the founding father of India and first prime minter of the country viewed India as great power in its own right. Compensating the hard power deficiency that India had, Nehru took normative stance for projecting India as major power. He viewed India as leader of South Asia. The policy of supporting the freedom movements in Third World especially Africa was designed for promoting soft power of India. What India lacked in hard power, Nehru tried to make it through foreign policy maneuvers aimed at enhancing India’s soft power.

The policy of non-alignment showed perception of India as major power by Nehru and his successors was actually meant for compensating the deficiency of hard power. During Indo-China border dispute, the great power claims by Indian leadership were put to test in ruthless international politics structured on realism. Swift, conclusive and humiliating defeat at the hands of China brought fundamental reassessment of means that India utilized for securing its foreign policy objectives.

For interaction with countries outside South Asian region, India took benign foreign policy. Within South Asia, India even under Nehru followed assertive foreign policy under the assumption that India was leader of South Asia. Its aggressive foreign policy made Pakistan insecure and forced Pakistan to look options for balancing conventional superiority of Indian military by joining the US led military alliances.

Ironically, instead of addressing the threats hurling mindset of Indian leadership that forced Pakistan to join Western camp during Cold War, Pakistan was blamed for involving outside powers in South Asia. Indian foreign policy makers and analysts fail to appreciate the fact that insulation of the region from outside powers desired by India for dominating small states in South Asia was detrimental to national security interests of Pakistan.

Indian expansionist foreign policy stance and threats to territorial integrity of Pakistan meant that for rightful national security interest Pakistan was bound to look for military assistance from either of the powers leading Cold War. The policy of strategic autonomy that India followed was designed as facade with real purpose of establishing Indian dominance over South Asia while sending message to great powers that South Asia belonged to India.

Development of military capabilities by India for plugging the gaps in its claim to great power status became priority after defeat at the hands of China. Under Indira Gandhi, practically India distanced itself from nonalignment movement (NAM), only paying lip service to the true cause of nonalignment and became closely associated with Soviet Union for military buildup. Lack of strong knowledge and skill base for manufacturing advance military hardware made India dependent on imported weapons from countries around the world.

Economic reforms in India during the last decade of 20th century have propelled India among top 10 economies of the world. Capital deficiency problem that India faced at the time of independence is now addressed to greater extent and at same time it has become attractive destination for foreign investment. The power of purse and the size of market has made India sought after country by major powers of the world. Gains made through rapid economic development are utilized by India for military buildup to back bids for major power status. India views its economic rise benign in nature, producing pubic goods for other South Asian countries except Pakistan. Within South Asia, through economic power, military threats and coercion, India has been making efforts for securing support to be recognized as legitimate leader of the region.

The US for its national interest is promoting and encouraging India to play broader role in South Asia and Indian Ocean Region (IOR), without considering the destabilization effect of such moves on regional politics. By signing multiple military agreements with the US, India has sacrificed the policy of strategic autonomy for long term strategic alignment with the US for greater role in world politics.

For narrow economic interests, nuclear deals that the US, Russia, Japan, Australia have signed with India, are adversely affecting strategic stability of South Asia. Denial of permanent membership of United Nations Security Council at the hands of the US after World War II has been Indian misplaced grievance.

Though India claims to have nuclear program for countering security threats from China, judging by fast growing Indian missile and nuclear program real purpose of such program is none other but adding credentials to its major power claim.

Without resolving outstanding territorial disputes with Pakistan, the Indian claim to be leader of South Asia will essentially be challenged. India is trying to manufacture legitimacy through coercion and military threats. After becoming overt nuclear power in response to second nuclear test by India, Pakistan achieved balance of terror by offsetting Indian conventional military superiority.

After losing the conventional military advantage for coercing Pakistan, India has shifted to nonconventional tactics for destabilizing Pakistan from within by promoting and financing terrorist groups in Pakistan. India is destabilizing Balochistan through sending Research and Analysis Wing (RAW) agents who perform espionage and sabotage activities. Such activities are directly affecting the counter terrorism operations that Pakistan has launched against Taliban.

Pakistan should continue to oppose India’s bid for permanent membership of United Nations Security Council till India resolves the Kashmir dispute as per the wishes people of Kashmir. It is new low for countries that have shown willingness to extend diplomatic support for Indian membership of UNSC, keeping in mind that India continues to disregard UN resolutions on Kashmir.

India continues to be among the biggest arms importer of world that means even today India lacks indigenous base for developing hard power capabilities. Maintaining necessary conventional and nuclear military capability is essential for countering military threats from India. Further deepening and broadening of strategic relations with China is required for offsetting pressure of extra regional powers on Pakistan.

Establishing relations with Russia on strong footing is essential for diversifying foreign policy option. Estranging the US will be counterproductive for Pakistan’s objective of bringing peace in Afghanistan. Pakistan needs to play balancing act while devising long term accumulative foreign policy centered on promotion of its national interest. Learning from our adversary India, revival and expansion of economy of Pakistan is first step for enhancing foreign policy option of Pakistan.

*The writer is Research Associate at Strategic Vision Institute, a think-tank based in Islamabad.

Myanmar: Has Suu Kyi Lost Her Sheen? – Analysis

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By Dr. S. Chandrasekharan

A year after a resounding victory of NLD in the general elections, the recently held by elections have some lessons for Suu Kyi.

Elections were held for 19 seats- 8 in Shan State, 5 in Yangon and one each in Chin, Mon, Karenni, Arakan, Pegu and Sagaing regions. The vacancies were caused mainly by seats vacated by the ministers and death of a few members. It is important to note that the seats were held mostly by the NLD led by Aung San Suu Kyi and were geographically and ethnically well spread.

Of these the NLD won 9, the Shan Nationalities League for democracy 6, the USDP 2, the All Nationalities’ Democratic Party 1 and the Arakan National Party 1.

In the Shan State, the NLD lost 7 of the 8 states and some analysts have described NLD’s defeat as a “rout.” What has been unsaid is that the NLD retained most of its seats in the majority Bamar regions.

The current election is different from the last general elections in many respects.

  • For the NLD, the last elections were fought on the premise NLD first and the candidate second. In the present case the candidates, their ability and performance did matter.
  • While there was a massive turn out for the general elections, the enthusiasm of the people was noticed, the turn out this time particularly in the majority Bamar areas was not so enthusiastic.
  • This leads to the view that the last elections as one analyst had said- was a kind of referendum with the choice between the old regime and the new one led by Suu Kyi. People obviously threw out the old regime decisively with high expectation from Suu Kyi and her NLD. The results showed that while the NLD was not rejected- people had shown their disappointment even from the majority Bamar areas.

Suu Kyi had been in power for just one year and it is too early to judge her performance by the very first by elections. But what is clear is that the ethnic regions that voted overwhelmingly for her in the General Elections have now placed their faith in regional ethnic entities. The trend is clear. The dilemma for Suu Kyi is how to keep the faith of the majority of Bamars while at the same time reach out to the ethnic minorities who have long been affected by conflicts and poverty?

Of the three priorities of Suu Kyi, national reconciliation was the foremost followed by economic transformation and constitutional changes. The offensive started by the Army soon after the last Panglong Conference is continuing with greater vigour. The economy is yet to pick up and investments from abroad are yet to reach the desired levels. There is yet no hope of any constitutional change.

There appears to be many forces eager to erode the popularity and personal charisma of Suu Kyi. There is also a feeling within her party that decisions are not taken in a transparent manner. It is said that while the previous regime was autocratic, the present one is undemocratic. The killing of U Ko Ni the adviser to Suu Kyi who is a constitutional expert and one who is said to have suggested the new role for Suu Kyi as State Councillor, in a public place in broad day light by other vested interests is a serious issue that cannot be ignored. The unnecessary hype and internationalisation of Rohingiya problem also needs careful attention. The breaking away of 88 Generation – those who had sacrificed tremendously to form another party and contest the next elections is a pointer to the disenchantment of the old faithfuls.

In all, the tasks before Suu Kyi are formidable. With the Army still unrelenting, her cautious reaction as one saw in the BBC interview was understandable. But still there are lessons to be learnt from the by elections.

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